Theme: Crisis

  • We Need a New Order

    Feb 24, 2020, 7:38 PM

    —“So by the end of this century, as little as 1/5 of the population of the presently-industrialized world could be responsible for perhaps (my number) 85% of productivity, living in physical comfort but shunted into an ever-tighter technical labor market requiring career dedication to stay ahead in (hence out of the underclass), while also keeping its boot on the neck of the other Westerners that (literally) couldn’t learn to code, and an eye on the roiling Third World population at the same time?”—Stan De Santis

    Correct. The consumption led capitalist order cannot persist. The redistributive socialist order cannot persist. We need a new order. That’s what I’m suggesting. Shifting from single to multiple economies.

  • Libertarianism Is Evolving Into Propertarianism (Sovereigntarianism)

    Mar 26, 2020, 12:30 PM “Freedom and Liberty are had by permission, sovereignty is a fact.”

    —“Libertarianism ain’t gonna survive this crisis. It will be seen as, not just foolish, but shockingly immoral when this is over.”—Spencer —“It’s going to evolve into Propertarianism. You two should debate about this, I’m serious.”—Dark Horse

    The structure and development of the human brain forces three classes of people, demanding different means of understanding and incentive: empathic (religious, secular religious – demand), balanced (pragmatic – follow ), and intellectual (executive – operational). The faithful use the feminine theological demand, Richard uses the masculine secular-theological demand, Greg uses the pragmatic intuitive, the civnats the pragmatic, and the executive use the empirical military and law. These are rough class diffs reflecting power structures. The failure of the theological and secular theological programs are obvious. We are in the process of seeing the failure of the civnat belief system. So that leaves the provision of material incentives and an operational means of achieving them by non-majoritarian means. What’s necessary for action is for the theological, secular theological, and pragmatic leaderships to recognize that they can only act on the ACTIONABLE rather than the intuitive and inspirational – and those incentives are material, familial, social, and political. I cannot, have no interest in, and no time to, inspire the theological, or secular theological (meaning emotional) with sophistry. There is only one way out of our condition and only three choices: conquest, separatism, or defeat. That choice is determined by numbers leaders recruit. In the last revolution I was ‘involved’ in, the feminine religious mass in the face of the government, the civnats supply them, and fight. And the hard liners take on the strong points. The executive make demands. They do it TOGETHER. There is only one operational solution to our condition because the world runs on the military, economy to fund it, bureaucracy to operate it, and laws to manage it. There is only one permanent way of ending the strategy of the enemy both within our people and without: the law. Libertarianism was always a cowardly pacifism. There is only one source of liberty: sovereignty created by men who fight to construct it – and to construct it with rules: Law. The rest is just toggling between distributive, market, martial government as needed in circumstance Libertarians are beggars – boys begging men to fight for them.

  • Libertarianism Is Evolving Into Propertarianism (Sovereigntarianism)

    Mar 26, 2020, 12:30 PM “Freedom and Liberty are had by permission, sovereignty is a fact.”

    —“Libertarianism ain’t gonna survive this crisis. It will be seen as, not just foolish, but shockingly immoral when this is over.”—Spencer —“It’s going to evolve into Propertarianism. You two should debate about this, I’m serious.”—Dark Horse

