Theme: Measurement

  • WHAT ARE THE SHORTCOMINGS OF THE AUSTRIAN SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS? I’ve written exte

    WHAT ARE THE SHORTCOMINGS OF THE AUSTRIAN SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS?

    I’ve written extensively on this and I’ll make a few (possibly unpleasant) but clarifying points to explain why Today’s “Austrian School” is to the original “Mengerianism”, what Today’s “Liberalism” is to the original “Classical Liberalism”: an ‘appropriated term’. And Misesianism has little if anything to do with Mengerianism other than the most trivial inclusion of marginalism.

    THE SHORT VERSION

    If we are talking about the Mengerian revolution, there are no shortcomings, and those insights as of 2008 appear to have been fully incorporated into mainstream economics.

    If we are talking about how mainstream Austrians practice economics today, by the successors to both the Mengerian and Misesian ‘branches’ of the Mengerian revolution, we have one insight that is not incorporated into mainstream economics: the test of the ethics and morality of economic statements by construction a ‘proof of possibility’: that any such proposition can be demonstrated by a series of both rational choices and tests of reciprocity. Mainstream Economists rely on Rawlsian (left) ethics and Pareto optimums, where Austrian Economists would rely on Classical Liberal ethics, and each solve for solutions under those ethical constraints.

    If we are talking about the propaganda put out by the Rothbardians then that’s something altogether different, and has nothing to do with either of the above.

    But let’s go into some detail.

    THE SCHOOLS

    The Mengerian school applied the insights of calculus to economics, producing marginalism, and as a consequence, subjective value, and as a consequence overthrew the historical error of the labor theory of value.

    The mengerian school attempted to construct a DESCRIPTIVE social and political science from economic evidence. In contrast to the Chicago school which attempts to produce policy under rule of law – meaning ‘without human discretion’; and in contrast with the Saltwater School (new york), attempting to maximize consumption by policy – meaning ‘arbitrary rule’.

    So the Austrian, Chicago, and New York schools of economics pursued very different ‘limits’ and ‘methods of decidability’ (categories and values) in their investigation of economic phenomenon, and for very different reasons. Instead of all of these schools pursuing ‘economic science’ it is more accurate to say that they each practice the application of economics to politics in three different ways.

    Austrian (Virginia):

    The production of institutions that eliminate frictions, allowing the greatest cooperation among peoples in a market economy. This, under the assumption that interferences in the economy were unwise, and would merely increase the severity of future corrections. (The Conservative Position)

    Freshwater (Chicago):

    The use of monetary policy to insure the economy and the polity against the unavoidable corrections that occur whenever certain combinations of opportunities, organizations, talents, and resources are disrupted either incrementally or by shocks, by the discovery of formulae that allowed rule of law to persist, yet insure people against harm. This, under the assumption that while interference in the economy was a moral hazard, a violation of rule of law, and would spiral into increasingly worse forms of harm, that the value of limiting shortages, insuring against shocks, was better than the consequences of not doing so. (The Classical Liberal Position)

    Saltwater (New York):

    The use of fiscal (spending) policy (debt) for the purpose of maximizing consumption and therefore overall wealth – under the assumption that any harms caused by the misallocation of organizations, talents, and resources to exhausted opportunities, would provide greater interim benefit that would compensate for any future harms. (The Leftist Position) (Krugman, Delong et al)

    This spectrum: Austrian (Social Science/conservative), Chicago (Rule of Law/classical), New York (Arbitrary Rule/progressive) also reflects Time Preference: Long, Medium, and Short term. Which in turn reflects class and gender moral biases (Mature Male, Maturing Male, and Female). Which in turn reflects institutional emphasis: i) Austrian: Demographics, educational policy, formal and informal institutional policy. ii) Industrial policy, Trade Policy, Monetary Policy, iii) Monetary, fiscal policy, and redistributive policy.

    At this point in time, Mengerian insights are fully incorporated into mainstream economics – although until 2008, the mainstream resisted the hypothesis that all attempts to correct the economy through monetary policy produced cumulative distortions of increasing duration. At this point that matter is settled, and the Mengerian insights have been incorporated into Mainstream thought.

    UNSOLVED QUESTIONS IN ECONOMICS AND POLITICS

    -Economics (Money)-

    There is clear benefit to recording, analyzing and publishing economic information that prevents malinvestment (or misuse of investment funds). There is clear benefit to managing the money supply as long as it does not create malinvestment. It is not clear that savings should be conducted with the same currency as the commercial currency. It is not clear that savers have a right to appreciation of a commercial currency at the expense of others any more than they have an obligation to absorb losses. And given that the value of insuring the money supply against shortages that might minimize consumption and investment, How do we manage the money supply? What basket of targets do we use? Is it moral (or wise) to allow interest on consumer credit issued from the Treasury when it is not any longer de facto insured by banks? (My answer is ‘no’ – it’s predatory on a scale that the most extractive of despots could not dream of). Is any of our policy or economics meaningful in an era where liquidity can be provided directly to consumers via debit cards from the treasury and the consequences immediately measured regardless of financial sector and entrepreneurial sector estimates of the future ending the zero interest rate problem, and ending the problem of cheaper money reinforcing and expanding patterns of malinvestment.

