Form: Mini Essay

  • BANKS: WAIT FOR EVIDENCE I enjoyed the SVB debacle on Friday, and the events cre

    BANKS: WAIT FOR EVIDENCE
    I enjoyed the SVB debacle on Friday, and the events created a wonderful opportunity to catch eyeballs and chide, insult, criticize and defame our banking and finacial system, our fed and treasury, our government, and the problems of the ‘experiment’ we’re running with the postwar economy, and funny money.

    That said, this is a fed-created problem that could have been fed-solved with a few phone calls, and a little humility. Because the only real problem the company had was holding government bonds at tiny interest instead of filling a vault with at the fed with physical currency and electronic digits. And when the government raised interest rates, those otherwise liquid bonds turned immediately from liquid into illiquid. So does the fed want us to stop buying bonds so it can use our cash in exchange for giving us a couple points of interest? It’s ridiculous.

    So this vast drama-queen attention-whoring and wisdom-pretention on social media is embarassing. If there is contagion it’s intellectually embarassing, and confirms the political catastrophe of our government as it continues to fail at one thing after another. Because this isn’t like 08 where there were nonsense novel financial instruments out there (that many of us criticized teh entire time they were used), instead this is the fed flooding the market with cheap money, trading it for a security, then trashing the value of the security.

    I’d say why aren’t the grownups in charge? the answer is … there aren’t any.

    #SVB #SVBank #SVBCollapse #SVBCrash


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 19:57:49 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1635007205840756745

  • BANKS: WAIT FOR EVIDENCE I enjoyed the SVB debacle on Friday, and the events cre

    BANKS: WAIT FOR EVIDENCE
    I enjoyed the SVB debacle on Friday, and the events created a wonderful opportunity to catch eyeballs and chide, insult, criticize and defame our banking and finacial system, our fed and treasury, our government, and the problems of the ‘experiment’ we’re running with the postwar economy, and funny money.

    That said, this is a fed-created problem that could have been fed-solved with a few phone calls, and a little humility. Because the only real problem the company had was holding government bonds at tiny interest instead of filling a vault with at the fed with physical currency and electronic digits. And when the government raised interest rates, those otherwise liquid bonds turned immediately from liquid into illiquid. So does the fed want us to stop buying bonds so it can use our cash in exchange for giving us a couple points of interest? It’s ridiculous.

    So this vast drama-queen attention-whoring and wisdom-pretention on social media is embarassing. If there is contagion it’s intellectually embarassing, and confirms the political catastrophe of our government as it continues to fail at one thing after another. Because this isn’t like 08 where there were nonsense novel financial instruments out there (that many of us criticized teh entire time they were used), instead this is the fed flooding the market with cheap money, trading it for a security, then trashing the value of the security.

    I’d say why aren’t the grownups in charge? the answer is … there aren’t any.

    #SVB #SVBank #SVBCollapse #SVBCrash


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 19:57:49 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1635007206071365633

  • WHY RUSSIA AND DUGIN? Dugin is not stupid. He’s versed in science, philosophy an

    WHY RUSSIA AND DUGIN?
    Dugin is not stupid. He’s versed in science, philosophy and theology. He knows exactly what he’s doing and why he chooses scientific, philosophical, and religious frames deliberately at the items that he does. But just as Heidegger tried to reverse verb and noun, and Hegel longed for the peace of the farm, and Kant tried o create a secular theology, Duggin yearns for the simplicity of peasant life and insulation from a modernity that Russia cannot evolve into – without the trust necessary. Modernity is dependent upon trust and trustworthiness. That’s why europeans can do it, and so many others can’t.

    Same reason he appeals to right wing americans.
    They’re longing for a past because they’re not brave enough to fight for the future.

    Reply addressees: @lochu03 @UBERSOY1


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 19:20:56 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634997923095117826

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634993277735956480

  • WHY RUSSIA AND DUGIN? Dugin is not stupid. He’s versed in science, philosophy an

    WHY RUSSIA AND DUGIN?
    Dugin is not stupid. He’s versed in science, philosophy and theology. He knows exactly what he’s doing and why he chooses scientific, philosophical, and religious frames deliberately at the items that he does. But just as Heidegger tried to reverse verb and noun, and Hegel longed for the peace of the farm, and Kant tried o create a secular theology, Duggin yearns for the simplicity of peasant life and insulation from a modernity that Russia cannot evolve into – without the trust necessary. Modernity is dependent upon trust and trustworthiness. That’s why europeans can do it, and so many others can’t.

