Theme: Institution

  • Yes, well your wife is in good company. We have Martin Stepan ( @AutistocratMS )

    Yes, well your wife is in good company. We have Martin Stepan (
    @AutistocratMS
    ) in our organization. He’s a daily wet blanket on any foolish optimism. Sometimes I feel like his entire job boils down to suppressing my positivity. 😉
    (He will undoubtably comment … lol)


    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-15 16:59:39 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011845750460989717

  • Yep. A) Northeast is an outlier as source of both puritanism and progressive mov

    Yep. A) Northeast is an outlier as source of both puritanism and progressive movement. University density exacerbates. B) Virtue Signaling (status). C) Still demonstrate NIMBY behavior. (Demonstrated preference falsifies stated preference.)

    Expected behavior. Silly human games.

    FWIW, I’m from central CT, and after living Northwest, Canada, UK, Russia, and Ukraine, I have a hard time spending time in new england. Was just there for a couple of years taking care of my elderly mother (and research and writing). Didn’t realize it was depressing me until I returned ‘home’ to western WA state and recovered.

    Density plus rust belt plus immigration plus race issues, plus CT’s most followed the soviets, meaning the state employees consume so much of the budget that companies leave, people who can leave do, and the state is basically surviving on taxes from Litchfield county, which is surviving on NYC income, by those who escaped taxation in NYC. It’s crazy. No hope.

    I lived in Boston in the 80s and the crime was intolerable until they cleaned it up in the 90s. But last year I spent a couple of months north of Boston and the nihilism is oppressive.

    I don’t know if anyone’s done the research, but IMO the flight of tech from boston to SF in had more than an economic impact – it had a cultural and political impact.

    Bothers me. It’s like ‘I can’t go home’. 🙁

    Hugs and such
    CD


    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-12 16:24:35 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010749761029296593

  • The Law of Inter-Group Conflict When in the context of proximity of two populati

    The Law of Inter-Group Conflict

    When in the context of proximity of two populations with different degrees of neoteny, different median IQ, and different decrees of institutional development come into contact, frictions and conflicts are expressed due to differences in need, agency, and resources.

    Here, we exhaustively enumerate the necessary frictions-to-conflicts that result from the utility of ingroup vs outgroup attempts at cooperation.

