Source: Facebook

  • Some days I think I should just go work in a hut somewhere on an island and leav

    Some days I think I should just go work in a hut somewhere on an island and leave my work for posterity to judge, appreciate or discard. Other days I see ripples of what little I have done over the past year alone affecting people that don’t even know me. Other days I get messages from friends that do know me that mean I have an impact on their lives. And it’s those things that make me care enough about people so that I **DON’T** go sit on a beach somewhere.

    Today is a good day. Thank all of you who help me on the journey. Especially the people who constantly challenge me. At least, those who challenge me with worthy ideas – I have to admit that while I try to never give up, I am getting tired of silly arguments – but I know that if I cannot answer silly arguments convincingly that I have not reduced the ideas to something digestible. Conversely, I’m disheartened by all the extant ideas that are too hard to grasp as it is. Or that cannot be grasped because they conflict with our intuitions, and often with our self image, and even more often with our strategies.

    I am too conscious at this point of how great a leap it is. Ethics and institutions are one thing. But error reduction by moral constraint is just going to be one of those things that is an uncomfortable and undesirable truth.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-10-12 06:10:00 UTC

  • Don Finnegan, Tim Koelkebeck Is there any useful work on MBTI / Jung on politica

    Don Finnegan, Tim Koelkebeck Is there any useful work on MBTI / Jung on political affiliation? It’s clear that there are some predominantly masculine and feminine personality types. I don’t want to express these things as political affiliations but as the moral bias that determines political affiliations. In other words, I want to capture the intersection between Jungian grid, and Haidt’s foundations. I am trying at the moment to figure out how to represent Haidt’s work on a coercive triangle (matching my other work – weapons of influence.)

    ie: If I reorganize the MBTI grid can I reflect the weapons of influence – gender strategy? I can intuit that this MUST be true, but I don’t see it off the top of my head.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-10-12 05:49:00 UTC

  • LIBERTARIANISM = MASCULINITY = AUTISTIC SPECTRUM —“The researchers found that

    LIBERTARIANISM = MASCULINITY = AUTISTIC SPECTRUM

    —“The researchers found that libertarians had the most “masculine” psychological profile, while liberals had the most feminine, and these results held up even when they examined each gender separately, which “may explain why libertarianism appeals to men more than women.”—

    Libertarians are rational. Because we’re less feminine. 😉


    Source date (UTC): 2014-10-12 04:20:00 UTC

  • (personal)(reminder) I want to try to work on a cover of this that’s harder, pro

    (personal)(reminder)

    I want to try to work on a cover of this that’s harder, probably relying on percussion, not voice — not sure it’s possible. Drop the chorus. make a replacement for Hallelujah that’s more literal. A little punk/hard-soft. Might take me a long time. But…



    The song, originally written by Leonard Cohen, is about love which has soured and gone stale. Cohen used a lot of religious imagery, including references to some of the more notorious women in the bible.

    Well I heard there was a secret chord

    That David played and it pleased the Lord

    But you don’t really care for music, do you?

    Well it goes like this: The fourth, the fifth

    The minor fall and the major lift

    The baffled king composing Hallelujah

    Your faith was strong but you needed proof

    You saw her bathing on the roof

    Her beauty and the moonlight overthrew you

    She tied you to her kitchen chair

    She broke your throne and she cut your hair

    And from your lips she drew the Hallelujah

    Baby I’ve been here before

    I’ve seen this room and I’ve walked this floor (you know)

    I used to live alone before I knew you

    And I’ve seen your flag on the marble arch

    And love is not a victory march

    It’s a cold and it’s a broken Hallelujah

    There was a time when you let me know

    What’s really going on below

    But now you never show that to me, do you?

    But remember when I moved in you

    And the holy dove was moving too

    And every breath we drew was Hallelujah

    Maybe there’s a God above

    All I’ve ever learned from love

    Was how to shoot somebody who outdrew you

    And it’s not a cry that you hear at night

    It’s not somebody who’s seen the light

    It’s a cold and it’s a broken Hallelujah


    Source date (UTC): 2014-10-11 17:47:00 UTC

  • Finished the time and expense input designs last month. Finished the activity st

    Finished the time and expense input designs last month. Finished the activity stream designs this morning. Finished forecasting feature today with a rapid and lucky insight.

