Theme: Crisis

  • Vapid. The problem is the intersection of inflation vs interest rates to suppres

    Vapid.
    The problem is the intersection of inflation vs interest rates to suppress it, and no possibility of buyback from the treasury on 2% securities that they can re-issue at 5%. This would prevent both SVB failure AND contagion because it was a simple liquidity problem caused by the delta in interest rates due to the killing of the bond market by the treasury by increasing interest rates. I don’t see distortion out there. I see debt out there. But not distortion.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 15:28:42 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634939479331860482

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634937059256446978

  • Vapid. The problem is the intersection of inflation vs interest rates to suppres

    Vapid.
    The problem is the intersection of inflation vs interest rates to suppress it, and no possibility of buyback from the treasury on 2% securities that they can re-issue at 5%. This would prevent both SVB failure AND contagion because it was a simple liquidity problem caused by the delta in interest rates due to the killing of the bond market by the treasury by increasing interest rates. I don’t see distortion out there. I see debt out there. But not distortion.

    Reply addressees: @MikeHuez


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 15:28:42 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634939479239585792

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634937059256446978

  • CLEAR EXPLANATINO OF WHY SVB GOT HIT. (“A bit of a management judgement, combine

    CLEAR EXPLANATINO OF WHY SVB GOT HIT.
    (“A bit of a management judgement, combined with wrong place at wrong time so to speak”)
    Again, I’m just using this as an example of why I’ve suggested accounting and reporting reform. Not so much because people are https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1qNAPVx8A4…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-12 00:54:39 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634719518571282432

  • Yes but thats (by political means) correctable by the congress, treasury and the

    Yes but thats (by political means) correctable by the congress, treasury and the fed. There is a difference between catastrophic employment and home price crashing, and simply moving the time and rate of interest.

    Had we acted teh contagion wouldn’t have spread.

    We knew how to…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-11 21:26:47 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634667205118816256

    Reply addressees: @danieleripoll @shutter_butter @PeterSchiff

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634258884973191168

  • Yes but thats (by political means) correctable by the congress, treasury and the

    Yes but thats (by political means) correctable by the congress, treasury and the fed. There is a difference between catastrophic employment and home price crashing, and simply moving the time and rate of interest.

    Had we acted teh contagion wouldn’t have spread.

    We knew how to fix 08 (or at least for or five of us did) but the congress wouldn’t go for it. We can fix this one as well. And I’m not so confident that the congress will risist this time.

    IQ loss in congresss every decade isn’t helping anything.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-11 21:26:46 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634667205018132482

  • HOW TO FIX OUR DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIAL COLLAPSE? Of the four candidates for our d

    HOW TO FIX OUR DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIAL COLLAPSE?
    Of the four candidates for our demographic, economic, political, and geostrategic collapse: a) the pill, b) abortion, d) women in education and workforce, e) immigration of underclasses, the data is very clear, that it’s women in education and the work force.

    While you’d easily blame pill and abortion, and replacement immigration, the cause is i) college education and ii) workforce participation and iii) debt created by college education and iv) export of traditionally male jobs, v) women replacing men in ‘easy’ clerical jobs and ‘feminizing’ the workplaces – and reinforcing female ‘culture’ of these ‘non-reproducing’ norms.

    And if we look at the data, it’s that many more women are having no children, not necessarily fewer children. And so the trigger for women producing replacement reproduction is the first child. After having the first child, each subsequent child is marginally less impactful.

    The solution would, in theory, be simple: women have children before college in exchange for our paying for
    their college.

    To make this possible requires altering our education system for life preparation more than babysitting and indoctrination.

    And as a side benefit, marrying mating and reproducing young 17-23, especially while living with parents, makes use of your maximum adaptation to another person for the purpose of creating a sustainable family and high investment parenting.

    But what’s college for? To find a mate. How can we alter that demand? Easily. Move ‘college’ to grade 10. (For those of us with private school educations we know how that game works.)

    And no this isn’t a question of whether men have control of their bodies when called to war or women have control of their bodies when called to mother hood. It’s simply the fact that we need reproduction like we need work economies, and taxes to survive.

    Lots more to clarify here but it saturday morning and I’m looking at my coffee and bagel.

    Cheers


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-11 15:15:08 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634573678070382592

  • HOW TO FIX OUR DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIAL COLLAPSE? Of the four candidates for our d

    HOW TO FIX OUR DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIAL COLLAPSE?
    Of the four candidates for our demographic, economic, political, and geostrategic collapse: a) the pill, b) abortion, d) women in education and workforce, e) immigration of underclasses, the data is very clear, that it’s women in education and the work force.

    While you’d easily blame pill and abortion, and replacement immigration, the cause is i) college education and ii) workforce participation and iii) debt created by college education and iv) export of traditionally male jobs, v) women replacing men in ‘easy’ clerical jobs and ‘feminizing’ the workplaces – and reinforcing female ‘culture’ of these ‘non-reproducing’ norms.

