Form: Mini Essay

  • TRUMP’S GOAL WITH UKRAINE IS “FAIR”? Trump is trying to prevent the US equivalen

    TRUMP’S GOAL WITH UKRAINE IS “FAIR”?
    Trump is trying to prevent the US equivalent of bankruptcy. He’s trying to shift the strategic burden to the pacific. He’s no longer willing to finance defense of the world’s system of finance, transport, and trade at the expense of the working and middle classes. He’s no longer willing to finance foreign wars. He’s asking the world to pay for their share of the pax americana. He’s demanding the europeans take responsibility for their defense. He’s demanding ukraine find a way to cover the costs of supporting them. He’s demanding at least equal treatment as the rest of the european states – meaning loans not gifts to Ukraine. Americans tried asking the world to bear their share of responsibility nicely since the 90’s. Trump’s not asking nicely. Because asking nicely didn’t work.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-03-20 17:15:09 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1902770900791070723

  • DESPITE HIS NEUTRALITY WHY IS CURT DOOLITTLE ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIGHT? Curt Doo

    DESPITE HIS NEUTRALITY WHY IS CURT DOOLITTLE ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIGHT?

    Curt Doolittle is associated with the right-wing primarily because his methodology—operational logic, testifiability, adversarial argumentation, and focus on sovereignty, reciprocity, demonstrated interests, and responsibility—is naturally commensurable with conservative and libertarian thought, rather than progressive ideals of redistribution, equality of outcome, and communal decision-making without demonstrated accountability.

    He systematically engages the right not because of ideological affinity but due to strategic necessity: the right consistently argues from persistence, coherence, and systematic reasoning—even when employing hyperbolic rhetoric or fictionalist argumentation. The left tends to argue from empathy, consensus-seeking, or idealistic frameworks less amenable to strict operationalization and decidability. Therefore, Doolittle’s philosophical and social-scientific method appears inherently “right-wing” by contrast with prevailing progressive moral intuitions, despite his explicit neutrality in operational terms.

    Additionally, Curt’s insistence on measuring outcomes, externalities, reciprocity, and demonstrated responsibility is itself a naturally conservative epistemic strategy, since the right places greater emphasis on incentives, accountability, and systemic stability than the left, whose focus is more on inclusion, tolerance of individual variation in responsibility, and redistributive justice.

    Thus, the association arises not from ideological alignment per se, but from methodological compatibility, the persistence and systematic rigor of right-wing argumentation, and the operational coherence of Curt’s epistemological standards, which resonate more strongly with conservative sensibilities than with progressive or left-wing preferences.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-03-15 18:20:08 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1900975314924388353

  • We have a mission that combines our research into universal commensurability, tr

    We have a mission that combines our research into universal commensurability, truth and ethics with emergent capabilities of AI, and a platform that is somewhere between a shell and an OS. We’ve invested heavily already both in the research and code base.

    Tip: the return on compute is declining because there is an absence of a science of decidability upon that which is stated in human language can be tested as determinably as mathematics and programming. It’s profound. If you understand this you will understand the vastness of the opportunity. And possibly the profound impact it would have on mankind.

    Stealth Mode website: https://t.co/Vr5lNEHbFw. Investor page access upon request.

    Cheers

    Reply addressees: @SantsPliego @JoshuaClemans


    Source date (UTC): 2025-03-15 02:11:48 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1900731628797988864

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1900659000003490023

  • (NLI vs RUNCIBLE) At NLI we do research. Our goals our scientific, we produced t

    (NLI vs RUNCIBLE)
    At NLI we do research. Our goals our scientific, we produced the science of decidability and the natural law of cooperation, and our purpose is political: constitutional, legal, and policy reform.

    At Runcible we apply our research into the natural law of cooperation, and our goals are entrepreneurial, economic, and social. We build a platform close to an operating system or shell, that is universal, and deeply infused with our work in training AIs to be mentors and counselors, and if necessary, therapists.

    I launched both organizations at the same time – in 2012. The unfundable (NLI) vs the fundable (Runcible). The war in ukraine, pneumonia, and the need to produce the NLI work in scientific terms for an AI, and the coincidence of the 2017 paper on LLMs with the final cure of my pneumonia allowed us to finish the research just about the time that the LLMs reached reasonable maturity (Now) sufficient for use in our product.

    That said I’m concerned as I always will be that the means by which I conducted research at NLI – admittedly the equivalent of animal research on humans using the new ‘testing’ technology of social media and our development of ‘king of the hill games’, to extract ‘demonstrated behavior’ rather than the major failing of social science ‘reported behavior’ – allowed us to use linguistic analysis and revolutions in neuroscience to produce what is the most complete operational construction of human behavior from its first causes.

    Now, something I should have accounted for but did not, is the sex and therefore moral and political differences, and how the conservative, right wing, masculine, systematizing, disagreeable personalities were the best study subjects because regardless of their motives and ability they do not give up in an argument, they are less likely to use rallying to escape the argument, they do not care what others think and therefore speak (testify) more accurately, and they attempt to use systematic argument even if its been systematized into one of the four major fictionalisms and most of all they rely on historical example.

