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  • Not sure that I can say this… hmmm…. Gonna try. All general rules consist of

    Not sure that I can say this… hmmm…. Gonna try.

    All general rules consist of statements of arbitrary precision.

    All statements of arbitrary precision are constrained by limits beyond which they fail.

    Operational definitions allow us to observe changes in state of premises (concepts), operations.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-12 16:21:00 UTC

  • WHY ARE RATIONALISTS SO AFRAID OF SCIENCE? Praxeologists argue that deduction is

    WHY ARE RATIONALISTS SO AFRAID OF SCIENCE?

    Praxeologists argue that deduction is apodictically certain, but in no case other than the axiomatic and therefore tautological CAN it be apodictically certain. (Which we’ll see below)

    All concepts that we use in premises must always remain theoretical if they are other than names of entities at an instant in time within a specific context.

    If, as Einstein demonstrated, we cannot count on the concepts of length, or time, both of which were conceived as immutable, then how can we count on any concept? Well we can’t. Other than that which is trivial.

    In order to create examples for use as models, most logicians and philosophers and amateurs as well, rely on trivial examples – but likewise, only to trivial examples do such things apply. Why? Well because trivial (reductio) examples that we can test with our mere reason, are limited to those that we **CAN** test with our mere reason. Whereas any question complex enough that we must apply deduction in any meaningful sense – meaning that we need tools of logic or mechanical devices to draw conclusions – is by definition beyond our senses.

    The concept of length is not consistent beyond human scale – and quickly becomes meaningless. If we cannot count on so simple a concept as ‘length’ to be constant, then how can we count on any other statement to be constant? All knowledge is contextually useful but if reduced to a general rule, the general rule remains theoretical, because we cannot anticipate the conditions under which that measurement (and that is the operation – transformation – that a concept performs for us).

    We can construct recipes, but general rules are always and forever theoretically not axiomatically bound, unless they are tautological. There is no escaping from this argument under any conditions other than the reductio fallacies. Recipes either work or they don’t Theories work as long as concepts (Premises) upon which the recipes function. (Elsewhere I’ve shown how Hoppe’s examples all fail, but that is to distracting to revisit here.)

    Praxeology is merely an erroneous application of the principle that an empirical observation requires proof of construction, in order for (a) an hypothesis to be both possible and (b) free of the addition of imaginary content and (c) free of deceptions whether original or inherited and (d) free of errors of mere concepts no longer applicable in the context.

    This requirement for construction says nothing about the means under which a theory was constructed. No means upon which a theory is constructed has any persuasive value unless the means of theory construction is identical to the means of operational construction – as it nearly is (although is not quite) in mathematics.

    In mathematics this is an example of the problem created by a general rule of arbitrary precision – at some point, the theoretical no longer applies to the physical – so the general rule fails. Length is not infinitely extensible, and infinity cannot be brought into existence any more so than unicorns can be found in primeval forests, or the square root of two can be determined. None can be. A

    Operational definitions constitute an existence proof. Operations must exist, and when we find an operation that does not exist, we also have found a concept (a premise) that no longer is true – whether the operation conducted in the mind is logical or conducted in physical reality is possible. Operational definitions allow us to observe changes in state of the concepts (premises) upon which our general rules (theories) depend.

    But there is nothing unique to economics in the demand for operational definitions. Science requires them to every extent possible – excepting the problem of different resources available for different tests; If math did it we would eliminate mathematical platonism, and probably reform mathematics within a generation. Psychology DID it and did reform itself within a generation. And the principle that law should be operationally written, or at least that changes to the extant law should be conducted operationally (what we call original intent and strict construction).

    Unlike the study of the physical world beyond that exists beyond human scale (whether that mean above human scale, or below human scale), we can sympathetically test, with our sense, perception, experience and reason, whether any operation that a human would have to perform, is possible and rational.

    Whereas we cannot sympathize with the first principles of the physical world – we lack senses for that – so we create a model to compensate for the weakness of our sense perception, by modeling the real world as some sort of analogy to experience – and therefore reducing what we cannot experience to that which we can. We reduce the imperceptible to the perceptible by means of instruments – physical and logical instruments – by searching for regularities and changes in those regularities, and then using those regularities to govern what operations (transformations) are possible in the real world. This instrumentation functions as a means of extending our sense, perception, experience and reason.

