Theme: Governance

  • KOTKIN ON THE KREMLIN STATE OF MIND, AND RUSSIA’S SIX POSSIBLE FUTURES –“I mean

    KOTKIN ON THE KREMLIN STATE OF MIND, AND RUSSIA’S SIX POSSIBLE FUTURES

    –“I mean, I’m from New York and I worked in New Jersey. It’s not like it’s a foreign topic.”–Stephen Kotkin

    Explaining his deep understanding of Putin’s government in response to the Prigozhin rebellion as exactly the dynamics of the mob.

    Priceless. 😉

    Seriously. He has it down. I haven’t seen anyone with this accurate an analysis yet. But that would make sense given kotkin’s record of historical works.

    Worth the watch.
    https://t.co/zPxUwhaSmu

    Index For the TLDR; Crowd:

    2:39 to 12:30 Understanding the Kremlin’s Condition

    12:31 to 20:28 The Six(8?) Possible Futures for Russia
    … 1) Repeat France (Good): absolutist, big bureaucracy, bloody revolutionary tradition, threatening neighbors, into settling down into not threatening your neighbors. (though france still is, just softly)
    … 2) Authoritarian Leader, don’t threaten your neighbors (solve the ukraine problem, not the russia problem). Because trying to threaten neighbors is a losing game.
    … 3) Chinese Puppet Regime. Stalin vs Mao, reversed. A partner to be anti western to protect the CCP against the west. (Catastrophic for russia as well as the west)
    … 4) The Biggest North Korea we’ve ever seen. Isolated, disconnected from the international system, incentivized for mischief across the board. A semi-puppet regime for china but russia constantly troubles china. (This is the current pathway. (CD: I AGREE))
    … 5) Anarchy and Collapse.
    … 6) We have no idea. 😉
    … ?) No 7? This tragedy continues for decades.
    … ?) No 8? (CD: Apparently a democratic russia is off the table? Even with the Marshall Plan Times Ten?)

    @HooverInst #StephenKotkin


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-13 23:29:27 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1679634171637952512

  • “I mean, I’m from New York and I worked in New Jersey. It’s not like it’s a fore

    –“I mean, I’m from New York and I worked in New Jersey. It’s not like it’s a foreign topic.”–Stephen Kotkin

    Explaining his deep understanding of Putin’s government in response to the Prigozhin rebellion as exactly the dynamics of the mob.

    Priceless. 😉

    Seriously. He has it down. I haven’t seen anyone with this accurate an analysis yet. But that would make sense given kotkin’s record of historical works.

    Worth the watch.
    https://t.co/zPxUwhaSmu

    Index For the TLDR; Crowd:

    2:39 to 12:30 Understanding the Kremlin’s Condition

    12:31 to 20:28 The Six(8?) Possible Futures for Russia
    … 1) Repeat France (Good): absolutist, big bureaucracy, bloody revolutionary tradition, threatening neighbors, into settling down into not threatening your neighbors. (though france still is, just softly)
    … 2) Authoritarian Leader, don’t threaten your neighbors (solve the ukraine problem, not the russia problem). Because trying to threaten neighbors is a losing game.
    … 3) Chinese Puppet Regime. Stalin vs Mao, reversed. A partner to be anti western to protect the CCP against the west. (Catastrophic for russia as well as the west)
    … 4) The Biggest North Korea we’ve ever seen. Isolated, disconnected from the international system, incentivized for mischief across the board. A semi-puppet regime for china but russia constantly troubles china. (This is the current pathway. (CD: I AGREE))
    … 5) Anarchy and Collapse.
    … 6) We have no idea. 😉
    … ?) No 7? This tragedy continues for decades.
    … ?) No 8? (CD: Apparently a democratic russia is off the table? Even with the Marshall Plan Times Ten?)

    @HooverInst #StephenKotkin


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-13 23:29:27 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1679633407872057344

  • RT @curtdoolittle: @PeterZeihan Jay’s list (other than Sowell) consists largely

    RT @curtdoolittle: @PeterZeihan Jay’s list (other than Sowell) consists largely of the NeoCon revolution that captured the republican party…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-13 22:38:00 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1679621226187161601

  • RT @elonmusk: @TitterDaily FTC overreach has gone absurdly far beyond the legal

    RT @elonmusk: @TitterDaily FTC overreach has gone absurdly far beyond the legal mandate granted by Congress.

    Weaponization of government…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-13 21:36:13 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1679605674563579905

  • Chinese vs. Western DIfferences Explained Correct framing for Westerners. (a) Eu

    Chinese vs. Western DIfferences Explained

    Correct framing for Westerners.

    (a) Europeans solved the problem of politics with a prohibition on authority by the Greeks: an alliance of aristocratic families and those who wished to join them, and the enfranchisement of all…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-13 18:02:36 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1679551916252995584

  • Chinese vs. Western DIfferences Explained Correct framing for Westerners. (a) Eu

    Chinese vs. Western DIfferences Explained

    Correct framing for Westerners.

