Theme: Incentives

  • Founding Beliefs Were Not Universal (a) Man’s nature is not fixed but utilitaria

    Founding Beliefs Were Not Universal
    (a) Man’s nature is not fixed but utilitarian and adaptive and follows incentives – what is rational and advantageous varies by circumstance (b) reason accelerates adaptation and more so negotiation of adaptive cooperation at increasing scales (c) Man’s abilities, education, and experience are unequal – making incentives vary. (d) Man’s behavior then is not universal (a holdover from Christian universalism – not from European aristocratic tradition) but particular to the individual, to the sex, class, group, polity, and civilization that creates the portfolio of incentives man adapts to. (e) The founders were not bound by shared beliefs but shared problems and they represented a distribution usually described as Hamiltonian and Hobbes vs Jeffersonian and Locke, but is more varied on that spectrum.
    The cause of their generation’s myopia was the ratio of aristocracy (martial, governing) and nobility (clerical, administrative) proper, to the “lesser aristocracy” (Elites) that founded the country, to the emergent middle class due to expansion of trade during the age of sail, to the agrarian majority whether northern (small scale) family farmers or southern ‘industrial’ (large scale) plantation farmers. As class sizes change the realities and incentives of classes adapt – usually distributing influence (power) to alter outcomes across classes.
    Amplify their divisions by the fact that the continent was settled by four different fundamentalist groups from four different regions of Britain. This meant that the constitution had to be largely secular due to English (England, Wales, Scotland) tradition on the one hand and in order to mediate differences between sectarian justifications on the other. It was not just a matter of enlightenment prose but incentives. It’s also why the constitution was written in both English and German – because of the large number of Germans in the population.
    I’m not really trying to overthrow any argument here other than the presumption of a shared mind and set of beliefs, rather than shared interest given the incentives of the time, and the rather natural outcome of legal prose that sought to mediate differences between the parties founding the federation.


    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-23 16:30:59 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2025971661485531642

  • (Most of the problem in adjudication of cases is the detection of truth/deceptio

    (Most of the problem in adjudication of cases is the detection of truth/deception/falsehood and exposing the incentives of the humans involved. Judges have gone downhill since the seventies in particular because of leftist activism penetrating the universities. The judges and lawyers are no longer officers of the court, preserving the cooperation of the population within the state and its natural law, legislation and regulation, but activists trying to undermine the constitution and our laws because of the dozen or so holes in it. (Holes our organization fills). )


    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-15 01:26:16 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022844880771510491

  • Codex eats claude code for lunch. So this ‘back and forth’ tells us nothing othe

    Codex eats claude code for lunch.
    So this ‘back and forth’ tells us nothing other than ‘there are no moats, there are not competitive advantages, it’s merely who can generate R&D cash the longest. Darwinian selection at its best.”


    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-14 00:37:32 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022470226265391219

  • That’s straight thinking. But I’ll give you a suggestion: there is no moat. They

    That’s straight thinking. But I’ll give you a suggestion: there is no moat. They have no competitive advantage. AI will be as commoditized as email. We will all pay for hardware devices once prices come down further and all have our own AI’s probably on our phones, and there will be no money to be made by these large companies so much as they will serve large corporate and government clients like amazon and microsoft do today.
    Prices are collapsing, data center expansion is being reduced. That’s because they already know.
    The problem is they can’t afford to not play the game.


    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-03 19:04:22 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018762503661203596

  • DON’T TAKE AI FOUNDATION MODEL CEO’s TOO SERIOUSLY I’d counsel against taking AI

    DON’T TAKE AI FOUNDATION MODEL CEO’s TOO SERIOUSLY
    I’d counsel against taking AI company leads terribly seriously when it comes to the economy. Most of it is motivated reasoning and attention seeking to cover their vast losses while keeping the financial markets betting on them. And while AI will have greater military consequences, robotics will have greater economic consequences. And even if we are to see unemployment rise from AI, solving the problem is a relatively easy opportunity for good, and civilizations have done so repeatedly in history. Periods of great architecture, art, infrastructure, technology, and science are often the product of shifting a polity and economy from individual consumption to collective production of commons that increase the quality of life for all.
    We have exhausted consumption as an economic vehicle and descended into consumption as a signaling method. It’s one of the sources of our political problems. Shifting to producing commons can restore unity in a population.


    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-03 16:06:34 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018717760956842270

  • I have faith in people having incentives to fix what is not working because not

    I have faith in people having incentives to fix what is not working because not doing so is terrifying. It has precious little to do with venture capitalists and philanthropists.


    Source date (UTC): 2026-02-03 08:03:42 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018596240632729874

  • Ok. You’re a decent person from what I can gather and morally aligned. But you a

    Ok. You’re a decent person from what I can gather and morally aligned. But you are making a common mistake in attributing intent to what is a convergence of incentives in order to direct your anger to something simple: people, instead of the actual problem: the incentives.

    Now, the feminine mind does this because it has no choice. The masculine mind does this only when it either doesn’t yet understand or is so angry it wants a target to rage against.

    I sense your rage but that does not mean it’s correctly targeted. Yes people need to be removed. Yes we need to alter the incentives. How can we do those two things rather than simply rage against individuals who are a product of systemic incentives?


    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-30 23:46:12 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017383880492494950

  • False. The don’t have to buy them. They only have to generate demand to rent the

    False. The don’t have to buy them. They only have to generate demand to rent them. And they do.

    And it’s kind of hard to imagine you are willing to comment on the subject yet didn’t find obvious that conclusion – unless you’re posturing or lying outright under motivated reasoning.


    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-30 16:50:49 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017279344884994309

  • I sort of have this opinion that if you’re not libertarian when young that you m

    I sort of have this opinion that if you’re not libertarian when young that you might not be so great a conservative when you mature. The reason is that it teaches you economics and gives you a logic of human behavior. Conservatives remain inarticulate prisoners of both their own normativity and historical moral narratives without the ability to speak scientifically about behavior.

    Since I’m a hayekian more so than a misesian or rothbardian (urbanite, ghettos), and since I’m an anglo (island empire) and not a german (continental city states) I tend to think of each of us trying to solve the problem of the state in the context of our three histories.

    And I attribute my libertarianism to a search for a formal logic of economics, social science and law. I found it there but it was wrong. So … in finding what was wrong I discovered what was right.

    Thanks for sharing the journey.
    -hugs
    CD


    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-24 20:04:59 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015153878539657302

  • I am a very successful negotiator. I understand what he is doing, why it works,

    I am a very successful negotiator. I understand what he is doing, why it works, and why the consequences are beneficial either way. The USA cannot subsidize world defense any longer.


    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-18 22:37:35 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013017956616458567