    But while we can know whether a phenomenon in human affairs – a human action – is both operationally possible (in mind and action), and desirable (an incentive or a counter-incentive), we cannot know the same about the physical universe – or we cannot know until we reduce the universe to some set of first principles from which all are deterministic. So while we can attest to within some reasonable margin of error what humans can do, we cannot (yet) attest to within some reasonable margin of error what will unfold in the universe. There is no equivalent (yet) in physical science to the sensation (“yes I would do that”) – at least not yet at the subatomic level.

    We have proven beyond a doubt that many (most) economic phenomenon (observed regularities) are not deducible from the operations that man is naturally capable of, without the instruments necessary to measure, convert to sensations, perceptions, and experiences, that we can even observe without the aid of instruments.

    The examples are the phenomenon of sticky prices, the myth of the rational voter, and the fact that people act morally not economically when the must choose between indifferent actions, and act morally at great personal cost if they wish to mete out either immoral and unethical punishment or altruistic punishment.

    So it is not a matter of open opinion whether economic phenomenon are DEDUCIBLE from first principles. They aren’t. They aren’t imaginable. At present, (it’s my hypothesis) that economists have not compensated for moral bias, just as economists had not compensated for cognitive bias.

    We have proven beyond a doubt that all non-axiomatic (prescriptive not descriptive), non-trivial deductions cannot be apodictically certain, in any field of endeavor.

    So while we cannot deduce all economic phenomenon, we can however, if we work at it, in economics, attempt to explain these phenomenon by deducing how they exist, by explaining how these phenomenon can be brought into existence operationally.

    We tend to call this an analysis of incentives, but while we may experience the influence of incentives, we must also perform many operations (actions whether mental or physical) to bring them about, so the operations must be possible AND the incentives must be ‘rational’ for the individual to follow.

    So the statement: no economic proposition can be true unless we can explain it operationally- is not the same as saying that economics is not an empirical discipline which we use our extant knowledge of human capacities and instruments to explain that phenomena may existentially be possible. But given the our concepts instruments and at least our mental abilities evolve via these rules, it is

    Economics is no different from any other discipline – it is the attempt to speak truthfully about what we observe. That has nothing to do with science. It has everything to do with speaking truthfully.

    So to answer my question above, I do know the reason rationalists are afraid of science: because it invalidates the cult of nonsense language that they have developed to signal their wit at outwitting some opponent equally armed only with wit – and places them in the difficult position of having to do difficult work of speaking truthfully rather than constructing artful obscurantism.

    Status signals earned by obscurantist deception are still thefts.

    As far as I can tell, engineers are the only saints, soldiers tell the truth out of need, scientists tell truth by accident. Social scientists lie by accident, vector or intent. Whereas verbalism is to be suspect at all times. Because for the past century and a half it has been used primarily for the purpose of deception, parasitism, amusement, and to obtain unearned status signals in the academy.

    There is no difference at all between selling indulgences and selling diplomas.

    Truth telling matters.

    Punish the wicked.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-12 16:18:00 UTC

  • It’s really simple. 1000 nuclear weapons in eastern Europe. They were here befor

    It’s really simple. 1000 nuclear weapons in eastern Europe. They were here before. We can put them here again. Besides Russia is a one-city country. only one or two need get thru.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-12 14:12:00 UTC

  • Curt Doolittle shared a photo

    Curt Doolittle shared a photo.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-12 13:45:00 UTC

  • Curt Doolittle shared a photo

    Curt Doolittle shared a photo.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-12 13:44:00 UTC

  • THE YEAR IN REVIEW : 2014 IN PROPERTARIANISM So, just to keep score: 2009 I star

    THE YEAR IN REVIEW : 2014 IN PROPERTARIANISM

    So, just to keep score:

    2009 I started working full time, with the sketch and trying to solve the problem of calculability.

    2010

    2011

    2012 – start restateing in standard terminology.

    2013 –

    The Year in Review.

