Curt Doolittle

Theme: Measurement

  • “The Flynn Effect postulates that measureable intelligence(measured) is increasi

    —“The Flynn Effect postulates that measureable intelligence(measured) is increasing over time (but not necessarily (g) – neurological performance). However, as an environment becomes optimal, a plateau occurs when general growth becomes largely determined by genetics. There is evidence that such a plateau is occurring for intelligence in countries with optimal social environments. In the United States, examination of adult Wechsler test scores between normings indicates a reduction of the FSIQ increase such that average FSIQ would plateau about 2024.”–

    The flynn effect is caused largely if not entirely by improvement of literacy at the bottom, thus un-skewing the numbers.

    Meanwhile it is reversing as the reproduction of the bottom because of redistribution transfers reproduction from the middle and top to the bottom, reversing the average IQ. In the USA this is reaching a critical threshold where it will not be possible to maintain a first world economy.

    Likewise expression of sex difference in cognitive biase and preference diverges as constraint decreases.

    Likewise if the family is the priority of informal and formal institusions and the resulting policy then the sexes and individuals have more in common. But without such, we see rapid divergence of preferences and ‘magical thinking’ between both the sexes in the aggregate and individuals. Meaning that the family is the foundation of the society and polity but the individual is only lrelevant in the contest of the family. Which is … going to be problematic.

    Source date (UTC): 2023-12-24 21:16:57 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1739032439589076992

  • BTW: Regarding: –“more anti social gender by all social data metrics we have”–

    BTW:
    Regarding: –“more anti social gender by all social data metrics we have”–
    What are the studies you are referring to measuring as antisocial behavior?
    And how do the sexes differ in antisocial expression?
    And to take further: (a) which sex expresses more violence, and (b)…

    Source date (UTC): 2023-12-23 21:13:48 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1738669258605842903

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1738667064238157847

  • You don’t know this but I don’t say anything unless the data says so, and when I

    You don’t know this but I don’t say anything unless the data says so, and when I am skeptical or questioning I say so. And when I err I apologize. And FWIW I have an intimidating reputation for insight and prediction. Even in my work most intellectuals in history produce only one or two innovations – and I passed that quite a few years ago.

    So, of course I can back it up. But I don’t and won’t respond to accusations instead of intellectually honest questions starting from a position of seeking to understand.

    However, since you’re new, look at the research on how conservatives understand progressives, and how women think only of themselves (and their children) and other women but otherwise don’t think of men at all, and can’t even begin to empathize with them at all.

    I just explain why it’s so, with the neurological evidence of empathizing in time vs systematizing over time, combined with cognitive and moral specialization in harm/care and equality instead of proportionality and can’t even conceive of the rest. Whereas conservatives (cognitively male men in particular do not specialize but weigh each moral foundation (really, capital responsibility) about equally.

    I mean, we can scan brains now, and even at current levels of resolution, and frames per second, determine the sex and the race of the individual.

    Reply addressees: @spaceangelvoice

    Source date (UTC): 2023-12-23 20:11:20 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1738653538383761408

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1738649855600247154

  • BEAUTY AND … AI One of my long term projects is the study of beauty. Most of u

    BEAUTY AND … AI
    One of my long term projects is the study of beauty.

    Most of us are aware of the de-whitening of art, literature, cinema, advertising and media (and especially the de-nordicizing of beauty), since the anti-white ‘plague’ started by the neomarxists (left) in the late sixties but was institutionalized in the early seventies, and made mainstram under Obama.

    But math is math and in the end, it still plays out, and the evidence holds up over time.

    Now, I have this search that runs periodically for lists of most beautiful women – one that tolerates actresses and models, and one that looks for ordinary people like businesswomen.

    The truth is that the world is full of beautiful women – at least wherever the fatpocalypse hasn’t done it’s work.

    However there is a collision between the marketing at the top for actresses and models, and the marketing at the bottom for … well, the underclass ‘actresses’ so to speak (which are almost universally revolting). The majority middle is unserved. Unfortunately. 😉

    Yesterday I opened my email, and the search had retured a disturbigly rare set of beautiful women with symmetric features, gracility, health, and fertility…

    … and they were all AI generated. 😉

    The new version of Midjourney is … unbelievable.

