Well I’d agree but france and russia want to manage europe and the rest of europe would prefer germany manage europe, but germans don’t want to manage europe. So until the germans get their confidence back, europe is at risk of french and russian authoritarians.
Source date (UTC): 2023-02-27 04:10:33 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1630057776884989954
Reply addressees: @JaredAberach
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1630056921616228352
Q: “What was the purpose of the Iraq war in 2003?”
Dishonest Question. Common Knowledge:
1) Iraq invaded Kuwait. US/NATO/UN forces expunged Iraq from Kuwait. Imposed sanctions. And the forces developed a policy of Containment.
2) Iraq challenged the no-fly zone, weapons inspectors, and sanctions. And an insurgency began. Forcing US to maintain its presence to prevent a repetition of Iraqi aggression in the region. (Note: In retrospect, Iraq was able to keep Iran contained, and we should have had lower ambitions for the Region, and only defended Kuwait.)
3) General consensus was that US ended the operation without replacing Saddam Hussein. And that regime change was necessary.
4) (At this time, intellectuals in the west (Neocons) believed that the Muslim world was ready for democratic government and that Iraq could be the template that would encourage the new generations to end despotic rule. The failure of this belief, and its confirmation in Afghanistan, ended western belief in the ability of Muslim governments to maintain democratic rule of law. When the US discovered it had sufficient oil for autarkic energy, it rapidly decided to abandon the ME to its wars, and left it to North Africa, the Kingdoms, and Israel versus Iran and allies versus Turkey to compete for leadership. Though this exposed our allies in Europe to petroleum risk. It put the most risk on China which is strategically dependent upon gulf oil production.)
5) In the broader context, the attack on the US in September 2001, deeply affected American conservatives, who increasingly felt that Al Queda should be exterminated. So American Intel ‘saw al Queda everywhere.’ (Which was only half false.)
6) The US retaliated first against Afghanistan, to deprive terrorists of a safe home.
7) The USG, frustrated with Iraq, developed a policy of liberation of the people of Iraq from Saddam’s tyranny. This was amplified by intelligence suggesting Iraq had WMD (Which was false. It was intentionally false b/c Iraq was afraid of Iran, and had created convincing intel.) Having used WMD on Kurds, (which alone was enough to cause the USA to replace Saddam) the administration believed it was true. (Or maybe wished it was true enough to believe it was true we don’t know.)
8) So the combination of incentives encouraged the Neocons to try to ‘solve the problem of the middle east’. And congress funded the movement to ‘liberate iraq’. And then set about to reform Iraq.
9) Lessons learned of course, are that:
(a) as Al Queda’s leadership had hoped, their terrorism did cause the west to attack the middle east. But neither side won.
(b) It’s not possible for Islamic civilization to convert to peaceful modernity except incrementally by generational replacement over multiple generations. And demographically it may be impossible altogether, given that the ME has an average IQ of 84, meaning half of the population is incapable of industrial-age employment, reason, logic, and science. And 2/3 of the population are under 100 enough that they’re not capable of what Europeans consider basic logic. Islamic memorization and authoritarianism may be the best they can achieve.
(c) There is no longer any value of peace in the ME, because the more chaos in world markets the more profitable for the USA and the worse for China. Instead, the only concern is prohibiting nuclear proliferation (Iran). the Only US concern is the stability of Europe, our east Asian partners, and Israel. (and yes Israel is a complex question, but they are also the only advanced civ in the region.)
(d) Americans are no longer willing to sacrifice our laboring, working, and middle classes, and it may no longer be necessary, because all the people capable of entering modernity (industrial technological employment) may have been converted. So the age of prosperity taking advantage of reserves of human capital may have ended.
(e) So, back to “America First” whenever Europe is safe again.
