(FB 1548825490 Timestamp) —“Today, humanity fabricates 1,000 times more transistors annually than the entire world grows grains of wheat and rice combined. Collectively, all those transistors consume more electricity than the state of California.”— Mark P. Mills Longer Version —“The invention of the transistor-based logic engine, the integrated circuit, turned 60 this year. Today, humanity fabricates 1,000 times more transistors annually than the entire world grows grains of wheat and rice combined. Collectively, all those transistors consume more electricity than the state of California. The rise of transistors as âengines of innovationâ emerged from Mooreâs Law. And weâre still in its early days: paraphrasing Mark Twain, recent reports of the death of that Law are greatly exaggerated.”— Mark P. Mills
Theme: Productivity
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1548948034 Timestamp) IQ AND WHY SMART PEOPLE AREN’T OFTEN RICH (from elsewhere)(archive) (or “wealth is a middle class occupation”) I think Molyneux did a pretty good job. Here is what I said in response to Taleb: —(a) g measures what we attempt to measure (b) chance of success corresponds to a distribution of traits, (c) plus the utility of those traits, in service of the population under the bell curve within 1 SD.— Which is the only answer that matters, and is something we have known for decades – it’s covered in the Millionaire Mind books and related research. But to an economists it’s fairly obvious. Smart folk don’t amass money that often because we already HAVE an asset. Smart people don’t need anything else to compete. They don’t need anything else to signal with. (I mean, ask andy how easy it is to intimidate, humiliate, or shut down the average person (idiot)) In fact, if you are very intelligent the skill we must learn is now NOT to make people feel stupid, humiliated, or shut down. So a little more color on the subject: People most likely to gain wealth are in the middle and upper middle classes. People least likely to gain wealth are in the lower classes. Our ‘aristocracy’ today tends to consist of relatively invisible academic financial and political families, rather than wealth for this reason. We live in a middle class VISIBLE world but with an INVISIBLE aristocracy. Why? Because you need to (a) be interested in (and not bored by) something (b) there are some number of people interested in, and (c) most people that you can serve are in the middle 2/3 of the curve. So knowing those OPERATIONAL RULES we would expect shortage at the bottom, a steep climb to 2/3, and shortage at the top. Which is what Taleb’s chart shows us. I mean, smart people have MANY, MANY Possible ways of being ‘successful’ (subjectively). For example: I can tell fairly easily that Andy Curzon and Noam Chomsky, or that category of people who can read anything and speak nine or ten languages – all have higher IQ’s than I do. And I can enumerate what each can do that is superior. My particular thing is that I don’t make mistakes, at the cost of limited lateral associations. I remember pretty much everything at the cost of short term memory. And I have trouble with more than one project at a time. But I will absolutely figure out any problem period, … given time to figure it out on my terms. These are not positive academic traits (rate of learning unrelated things, making one an exceptional manager, executive in every field), they are very positive lifetime traits (getting comparative advantage ‘right’ in high risk propositions.) So, for example, as Higgs (Higgs boson) said “I would never get hired by a university today because I work slowly”. And we are creating a large number of ‘sufficiently successful’ college graduates that find safety in jobs that are extra market (which is why you used to go to college – to find income outside of market forces – particularly government, law, medicine, and teaching). So Taleb’s observation is statistically truth and operationally false. Which is pretty much what I try to teach people: any claim that cannot be stated in operational language, is an act of fraud. So for example, no matter what I did,assuming we both invested in it, Andy would defeat me at chess (permutations of states), and Chomsky can give a long running detailed explanation of phenomenon without hesitation in search of words or phrasing (depth (or durability of short term memory) of ‘narrator, observer, searcher’ abilities – which is something that fascinates me). Because while I can undrestand it and imagine doing it I can’t do it – at least for any length of time – long enough time to complete with people like Andy, Chomsky, and say Stephen Fry is someone who comes to mind because of his lateral thinking ability. But here is the thing. Smart people (and I know very many of them) EXIT THE MARKET and live ‘normie lives’ because everything they can possibly want is obtainable under ‘normie’ conditions, an they can devote their spare time to their interests.