    The structure and development of the human brain forces three classes of people, demanding different means of understanding and incentive: empathic (religious, secular religious – demand), balanced (pragmatic – follow ), and intellectual (executive – operational). The faithful use the feminine theological demand, Richard uses the masculine secular-theological demand, Greg uses the pragmatic intuitive, the civnats the pragmatic, and the executive use the empirical military and law. These are rough class diffs reflecting power structures. The failure of the theological and secular theological programs are obvious. We are in the process of seeing the failure of the civnat belief system. So that leaves the provision of material incentives and an operational means of achieving them by non-majoritarian means. What’s necessary for action is for the theological, secular theological, and pragmatic leaderships to recognize that they can only act on the ACTIONABLE rather than the intuitive and inspirational – and those incentives are material, familial, social, and political. I cannot, have no interest in, and no time to, inspire the theological, or secular theological (meaning emotional) with sophistry. There is only one way out of our condition and only three choices: conquest, separatism, or defeat. That choice is determined by numbers leaders recruit. In the last revolution I was ‘involved’ in, the feminine religious mass in the face of the government, the civnats supply them, and fight. And the hard liners take on the strong points. The executive make demands. They do it TOGETHER. There is only one operational solution to our condition because the world runs on the military, economy to fund it, bureaucracy to operate it, and laws to manage it. There is only one permanent way of ending the strategy of the enemy both within our people and without: the law. Libertarianism was always a cowardly pacifism. There is only one source of liberty: sovereignty created by men who fight to construct it – and to construct it with rules: Law. The rest is just toggling between distributive, market, martial government as needed in circumstance Libertarians are beggars – boys begging men to fight for them.

  • Lessons Learned from This Month’s Crisis

    Mar 26, 2020, 12:57 PM There is nothing brilliant to be learned from the virus other than the fact that the government and bureaucracy failed again, by regulating during a stable market such that they created fragility (as always) during a panic market – thereby eliminating the european advantage (OODA LOOP) of dynamic adaptation to catastrophes crises, shocks, and changes. (see p on the european group strategy of markets in everything) We learned that the FDA and CDC followed the Department of Education into a failure of their core mission – because all bureaucracies expand work to fill available time, and expand rent seeking and privilege to the point of fragility. We will likely fail again to learn the lesson that regulation without clauses for crisis variation is less effective than threat of punishment. (see p on adaptive government) We learned that high corporate taxes, regulations, and unions drove production of strategic industries overseas so that they cannot be mobilized for non-market use in a crisis. (see p on full accounting by rule of law rather than free trade) We learned that once mobilized the private sector can adapt more rapidly than the public sector because it is NOT hierarchical. (see p on multiple economies rather than monolithic economy) We learned that the democratic party will do anything for power, just as the republican party will do anything to deny the left power – and we learned as we did in the impeachment that the democratic elites are underclass, jewish or female and the republican elites are middle class european or male. (see p on individual accountability of legislators) We learned that almost no one (other than the president business leaders, financial leadership) grasps that if the USA falls into depression that the whole world will collapse like a stone, and that we are fulfilling the cyclical predication that it will result in world scale warfare as states seize opportunities in duress that they could not seize in a period of stability and wealth creation. We learned that the press remains the enemy of the american people and that this crisis will possibly be their last gasp. (see p on accountability of the press in public speech) We learned that the Chinese as always practice face regardless of costs and we pay for it. (see p on foreign accountability for public speech in matters of the commons) We learned that globalization is over. (see p on universal nationalism) We learned that this disease will most likely be with us like the seasonal flu until there is a vaccine, but that unlike the seasonal flu, if we survive it, we are scarred by it. We learned that we will be in some sort of crisis through August just in time for the hate-meter to break the scales in the fall election cycle. And we learned that the Overton window is in a whirlpool that none of us can predict. (See p constitution for a western renaissance)