(Lots of the world will starve)
-FIN-
Source date (UTC): 2023-02-27 01:08:22 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1630011927073026053
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1629981112842825729
EXPLAINING AMERICAN STRATEGIC POLICY’S MORALITY
American Strategy of World Decolonization, De-Imperialism, and Prohibition on Authoritarianism, by Self Determination, Free Trade and Federations:
—“The USA/British postwar goal of preventing another world war by creating free trade, ending the necessity of agrarian empires to conquer, subjugate, ‘own’ colonies and capture trade routes. This strategy consisted of:
… (a) demanding states respect borders, free trade, and focus on economy and human rights, instead of conquest.
… (b) In exchange the USA would police the world system of communication, transport and trade, and;
… (c) creating the Bretton Woods agreement, including the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank. The purpose of the agreement was to promote international economic cooperation and stability after World War II by establishing a system of fixed exchange rates and providing financial assistance to countries in need.”–
1) American geostrategic mission:
https://t.co/7h1TN0Iua9
2) American geostrategic reasoning
https://t.co/FX9tTyS0LP
3) American Bases and Reasons https://t.co/GnlkFLq5PI
4) Why WWIII will be necessary if the US strategy fails
https://t.co/b1S2AjToey
5) List of American military interventions. Do any of these interventions violate the geostrategic mission and geostrategic reasoning? No. And is there any case to be made against the geostrategic reasoning? No. (Sorry)
https://t.co/mAOwQLWRBN
Source date (UTC): 2023-02-26 14:08:56 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1629845978017681408
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1629124279110455296
I probably agree with that, but that doesn’t invalidate the postwar position as a continuation of the hemispheric expansion, westward expansion, the British position, germanic position, and as a continuation of the catholic position, the roman, the gree, and the Aryan position. The argument is that Christianity legitimized aryanism after the fall of rome and is one of the reasons adopted by the germanics.
Source date (UTC): 2023-02-26 03:02:42 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1629678312917221376
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1629677236612636672
OF THESE US BASES
(a) How many are capable of force projection?
(b) How many of those bases are in countries that want and need us there?
(c) How many are for maintaining naval, air, and communications support necessary for policing world system of finance, transport, and free trade?
(d) How many are functionally diplomatic providing the host country with confidence in american support given local hostiles.
The USA was trying to withdraw from world policing of transport and trade because creating the world of free trade is beneficial for the developing world at the cost of American laboring, working, and middle classes.
This created the RU, CN, Iran motive for conflict. If we fully withdraw the USA is autarkic and will PROFIT because it will be the only stable place to put money, while the rest of the world will experience wars given the power vacuum and the end of free trade, the conversion of oil into blackmail.
Americans are perfectly happy to let the world suffer – or at least they were until we understood that we are close to a civil war ourselves.
Source date (UTC): 2023-02-26 02:29:39 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1629669994706395137
THE CORRECT ANSWER TO THE IMPEDIMENT TO WORLD PEACE
1 – The legacy agrarian empires of China, Russia, Persia(Iran), the want of empire in the middle east, and the harmful borders left over from the (dead) age of agrarian empires. And the ‘elites’ that profit from (the corruption) governing those empires.
-vs-
2 – The universal desire given the prosperity made possible by the industrial revolution, for ethic self-determination, by sovereignty that requires small, homogenous nation-states capable of low power distance, high trust, governments that produce commons for the benefit of their people, and the highest redistribution with the least competition, especially for power.
-vs-
3 – The USA/British postwar goal of preventing another world war by creating free trade, ending the necessity of agrarian empires to conquer, subjugate, ‘own’ colonies and capture trade routes. This strategy consisted of:
… (a) demanding states respect borders, free trade, and focus on economy and human rights, instead of conquest. … (b) In exchange the USA would police the world system of communication, transport and trade, and;
… (c) creating the Bretton Woods agreement, including the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank. The purpose of the agreement was to promote international economic cooperation and stability after World War II by establishing a system of fixed exchange rates and providing financial assistance to countries in need.
-vs-
4 – This policy was successful in the greatest decrease in poverty in human history. But it did not resolve ethnic-and-border disputes nor prevent the conversion of remaining agrarian empires to remain agrarian empires, but using communist justification rather than cultural or economic or pursuit of power to justify the means of conquest and government.