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1548948034 Timestamp) IQ AND WHY SMART PEOPLE AREN’T OFTEN RICH (from elsewhere)(archive) (or “wealth is a middle class occupation”) I think Molyneux did a pretty good job. Here is what I said in response to Taleb: —(a) g measures what we attempt to measure (b) chance of success corresponds to a distribution of traits, (c) plus the utility of those traits, in service of the population under the bell curve within 1 SD.— Which is the only answer that matters, and is something we have known for decades – it’s covered in the Millionaire Mind books and related research. But to an economists it’s fairly obvious. Smart folk don’t amass money that often because we already HAVE an asset. Smart people don’t need anything else to compete. They don’t need anything else to signal with. (I mean, ask andy how easy it is to intimidate, humiliate, or shut down the average person (idiot)) In fact, if you are very intelligent the skill we must learn is now NOT to make people feel stupid, humiliated, or shut down. So a little more color on the subject: People most likely to gain wealth are in the middle and upper middle classes. People least likely to gain wealth are in the lower classes. Our ‘aristocracy’ today tends to consist of relatively invisible academic financial and political families, rather than wealth for this reason. We live in a middle class VISIBLE world but with an INVISIBLE aristocracy. Why? Because you need to (a) be interested in (and not bored by) something (b) there are some number of people interested in, and (c) most people that you can serve are in the middle 2/3 of the curve. So knowing those OPERATIONAL RULES we would expect shortage at the bottom, a steep climb to 2/3, and shortage at the top. Which is what Taleb’s chart shows us. I mean, smart people have MANY, MANY Possible ways of being ‘successful’ (subjectively). For example: I can tell fairly easily that Andy Curzon and Noam Chomsky, or that category of people who can read anything and speak nine or ten languages – all have higher IQ’s than I do. And I can enumerate what each can do that is superior. My particular thing is that I don’t make mistakes, at the cost of limited lateral associations. I remember pretty much everything at the cost of short term memory. And I have trouble with more than one project at a time. But I will absolutely figure out any problem period, … given time to figure it out on my terms. These are not positive academic traits (rate of learning unrelated things, making one an exceptional manager, executive in every field), they are very positive lifetime traits (getting comparative advantage ‘right’ in high risk propositions.) So, for example, as Higgs (Higgs boson) said “I would never get hired by a university today because I work slowly”. And we are creating a large number of ‘sufficiently successful’ college graduates that find safety in jobs that are extra market (which is why you used to go to college – to find income outside of market forces – particularly government, law, medicine, and teaching). So Taleb’s observation is statistically truth and operationally false. Which is pretty much what I try to teach people: any claim that cannot be stated in operational language, is an act of fraud. So for example, no matter what I did,assuming we both invested in it, Andy would defeat me at chess (permutations of states), and Chomsky can give a long running detailed explanation of phenomenon without hesitation in search of words or phrasing (depth (or durability of short term memory) of ‘narrator, observer, searcher’ abilities – which is something that fascinates me). Because while I can undrestand it and imagine doing it I can’t do it – at least for any length of time – long enough time to complete with people like Andy, Chomsky, and say Stephen Fry is someone who comes to mind because of his lateral thinking ability. But here is the thing. Smart people (and I know very many of them) EXIT THE MARKET and live ‘normie lives’ because everything they can possibly want is obtainable under ‘normie’ conditions, an they can devote their spare time to their interests.
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1550598524 Timestamp) —“Is it more wise if youâre seeking long term profit and savings to Invest in â X â business or company and then take profits into savings without touching them OR invest in â X â business or company and put profit into business for rapid growth to increase monthly or annual earnings to save more annually. Which strategy is more effective for long term capital growth and saving?”— The best way to achieve wealth is to run an smb, roll your profits back into growth, and sell the business at peak value to someone larger than you are. I always plan on who I will sell a biz to before I start one. If you cannot get into a position where you are seeking rents on other people’s money through a continuous stream then just save it in hidden (offshore) or returning (real estate), and let a little bit ride in the market and in bonds. There is no investment that you have more control over and more likely returns than your own business. However, this is not a talent everyone has. So reinvest if you can, save if you must.
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1550598524 Timestamp) —“Is it more wise if youâre seeking long term profit and savings to Invest in â X â business or company and then take profits into savings without touching them OR invest in â X â business or company and put profit into business for rapid growth to increase monthly or annual earnings to save more annually. Which strategy is more effective for long term capital growth and saving?”— The best way to achieve wealth is to run an smb, roll your profits back into growth, and sell the business at peak value to someone larger than you are. I always plan on who I will sell a biz to before I start one. If you cannot get into a position where you are seeking rents on other people’s money through a continuous stream then just save it in hidden (offshore) or returning (real estate), and let a little bit ride in the market and in bonds. There is no investment that you have more control over and more likely returns than your own business. However, this is not a talent everyone has. So reinvest if you can, save if you must.