  • Lessons Learned from This Month’s Crisis

    Mar 26, 2020, 12:57 PM There is nothing brilliant to be learned from the virus other than the fact that the government and bureaucracy failed again, by regulating during a stable market such that they created fragility (as always) during a panic market – thereby eliminating the european advantage (OODA LOOP) of dynamic adaptation to catastrophes crises, shocks, and changes. (see p on the european group strategy of markets in everything) We learned that the FDA and CDC followed the Department of Education into a failure of their core mission – because all bureaucracies expand work to fill available time, and expand rent seeking and privilege to the point of fragility. We will likely fail again to learn the lesson that regulation without clauses for crisis variation is less effective than threat of punishment. (see p on adaptive government) We learned that high corporate taxes, regulations, and unions drove production of strategic industries overseas so that they cannot be mobilized for non-market use in a crisis. (see p on full accounting by rule of law rather than free trade) We learned that once mobilized the private sector can adapt more rapidly than the public sector because it is NOT hierarchical. (see p on multiple economies rather than monolithic economy) We learned that the democratic party will do anything for power, just as the republican party will do anything to deny the left power – and we learned as we did in the impeachment that the democratic elites are underclass, jewish or female and the republican elites are middle class european or male. (see p on individual accountability of legislators) We learned that almost no one (other than the president business leaders, financial leadership) grasps that if the USA falls into depression that the whole world will collapse like a stone, and that we are fulfilling the cyclical predication that it will result in world scale warfare as states seize opportunities in duress that they could not seize in a period of stability and wealth creation. We learned that the press remains the enemy of the american people and that this crisis will possibly be their last gasp. (see p on accountability of the press in public speech) We learned that the Chinese as always practice face regardless of costs and we pay for it. (see p on foreign accountability for public speech in matters of the commons) We learned that globalization is over. (see p on universal nationalism) We learned that this disease will most likely be with us like the seasonal flu until there is a vaccine, but that unlike the seasonal flu, if we survive it, we are scarred by it. We learned that we will be in some sort of crisis through August just in time for the hate-meter to break the scales in the fall election cycle. And we learned that the Overton window is in a whirlpool that none of us can predict. (See p constitution for a western renaissance)

  • Denial or Hope? 😉

    Mar 29, 2020, 11:08 AM

    —“It’s amazing how few people have really internalised what is coming in the next month. Especially in the US. Not the human damage or the economic damage that is coming.”– Iron Economist — “I’m pretty terrified but I think people many people are in a state of hopeful denial”-JayMan @JayMan471

    I’m not in hopeful denial. I’m just hopeful that the false promise of the 20th is over. The century of utopian pseudoscience, sophistry, and darwinian-denial is done. It may be an ‘expensive correction’. But it’s better than the alternatives.

  • Denial or Hope? 😉

    Mar 29, 2020, 11:08 AM

    —“It’s amazing how few people have really internalised what is coming in the next month. Especially in the US. Not the human damage or the economic damage that is coming.”– Iron Economist — “I’m pretty terrified but I think people many people are in a state of hopeful denial”-JayMan @JayMan471

    I’m not in hopeful denial. I’m just hopeful that the false promise of the 20th is over. The century of utopian pseudoscience, sophistry, and darwinian-denial is done. It may be an ‘expensive correction’. But it’s better than the alternatives.

  • Market timing is impossible. But Antifragility is NOT.

    Mar 29, 2020, 11:32 AM

    Ok. So using civilizational development, demographic, generational, technological, and business cycles I’ve been within a month or two of every major correction (opportunity exhaustion) since I started working (except china). Market timing is impossible. But Antifragility is NOT.

  • Market timing is impossible. But Antifragility is NOT.

    Mar 29, 2020, 11:32 AM

    Ok. So using civilizational development, demographic, generational, technological, and business cycles I’ve been within a month or two of every major correction (opportunity exhaustion) since I started working (except china). Market timing is impossible. But Antifragility is NOT.

  • But Crisis Isn’t a Matter of Consumption

    Denied Lifesaving Care Under These Plans as Coronavirus Spreads — ProPublica propublica.org

    —“Alabama’s disaster preparedness plan says that “persons with severe mental retardation, advanced dementia or severe traumatic brain injury may be poor candidates for ventilator support.” https://propub.li/2JihhRY”— —“This is eugenics.”—Jeet Heer @HeerJeet

    You say that like it’s a bad thing rather than the correct thing to do. “Equality” is a means of directing resources to care rather than consumption. But this isn’t a matter of consumption but of survival of human capital. If you say otherwise you’re unfit for public speech.