The American position is that all border conflicts and wants of ethnic self-determination should be solved by peaceful negotiation and separation. However, the more resource-based the economy, or the more corrupt the government, or the less developed the society, economy, and government, the more conflict that remains.
So the Americans tried to prevent empires, prevent conquest, and force peaceful pursuit of self-determination. But this was optimistic. So Americans ‘waited out the problem letting time force people to solve it themselves’.
However, conflicts and despots still arose, and Americans and allies had to defend human rights and international peace by the use of force. In most cases this kept the peace. And in other cases this was futile – or worse.
And for Americans, this resulted in the rise of world standards of living, but a decline in American standards of living. Especially opening our borders to free trade that benefits other countries but harms our laboring, working and middle classes.
So Americans have grown tired of policing the world, tired of losing our soldiers, tired of Europeans free-riding on American soldiers, working classes, and economy, while at the same time claiming they are culturally superior. Tired of a ‘thankless’ world. And Americans want to stop.
-vs-
5 – (This makes me angry) Americans sell the ‘good’ of democracy to the world. But American success is due to our rule of law and obedience to the constitution. And this obedience is partly due to American ‘religiosity’ to both faith and constitution. So, democracy is a privilege that results from producing rule of law, and respect for rule of law. Rule of law produces economies. Economies raise people out of poverty, into education and experience that makes it possible for them to possess the incentives, and knowledge, and wisdom necessary to vote ‘even a little’ intelligently.
But worse, the Jewish class Marxists moved from Europe to America, creating cultural marxism and race-marxism to undermine American culture and institutions by creating hatred and decadence. So, thos is what ‘democracy’ means to the world. Not rule of law. And they don’t want it.
Source date (UTC): 2023-02-24 21:23:19 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1629230515893960705
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1629211195294244864
Of course they are. What countries don’t use conscription in time of war?
Source date (UTC): 2023-02-24 15:15:09 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1629137865417412613
Reply addressees: @Helaroadster @jamesfoley57
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1629137390580207616
IF THERE IS A WORLD WAR III – THIS IS WHY.
We are seeing the long tradition of modernization that replaces involuntary empires with voluntary nation-states allied federations, produce the dying gasps of the last three decadent civilizations: the Muslims, the Chinese, and the Russians – all three who are still clinging to their evil, corrupt, decadent, archaic agrarian age empires, Each, like poor France, wishing it was once again in glory by the defeat of neighbors.
If we do have world war three, it will just be the completion of world wars 1 and 2 – the death of empires. The birth of new nation states. In the long and necessary evolution into the optimum polity for mankind: small homogenous, low power distance, egalitarian, equalitarian, redistributive, nation states, under rule of law and participatory government for the benefit of all.
THE EXPLOSIONS OF TECHNOLOGY IN HISTORY
The Agrarian expansion out of Anatolia
The Bronze Age expansion out of Mesopotamia
The Indo-European expansion out of the Steppe
The Greco-Roman expansion out of the Med.
The Germanic Expansion south.
The Germanic Restoration via the Hansa
The Classical Restoration by return of Aristotle
The LIterary Expansion due to the printing press
The Age of Sail because of the Ottoman Conquest
The Eviction of the Corrupt Church from Germanic Lands.
The Empirical Revolution
The Atlantic Expansion
The British Invention of the Modern State
… French Catholic Resistance to Modernity
… German Resistance to Modernity
… Jewish Resistance to Modernity
… Russian Resistance to Modernity
The agrarian, commercial, financial and industrial revolutions.
The Expansion of the modern, ethno, national state.
… The Chinese, Indian, Muslim Resistance to modernity.
The World Wars to End Agrarian Empires.
The End of Involuntary Agrarian Empires and the birth of Voluntary Industrial Federations.
The European ‘explosion’ of modernity spread worldwide.
The European explosion of prosperity dragged mankind out of superstition, ignorance, poverty , starvation, disease, suffering, and early death.