    -Government (Production of Commons)-

    It is increasingly clear that the silicon valley model of investment is indistinguishable from the christian monarchies under the combination of local rule of law and federal church sanction, in the same way the chinese model of government is indistinguishable from the management of a fortune 50 conglomerate. And it is increasingly clear that both of these models are superior to the results of 20th century democracy. The difference is that the Han are a single sub-race (extended family), as Europeans were until the present. While the silicon valley model is closer to the Cosmopolitan, for the same reason: silicon valley does not have to insure itself, it’s territory, or its currency So we can see three future political models: the homogenous kin-corporate (chinese), the homogenous kin-private, and the ‘borderland’ diverse non-kin private (silicon valley).

    THE MISESIAN INSIGHT – AND DOWNFALL

    Mises was creative, and had read a great deal of the work of contemporaries – which is why his ideas are not his but others (Weber, Simmel). He had a very clear if not the clearest – understanding of money. But had a very poor understanding of mathematics and science. And was not very clear on the broader intellectual movements that had preceded him, or were current.

    So while Mises discovered and articulated “economic operationalism”, he conflated mathematics (axiomatic declarations, and proofs of possibility) with science (theoretical observations, and survival from criticism) into a pseudoscience of Praxeology – in which he claimed all economic research should be performed operationally.

    He confused the Moral and Legal (justificationary), with the True and Scientific (survival from criticism).

    Praxeology – Economic Operationalism – is a method of testing rational choice and moral reciprocity in economic propositions when people are possessed of information heavily weighted by prices, and when they are rational actors, working from simple stacks of priorities. Just as is Intuitionistic Mathematics, Operational Language in the Sciences, and Operationism (the newest application of operationalism) in Psychology.

    But this is logically and empirically false.

    People act irrationally because of a set of cognitive biases and fragmentary information;

    People decide preferences on networks not stacks – meaning Mises did NOT – like Menger – rely on the calculus, and worse, he used a very narrow interpretation of marginal utility – that humans decided by a stack of values, rather than the sum of the weights of a set of values.

    Prices are but one factor of economics and prices decline rapidly in interest after commodities. People purchase heavily on signal value, not investment or commodity value.

    Empirical measurements can in fact identify economic phenomenon not rationally identifiable by rational construction (ie: sticky prices).

    What appear to be cumulatively immoral actions by the state can (in some circumstances) produce superior returns that do not violate the material interests of risk takers dependent upon intertemporal calculation.

    So it’s somewhat tragic, that in the science in which Operationalism is most important, and Mises’ discovery of Economic Operationalism, approximately coincided with Popper’s invention of Falsification, Poincare’s Criticism of Cantor, Brouwer’s Intuitionism (mathematics), Bridgman’s Operationalism (physics), and Hayek’s later discovery that the empirical common law is both the origin of the empirical method, and the only scientific means of governance: Nomocracy – Rule of Law.

    And that because all these thinkers failed to grasp that they had formed a movement, and that this movement’s value culminated, not in mathematics – but in economics. Because Science is but a moral discipline by which together we seek to remove ignorance, error, bias, and deceit. And that economics is the discipline in which pseudoscience is most harmful to us and mankind, if for no other reason than the consequences of our folly and deceit are both profound, and distant.

    THE CULTURAL ARTIFACTS OF THE COUNTER-ENLIGHTENMENTS

    We all bring our culture’s methodologies to the intellectual table, and Mises brought conflationary jewish law to the table. All the enlightenment era thinkers have done so – and still do. We tend to use the names of philosophers rather than the Operational names of their methodologies but we can illustrate the drag of intellectual traditions on the enlightenment by stating the method: The anglo empirical-legal-protestant, the french moral-catholic, the german rationalist-prostestant, the russian literary-orthodox, and the jewish-conflationary-legal.

    The only deflationary method was the original: the anglo empirical-legal. ‘Science’ in the ancient world, like science in the later medieval and early modern, evolved out of the practice of competitive, testimonial, evidentiary, empirical, common Law.

    The problem for the anglos has been that contracts presume equality under the law, and this assumption led to the utopianism of ‘an Aristocracy of Everyone’. Just as the French a ‘Family of Everyone (dressed up in aristocratic clothing)’, Just as the German ‘An Army of Pious Duty of Everyone’, Just as the Jewish led to a ‘Wandering Separatism of Everyone’.

    The ‘Vienna’ intellectual group – “Austrians” housed two very different sets of thinkers: The Christians who were German and Polish: the Mengerians, and the Misesian, who was Jewish and from L’viv Ukraine.