    Same reason he appeals to right wing americans.
    They’re longing for a past because they’re not brave enough to fight for the future.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 19:20:56 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634997923216801793

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634993277735956480

  • WHY IS YOUR OPINION, APPROVAL, AND DISAPPROVAL IRRELEVANT? Thankfully truth isn’

    WHY IS YOUR OPINION, APPROVAL, AND DISAPPROVAL IRRELEVANT?

    Thankfully truth isn’t a matter of opinion or approval. I’m not quite sure where the vast majority of people developed the rather otherwise eccentric opinion that many ignorant opinions, or many disapproval, somehow relevant to an empirically stated inescapable truth.

    Most Women and those effeminate men have the habit of confusing their approval with truth, and disapproval with falsehood.

    In fact, other than failing the NAXALT/AXALT test, and use of certain vocabulary, it’s the easiest means of determining the sex (of the brain) of the individual.

    Your opinion, approval, and disapproval only matter in the context of the search for agreement between the parties in the discussion.

    In matters of decidability, for the determination of sufficient truth or falsehood, reciprocity or reciprocity, they’re absolutely positively irrelevant.

    And in most cases substitution (fraud) of approval/disapproval for truth/falsehood constitutes lying, denying, and deception, and undermining the true and the good.

    ie: you’re unethical, immoral, or criminal.

    ( … Now wasn’t that a fun little bit to read. 🙁 … )

    -Curt


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 19:05:32 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634994050137825280

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634980187095064576

  • WHY IS YOUR OPINION, APPROVAL, AND DISAPPROVAL IRRELEVANT? Thankfully truth isn’

    WHY IS YOUR OPINION, APPROVAL, AND DISAPPROVAL IRRELEVANT?

    Thankfully truth isn’t a matter of opinion or approval. I’m not quite sure where the vast majority of people developed the rather otherwise eccentric opinion that many ignorant opinions, or many disapproval, somehow relevant to an empirically stated inescapable truth.

    Most Women and those effeminate men have the habit of confusing their approval with truth, and disapproval with falsehood.

    In fact, other than failing the NAXALT/AXALT test, and use of certain vocabulary, it’s the easiest means of determining the sex (of the brain) of the individual.

    Your opinion, approval, and disapproval only matter in the context of the search for agreement between the parties in the discussion.

    In matters of decidability, for the determination of sufficient truth or falsehood, reciprocity or reciprocity, they’re absolutely positively irrelevant.

    And in most cases substitution (fraud) of approval/disapproval for truth/falsehood constitutes lying, denying, and deception, and undermining the true and the good.

    ie: you’re unethical, immoral, or criminal.

    ( … Now wasn’t that a fun little bit to read. 🙁 … )

    -Curt

    Reply addressees: @blunted_affect @Mathilduhhhh @FrailSkeleton


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 19:05:32 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634994049928003594

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634980187095064576

  • TURNS OUT INCELS DON’T EXIST? (and further thoughts) Causality: “low socio-econo

    TURNS OUT INCELS DON’T EXIST?
    (and further thoughts)

    Causality: “low socio-economic status.”
    50% live with parent vs 27%
    17% not in ed, employ or training vs 9%
    36% high school ed or lower vs 20%
    Tiny percentage of the population tho.
    No evidence IMO this varies from traditional numbers.
    Only that marriage is extending the time frame.
    And social media and dating sites are creating visibility.

    The only bits I can contribute to the discussion are:

    1) It’s not necessarily JUST un-paired males that create revolutions but that un-paired males with low socio-economic status that *anticipate* permanent low socio-economic status and therefore being permanently un-paired.
    2) The demographic collapse caused by feminism vs compatibilism-and-familism is largely by women having no children, since the distribution of the number of children women have if they do have children remains postwar-normal.
    3) Girls, Women, are more agreeable, more socially coercible, more prone to social construction (magical thinking), more conforming than boys and men – and less likely to self-reflect and correct social coercion by social construction. So the virtue-spiral effect of feminism (sex marxism) won’t correct until market failure causes incentives to do so.