Each of these ‘explosions’ spread across Europe. The natural consequence of prosperity is the utility of small, homogenous, nation states in competition and cooperation with one another. minimizing internal conflict and cooperation.
You blame Europeans for doing the best for mankind across all of history, for doing it poorly. Compared to not doing it at all and continuing in their ignorance and poverty. Yet you desire the results of the Europeans. And your people flee to be with Europeans whenever possible.
The Chinese were as warlike as europeans when they were progressing. The stopped their wars, and stagnated, and fell behind.
The Indians were insufficiently warlike, and were conquered by every band of ruffians who passed by.
The Muslims never cease conquering one another. And after 800ad, began their year after year of decay. One tribe defeats the next who became decadent, defeating the next who becomes decadent and so on. Until when modernity arrived they could not adapt to it, and the only reason for their prosperity, the Silk Road, was ended by the European age of sail, railroad, truck, and airplane.
Source date (UTC): 2023-02-24 05:45:35 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1628994528966332416
You’re Silly.
We are seeing the long tradition of modernization that replaces involuntary empires with voluntary nation-states allied federations, produce the dying gasps of the last three decadent civilizations: the Muslims, the Chinese, and the Russians – all three who are still clinging to their evil, corrupt, decadent, archaic agrarian age empires, Each, like poor France, wishing it was once again in glory by the defeat of neighbors.
If we do have world war three, it will just be the completion of world wars 1 and 2 – the death of empires. The birth of new nation states. In the long and necessary evolution into the optimum polity for mankind: small homogenous, low power distance, egalitarian, equalitarian, redistributive, nation states, under rule of law and participatory government for the benefit of all.
THE EXPLOSIONS OF TECHNOLOGY IN HISTORY
The Agrarian expansion out of Anatolia
The Bronze Age expansion out of Mesopotamia
The Indo-European expansion out of the Steppe
The Greco-Roman expansion out of the Med.
The Germanic Expansion south.
The Germanic Restoration via the Hansa
The Classical Restoration by return of Aristotle
The LIterary Expansion due to the printing press
The Age of Sail because of the Ottoman Conquest
The Eviction of the Corrupt Church from Germanic Lands.
The Empirical Revolution
The Atlantic Expansion
The British Invention of the Modern State
… French Catholic Resistance to Modernity
… German Resistance to Modernity
… Jewish Resistance to Modernity
… Russian Resistance to Modernity
The agrarian, commercial, financial and industrial revolutions.
The Expansion of the modern, ethno, national state.
… The Chinese, Indian, Muslim Resistance to modernity.
The World Wars to End Agrarian Empires.
The End of Involuntary Agrarian Empires and the birth of Voluntary Industrial Federations.
The European ‘explosion’ of modernity spread worldwide.
The European explosion of prosperity dragged mankind out of superstition, ignorance, poverty , starvation, disease, suffering, and early death.
Each of these ‘explosions’ spread across Europe. The natural consequence of prosperity is the utility of small, homogenous, nation states in competition and cooperation with one another. minimizing internal conflict and cooperation.
You blame Europeans for doing the best for mankind across all of history, for doing it poorly. Compared to not doing it at all and continuing in their ignorance and poverty. Yet you desire the results of the Europeans. And your people flee to be with europeans whenever possible.
The Chinese were as warlike as europeans when they were progressing. The stopped their wars, and stagnated, and fell behind.
The Indians were insufficiently warlike, and were conquered by every band of ruffians who passed by.
The Muslims never cease conquering one another. And after 800ad, began their year after year of decay. One tribe defeats the next who became decadent, defeating the next who becomes decadent and so on. Until when modernity arrived they could not adapt to it, and the only reason for their prosperity, the Silk Road, was ended by the European age of sail, railroad, truck, and airplane.
Source date (UTC): 2023-02-24 05:45:05 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1628994402516344832
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1628981880677863425
I guess you decide for mankind. Didn’t realize you’d be elected, appointed, or deified. lol
Source date (UTC): 2023-02-23 21:28:52 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1628869523544715268
Reply addressees: @LundstramLoyall
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1628869224667009026