    Both regions were in then ‘Galacia’ under the control of the Austrian Empire. At that point in time L’viv was one of the most populous jewish cities in europe as well as the ‘borderlands’ (where russians allowed jews to settle).

    The categorization of Mises as a member of Menger’s Austrian school has been the subject of disagreement and still is – in the past, justifiably criticized as ‘jewish economics’.

    Methodologically, Misesian thought relies upon jewish thought, just as much as Mengerian thought relies upon Germanic.

    -Deflation vs Conflation-

    Western Deflation (Competition:Institutions) vs Semitic Conflation (Monopoly:Religion)

    While one of the hallmarks of western civilization is deflationary truth, and as a consequence, deflationary disciplines (mathematics, science, law, morality, literature, religion), deflationary institutions (divided govt), Mises, in the Jewish tradition, ( in the Abrahamic tradition in general) conflated morality, law, mathematics and science into ‘praxeology’ and his arrogance ( not unlike Marx) prevented him from acknowledging his failure until late in life, when he acquiesced to economics being a mixture of empirical and operational but he still did not draw the conclusion that had been made by Weber, Brower, Bridgman, if not Popper: that the ‘truth’ is discovered by the market competition between the scientific method’s attempt to deflate reality down into operations (laws), and the test of whether an intermediate theory survives construction from laws (axioms).

    Given that we know the first principles of social science: rationality and reciprocity we can test all economic propositions even though due to categorical plasticity due to substitution effects.

    Given that we do not know (yet) outside of perhaps chemistry, the first principles (operations) of the physical universe – because the universe cannot ‘choose’ it is fully deterministic (even if so casually dense it is not predictable through measurement) and we must be able to describe the physical universe in mathematics as proof of construction instead.

    This is only possible because mathematics is correlatively descriptive of external phenomenon, even if it is internally fully operational (real).

    So mathematics provides a good substitute for the operations of the universe – until we know the first principles of the universe.

    Which is what our friend Mr Wolfram’s (ack) ‘new science’ (confusing a logic and a science again) is: the study of the consequences of operations, INSTEAD of the DESCRIPTION of the consequences of operations using mathematics.

    CLOSING

    So it is better to say that Mises created a ‘jewish heresy’ or branch of the Vienna school, and that followers have used the marxist strategy of a) ‘appropriating terms’ (austrian school), b) ‘heaping of undue praise’, c) ‘straw man criticism as a vehicle for pseudoscientific propaganda’, d) ‘pseudoscientific or pseudo-rational argument (justificationary apriorism, praxeology as a science exclusive of empirical science rather than that scientific propositions require survival of the tests of both empirical consistency and operational consistency), d) vociferous evangelism, and voluminous propagandizing (‘gossip’).

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev, Ukraine.

    *I know this might be heavy reading but it’s very important, and profound.*

    —-

    NOTE: This facebook Page contains a series of articles that cover his position in intellectual history in detail. (See Facebook Page for Scientific Praxeology-Economic Operationalism)


    Source date (UTC): 2017-07-21 18:58:00 UTC

  • EVERYTHING THE ADVANCED EPISTEMOLOGY STUDENT WILL EVER WANT TO KNOW ABOUT EPISTE

    EVERYTHING THE ADVANCED EPISTEMOLOGY STUDENT WILL EVER WANT TO KNOW ABOUT EPISTEMOLOGY TAUGHT AS IT MUST BE, VIA ECONOMICS – CLASS ONE

    (profound)

    Jared, (All),

    I should get an award for being the most patient teacher of petulant youth. But I admire your persistence. So lets exercise your brain a bit. Maybe you have the stuff. Here is a graduate course in epistemology.

    So, let’s keep trying. Lets translate Kantian Rationalism into scientific and testimonial speech.

    I’m going to teach epistemology by using economics in order to repair much of the damage that has been done to epistemology by the Platonists(mathematics), and the Rationalists (Kant etc), and the Analytic Philosophers (Just about all of the 20th century).

    *Reality consists of a limited number of actionable dimensions and by using economics we are able to include all of them, and therefore avoid the errors that the platonists, rationalists, and analytics have introduced into philosophy.

    “DEFINITIONS AND SERIES”

    1) Empirical:

    Based on, concerned with, or verifiable by observation or experience rather than theory or pure logic. “From Observation”.

    2) A Priori:

    “independent of observation.”

    There are three dimensions to claims of a priori truth claim:

    i) Aprioricity vs A posteriori,

    ii) Analyticity vs Syntheticity, and

    iii) Necessity vs Contingency

    Therefore we can produce at least the following spectrum of a priori claims.

    (a) Analytic A Priori: tautological: 2+2=4 and all deductions thereof.

    (b) Synthetic A Priori : Increasing money increases inflation.

    (c) Necessary Synthetic A Priori: Childless women will have no grandchildren.

    (d) Contingent Synthetic A Priori: “all other things being equal, as a general trend, increasing demand will increase supply, although we cannot know the composition of that supply in advance, we can identify it from recorded evidence.”