    What follows is a neutral, operational, non-pejorative enumeration of the necessary frictions that arise when two proximate populations differ in developmental tempo (e.g., neoteny), aggregate cognitive distributions, and institutional maturity, without asserting moral hierarchy or intrinsic worth.
    The analysis is framed mechanistically: frictions emerge from mismatched incentives, capacities, and error tolerances in cooperation, not from character claims.
    I. Cognitive–Temporal Frictions (Decision & Learning Mismatch)
    These arise from differences in rate of abstraction, planning horizon, and error correction.
    1. Instructional Cost Inflation
      Cooperation requires higher explanatory overhead for one party, increasing transaction cost.
    2. Prediction Asymmetry
      One population can model the other’s behavior more accurately than vice versa, creating strategic imbalance.
    3. Delayed Error Detection
      Faults persist longer in joint systems because one party identifies failures later or not at all.
    4. Time-Preference Divergence
      Shorter vs. longer planning horizons produce incompatible investment and maintenance decisions.
    II. Agency & Responsibility Frictions
    Differences in self-direction, impulse regulation, and accountability capacity.
    1. Responsibility Load Skew
      One group must carry disproportionate oversight, enforcement, or correction burdens.
    2. Moral Hazard Accumulation
      Reduced consequences for failure or misconduct concentrate risk on the more constrained party.
    3. Attribution Conflict
      Disagreement over whether failures are due to malice, incapacity, or circumstance.
    III. Institutional Compatibility Frictions
    Mismatches between formal systems and behavioral compliance capacity.
    1. Rule Comprehension Gap
      Laws or procedures are understood differently, even when formally shared.
    2. Enforcement Asymmetry
      Equal rules produce unequal outcomes because enforcement burdens differ.
    3. Institutional Capture Pressure
      Systems drift toward rules optimized for the least constrained participants.
    4. Due Process Dilution
      Standards are lowered to accommodate variability, reducing overall institutional precision.
    IV. Economic & Resource Frictions
    Arise from differences in productivity distribution, substitution capacity, and dependency ratios.
    1. Contribution–Consumption Imbalance
      Net transfer flows emerge independent of intent.
    2. Substitution Failure
      One group cannot easily replace the other in specialized roles, increasing fragility.
    3. Public Goods Stress
      Shared infrastructure degrades faster than replenishment capacity.
    4. Insurance Pool Destabilization
      Risk is no longer actuarially symmetric, increasing premiums or insolvency risk.
    V. Normative & Signaling Frictions
    Differences in social signaling, trust heuristics, and norm enforcement.
    1. Trust Calibration Error
      Signals of cooperation or threat are misread.
    2. Status Signaling Conflict
      Displays of competence, dominance, or submission carry different meanings.
    3. Norm Enforcement Drift
      Informal sanctions fail or overcorrect due to inconsistent interpretation.
    VI. Coalitional & Political Frictions
    Emerge once numbers, representation, or leverage differ.
    1. Voting vs. Contribution Tension
      Political power decouples from contribution or liability.
    2. Policy Externalization
      Costs of policies are borne disproportionately by one population.
    3. Narrative Competition
      Each group frames outcomes to minimize its own accountability.
    VII. Information & Communication Frictions
    Differences in truth-testing, testimony standards, and persuasion susceptibility.
    1. Testimonial Asymmetry
      One group relies more on narrative trust than verification.
    2. Misinformation Propagation Differential
      Errors spread at different rates and persist asymmetrically.
    3. Persuasion Exploitability
      External actors can leverage asymmetries to induce conflict.
    VIII. Conflict Escalation Pathways
    When frictions remain unresolved, they convert into conflict.
    1. Withdrawal from Cooperation
      The higher-burden group reduces participation.
    2. Overregulation
      Institutions respond with coercion rather than correction.
    3. Segregation (Formal or Informal)
      Interaction is minimized to reduce friction.
    4. Zero-Sum Reframing
      Cooperation is reinterpreted as exploitation.
    5. Legitimacy Collapse
      Institutions are no longer trusted by one or both populations.
    Variation in capacity → asymmetric cooperation costs → institutional distortion → incentive misalignment → norm failure → political conflict
    Stable cooperation under such conditions requires either:
    • institutional differentiation,
    • strict reciprocity calibration,
    • limited scope of shared governance,
    • or formal separation of high-liability systems.
    Absent these, conflict is not accidental but deterministic.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-31 18:50:06 UTC

    Original post: https://x.com/i/articles/2006437728012087379

  • (NLI) I would put our core team up against any other existing think tank. Easily

    (NLI)
    I would put our core team up against any other existing think tank. Easily. The difference: our team isn’t interested in attention. They’re interested in a better world. We are not a pretentious group of people. It’s yeoman’s labor. The hard problem: we are so far ahead that bridging the gap with any other group produces the substantive challenge – not our arguments.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-30 21:42:50 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006118808923300001

