Everything. mostly consumer content production at first.
Source date (UTC): 2023-07-18 11:15:30 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1681261408929890304
Reply addressees: @OtonielFilho5
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1681170762239991808
CLARIFICATION: AI AND THE ENTERTAINMENT BIZ
Not what I meant by deterministic. I meant that the industrial revolution’s displacement of farm workers and the computer revolution’s displacement of secretarial(clerical) workers, and the AI revolution’s displacement of creative workers is deterministic. Creative workers had a ‘moment in the sun’ with the rise of the movie business, but we burned through that business in a century or so, and the creatives (what they call themselves, but they are hardly such) are being automated out of a job. So just as bands have to make money on concerts not records, actors will have to make money with live performances not recordings.
Reply addressees: @tysonmaly
Source date (UTC): 2023-07-17 19:53:59 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1681029500547616768
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1681023880557723651
I know that and I agree. The point I’m making is that it doesn’t mean a different economy won’t emerge, the same way that we expected male-female work forces to converge, we aren’t thinking that what AI provides is divergence. So just as we’ve pretty much maximized consumption to the point where all we’re doing is signal competition, and as such we’re diverging into identities, I’m arguing that that process will continue as divergent rather than convergent. And that govts will end up far more like Gibson and Stephenson’s chaos and dysfunction.
Reply addressees: @TheAutistocrat
Source date (UTC): 2023-07-17 19:50:00 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1681028497991426048
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1681012178625650691
I don’t see that I’m making that argument or how you could read into it. I’m saying that humans will use AIs to produce new novelties like they use all tools to produce new novelties, and we have no idea what novelties they will produce. Some hedonistic and some contributory.
Source date (UTC): 2023-07-17 18:43:16 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1681011704665186305
Reply addressees: @TheAutistocrat
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1681010825996259328
I disagree. It will lead to excellences rather than present mass-market commodities. In other words we will see films more accurately address market wants rather than desperately seek to construct a social narrative in order to produce a market.
So, my judgement is empirical,…
Source date (UTC): 2023-07-17 17:08:19 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1680987810671493120
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1680984704940404738
AI IS DETERMINISTIC
Writers and actors and set jobs are going to collapse like the clerical jobs collapsed and the agrarian sector jobs collapsed before them. There is absolutely nothing that can stop it for the simple reason that if the studios don’t use the tech, an opposing…
Source date (UTC): 2023-07-17 16:10:12 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1680973181249519617
AI IS DETERMINISTIC
Writers and actors and set jobs are going to collapse like the clerical jobs collapsed and the agrarian sector jobs collapsed before them. There is absolutely nothing that can stop it for the simple reason that if the studios don’t use the tech, an opposing industry will rise out of the independent sector, using these technologies to produce more innovation and experimentation faster (and very likely better) than the existing system – which is showing serious signs of creative collapse, made far worse by the ‘woke’ introgression and capture of the industry for ideological reasons.
The price of production has to drop dramatically for the industry to survive AT ALL, and that drop will come as always by increases in efficiency. We have lost not only the DVD channel, but most of the theatre channel, and we are certain to increasingly fragment the online channel.
The truth is that the industry can survive on ‘voluntary’ participation alone simply for the fun of it, without any compensation at all – or very little.
So a smaller number of better creatives will produce more of the content more cheaply, faster, and with more innovation, satisfying more markets.
I’ve made this argument since 2008, and with newspapers, advertisers, media, and entertainment. The era of mass appeal is going to increasingly fragment and so concentration of income behind any production will decrease – like all other products an services in the world.
You can’t stop it. You can’t even slow it. The best you can do is discover how to take advantage of it. And that will likely be from embracing the tech and organizing outside of the entertainment sector contract system that’s archaic at this point.
Unions are dead everywhere for this reason: Entertainment now. Finance next. Government soon after.
#SAGAFTRAstrike #SAGstrike
Source date (UTC): 2023-07-17 16:10:11 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1680973181052411907
I’ll repeat my general education advice to everyone:
Learn applied rather than general education. Most uni education is a total waste of time.
If you are comfortable with trade work, learn basic accounting, basic finance, basic project management, basic contract law, then focus on mastering your trade. At present I would focus on carpentry, electrical, and welding, because they produce higher than white collar income if for a shorter number of years before your body can’t take it any longer (so save and invest.) Adding basic psychology meaning personality differences will help you. And basic negotiation will help you. If possible learn enough programming t understand how to operate computer aided design and manufacturing equipment. (it’s not hard). These jobs are only going to increase because the global trade pattern will decrease again. Alternatively take the same path but focus on health care.
If you are comfortable with white-collar subject matter, then learn basic philosophy of science, basic accounting, basic finance, basic statistics, basic economics, basic project management – in its list, queue, agile (variants), and waterfall (gantt variants) – and then basic contracts and contract law. And finally public speaking, negotiation, and if possible international negotiation so that you learn how different cultures’s think. Anyone with an IQ between 100 and 115 can do so. This is far better than all business related degrees and ensures you are ready to participate in the workforce as a white collar worker right away.
If possible then learn a programming language (now Python), design patterns, and the available data storage models, basic physics, introductory physics, electronics,
If possible chemistry, petrochemistry, biochemistry, and materials sciences.
If possible math, physics, and engineering, or cognitive science, economics and law.
After graduation take any western philosophy and history courses – or just follow my friend Rudyard Lynch (@whatifalthist) and read the books he recommends. 😉
Etc.
Reply addressees: @NetheriteSpart1 @WerrellBradley
Source date (UTC): 2023-07-17 15:41:58 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1680966077512122375
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1680958152068431874
RT @_HannahRitchie: Do you know what is really bad for the environment?
Low crop yields. It means forest is cut down to make space for far…
Source date (UTC): 2023-07-17 13:08:55 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1680927561084284930
Doesn’t matter. No infrastructure, no power. And power needs to be created, and we don’t have the infrastructure to create the power. And nuclear power takes a decade to bring online, and we are decades away from shipping energy from sunshine deserts to shade cities.
Source date (UTC): 2023-07-15 18:59:28 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1680291006523101184
Reply addressees: @FarajRashi93307
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1680290005325950977