    This produces a an ordered spectrum of declining precision:

    (a) Identity(categorical consistency) – Analytic A Priori

    (b) Logical:(internal consistency) – Nec. Synthetic a priori

    (c) Empirical: (external consistency) – Gen. Synth. a priori

    (d) Existential: (operational consistency) – Cont. Synth. a priori

    Which corresponds to the testable dimensions of numbers.

    (a) identity (numbers)

    (b) logical (sets)

    (c) empirical (ratios)

    (d) existential (constructible)

    (e) time is unaccounted for in the a priori model.

    Which corresponds to dimensions of physical reality

    (a) point

    (b) line

    (c) shape

    (d) object

    (e) time (change)

    Which corresponds to a subset of the dimensions of actionable reality , the full set of which we express in fully express in Testimonialism as:

    (a) Identity(categorical consistency)(point)

    (b) Logical:(internal consistency)(line)

    (c) Empirical: (external consistency)(shape)

    (d) Existential: (operational consistency)(object)

    (e) Volitional: (rational choice of rational actor)(change)

    (f) Reciprocal: ( rational exchange between rational actors)(changes)

    (g) Limited: (Limits: At what points does the description fail?)

    (h) Fully Accounted: (Have all costs and consequences been accounted for – defense against cherry picking and special pleading.)

    Which together account for the totality of actionable reality (by man) that we currently know of (and its quite hard to imagine anything else is possible).

    DEDUCTIBILITY FROM A-PRIORI PROPOSITIONS

    Ergo, while one can claim the tautological truth (the Analytic A Priori), and one can claim the ideal(logical) truth (the Necessary Synthetic A Priori), one cannot ever know the non-tautological(identity, The Synthetic A Priori), non-ideal(Contingent Synthetic A Priori ) truth, because we rarely possess sufficient information to do so.

    What does this mean? It means that we can deduce from Analytic A Priori and Necessary Synthetic A Priori, but we cannot deduce from General Synthetic A Priori, or Contingent Synthetic A Priori Statements because we cannot know if such deductions are true (for specific cases).

    So the problem with making a priori claims in economics is that you can say statements about statements but not about consequences in reality. You can only say ‘all other things being equal’, we should observe this effect. You cannot say, “we will always observe this effect’. Why? Because we don’t always observe such effects, and economics is rife with examples, the most commonly cited being unemployment does not necessarily increase, and prices are sticky – and for good reason.

    (NOTE: Now that’s sufficiently complicated that I almost confused myself, and I might need a day away from it to make sure I didn’t screw up what someone might read into those last two paragraphs, but otherwise it’s correct.)

    The innovation that menger brought to the table was to bring the principle of relative change from calculus to economics. The principle contribution of hayek was to transform transform the use of materials to the use of information as the model for all social phenomenon. The principle contribution of Popper was to bring the information model to philosophy, and in particular the philosophy of science and to model scientific investigation on a market. This followed the transition in physics from the use of electromagnetic fields to that of information. Which then brought physics and mathematics into full correspondence.

    What Hayek and popper and the classicals and the keynesians all missed and brouwer in math, bridgman in physics, and mises in economics, and the entire analytic and continental movements missed was that man cannot make truth claims.

    For example, we did not think the ideas of time(velocity of change), length(distance), and space(volume) varied. Einstein’s discovery was the same as mises’, brouwer’s and bridgman’s: that all our pretense of axioms are false. If our idea of length and time can be false, every other idea that is obvious to our senses and reason can be false.

    The difference between economics and physics is in

    (a) volition vs determinism

    (b) reciprocity vs transformation

    (c) sympathetic testing of rational choice vs entropy.

    THE SCIENTIFIC (UNIVERSAL EPISTEMOLOGICAL) METHOD

    “DEFLATION”

    (0) The purpose of the scientific method is to eliminate ignorance, error, bias, wishful thinking, suggestion, obscurantism, fictionalism, and deceit from our statements about reality.

    “DIMENSION”

    (1) We can make:

    (a) statements about experiences(metaphysical), or

    (b) statements about statements(ideal), or

    (c) statements about existential properties(existential/real), or

    (d) statements about existential cause and effect(change).

    (e) statements about volition

    “CLOSURE”

    (2) No test of any dimension can be completed without appeal to the subsequent dimension. (ie: godel. this is profoundly important. no dimension can provide a self-test.) Ergo, all speech is deflationary.

    “CRITICAL RATIONALISM”

    (3) All descriptive propositions of existential cause and effect (change) are contingent.

    “CRITICAL PREFERENCE”

    (4) The only method of decidability between two or more non-false cause and effect propositions(change) is cost. This is a clarification of Occam’s razor. And appears to be true, for the simple reason that nature cannot but choose the least cost method, and man generally chooses the least cost method – even if we cannot know the full causal density of his considerations.