    The guys are getting closer with scheduling (resourcing). Progress is slow but heartwarming. We are too slow – I know because some of our advantage is narrowing in the SMB space. And this year’s delays have really hurt. But the product is still amazing. Quite a bit of work and the rate of front end dev is a constant blocker. I need more people working JavaScript.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-10-11 16:28:00 UTC

  • PROPERTARIAN REASONING ON TOO BIG TO FAIL I won’t go into it here because it’s l

    PROPERTARIAN REASONING ON TOO BIG TO FAIL

    I won’t go into it here because it’s late, I am tired and it’s loud here. But if I follow Propertarian reasoning, then no bank is insulated from too big to fail without warranty of every individual committing to a price.

    The only way to create large banks immune to perverse incentives and dependence upon impossible calculations, is to professionalize banking, require insurance, and eliminate all immunity.

    This would dramatically increase the number and quality of bankers and flatten the income distribution in federations of banks.

    More details are required to grok this if you are knowledgable about banking (finance).

    But my point is that you cannot fix too big to fail any other way.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-10-11 16:11:00 UTC

  • Where else does a pot of tea in an upscale club cost $1.30?

    Where else does a pot of tea in an upscale club cost $1.30?


    Source date (UTC): 2014-10-11 15:56:00 UTC

  • That’s it. Thats enough work on Oversing for one day. So, enough with all you lo

    That’s it. Thats enough work on Oversing for one day. So, enough with all you losers. I’m off to Fashion Club. Gonna blow my voice out. Whoot! The hardest rock possible while still carrying a melody. 🙂

    hmmmm… I’m in the mood for …. Sweet Dreams, by Marylin Manson.

    (wimps) 😉


    Source date (UTC): 2014-10-11 14:56:00 UTC

  • PROGRAMMING TEACHES YOU TO JUMP LEVELS OF ABSTRACTION So if you have a model, an

    PROGRAMMING TEACHES YOU TO JUMP LEVELS OF ABSTRACTION

    So if you have a model, and can jump levels of abstraction you can in fact model economies. Which is why libertarians are good at it.

    (As usual, I will separate libertines from libertarians)


    Source date (UTC): 2014-10-11 11:44:00 UTC

  • MODELS ARE FOR SMART PEOPLE –“I’ve been telling EconLog readers about my articl

    MODELS ARE FOR SMART PEOPLE

    –“I’ve been telling EconLog readers about my article with Steve Miller on intelligence and economic beliefs for years. Now our piece has finally been published in Intelligence. Quick version of the paper:”–

    —-

    Adding a measure of intelligence to the list of independent variables and re-estimating confirms that ability bias is present and substantial. Adding intelligence as an independent variable does not simply shrink our estimates of the effect of education. It is more important than education in both statistical and economic terms. In fact, intelligence turns out to be the single strongest predictor of economic beliefs.

    First, even though intelligence is the most important overall predictor of economic beliefs, it is not the most important predictor of beliefs in any of the four categories. Party, ideology, and male gender are stronger predictors for the anti-market questions. Education and “other race” are stronger predictors for the anti-foreign questions. Black is a stronger predictor of the make-work questions. Income growth is a stronger predictor for the pessimistic questions. Intelligence is the most important overall predictor of economic beliefs because it has a strong effect in all four categories, not because it has an overwhelming effect in any particular category.

    Second, intelligence is more important than education for every category except anti-foreign bias. For anti-market and make-work bias, intelligence is much more important than education; for pessimistic bias, intelligence has a moderate edge. Education is, however, the most important predictor of anti-foreign bias. This is consistent with the literature finding that education “tends to socialize students to have more tolerant, pro-outsider views of the world” (Hainmueller & Hiscox, 2006, p. 473). In contrast, the typical educational experience gives students mixed signals about anti-market, make-work, and pessimistic biases. Classes in economics and high-IQ peers restrain these biases, but classes in other social sciences and humanities, as well as student activism, arguably encourage them.

    —–


    Source date (UTC): 2014-10-11 11:44:00 UTC