    But once you realize the sexes and therefore political wings that reflect them use polar opposite techniques on the empathizing vs systematizing spectrum and on the responsibility vs irresponsibility spectrum, and risk tolerance spectrum it becomes easy to observe one behavior of one sexual cognitive bias and look for it’s expression and causes in the other sexual bias.

    So while male advocacy for their moral bias uses one strategy, the access to it, gives us insight into the female advocacy, which we can then test and explain systematically despite it’s apparent emotional framing.

    However, this means that the best research is done on the right because it’s most accessible at infinite depth and breadth. And as such we have been associated with the right even if they are largely our critics.

    Conversely, we should note that the right may not be verbally intellectual in their bias but they are evidentially empirical in it. So while their definitions of problems and their suggested solutions are often hyperbolic it turns out they are correct in identification of the problems and solutions if moderated wheres the left is quite literally always wrong.

    Empathizing cannot survive because it cannot scale as it is ignorant of that beyond its perception and like a mother anticipates the best of human beings (children) despite the evidence that the left is systematically the exploiter of human naivety and beneficence.

    How do we separate painful political truths, from beneficial social and entrepreneurial truths? Or is our commercial venture tainted by the m eans by which we did our research? Despite the means of our research being revolutionary and successful in solving the unification of the sciences?

    Thanks
    Curt Doolittle


    Source date (UTC): 2025-03-14 20:58:15 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1900652721721528322

  • I am one. The ukrainians are the last poor white people, and they are so because

    I am one. The ukrainians are the last poor white people, and they are so because the post-soviet oligarchs buy off the bureaucracy, while the russians buy off the politicians and undermine the military and economy.

    I’ve been intimately involved in Ukraine. I’ve run a business and a think tank there, and worked for US intelligence while there getting access to oligarchs and the judicial sector and less so the military.

    Russia is only slightly less a cancer on this world as are Islam and judaism. They use judaic deception and propaganda and islamic continuous undermining and conflict provocation.

    That said I love the russians and Ukrainians as much or more than my fellow westerners. In fact I’d rather lie with those people if I could only have western law, finance, and infrastructure reliability. Stuff works here in the west. It doesn’t work in the post soviet sphere. And it’s getting worse every year. Especially outside of st Petersburg and Moscow – the entire place is falling apart.

    If you think Russian hostility to woke is and jewish-muslim hostility then you’re right. But can you ever trust them? The answer, throughout all of history is ‘no’.

    Reply addressees: @FlashGorgone @Marmas110189 @KramersRuben


    Source date (UTC): 2025-03-11 21:55:42 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1899580013986672640

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1899539046541537784

  • THE SET OF EMERGENT ‘DESIGN PATTERNS’ AT EVERY SCALE IS LIMITED. Noah Revoy (The

    THE SET OF EMERGENT ‘DESIGN PATTERNS’ AT EVERY SCALE IS LIMITED.

    Noah Revoy (Therapist)
    There’s only a couple of dozen problems that I can solve with most people. Yes. You know, and I’m not even working with normal people. I’m working with like very intelligent, high conscientiousness, right wing people. And there’s still only a couple of dozen problems.

    Curt Doolittle
    So I wonder, you know, you know, I wrote down all the list of 30 odd real moral questions of the law, right? That’s really all there are, right? I mean, it’s everything else is just some permutation, right? And a lot of what else is there to obscure the facts.

    Noah Revoy
    That’s why causality is so complex.

    Curt Doolittle
    And so I just arranged them in a hierarchy from the personal to the political, right? And it’s just like, okay, you answer these 30 questions in detail and you program the AI so they handle those 30 questions.

    It’s something like, well, there’s only like 30 basic rules of human behavior, right? I mean, and now you start realizing that the set of these things isn’t very large, but the reason they’re a problem is they’re larger than we can, as humans, contextualize. And without all the experience we have had and the science we’ve had and the legal stuff – we couldn’t develop it.

    And then you get the same thing as the first principles. Even if we take the human stuff off? And how many are there? There’s just not that many.

    How many grammars are? Well, there’s probably 30 grammars. I’m just pulling this number up because 30 is a round number in the right vicinity.

    And it’s the same weird thing. When I was working on arguments, it turns out that there’s like 8 to 12, maybe 13, 14, steps to make an argument, but there’s no more than that.

    Or when I was working on a language, there’s only six or seven dimensions to each piece or each category of term.

    Then you’re like, well, the problem is that dimensionality – we evolved to – we’re persistence runners. So we evolved basically to compute the flight of an arrow, think about that, an interception course.

    And so we evolved to navigate space, which is recursion, or in disambiguity, recursion, goal setting. And we evolved for persistent running, which is to out-navigate another creature that we can run, not as fast as, but far, far longer than.

    And then you’re like, oh, Okay, so it’s the Dunbar number is, you know, the maximum number of people we can sort of, we can prioritize, right, or relate and remember. And basically, we can’t think of how to keep everybody happy bigger than that number.