    DUE DILIGENCE AGAINST IGNORANCE, ERROR, BIAS, DECEIT

    (5) The only method of making a truth claim is to perform due diligence in each dimension of reality (a ‘premise’ of the consequential dimension) applicable to the cause and effect phenomenon. (ie:physical world can’t engage in rational choice, or voluntary exchanges)

    Again, those dimensions are:

    (a) Identity(categorical consistency)(point)

    (b) Logical:(internal consistency)(line)

    (c) Empirical: (external consistency)(shape)

    (d) Existential: (operational consistency)(object)

    (e) Volitional: (rational choice of rational actor)(change)

    (f) Reciprocal: ( rational exchange between rational actors)(changes)

    (g) Limited: (Limits: At what points does the description fail?)

    (h) Fully Accounted: (Have all costs and consequences been accounted for – defense against cherry picking and special pleading.)

    “DARWINIAN SURVIVAL OF IDEAS”

    (6) All propositions (facts, propositions, theories) must survive the markets for criticism at the observer-mental-testing, observer-action testing, market application testing, and market survival testing. In other words, the universal epistemological method follows this lifecycle:

    (a) observation

    (b) *Free association* (F -> observation)

    (c) test of reasonability (F -> free association )

    (d) *Hypothesis*

    (e) Perform Due Diligence (a-h) above. (F -> free association )

    (f) *Theory*

    (g) Publish to the market for application

    (h) Survival in the market for application(F ->observation – of failures )

    (i) *Law*

    (j) Survival in the market for refutation (F-> observation – of failures)

    (k) *Habituation into metaphysical assumptions*

    “SPECIAL CASES”

    7) This universal epistemological process is universal despite the fact that various results can be identified with it. Because just as we find prime numbers largely by trial and error we find special cases of statements by trial and error. But when we find these statements we have to ask ourselves what is it we are finding?

    (a) Sensations: statements about experiences(metaphysical), or

    (b) Logic(analytic): statements about statements(ideal), or

    (c) Fact: statements about existential properties(existential/real), or

    (d) Theory(Synthetic): statements about existential cause and effect(change).

    (e) Morality: statements about volition

    (f) Testimony: statements about the fully accounted change in state of a given instance of the statement we are making (I have a credit card report that shows John Doe, on 1/1/2018 at 4:06:32 exchanged $2.00 for a hershey’s candy bar at Don’s newspaper stand then existing on 225th and Main in Cityname.”)

    EXAMPLES

    The most common special cases that we find are those that are impossible to contradict at the same dimension. (a,b,c,d,e) above.

    (a) Sense(Metaphysics): we cannot sense a ball is green and red all over at the same time.

    (b) Logic: If I issue credit on fractional reserves, I will increase the supply of money.

    (c) Fact: The differences between commodity money and note money include but are not limited to: liquidity, demand, exchange fee or interest gain, portability(weight/volume), reserve risk, vendor risk.

    (d) Theory: All other things being equal, if we increase the supply of money, prices will eventually increase accordingly and lower the purchasing power of payments against debts.

    (e) Morality: All other things being equal, when we force majoritarian decisions on the polity by using representative democracy, we create a monopoly out of the market for the commons, and eliminate the possibility of cooperating on means even if we pursue different ends.

    “ECONOMIC LEVERS”

    Polities can generally use this series of levers to affect the economy.

    -Near Term-

    (a) Monetary Policy

    (b) Fiscal Policy (Spending)

    -Medium Term-

    (c) Trade Policy (import export policies, foreign trade policies)

    (d) Regulatory/Legislative Policy (also includes price controls etc)

    (e) Immigration-Deporation policy / Expand military, WPA etc.

    -Long Term-

    (f) Human Capital Policy (Education policy)

    (g) Institutional Policy (laws, regulations, bureaucracies, institutions, banks)

    (h) Strategic (military) Policy

    “SCHOOLS OF ECONOMICS”

    The schools of economics reflect the culture and class of their origins. These groups do not acknowledge that their strategies and biases are as I”ve stated them here but their research evidence states the contrary. So I have tried to provide a general Spectrum of the institutions by what I understand is their culture/class bias.

    a) “Austrian / Rothbardian” (“Jewish”, Separatist) : Rule of Credit, Parasitic Optimum, Separatist / Anarchism.

    +Financial Class Bias. Anti-Commons Bias.

    (As far as I know, no university teaches the Jewish Austrian method.)

    b) “Mason-ism” (“Anglo Libertarian”, Right ) : Optimum Rule of Law, Nash Optimum, Minimal State / Christian Monarchy

    +Entrepreneurial Class Bias.

    (the only University I know of using this program is George Mason.)

    The “Mason-Libertarian” school places greater emphasis on maximizing the voluntary cooperation of individuals and organizations through reduction of impediments to ethical and moral cooperation.

    c) “Classical” (“Chicago”, Anglo, Center Right), Rule of Law, Insured Nash Optimum, Parliamentary State / Classical Liberalism.