  • HOW THE FAMILY WAS DESTROYED IN PURSUIT OF CONSUMPTION (THE AGE OF CONSUMPTION I

    HOW THE FAMILY WAS DESTROYED IN PURSUIT OF CONSUMPTION (THE AGE OF CONSUMPTION IS OVER)
    The family was undermined by:
    (a) mobility (moving to cities for work)
    (b) deliberate zoning prohibiting cities from intergenerational family dwellings.
    (c) Substitution of kin insurance with market/state insurance generally: the social security program etc.
    (d) the introduction of women into the workforce but the siphoning of all their revenue into taxation.
    (e) abortion and the pill
    (f) No-fault divorce and broader family-law regime changes
    (g) the marxist-pomo-feminist movement to destroy the family – on purpose the way the church destroyed the great families of europe by prohibiting cousin marriage.
    (h) the ideological capture of education by women and women’s bias for gut-courses of indoctrination into rebellion – the female movement to evade responsibility and adaptation to intertemporal outcomes rather than temporal empathic ends.
    (i) Education inflation / credentialism
    (j) Resulting high housing costs and size constraints.
    (k) Male wage stagnation due to deindustrialization, financialization.
    (l) The computer revolution that vastly increased demand for white collar work by women at (temporarily) high wages.
    (m) Tech and media shocks (sexual marketplace disintermediation, porn, dating apps; these act on mating markets directly).


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-30 19:34:28 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006086502468452753

  • @NoahRevoy : I wonder about your thoughts on this subject. I see you as attempti

    @NoahRevoy
    : I wonder about your thoughts on this subject. I see you as attempting to produce stable families and people capable of the stable family. But is that a recipe for symmetric couples despite the desire for women to obtain asymmetric relationships with men?


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-30 19:14:21 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006081443081105673

  • RK: High trust polities that are geographically and demographically insulated fr

    RK: High trust polities that are geographically and demographically insulated from cross-cultural (norms, traditions, institutions, myths) and cross demographic (ability) populations tend to extrapolate their behavior onto others. It’s the borderland countries that have the realistic understanding of the differences between groups. Add christian universalist virtue signaling, and compound it with wealth advantage virtue signaling and you have a population vulnerable to the falsification of those false premises – at dramatic and often devastating expense.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-30 04:40:00 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005861403635421312

  • True. Look at the origins of the lawfare in the USA. If you can stomach the volu

    True. Look at the origins of the lawfare in the USA.
    If you can stomach the volume of detail in the impact of Jewish intellectuals read Kevin Macdonald’s series including the People Who Shall Dwell Alone, and the heavily suppressed Culture of Critique.
    If you want an unbiased view read Stephen Hicks’ Explaining Postmodernism.
    If you want to higher level view read Ricardo Duchesne’s The Uniqueness of Western Civilization.
    If you want world context, read Huntington’s Clash of Civilizations and our present return to it’s dominance.
    My work on group evolutionary strategies and their cognitive and biological origins is almost ready for publication, but much of my thinking is publicly available.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-26 01:10:43 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2004359186377748725

  • (Diary, Runcible) No one has hired me or my companies for risk reduction – that’

    (Diary, Runcible)
    No one has hired me or my companies for risk reduction – that’s the job of bureaucracies everywhere. I’ve been hired, and my company has been hired to use technology to achieve business transformation in order to increase opportunities and exploit them. It doesn’t matter if it’s branding, positioning, messaging, user interfaces, processes and procedures or output measurements.

    Mostly, my companies solve complex value propositions, which is why most of what we did was tech, medical, government, or military related. And it’s why we didn’t do cars, fashion, or other pure-signaling (consumption) businesses many other agencies and consultancies long to.

    So it’s odd for me to think about runcible as a governance layer that limits risk and its consequences, when I think of that limiting of error as providing quality results that provide a competitive advantage in obtaining and holding customers, creating reputation and brand value.

    And so the emerging demand that we position runcible as a negativa (risk reduction) first, is just counter-intuitive to me. But it is in fact the way our first pitches have turned out.

    So instead of pitching the positiva benefits, we pitch the negativa benefits, and then explain the upside as the consequences.

    Which makes me feel kinda dumb since I mean, I’m supposed to be the smart guy in the room. But it just means old habits die hard. And just as I use runcible to warn companies and governments about the failings of proceduralism and doing what is ‘habit’ because of it, my work with Runcible has taught me the same thing: the problem with habits procedures and framings that need to be adjusted for a different context.

    It’s all fascinating. 😉

    -CD


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 01:28:14 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003638817300054374

  • Delaware reverses on Musk’s compensation. 😉

    Delaware reverses on Musk’s compensation. 😉


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-20 01:08:11 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2002184218022138270