    Well, it’s the same thing with how many numbers can you remember in a phone number? You know, seven’s about the limit. And how many things can you visualize? People can clearly visualize three. They sometimes can, I mean, I can do five. And you can’t do it by ordering something. It has to be where they are. When you look at the chimpanzees and they can repeat the numbers, they can do like 15, they can keep track of 15 things, right? We can’t do that. We’re good with like three or four, maybe. Some people can do five.

    And then you say well what why would you that happen it’s because that’s all the dimensions you need for an intercept vector on something so that’s where that’s what we’re designed for is or evolved for is it is is the maximum thing we can calculate it’s an intercept vector.

    Well of course because we have to do it really f****ing fast with a brain you know brain that was much smaller than what we have now.

    So we calculate an intercept vector that’s only going to leave us to three and five, which is some set of existing properties and then something to compare it to, some relative things to compare it to.

    And you realize that of course we would have words that would have only seven dimensions to them, and arguments that would only take eight to 13 steps, and categories of first principles that would only be like three times that.

    What I just said there in that little thing is probably worth a couple of PhDs.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-03-07 01:46:46 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1897826224556457985

  • PRESENT PARADOX OF WEALTH Increases in a society’s wealth are different from a s

    PRESENT PARADOX OF WEALTH
    Increases in a society’s wealth are different from a society’s growth. Wealth tends to float all boats, but in all cases in history wealth that generates demand for people beyond their capacity to bear competent and moral responsibility for their duties results in collapse whether in private sector, public, or both. It just so happens that markets correct the private sector while they don’t affect the public – instead the public doubles down not only reversing growth and wealth but creating decline.
    Europeans could have continued their tradition of capitalizing wealth in the commons instead of expanding consumption in an unvirtuous cycle. Every civilization failed the evolutionary test. Americans just failed it least badly.
    We are in the process of correction – if we can keep it going long enough to purge the state, repatriate industry, abandon luxury political and geostrategic positions and try to adapt to the coming crushing of the white collar work force whose privilege in teh age of technology has likely run its course.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-03-04 05:58:06 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1896802310602571776

  • WESTERN ACTIVISTS I care that the our online activists have moral intuition, mor

    WESTERN ACTIVISTS
    I care that the our online activists have moral intuition, moral conviction, moral compassion, moral ambitions and work hard advocating and acting for the good of our people – far more than I care about the given solution they advocate for. Let a thousand nations bloom and a thousand solutions to bring them into being – it’s a market for research and development for the emerging age and not retrenchment that will dig us out of the left’s century and a half of magical thinking, luxury belief, and irresponsibility, and immorality, under moral pretense and the fantasy of endless growth. Most of us act at the scale we possess the agency to express. I may work in the theory but the fellow who builds a family, a business, a network of them, a community, an activist group, and everyone who moves the needle matters. We may suffer from specialization against the left’s unification but we solve problems create capital and they only create problems and destroy capital.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-03-04 05:08:49 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1896789909396234240

  • TRUMP REALLY DOES PLAY 4D CHESS George Friedman at his best. (in our Q&A and Sta

    TRUMP REALLY DOES PLAY 4D CHESS
    George Friedman at his best.
    (in our Q&A and Staff meetings this week I stated I could see a strategy behind Trump’s Blustering rhetoric. I thought it was to free up the USA to fight China, but felt there was much more going on. And so I appealed for ideas. Turns out Friedman had explained on that Monday.)
    https://t.co/EbpnScB21d

    Great example of Friedman’s insights vs Zeihan’s.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-02-23 10:28:25 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1893608848755478529

  • THERE IS NOTHING CONFUSING AT ALL ABOUT THE AMERICAN ADMINISTRATION OR ITS POLIC

    THERE IS NOTHING CONFUSING AT ALL ABOUT THE AMERICAN ADMINISTRATION OR ITS POLICY TOWARD EUROPE
    re: https://t.co/bCvnD9oKbG

    There is nothing confusing at all about the american administration or its policy toward europe: “We have burned too much american blood, money, debt, competitive advantage, and the welfare of our middle and working classes carrying the international system of human rights, borders, international law, finance, transport, and trade. Meanwhile Europe evades those responsibilities, devotes resources to the nanny state, claims false virtue by doing so, and with insulting frequency (especially france) either obstructs the US, undermines it, or insults it from its adolescent pulpit of moral pretense for imperfections despite the responsibility born that europe evades”.

    Germans are depopulating, but are the only people capable of scientific, technological, economic and moral leadership of europe, but France in her tradition of vanity seeks that role as much as does Russia, both out of fear their vanity is exposed and falsified – despite France retaining her african empire and being colonized by it – and Russia by Islam and east asia – a slow death compared to the rapidity of the British imperial collapse.

    The US administration is effectively throwing the kids out of the house to make it on their own – for good reason: international adulthood: responsibility ending dependency.

    CD


    Source date (UTC): 2025-02-18 03:45:29 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1891695508865024000