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1551280113 Timestamp) UNDERSTAND NEGATIVE VS POSITIVE COMPETITION (The Economics of Time) (core) In positive ( market ) competition we compete for the seizure of unseized opportunities (potential capital), by increasing the time content of the products and services we offer whether by price or quality. In negative (anti-market) competition we compete for the seizure of previously seized opportunities, thereby stealing (decreasing) the time content (existential capital). Capital consists of a store of time produced by human actions. When we divide labor we decrease the time demand for production. In the via negativa, we do not produce more, we increase the rate of production in time. All of economics is the study of time and energy just like all of physics is the study of time and energy. The difference is that universe can’t choose, and because we can remember, act, sympathize, and cooperate, we can save time. In this sense we are not wealthier than our pre-language ancestors, we have simply made everything drastically cheaper by cooperating and saving time, first in production and second in the form of capital: stored time.
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1551280113 Timestamp) UNDERSTAND NEGATIVE VS POSITIVE COMPETITION (The Economics of Time) (core) In positive ( market ) competition we compete for the seizure of unseized opportunities (potential capital), by increasing the time content of the products and services we offer whether by price or quality. In negative (anti-market) competition we compete for the seizure of previously seized opportunities, thereby stealing (decreasing) the time content (existential capital). Capital consists of a store of time produced by human actions. When we divide labor we decrease the time demand for production. In the via negativa, we do not produce more, we increase the rate of production in time. All of economics is the study of time and energy just like all of physics is the study of time and energy. The difference is that universe can’t choose, and because we can remember, act, sympathize, and cooperate, we can save time. In this sense we are not wealthier than our pre-language ancestors, we have simply made everything drastically cheaper by cooperating and saving time, first in production and second in the form of capital: stored time.
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1551383619 Timestamp) THE FOUNDATIONS OF ECONOMICS (COOPERATION) = TIME The opportunities in a market are limited by the requirement that we not impose costs by externality upon the investments of others causing the loss of capital in territorial, physical, institutional, cultural, normative, informational, familial, and genetic assets. Markets allow us to create opportunity through proximity – decreasing opportunity costs of time, and thru informational, informal, and formal institutions, and physical infrastructure as a common good – each decreasing opportunity costs of time.These market opportunities are produced as a common good. We can then serve the common good by converting opportunity into exchanges, each of which creates more than it consumes by the service of the coincidence of wants. (time savings). We create opportunities for temporal compression through the division of perception, cognition, knowledge, labor, and advocacy, and seize them through the identification of a coincidence of wants, thereby converting the potential for temporal compression into the existential compression of time. And it is through this temporal compression that we, collectively, in increasing scales, constantly reduce the cost of existence, and defeat the dark forces of time, ignorance, and scarcity. If you understand this you will understand all of human civilization, consists of time saving – and the reason we have achieved what no other creatures have achieved. We must defeat the dark forces of time, ignorance, distance, and scarcity, and we do so through cooperation, and we cooperate through the incremental suppression of the imposition of costs on one another upon life, body, kin, possessions, and interests, in the form of violence, theft, fraud, falsehood, conspiracy, rents and free-riding. We accomplish this incremental suppression by the demand for a warranty of due diligence for our products(materials), services(actions), and information(speech) and the prosecution, restitution, punishment, ostracization, or execution, of those who circumvent that Warranty of Reciprocity by production, action, or speech. This leaves us with no option but to participate in voluntary markets under which we limit our productions, actions, and speech to that which consists of productive, fully informed (truthful), warrantied, voluntary transfer, free of imposition of cost upon the life, kin, possessions, and interests of others by externality. This explains why time is the principle asset from which all of human existence emerges through the continuous discounting of time costs through an ever expanding division of labor, with ever expanding suppressions of parasitism.
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1551641028 Timestamp) —“The closer one gets to the top of one of these hierarchies the more one realizes how absolutely dependent one is on those below. Finance is nothing without the entrepreneur. Generals are nothing without warriors.”—Michael Churchill
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1551641028 Timestamp) —“The closer one gets to the top of one of these hierarchies the more one realizes how absolutely dependent one is on those below. Finance is nothing without the entrepreneur. Generals are nothing without warriors.”—Michael Churchill