    So the material problem is intersexual conflict, the collapse of the family, the collapse of reproduction, and the long-term economic and political consequences of all three.

    In other words, we’re oversensitive to the tiny incel issue because of technology. And we’re insufficiently conscious of the collapse of the market and institutions of intergenerational persistence (reproduction and family). And both problems are caused by oversaturation in media (mythology) in the moment, rather than evidence (empiricism) over time. The left created ‘presentism’ which is the marxist term for ‘intertemporal ignorance and irresponsibility.’

    HOPE
    When I retired (early due to illness) in ’09 to work on theory full time, I considered law; economics until I understood law was the problem with econ; and ‘the market for affection’. In the latter, I wanted to solve the problem of intersexual conflict inspired by the postwar Jewish feminists (sex Marxists). But the early manosphere (masculinism) was getting started, and was negative rather than constructive, and I’d have been whistling in the wind.

    But we can already see the Dating, Mating, Marriage, Reproduction, and Family markets crashing hard because of feminism (sex marxism). And markets tend to correct over time. And this one will correct, or population collapse will correct the economy so severely that the returns (consumption) on workforce participation and the demands of the workforce will drive women out of it, as they have in the past.

    I anticipate, given demographic contraction (given that immigration is economically, socially, and politically destructive) resulting in the population’s incapacity for inter-generational redistribution, that the only solution is automation and returning to younger and older employment, which in (I assume) turn returns us to socialization.

    If not, I expect that taxes on those who don’t reproduce will have to be increased to pay for the high cost of the children who do reproduce. Or some other similar scheme.

    This isn’t to say that slowly decreasing populations is a bad thing, because every problem we observe in the world is due to overpopulation (yes), and dysgenia via asymmetric class reproduction. There are just too many of us. And the human consequences that mirror the mouse utopia experiment are emerging everywhere.

    So. If you’re part of the present young generations, it’s probably not fun. You’re the mice in the experiment. But markets correct. Evolution corrects. It’s just that when those forces of nature correct us it’s more painful than if we choose to correct our behavior ourselves. And as far as I can see, there is no incentive for present generations to correct until market failure is complete.

    Cheers


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 13:37:54 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634911597155041281

  • TURNS OUT INCELS DON’T EXIST? (and further thoughts) Causality: “low socio-econo

    TURNS OUT INCELS DON’T EXIST?
    (and further thoughts)

    Causality: “low socio-economic status.”
    50% live with parent vs 27%
    17% not in ed, employ or training vs 9%
    36% high school ed or lower vs 20%
    Tiny percentage of the population tho.
    No evidence IMO this varies from traditional numbers.
    Only that marriage is extending the time frame.
    And social media and dating sites are creating visibility.

    The only bits I can contribute to the discussion are:

    1) It’s not necessarily JUST un-paired males that create revolutions but that un-paired males with low socio-economic status that *anticipate* permanent low socio-economic status and therefore being permanently un-paired.
    2) The demographic collapse caused by feminism vs compatibilism-and-familism is largely by women having no children, since the distribution of the number of children women have if they do have children remains postwar-normal.
    3) Girls, Women, are more agreeable, more socially coercible, more prone to social construction (magical thinking), more conforming than boys and men – and less likely to self-reflect and correct social coercion by social construction. So the virtue-spiral effect of feminism (sex marxism) won’t correct until market failure causes incentives to do so.

    So the material problem is intersexual conflict, the collapse of the family, the collapse of reproduction, and the long-term economic and political consequences of all three.

    In other words, we’re oversensitive to the tiny incel issue because of technology. And we’re insufficiently conscious of the collapse of the market and institutions of intergenerational persistence (reproduction and family). And both problems are caused by oversaturation in media (mythology) in the moment, rather than evidence (empiricism) over time. The left created ‘presentism’ which is the marxist term for ‘intertemporal ignorance and irresponsibility.’

    HOPE
    When I retired (early due to illness) in ’09 to work on theory full time, I considered law; economics until I understood law was the problem with econ; and ‘the market for affection’. In the latter, I wanted to solve the problem of intersexual conflict inspired by the postwar Jewish feminists (sex Marxists). But the early manosphere (masculinism) was getting started, and was negative rather than constructive, and I’d have been whistling in the wind.

