Theme: Incentives

  • OIL AT $35? I DON”T SEE THAT. I SEE 110. HELP? Russian Central Bank warns of ris

    OIL AT $35? I DON”T SEE THAT. I SEE 110. HELP?

    Russian Central Bank warns of risks for oil to drop to $35

    via PravdaReport

    Ksenia Yudaeva, first deputy chairwoman of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, said during her speech speech at the Council of Federation that the bank proceeds from its forecasts, in which Western sanctions against Russia are not going to be lifted. The risk scenario is based on expectations for the sanctions ti be tightened further during the upcoming years, while prices on oil are going to decline sharply.

    In the beginning of October 2018, the cost of a barrel of Russian Urals oil was fluctuating above the level of $80. The basic scenario of the Central Bank of Russia suggests the reduction of the cost of a barrel of Urals oil to an average of $55 in 2020-2021. For the risk scenario, the cost of a barrel of Urals may halve already in 2019. Such a decline will speed up inflation and halt the growth of Russia’s GDP.

    http://www.pravdareport.com/news/russia/economics/08-10-2018/141738-russian_central_bank-0/?utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fzen.yandex.com


    Source date (UTC): 2018-10-08 22:10:00 UTC

  • What Does Markets in Everything Mean?

    October 8th, 2018 3:09 PM WHAT DOES MARKETS IN EVERYTHING MEAN? (Literally Everything) Markets in everything: 1 – Association (Disassociation), 2 – Reproduction, (Families), 3 – Cooperation, (interpersonal, social), 4 – Production, (commercial), 6 – Commons, ( private and public ), 5 – Frames: Disciplines/Paradigms/Grammars (conceptual), ……(this is the hard one to get across that I’m not done with), 7 – Polities ( Institutions ), and; 8 – Warfare (Conflict and Defense ). I resort to using ‘everything’ to keep it simple. But maybe just enumerating all of them like I do everything else is better for clarity.

  • What Does Markets in Everything Mean?

    October 8th, 2018 3:09 PM WHAT DOES MARKETS IN EVERYTHING MEAN? (Literally Everything) Markets in everything: 1 – Association (Disassociation), 2 – Reproduction, (Families), 3 – Cooperation, (interpersonal, social), 4 – Production, (commercial), 6 – Commons, ( private and public ), 5 – Frames: Disciplines/Paradigms/Grammars (conceptual), ……(this is the hard one to get across that I’m not done with), 7 – Polities ( Institutions ), and; 8 – Warfare (Conflict and Defense ). I resort to using ‘everything’ to keep it simple. But maybe just enumerating all of them like I do everything else is better for clarity.

  • WHAT DOES MARKETS IN EVERYTHING MEAN? (Literally Everything) Markets in everythi

    WHAT DOES MARKETS IN EVERYTHING MEAN?

    (Literally Everything)

    Markets in everything:

    1 – Association (Disassociation),

    2 – Reproduction, (Families),

    3 – Cooperation, (interpersonal, social),

    4 – Production, (commercial),

    6 – Commons, ( private and public ),

    5 – Frames: Disciplines/Paradigms/Grammars (conceptual),

    ……(this is the hard one to get across that I’m not done with),

    7 – Polities ( Institutions ), and;

    8 – Warfare (Conflict and Defense ).

    I resort to using ‘everything’ to keep it simple. But maybe just enumerating all of them like I do everything else is better for clarity.


    Source date (UTC): 2018-10-08 15:09:00 UTC

  • Neither of the issues Stiglitz mentions will make any difference because the pro

    Neither of the issues Stiglitz mentions will make any difference because the problem we face is (a) human capital is no longer in reserve in europe, but underperforming from the third world, (b) we have concentrated all growth in a few immigrant cities that are all on the edge of bankruptcy, and these are so expensive they have become ovary graveyards; and (c) proximity creates hostility because of signaling competition and cannot be fixed. There is no reason that what failed in levantine/semitic civilization will not fail here in western civilization. (d) the reason that we are in decline is reproductive redistribution downward and a continuous drop in human capital because of it, and this is caused by (e) the consumption of all income produced the the addition of women into the workforce by taxation and redistribution to said underclasses, and (f) the financialization of the economy wherein trillions are extracted from working families but not under and upper classes, thereby creating the reproductive redistribution. On top of that (g) unions caused the industrial, technological, and job flight. GM alone is priced out of the market by intergenerational rents that cannot possibly be paid, and should never have been tolerated as a legal obligation.