    (a) Europeans solved the problem of politics with a prohibition on authority by the Greeks: an alliance of aristocratic families and those who wished to join them, and the enfranchisement of all landholders who fought into that opportunity., under a rule of law of natural law (sovereignty) and concurrency (not democracy). The Chinese did not solve the problem of politics with Confucius – and directed the civilization to a family hierarchy, preserving authority.

    (b) The Chinese are geographically isolated from the ‘hostile peoples’ of the middle east and less so from the steppe. The Europeans were far less so from both. So China had its consolidation period (warring states period) just prior to Europe having its wars against Rome. With the fall of Rome and the Christian destruction of the ancient world, Europe didn’t have its equivalent of the warring states period until the wars of religion (the birth of the nation-state) almost 2000 years later.

    (c) And while China had her opportunity for imperial expansion over many centuries to slowly integrate near-peoples into the Han culture (even though they are not Han), they had the opportunity for world colonization at the same time as the Europeans but having found India and Africa found nothing of value (they were right actually).

    So the Europeans benefitted from the age of colonization.

    Moreover, the northern Germans (Hansa) developed the modern political culture, the Dutch invented the modern economic model, and the British invented the modern state, and once the trade was restored, wealth was able to return to investment in competitive technology, and Europe left the world behind in the steel age as it had in the bronze age with the horse, and the ancient world with political systems, military organization, technology, and that most wonderful innovation: money.

    (d) So, in practical terms, China “should” have gone through the transition out of imperialism into economic nation-states as did Japan, but the political and economic burden was too great for a civilization that had failed to solve the problem of political cooperation by distribution instead of hierarchy. So, unfortunately, Mao chose communism and chose it poorly.

    Today, it is evident that China would break up into nation-states for the betterment of all, at the cost of the communist party leadership that is almost as corrupt as the Russian. So to prevent another conflict, the CCP is trying to preserve the empire.

    This is fine. The problem is that they’re trying to externalize this failure to manage their evolutoin from an empire into a federation, and it’s because they have a history of instability – precisely because their ancestors failed to solve the problem of politics. And it’s now ingrained in their culture.

    (e) Our estimation in the West is that this power cannot hold indefinitely because the corruption is overwhelming, the population is collapsing, china is dependent upon american protection of her sea lanes of trade, and because the world was “kind to China’ in shipping our manufacturing there precisely in the hope china would grow into a modern rule-of-law, rules-based-order that would see the continued prosperity of the Chinese people and prevent the restoration of wars of empires and ideology.

    So the West is playing a game of delay until collapse, while China, following tradition, is playing a game of delay and deceive until they can assert sufficient local power that the CCP and the empire can continue rather than evolve into more prosperous and independent nation-states, given that china is an empire over multiple ethnicities. It’s very easy to understand our differences. We believe that the Chinese population, like the European population, is capable of more if it has more liberty. And if it did so, the world would embrace China for something other than the money it would soon run out of, at the expense of its citizens, who need it more than foreigners.

    https://t.co/zQQPZustBS


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-13 18:02:35 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1679551915892285445

  • POLITICAL NECESSITIES Marginal indifference in proportionality (‘equality’) requ

    POLITICAL NECESSITIES
    Marginal indifference in proportionality (‘equality’) requires marginal indifference in ability, requires marginal indifference in genetics (ability) and culture (measurements) and institution (rules and processes). The eugenics program was the only movement that can prevent ‘The Great Filter” that causes all species to pass into extinction. Othewise conflict is deterministic as is decline that we saw as the result of the abrahamic cancer, just as we are seeing in the marxist cancer.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-13 17:37:19 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1679545556954128400

  • Evolution of Political Cooperation Villages must evolve into City States City St

    Evolution of Political Cooperation
    Villages must evolve into City States
    City States must evolve into empires
    Empires must devolve into federations
    Federations must devolve into nation states.
    A world of nation states under rule of law of the natural law of cooperation is the maximum possible world of cooperation
    This process calculates an increasingly precise system of weights, measures, and laws, that produce the greatest correspondence between the laws of the universe and the actions of man with the minimum provodation of conflict, retaliation and war among mankind.
    The greatest risk to world peace and harmony is the failure of the west to continue it’s soft eugenics program ensuring that all people progress toward genetic indifference such that we can enjoy economic and political indifference – an indifferene which produces the greatest possible opportunity for fulfillment for all at the expense of none.

    Cheers

    Curt Doolittle
    The Natural Law Institute
    The Science of Cooperation


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-13 17:33:58 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1679544711906729998

  • RT @desilva_frank: The discussion of a reality-based national Policies, is essen

    RT @desilva_frank: The discussion of a reality-based national Policies, is essential for a workable, legitimate Programme, facilitating not…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-13 17:27:02 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1679542966522617856

  • “The State is a force of subtraction, reduction and elimination. Use it to remov

    –“The State is a force of subtraction, reduction and elimination. Use it to remove bads (irreciprocities).
    The Market is a force of addition, multiplication and production. Use it to create goods (reciprocities).
    When these are confused, intentionally or otherwise, there is… https://twitter.com/StephenThomasHC/status/1679516188894806017


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-13 17:18:34 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1679540836353073166