    It’s also gonna make irrational expectations even worse. 😉

    Source date (UTC): 2023-12-22 22:57:23 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1738332937056088064

  • What in aggregate behavior can you provide objective proof of yourself (nothing)

    What in aggregate behavior can you provide objective proof of yourself (nothing). What can we EXPLAIN using the empirical evidence of behavior, and the behavioral science that causes it?

    Asking for proof is evidence of incompetence. Asking for explanation requires you have requisite knowledge to understand it.

    So if you (a) ask for proof and in doing so (b) demonstrate you lack the requisite knowledge to hold an opinion, the why do you assume your opinion is worth anything whatsoever to yourself or anyone else?

    Reply addressees: @cryptogeni @Turbo_Flux @TurkeyJC1 @DanielF70060768

    Source date (UTC): 2023-12-21 14:49:05 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1737847665449402368

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1737846684263293299

  • “Q: Sunni (iran) vs shia (arab) IQ?”– All of this subject, particularly in that

    –“Q: Sunni (iran) vs shia (arab) IQ?”–

    All of this subject, particularly in that part of the world, is hyper politicized and research is effectively a taboo. There are no comprehensive studies. The study that does exist shows a declining gradiant from south to north – which isn’t intutive and leaves me suspect.

    –“Both Sunni and Shia Muslims are ethnically diverse. For instance, Iran, predominantly Shia, has a significant Persian population, while Iraq, which has both Sunni and Shia populations, includes Arabs, Kurds, and Turkmen. Similarly, Sunni-majority countries like Saudi Arabia and Egypt are primarily Arab, but also include other ethnic groups”–

    If I pull up my big data spreadsheet, the arabs are all about the same 83/84 IQ. The Iranians see no variation on that number but that’s discounting their diaspora and upper classes. The turkic people are about 3 points higher, and the people of turkey who, at least in the west are majority old european (greek) are 3 points higher than that.

    So aside from the people of turkey, these populations do not produce enough of a percentage above the 106-115 thresholds to escape the needs of the intellectual competency of their majorities.

    However, I don’t have any confidence in the iranian data. The number could be three to six points higher – or not, depending upon the ethnic group in Iran.

    Reply addressees: @patriciamdavis

    Source date (UTC): 2023-12-20 19:49:29 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1737560875622395905

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1737548874150289624

  • Yes. This is what Martin is concerned with. I’m just aware of the trade off betw

    Yes. This is what Martin is concerned with. I’m just aware of the trade off between neologisms and refinement of definitions of existing terms of art. I prefer the latter whenever possible … partly because most philosophers (including my past self) have made the mistake of…

    Source date (UTC): 2023-12-18 16:05:56 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1736779838705266731

    Reply addressees: @agent8698 @AutistocratMS

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1736764448277409984

  • Yes. This is what Martin is concerned with. I’m just aware of the trade off betw

    Yes. This is what Martin is concerned with. I’m just aware of the trade off between neologisms and refinement of definitions of existing terms of art. I prefer the latter whenever possible … partly because most philosophers (including my past self) have made the mistake of inventing neologisms rather than say, the continuation of refining a concept. For example, aristotelian, newtonian, einstein, and post-einstein gravity. Do we change the term gravity? No. But Gravity is something we understand no matter what – it’s inescapable – but we still seek to explain, while Rule of Law is a term of art that we need to explain and people will oversimplify given it’s decomposable into colloquial speech.

    Source date (UTC): 2023-12-18 16:05:55 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1736779838608801792

  • All: The Three Meanings of Market Cap: 1. The potiential value of market cap is

    All:

    The Three Meanings of Market Cap:
    1. The potiential value of market cap is a measure of the moment.
    2. The utility value of market cap is in borrowing capacity for the holder over the visible tim horizon.
    3. The demonstrated value of market cap is it’s liquidation value under duress over the long term.

    As someone who has bought, merged, rolled-up, and sold a lot of companies in my life, I think in terms of liquidation value, cash accounting (cash flow), debt, and risk. Everything else is accounting manipulation to please lenders and the tax man.

    Reply addressees: @BobMurphyEcon

    Source date (UTC): 2023-12-17 14:09:05 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1736388046507880448

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1736227391779782745

  • No link to the assessment criteria, so I don’t think it’s measuring rule of law

    No link to the assessment criteria, so I don’t think it’s measuring rule of law but the size, competitors, culture (and genetics) of the population.

    Source date (UTC): 2023-12-17 01:17:16 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1736193812588822963

    Reply addressees: @Lord__Sousa @stats_feed

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1736182677105951015