    But we can already see the Dating, Mating, Marriage, Reproduction, and Family markets crashing hard because of feminism (sex marxism). And markets tend to correct over time. And this one will correct, or population collapse will correct the economy so severely that the returns (consumption) on workforce participation and the demands of the workforce will drive women out of it, as they have in the past.

    I anticipate, given demographic contraction (given that immigration is economically, socially, and politically destructive) resulting in the population’s incapacity for inter-generational redistribution, that the only solution is automation and returning to younger and older employment, which in (I assume) turn returns us to socialization.

    If not, I expect that taxes on those who don’t reproduce will have to be increased to pay for the high cost of the children who do reproduce. Or some other similar scheme.

    This isn’t to say that slowly decreasing populations is a bad thing, because every problem we observe in the world is due to overpopulation (yes), and dysgenia via asymmetric class reproduction. There are just too many of us. And the human consequences that mirror the mouse utopia experiment are emerging everywhere.

    So. If you’re part of the present young generations, it’s probably not fun. You’re the mice in the experiment. But markets correct. Evolution corrects. It’s just that when those forces of nature correct us it’s more painful than if we choose to correct our behavior ourselves. And as far as I can see, there is no incentive for present generations to correct until market failure is complete.

    Cheers


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 13:37:54 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634911596836167680

  • (on lying) We teach the tradition of ‘not lying’ and do it poorly. You might thi

    (on lying)

    We teach the tradition of ‘not lying’ and do it poorly. You might think your intentions matter. But they don’t.

    Whether you win the debate is determined by the audience. Whether you misled the audience is determined by the audience. Whether you lied is determined by the jury. So, make sure when you speak, the jury will agree you didn’t lie.

    We learn the moral lesson against lying that’s discovered in legal custom: in crime it MIGHT require you had motive and intent. But in tort it only matters that you caused a harm, regardless of intent. In other words, you can lie intentionally, or by a failure of due diligence. Meaning you can lie by enthusiasm or incaution by your own words, or you can unknowingly transmit a lie you obtained from someone else by failing due diligence against ensuring you’re not lying.

    It took about eight years (a phd worth of time) to ‘science’ lying, whether intentionally, irresponsibly, and ignorantly. Because believe it or not, some cultural traditions and some ideas in cultures teach you to lie.

    So the lesson is. It doesn’t matter your intentions. It only matters whether you failed due diligence against the transmission of a falsehood – regardless of whether it’s legal, whether it’s ethical, whether it’s moral, or whether a matter of manners.

    (Sarcasm: Under tort, all leftists are guilty. 😉 )

    Cheers
    Curt Doolittle


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 01:11:38 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634723794500608002

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634719369300172808

  • (on lying) We teach the tradition of ‘not lying’ and do it poorly. You might thi

    (on lying)

    We teach the tradition of ‘not lying’ and do it poorly. You might think your intentions matter. But they don’t.

    Whether you win the debate is determined by the audience. Whether you misled the audience is determined by the audience. Whether you lied is determined by the jury. So, make sure when you speak, the jury will agree you didn’t lie.

    We learn the moral lesson against lying that’s discovered in legal custom: in crime it MIGHT require you had motive and intent. But in tort it only matters that you caused a harm, regardless of intent. In other words, you can lie intentionally, or by a failure of due diligence. Meaning you can lie by enthusiasm or incaution by your own words, or you can unknowingly transmit a lie you obtained from someone else by failing due diligence against ensuring you’re not lying.

    It took about eight years (a phd worth of time) to ‘science’ lying, whether intentionally, irresponsibly, and ignorantly. Because believe it or not, some cultural traditions and some ideas in cultures teach you to lie.

    So the lesson is. It doesn’t matter your intentions. It only matters whether you failed due diligence against the transmission of a falsehood – regardless of whether it’s legal, whether it’s ethical, whether it’s moral, or whether a matter of manners.

    (Sarcasm: Under tort, all leftists are guilty. 😉 )

    Cheers
    Curt Doolittle

    Reply addressees: @pmarca


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 01:11:38 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634723794295062528

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634719369300172808