    Starting in December of last year I came out and started the reformation of libertarianism, and restoring it to its aristocratic heritage, by laundering the cosmopolitan verbalisms that rothbard and others have inserted

    1) APRIORISM: While I can’t quite do it elegantly yet, I have put a permanent bullet in apriorism as practiced by the cosmopolitans (mises, rothbard popper etc) and continentals. (Hoppe and all the germans). I don’t much care if that zombie idea dies, but I have ended its life at least.

    2) NAP/IVP: I have put a permanent silver bullet in the NAP/IVP. That vampire will just take a while to die. And I have forever put an end to Rothbard’s ghetto ethics.

    3) PRAXEOLOGY I have put a permanent silver bullet in Misesian Praxeology as he stated it and Rothbard expanded and abused it – And demonstrate that mises merely failed to develop economic operationalism.

    4) EMPIRICISM OF ECONOMICS: in particular in the statement that economics is deductive rather than empirical, and operational.

    4) TESTIMONIAL TRUTH : I have defined existential truth as testimonial truth – a minor improvement over performative truth, and used the term “testimonial” in order to both distinguish verbalism of performative truth, from the operationalism of testimonial truth, and to invoke the idea of jury that is central to our western evolutionary strategy.

    5) THE TRUTH-SPEAKING METHOD ISN’T LIMITED TO SCIENCE – And I have shown that the scientific method is mislabeled, merely because it is the method scientists developed due to their incentives, but is in fact the universal method of truth-speaking.

    6) THE MERGING OF SCIENCE AND PHILOSOPHY AS TRUTH SPEAKING – And I think I have or will have, restated western philosophy as the attempt to speak the truth in testimony. And that from that perspective philosophy and science are indistinguishable. We can practice philosophy that reduces our ability to speak truthfully; or increases our ability to lie; or increases our ability to speak truthfully.

    Note: today it occurs to me that all these nonsensical philosophical systems are interstitial means of inquiry that are no longer to be dismissed, but which tell us nothing unless the theories produced by them can be operationally articulated (constructed).

    7) EVOLUTIONARY STRATEGIES AND TRUTH: Evolutionary Strategies: and I have touched upon the uses of truth as reflective of evolutionary strategies. The weaponization of truth, of the commons, of the family.

    8) THE GENETIC DEFECT OF ALTRUISM – I think I have touch upon the fact that our altruism unless we are isolated on an island, or walled beyond a fortress of mountains, is an uncompetitive strategy that cannot resist aggression and weaponized family and reproduction. It is our vulnerability.

    9) FAMILY POLICY VS INDIVIDUAL LAW – I forgot to add to my list for 2914, the concept that law must be constructed for individuals, yet state policy must be constructed for families.

    10) LAW AND VELOCITY OF PROGRESS –

    11) INTER-TEMPORAL INFORMATION SYSTEM – voluntary exchange as an information system. Just as prices form an information system

    12) LESTERIAN NONSENSE-VERBALISM – Jan lester’s theory of liberty is an obscurantist tautological verbalism that starts with the mere meaning of liberty and loosely deducing subjective value, rather than starting with subjective value, constructing morality, and defining liberty as a legal constraint against the members of the state as yet another statement of property rights. since nothing he states is existential, he demonstrates the fallacy of rationalism in creating mere analogies rather than operational necessities.

    Cheers.

    Have to run… but that’s my scorecard for 2014, and I still have a month to go.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-12 13:44:00 UTC

  • Hey… Does any one know how I can contact Mencius Moldbug privately? (someone h

    Hey… Does any one know how I can contact Mencius Moldbug privately? (someone here must)


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-12 09:53:00 UTC

  • EVERYONE IS THINKING BACKWARDS AND IT”S MATH’S FAULT? (important piece) (central

    EVERYONE IS THINKING BACKWARDS AND IT”S MATH’S FAULT?

    (important piece) (central theory)

    You can deduce a mathematical answer, and offer a proof of construction of that mathematical answer, because mathematics consists largely of formal operations – even if we label them incorrectly for marketing purposes. (Functions as numbers so to speak.) And the operations that we deduce with are the same (mostly) that we construct with. So much so that they constitute tautological differences only.