    +Middle classes bias. (I would argue ‘not biased’)

    All other things being equal, the Chicago school places greater emphasis on policy that insures against error and failure by seeking formulas and rules that investors, businesses, and consumers can predict, thereby preserving rule of law, and maintaining the prohibition on discretionary rule.

    d) “Mainstream” (“Saltwater”, Center Left) : Mixed Discretionary Rule, Pareto Optimum, Social Democracy

    +Working Class Bias, Consumer Bias, Female bias(anti-male bias). Minority(anti-white) bias. Underclass Bias (anti-entreprenurial bias).

    All other things being equal the mainstream seeks to optimize consumption at all times, using every lever available, and favors abandoning rule of law, and adopting rule that is increasingly empirical, reactive, and discretionary.

    e) “Left Mainstream” (“Saltwater”, “Jewish left”) : Authoritarian Rule, Anti-Aristocracy(War), Extractive Maximum (Predatory), Socialism/Communism

    +Underclass (outsider) Bias.

    This is the Krugman/Stiglitz/Delong club of leftist economists maximizing both consumption and financial extraction as a means of undermining western aristocratic civilization and western norms and traditions and rule of law.

    ANSWERS TO QUESTIONS

    –“…performative…”

    You keep using terms that I don’t think you understand, which is why Kant invented those terms: to conflate the empirical and the rational. He was afraid of the anglo empirical revolution. For good reason.

    —“…morality…”—

    Correct. Morality (reciprocity) requires inter-agent action. So does all economic activity. Economic activity can consist of moral (reciprocal) and immoral (unequal, irreciprocal) actions. We can make a claim that statements about irreciprocal (involuntary) actions in economics are immoral or we can claim that they are false. Whether you understand it or not, Mises is saying that its false not immoral, when he says ‘it’s not economics’.

    —“That you can verify something in reality doesn’t mean you need to empirically test it.”—

    We cannot solve the problem of ‘all other things being equal’ in order to understand why predicted phenomenon either vary widely, or do not exist.

    The neutrality of money does not appear to exist, because relative changes can propagate into various niches that absorb those changes, just like pennies being lost in landfills (so to speak).

    —“I can observe that two plus two equals four but I don’t need to design an empirical test to prove it.”—

    Yes but then it’s a tautology, whereas the nearly all economic phenomenon are only general rules.

    —“Likewise, I can observe that minimum wages increase unemployment all other things being equal, but I don’t need to conduct an empirical test to prove it.”—

    That’s just the thing, we aren’t trying to prove that it should increase unemployment, only that it turns out it that a lot of the time it doesn’t. Or rather, that the consequences of it are externalized and invisible. So where does it go? Well first it increases prices to consumers in the case of minimum wage workers it maintains employment but it prevents rotation of new workers into the economy. And the question is, is that a net gain or a net loss for everyone? Well, it’s immoral to both conduct the test, and the consequences are immoral. But does that mean the those consequences are not empirically measurable and therefore whether the policy is net beneficial? That is what economists measure.

    Secondly, if we think some good is achieved through raising the minimum wage, how can we accommodate the externality of lower rotation through the job pool? For example what if raising the minimum wage prevents least common denominator service economies? (Racing to the bottom). Is that something people prefer? In other words, would you rather have better service and higher unemployment (and greater subsidies for non-performers?)

    The underlying question is this: if prices are increasing profits can we capture more of that increase for hourly employees than we do for management, owners, and investors (or creditors)?

    So there is no difference between increasing the supply of money in order to temporarily increase consumer purchasing power at the expense of debt-holders, and increasing the minimum wage in order to capture a rise in prices for laborers at the expense of owners and investors.

    Or stated even more simply: given that economies are always changing velocities, can we redirect changes in state between participants without ‘killing the goose’ (destroying the system of production).

    Well the answer is a moral one, not a logical or empirical one.

    And the reason to claim otherwise is to use the false pretense of ‘unscientific’ or ‘logical positivism’ or ‘a priori’ or ‘logical contradiction’ to create a straw man as a means of preventing investigation into the science of economic immorality: economic manipulation by the forcible involuntary transfer of property between individuals.

    (Which is exactly what mises and rothbard were doing: shaming via straw man using obscurantism by overloading even well intended people with half truths that when fully expressed are false.)

    That’s the question people ask with these issues. No one questions if it will increase unemployment. They question the limit before it increases negative unemployment. The same as taxation. No one questions that taxation will produce declining revenues. But empirically, what is the maximum taxation that they govt can achieve before that happens – and what are the consequences.

    CLOSING

    Now you probably have no idea how profound this bit of text is. And I suspect you could spend a few months integrating it into your thought process. But that’s in large part, the state of the art in epistemology.

