Curt Doolittle

Theme: Institution

  • (Thoughts via Sr Fellow Francis Zhou) RE: Economic consequences of the AI techno

    (Thoughts via Sr Fellow Francis Zhou)
    RE: Economic consequences of the AI technology:
    – Humans have a tendency to overestimate the effect of a new technology in the short term, and underestimate its effect in the long term. The “crisis” is more likely to playout in slow motion for the next 20 years, til 2048, instead of 2028.
    – In any human organization of sufficient size, it isn’t technology advancement that determines the pace of progress, but one hiring and firing/retirement at a time, especially at the upper echelons. This takes far longer than typically expected, which explains “organizational inertia”.
    – +1 on the difference between vibe coding to create a working prototype, vs operating a SaaS service with scale, reliability, and compliance. For most enterprises, software is a utility. You subscribe to the utility, you don’t aim to own the infrastructure that produces the utility, unless you have to.
    – Moving bits have became cheaper and cheaper first following Moore’s law, then Metacalf’s law, to the point now that some unnamed AI law will make it even cheaper. Moving atoms doesn’t benefit from these laws. So if job security is a concern, go into a career that involves moving atoms. It doesn’t have to be “blue collar” per se, building robots for example, consists of moving atoms. At least until general purpose robotics pair with AGI becomes an affordable reality (I think we are at least a few more decades away from that reality).
    – Capital doesn’t get destroyed outside of war, it just flows to another sector/asset.

    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-26 16:25:31 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2027057450906759671

  • RE: FUKUYAMA ON AMERICAN POLITICAL REGULATORY BURDEN – WE DON”T TRUST GOVT. Fran

    RE: FUKUYAMA ON AMERICAN POLITICAL REGULATORY BURDEN – WE DON”T TRUST GOVT.
    Francis,
    RE:
    https://
    youtube.com/watch?v=iZsIkn
    hLOLA
    …

    Long term student and fan. I understand your argument, but I have a very difficult time comparing the evidence of bureaucratic behavior, especially given the credentialist background of government employees instead of historical public service as a result of demonstrated competency in military, industrial, or business disciplines.

    My organization’s work in the law – which still holds up somewhat compared to other organs of government, encounters a deep incompetence outside of a handful at the appellate and supreme levels. I agree with the loss of prestige in government work driving out possible candidates. I agree with the demand for private litigation to correct public problems. Our organization uses the limited vehicles in the common law to do so ourselves.

    But I also agree with the tragic failure of our education system beginning with the early sixties attack on it. So I’m not disagreeing with your criticisms. I’m disagreeing that the people in government are capable of the work and responsibility you wish to give them. (I”ve built two of the larger privately held consulting companies, and government work isn’t a problem of regulations so much as – it’s a problem of quality and competency.) The problems DOGE surfaced were not outliers.

    Worse, while you compare our government to others, our government of 340M was not designed like ‘other liberal democracies’ with no more than 80M in a concentrated geography. It was designed as a market for the production of commons between the states, given the necessity of a secular empirical government because of the four foundational populations being of different religious fundamentalist populations still reacting to the protestant reformation and the european wars given the parasitism of the church and the state and the nobility.

    And just as europe is discovering that unification is impossible for anything but defense, Americans are discovering that their post-civil-war unification, legitimized by early 20th trade and war era insulation from europe’s suicide, is no longer possible. Worse, the success of the left and excessive immigration of costly dependents has amplified that divisiveness.

    So I am aware of your biases – each of our generations has them.I’m only ten years younger than you are. And even that difference is noticeable in our generations. And your works on trust and political order were foundational for me and my work. But your faith in liberal democracy doesn’t really hold up to scrutiny.

    Why? America goes through a crisis about every eighty years – purging accumulated ‘corruption’ that has become entrenched in a model that no longer serves the national and international circumstances. Trump is the fifth or sixth president to have made such reformations: Trump, Reagan, FDR, Lincoln, and Jackson.

    We voted the most competent president in our history (Bush 1) out of office when he could have reordered the world in gentlemanly fashion.

    Now we are stuck with stress conditions and Trump’s Shock and Awe urgency.

    Affections
    Curt Doolittle
    The Natural Law Institute

    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-21 23:07:44 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2025346731773493391

  • (NLI) From Volume 3 Chapter 5: –“In institutional systems, clearing capacity co

    (NLI)
    From Volume 3 Chapter 5:
    –“In institutional systems, clearing capacity consists of monitoring, enforcement, and reciprocity mechanisms. When temptation load exceeds clearing capacity, defection becomes the lowest-cost strategy. Closure dissolves.”–

    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-16 22:44:34 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023528962367123623

  • That’s right. (Not a fan of the implication that a lack of social mobility when

    That’s right.
    (Not a fan of the implication that a lack of social mobility when sortition is already nearly exhausted is somehow a criticism. It’s more that they’ve succeeded in eliminating resistance to it.)