    But this emphasis on exploring with the same tools that we use for constructing proofs, has distracted us. The fact that we deduce something mathematically is irrelevant – it’s the fact that we can offer a proof of construction operationally that is the ‘proof’ – not the deduction. The deduction is what we take credit for, but it might as well be an act of accidental stumbling.

    We face this same problem in logic – we can deduce, something however we want to – in some vague approximation of the mathematics wherein the process of deduction mirrors the process of construction.

    But it is NOT the DEDUCTION that provides us with value, it is the proof of construction that has value – that tells us that a theory is testifiably true – as existentially possible.

    ***The better perspective is that the delta between our means of deduction and our means of construction simplifies the likelihood that we CAN at some point create a proof of construction.***

    So here again, Popper is ALMOST RIGHT. It’s not the justification or the deduction that matters. But he fails to grasp that it is the proof of construction that tests a theory, then it is the proof of construction of an internally consistent description. That it is a proof of external correspondence. That we have limited the errors in that correspondence through falsification.

    Of course justification of one’s deductions doesn’t matter! The question is whether your theory is demonstrably parsimonious enough that we can use it without harm (waste), and whether you warranty it as such.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-12 08:55:00 UTC

  • “There are no paradoxes. Only bad definitions.”— All conclusions are only as g

    —“There are no paradoxes. Only bad definitions.”—

    All conclusions are only as good as their presumptions.

    Words are not actions, only symbols carrying meaning.

    Actions exist. Measurements (observations) exist.

    Unlike words, definitions constitute formal theories.

    It’s not complicated.

    If you hit a paradox, your theories are wrong.

    (worth repeating)


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-12 08:45:00 UTC

  • (diary) I had a regret. A very big one. That I had not worked on philosophy when

    (diary)

    I had a regret. A very big one. That I had not worked on philosophy when I was in college – that I had not joined the literature department when asked by its chair. That I was overly fascinated with career motives in engineering, law, or art, than I was in ‘the recreation of literature and philosophy’.

    But now, I question, would I have just fallen into the trap of the academy and perished with academic philosophy during my generation? I can never know the answer to this question – I suspect I might have been much happier person in twenties and thirties if I had. It is just as likely I think, given that it was during the Reagan revolution, that I would have found some equally interesting problem to solve.

    On the other hand, I am profoundly proud of what I have chiseled out from inside of this chunk of marble under my daily toil. Propertarianism is something very special and very profound. And now that I can see my way to finishing it – that I *can* finish it – perhaps without too much struggle, I know what it means to me to have made it. It is the greatest thing I have ever done, and everything else in my life is discounted to the pale by its achievement.

    I am very fond of and proud of what I have learned about man and myself by my serial entrepreneurship. I am emboldened by the knowledge that I can compete on that stage. And I will never look at material things again and say “I want or wish for that experience”. But, given the illness and anxiety all that entrepreneurship has given me, I wish I had not done it.

    Yet here I am, having crafted, despite those decisions – whether good or bad – my single goal in life, from the age of twelve. I had no other.

    At the age of twelve, I told my god I would build him a church if he gave me the wealth to do it. I meant a building. But the wealth he gave me was to give me time, and the church we wanted was one built of my words.

    And building with those words I have restored my gods – not to an altar, but to a pedestal, where they desire to be. Altars are for the submissive and the weak to obey. Pedestals are for the competent and the strong. Gods are to be admired, imitated, remembered. No god worthy of advice seeks submission. Any god worthy of advice and counsel seeks liberty for his people – or he is not a god but a demon – a devil. Some gods need us to free them from a prison constructed by demons. Liberty frees our gods from theirs.

    I know what my next purpose is. I must finish this one and start on it while I have the time left to craft it – thankfully I now have build the words to craft it with.

    We need tools to make the tools, to make the things we desire. Propertarianism is but the tool with which to craft the tool, to make the thing, that we desire.

    When I write, my gods speak to me in the only way they can. I am never quite sure which words are mine, and which are theirs. I believe they are mine, but then when I look back at them, I cannot imagine how they could be.

    Curt Doolittle


    Source date (UTC): 2014-11-12 04:59:00 UTC