    THUS ENDETH THE LESSON.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev, Ukraine


    Source date (UTC): 2017-07-17 13:07:00 UTC

  • Sorry guys but all austrian economics is practiced empirically today and the mis

    Sorry guys but all austrian economics is practiced empirically today and the misesian program was abandoned as an ideological failure. Just how it is.

    1) I can identify economic phenomenon empirically.

    2) I cannot identify all economic phenomenon deductively.

    3) I must be able to explain all economic phenomenon operationally or it is false.

    4) I cannot claim to know the limits of an apriori general rule without empirical analysis. If I cannot know the limits of a general rule I cannot use it for the purpose of argument and deduction of consequent states. Even if I *can* use it for the purpose of explanation of the current state.

    YOU CAN THROW AWAY EVERYTHING MISES INSTITUTE SAYS ABOUT ECONOMICS


    Source date (UTC): 2017-07-16 17:01:00 UTC

  • No more fiction for us: we calculate; but that we may calculate, we had to make

    No more fiction for us: we calculate; but that we may calculate, we had to make fiction first.

    –Friedrich Nietzsche

    I guess, like many things, Nietzsche got there first… Fiction is a very primitive form of calculation.

    (Edit.) Turns out it’s a paraphrase by Danzig. And not at all conveying the original meaning.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-07-10 05:54:00 UTC

  • “Is criticism of economic velocity a sentiment against pure capitalism?”—Ayela

    —“Is criticism of economic velocity a sentiment against pure capitalism?”—Ayelam Valentine Agaliba

    It’s that velocity is not a sufficient measure. At some point you’re either increasing risk(insufficient reserves) or decreasing accumulated capital(consuming reserves), or maximizing rents(creating fragility) such that it is not possible to (a) adapt to shocks, (b) adapt to change, because there is insufficient free capital or available debt to adjust the voluntary organization of production distribution and trade, consisting in patterns of sustainable specialization and trade, and you achieve in organizational continuity, the same effect as deflation in economic continuity.

    Collapses aren’t rare and usually occur in one generation or less. But they always occur for the same reasons: accumulated fragility.

    All the drastic collapses occur from overextension, economic colonization, export of technology, reproductive decrease, and primitive (empowered underclass) migrations willing to pay higher costs to obtain than advanced societies are willing to pay to maintain. (china the durable exception that even egypt didn’t survive.)

    Now, in our current condition this fragility is 3 hours of power, 2 days of water, 7 days of food, 14 days of gasoline, and about 30-60 days of ‘chaos’. (Which I’m sure enough people in govt know. I know members of the boards of power companies who are all too clear about it.)

    So i view pure capitalism as full accounting of all changes in state of all capital, not what it is now, ‘just run at high rpm’s until everything breaks’. SO it’s not a criticism of capitalism but a criticism of keynesianism (measurement of velocity without measurement of capital.)

    AFAIK: all economic collapse is a failure of measurement.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-07-09 10:03:00 UTC

  • I think I am going to do a quick video or audio or live chat tomorrow on Operati

    I think I am going to do a quick video or audio or live chat tomorrow on Operational Language. Maybe 5-10 minutes. Because I have had all of this in my head, and now that I’m trying to produce a course on it, I understand what *everyone* (not just you who follow me) have been getting ‘wrong’ with the operational revolution, and why it stalled. Its not all that complicated. But you know how anything expressible in mathematics can be expressed in ordinary language and vise-versa? But we use the symbols for purposes of brevity? Well the same is true in language. We can express in ordinary abbreviated language or in fully expanded language. And we can infer (variables) in ordinary and mathematical langauge. But by fully expanding ordinary language we can identify the variables ( inferences ). etc.

    So it’s not like I”m asking people to write in fully operational grammar. It’s that by practicing fully operational grammar you eventually won’t need to practice it any longer.

    It’s more that we need to be able to fully expand a simple sentence into operational grammar. And if we can’t do so then it can’t be ‘true’.

    So the reason to understand it is to test yourself, test others, and to write and test law. It’s not so that we actually use the stuff.

    Sort of like diagramming sentences.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-07-07 20:35:00 UTC

  • The reason I found libertarianism interesting was commensurability. That’s all.

    The reason I found libertarianism interesting was commensurability. That’s all. When I first heard Hoppe I understood that he combined commensurability with strict construction. I knew something was wrong (and it was – and it took me a very long time to figure out what it was). But I knew that he had in front of him the answer to commensurability. (Even if I would not phrase it correctly at the time.) And that meant the possibility that law, property, and economics could produce a social science.

    I call myself a conservative libertarian today out of convenience. But what I mean is a Sovereign. The difference is that I’m not asking permission. I’m taking it. I don’t need incentive to be fair. I need incentive not to kill or enslave and take what I want. And fairness is the only reason not to kill or enslave and take what I want.