    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-12 19:57:21 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022037329498845512

  • @Scientific_Bird cc: @GregoryClarkUCD I would think that a small homogeneous nor

    @Scientific_Bird

    cc:
    @GregoryClarkUCD

    I would think that a small homogeneous northern european population, with existing traditions and institutions would sort so thoroughly that social mobility was limited simply because there was so little resistance to it in the first place

    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-12 19:55:27 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022036849662050566

  • Every western country should declare itself a christian country and remain intol

    Every western country should declare itself a christian country and remain intolerant of any religion that seeks parallel institutions. Private is different from public.

    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-06 06:21:00 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019657558999593035

  • (NLI Humor) Brandon Hayes, President of NLI, is an exceptional example of italia

    (NLI Humor)
    Brandon Hayes, President of NLI, is an exceptional example of italian american capacity for stubborn persistence in matters of injustice, (ie: ‘being a dick’), beyond the capacity of all other ethnicities. And worse, he’s from the greater Boston region, which means the that “persistence” is at least squared, and and raised to an art form. I have never seen a judicial hierarchy look so incompetent in my life.
    (RE: demonstrating the failure of the judicial system by evading responsibility for settlement of disputes between the people and the state and its ‘ special interests’ (cronies) whenever possible.).
    I know Brandon’s long term objective is to train other groups to use Runcible, His method, and the courts to do the same. (It’s called ‘Lawfare’). But watching him develop it has been, let’s say, ‘educational’. 😉

    And… entertaining. 😉

    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-31 17:56:00 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017658135339798650

  • FYI: This is in our Wheelhouse as well if you need additional support. We’re The

    FYI: This is in our Wheelhouse as well if you need additional support.
    We’re The Natural Law Institute
    @NatLawInstitute
    . Contact Brandon Hayes.
    @ThruTheHayes

    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-30 05:35:58 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017109513195905168

  • TRADITIONAL MEDIA DEATH RATTLES You know, part of me enjoys the experience of th

    TRADITIONAL MEDIA DEATH RATTLES
    You know, part of me enjoys the experience of the slow death of traditional media, and the withering of their conspiracy of common interest in sedition as means of obtaining shekels for attention under the false pretense of virtue. Make the nitwittery feel good while undermining the institutions that makes their self-absorbed naivety possible and contributes to expansion of “Bowling Alone”.

    Watching the Washington Post try to recover has reached the point where it’s embarrassing, like an actor overplaying his mortal wound.

    The NY Times and the LA Times are suffering but I haven’t finished enjoying their mortification. So I hope it plays out a little longer. It gives us time to fantasize about what epitaph to carve into their arrogant headstones.

    CNN (Warner), NBC (Comcast), ABC (Disney), and CBS (paramount) all are merely prestige organizations, that break even or lose money.

    Link to Grok’s Report on their Financial Condition: (Meaning: Their Hospital Records):

    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-27 23:33:32 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016293526661898416

  • It has everything to do with it. The fact that you don’t comprehend it means tha

    It has everything to do with it. The fact that you don’t comprehend it means that you can’t explain what occurs as territories scale, infrastructure cost increases, regionalism is expressed, heterogeneity increases, conflict occurs, and military responsibility is born, and ideological competition (internal colonization) and religious colonization (islam, judaism) expand. The USA started out with four very different fundamentalist groups. That’s why the USA has a secular constitution – to allow fundamentalists to govern. Regardless the north consisted of small farms for domestic consumption, which evolved into industrialism and the south of large plantations with export commodities, and we had a civil war. At present we are heading toward another civil war. And those of us who do this for a living have been predicting around 2030 for it since the 90s. I was predicting earlier (i’m usually wrong on that) and others later. But given normal human cycles of economics, generations, and political reorganization we will have one if this president is unsuccessful in reorganization of the government, and american strategic defense, and repatriation of industry, and reduction of housing costs. If he cannot purge the accumulated corruption by the democratic party through their various NGOs and activist groups, then we will not recover our debth position , not have the growth, the turnover in the presidence will lead to attempted reversal, and we will have our warm civil war turn into a hot civil war.
    I”ve written on this topic enough elsewhere to have the FBI in my kitchen all too many times, assuming I’m advocating for it rather than trying to prevent it. My organization NLI seeks to prevent it.

    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-18 05:14:49 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012755537075810686