    I can’t even believe he’s dishonest and incompetent enough to even make those two nonsense arguments.

    Hence why I write so much about economic pseudoscience, particularly via Krugman, Stiglitz, and DeLong.

    I am fairly sure they know what evil they do, and they do it precisely because it is evil.


    Source date (UTC): 2018-10-07 21:12:00 UTC

  • Yeah. Yeah. I know the china thing. It’s like old news. The problem is, Like, I

    Yeah. Yeah. I know the china thing. It’s like old news. The problem is, Like, I thought it would correct no later than 2010 or 2012. Now is 2018. So why isn’t it correcting? I mean, I don’t care about another ‘warning’ or ‘opinion’ or ‘woo wooo’ column on the Chinese economy. The answer is SO WHAT? If they don’t have a correction then why? If they are going to have a correction then why? I mean, what ‘limit’ will be hit that that causes the cascade? Because ‘well it usually happens this way’ is not a very good answer in economics. High causal density and all that kinda thing. OK? sigh….


    Source date (UTC): 2018-10-07 20:05:00 UTC

  • The difference between an Economic Historian (Conservative) and a Statistical Hi

    The difference between an Economic Historian (Conservative) and a Statistical Historian (Progressive),is the Economist grasps that man is unchanged, we have just shifted his incentives with temporary gains in wealth due to the windfall of the scientific and industrial revolution.


    Source date (UTC): 2018-10-07 13:52:57 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1048934205852471296

    Reply addressees: @sapinker

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1048781585577926657


    IN REPLY TO:

    @sapinker

    FBI 2017 Murder stats just released. Slight decrease in homicide rate after 2 years of increases. Now a bit less than 2008 rate (which was the lowest in 40 years). https://t.co/0mmKtJMugv

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1048781585577926657

  • Mandelbrot did wonderful work on the stock market and this effect. And it’s the

    Mandelbrot did wonderful work on the stock market and this effect. And it’s the best work I have seen: “All stock market activity is noise that reflects nothing but the discount rate moving through the economy.”


    Source date (UTC): 2018-10-07 00:45:04 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1048735929513467904

    Reply addressees: @SteveStuWill

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1048734589995442177


    IN REPLY TO:

    Unknown author

    @SteveStuWill Um … We have a tendency to seek patterns that allow us to predict future states. It’s all that hierarchies of neurons do. When we study continuous data over a long period of time we adjust. If the article suggests we can shortcut that process it’s hard to believe….

    Original post: https://x.com/i/web/status/1048734589995442177


    IN REPLY TO:

    @curtdoolittle

    @SteveStuWill Um … We have a tendency to seek patterns that allow us to predict future states. It’s all that hierarchies of neurons do. When we study continuous data over a long period of time we adjust. If the article suggests we can shortcut that process it’s hard to believe….

    Original post: https://x.com/i/web/status/1048734589995442177

  • You really need to walk that back, or the ‘Ooops’ that hits your revenues that y

    You really need to walk that back, or the ‘Ooops’ that hits your revenues that you’ve been worried about will come from the home team, not the opposition.


    Source date (UTC): 2018-10-07 00:10:42 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1048727278967033861

    Reply addressees: @jordanbpeterson

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1048681781103190016


    IN REPLY TO:

    @jordanbpeterson

    As I said, this could be wrong. https://t.co/2HGW6RqECu

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1048681781103190016

  • CURT: PLS DEFINE FINANCIAL PREDATIONISM —“Curt: Google returns precisely zero

    CURT: PLS DEFINE FINANCIAL PREDATIONISM

    —“Curt: Google returns precisely zero results for the term ‘financial predationism’. Can you explain it to me?”— Craig Tuohy

    The use of fiat… https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=301215510475346&id=100017606988153


    Source date (UTC): 2018-10-06 17:16:36 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1048623068258684928