    Sovereignty either exists in fact or it doesn’t. Liberty only exists by permission – so technically it’s impossible. Freedom is a nice word for a serf that isn’t bound to the land or a craft. There is only one source of what we mean when we say ‘liberty’ or ‘freedom’, and that is Sovereignty. And there is only one possible method of producing Sovereignty; a militia of sufficient numbers that an alternative order is impossible.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-07-05 13:19:00 UTC

  • IDEOLOGIST, PHILOSOPHER, JUDGE, OR SCIENTIST? Ideology(preference), Philosopher(

    IDEOLOGIST, PHILOSOPHER, JUDGE, OR SCIENTIST?

    Ideology(preference), Philosopher(good), Judge(True), Scientist (Measurement)

    As far as I know:

    Ideology = advocating for change within a context, or change of context.

    Philosophy = Search for a method of decidability within a given context.

    Truth = a method of decidability independent of context: The Law of Dispute Resolution.

    Science = taking measurements that remove ignorance, error, bias, wishful thinking, suggestion, fictionalism, and deception which are the natural states of man.

    I work in Science (defining methods of measurement free of error, bias, wishful-thinking and deceit).

    I work in Truth (defining universal methods of decidability)

    I work in Philosophy (recommending a preferred organization of society.)

    However, some people work only in philosophy, not in truth, or not in science. This list includes almost all philosophers.

    I considered myself a scientist, who uses the framework of philosophy, and has united science and philosophy.

    I think you must label yourself a scientist (researcher in measurements) or a judge (searcher for decidability), or a philosopher(search for preferences).

    I seek to be a judge, in order to prevent harm by philosophers and ideologists. I seek to be a scientist to help me in my judgements. If this casts me as a philosopher, this is a matter of convention. I only state that one philosophy is good or true, and another is bad or false. It is up to others to choose theirs, just as it is up to me to choose mine.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-07-05 12:21:00 UTC

  • “Von Mises explained why economics is not explainable by math. Values are ordina

    —“Von Mises explained why economics is not explainable by math. Values are ordinal and not cardinal.”—

    Well, values arent’ even ordinal (as he and Rothbard demonstrate in their of repeated error of reducing choice to price), but values are triangulated among many sets of ordinal preferences. Which is pretty much the lesson of estimation over the past twenty years.

    Or better stated, positional names (numbers) can only represent constant relations. Whereas ordinal position can explain relative position (lists). Whereas triangulated names (graphs), represent current relations.

    This is one of the principle errors in mises’ work. (among many). Just as Mises applies the monopoly of price (commodity trades) to values, Rothbard applies the monopoly of price to ethics. Both of these are simply reductio versions of preserving separatism and avoiding the cost of paying for the institution that makes prices, trade, and ethics possible.

    Our brains sum many possible relative relations in many possible dimensions.

    The problem is that the process is not open to introspection. We have to deflate each dimension to understand our own judgements.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-07-05 12:03:00 UTC

  • “WHAT DO YOU MEAN BY ‘USING PARENTHETICALS’?” The use of parenthesis (parentheti

    “WHAT DO YOU MEAN BY ‘USING PARENTHETICALS’?”

    The use of parenthesis (parentheticals) to carry on (communicate) related (parallel) meanings (definitions) so that we both (simultaneously) convey meaning (free association), but at the same time prevent misinterpretation (provide limits).

    In other words we can carry on via positiva and via negativa in the same paragraph or sentence. Or that we may use colloquial verse, but include technical terms. It’s profoundly effective.

    If you read Popper’s work he uses italics (which was criticized at the time) for similar purposes.

    IMHO parentheticals solve the problem of choosing latin prose consisting of long sentences, consisting of many related phrases (which Claire Rae Randall has brought up recently), or separating two sides of an argument into separate paragraphs.

    Latin prose tends to be poetic in order to prevent judgment until later phrases emerge (lincoln’s gettysburg address). This becomes increasingly difficult as we speak in increasingly technical terms.

    So my opinion is that the parenthetical technique is evolving as our grammatical solution to conceptual density in technical matters, where we can more easily communicate such concepts without burdening and confusing the audience with ‘hanging incomplete ideas’ (separate paragraphs), or too many hanging incomplete ideas (many phrases), by simply limiting each positive concept as its being used (via parentheticals).

    But the operational definition would be to provide both meanings in common prose and limits in parentheticals or the reverse: provide precise terms in prose, and common examples in parenthesis, in the same sentence structure.

    Now if you read Frank’s comments on other’s posts, at all you’ll see him do both Precise/Example, and Common/Technical at the same time.

    This turns out to be what I suggest, is an almost perfect grammar. Or rather, the next evolution of grammar as we increase informaitonal density.

    Because like the common law, it ‘corrects’ or ‘informs’ you immediately without requiring that you hold multiple dense contexts in your head until they are later resolved in the text.

    My opinion, taken from Greg Bear, is that if we could talk and show flashes of images at the same time – say on our phones, or floating above our heads – then the combination of words (precision) and examples (Images) would create nearly perfect communication.


    Source date (UTC): 2017-07-05 08:45:00 UTC