    And if we look at the data, it’s that many more women are having no children, not necessarily fewer children. And so the trigger for women producing replacement reproduction is the first child. After having the first child, each subsequent child is marginally less impactful.

    The solution would, in theory, be simple: women have children before college in exchange for our paying for
    their college.

    To make this possible requires altering our education system for life preparation more than babysitting and indoctrination.

    And as a side benefit, marrying mating and reproducing young 17-23, especially while living with parents, makes use of your maximum adaptation to another person for the purpose of creating a sustainable family and high investment parenting.

    But what’s college for? To find a mate. How can we alter that demand? Easily. Move ‘college’ to grade 10. (For those of us with private school educations we know how that game works.)

    And no this isn’t a question of whether men have control of their bodies when called to war or women have control of their bodies when called to mother hood. It’s simply the fact that we need reproduction like we need work economies, and taxes to survive.

    Lots more to clarify here but it saturday morning and I’m looking at my coffee and bagel.

    Cheers


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-11 15:15:08 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634573677877501954

  • I think china is willing to do more and endure more suffering than peter does. A

    I think china is willing to do more and endure more suffering than peter does. And I think Xi needs to die before it will improve. So, I agree with the popoulation collapse, that’s obvious, but what I’m not sure abuot is what they’ll do.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-11 03:45:31 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634400132065116161

    Reply addressees: @kanukistani

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634398730769035265

  • THE USA’S POSTWAR STRATEGY AND THE REASON FOR WITHDRAWAL FROM IT #geostrategy #w

    THE USA’S POSTWAR STRATEGY AND THE REASON FOR WITHDRAWAL FROM IT
    #geostrategy #war #crisis #explanations

    … The USA entered the world wars with the understanding that the age of empires was creating monopolies and war, rather than markets and peace between countries.

    The US postwar policy was:
    … 1) to prevent another world war by creating open markets to raise undeveloped countries into prosperity, dependent upon each other for trade, and incentivized to be ‘good world citizens’.
    … 2) to prevent the formation of or expansion of empires that prohibited free trade and led to the world wars.
    … 3) to prevent local wars by limiting governments to economic development, human rights, and respect for borders.
    … 4) to ensure petroleum was available to world markets;
    … 5) to ensure communism did not spread to the middle east or the rest of the world, and threaten all of the above, restoring empires and destroying free trade.
    … 6) And once Islamist theoreticians learned from the communists and imitated the communists then we were stuck in the same position. With Islamic terrorism instead of the communist terrorism of the previous generations.
    … 7) And we sacrificed so much to raise china, and they turned on us.
    … 8) There are only three hostile empires with imperial ambitions, trying to overthrow world free trade and the US attempt to prevent more world wars: Russia, Iran, and China.
    … 8) And we have hurt our economy, hurt our lower and middle class and lost our people in world conflicts trying to do so.

    SO;
    … a) This strategy raised the world out of ignorance poverty starvation and disease.
    … b) Was the USA clear about it instead of wrapping it in ‘democracy’ nonsense? No.
    … c) Was the USA consistent in the application? No.
    … d) Did the USA make mistakes in doing so? Very much so.

    AND;
    … Do we know why the USA made mistakes? In retrospect, yes. The modern state invented by england, consisting of rule of law, constitution, and participatory government, requires the prior formation of:
    … a) nationalism over tribalism or familism.
    … b) a universal military service, and franchise with rigorous training and indoctrination that institutionalized that nationalism.
    … c) a constitution, rule of law, and judiciary from that military that can reliably punish crime, corruption, and sedition. And a police (Sherrif) force that enforces it.
    … d) a majority middle class because of that success fully production of rule of law by that judiciary
    … e) and most difficult of all, a population with an IQ sufficient to create a majority middle-class polity. And that right there … that’s the problem.

    THE RESULT;
    … We tried to spread a high-trust, 100+ IQ political system. While it was possible in India because of the caste system and hindu religion, despite an IQ 85 population. When we tried to spread it to 85(MENA) and 75(AFRICA) with LOW TRUST, familial, tribal, or fundamentalist civilizations it’s impossible.
    … So that is why we gave up on modernizing the world, the same way we gave up on colonizing and governing the world. Because outside of east Asian and Europe, the populations of the world do not have a demographic distribution capable of an economy sufficient to form a majority middle class on world markets, that can succeed by free trade.
    … Instead, those countries fight us at every opportunity.
    … And so the USA is withdrawing from our mission to raise the world into modernity, because the world is unfit for it.
    … And so the world needs multi-polarity, where we have advanced federations of ever-developing countries, less advanced stagnant authoritarian countries, and far less advanced impoverished despotic countries.
    … And when we stop defending world trade at least two billion people that we have raised out of poverty will die of starvation. And another billion of war. And we, on our oceans, and our islands will be just fine.

    I hope this helps.
    Curt Doolittle
    The Natural Law Institute


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-11 01:13:41 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634361921682931712

  • THE USA’S POSTWAR STRATEGY AND THE REASON FOR WITHDRAWAL FROM IT #geostrategy #w

    THE USA’S POSTWAR STRATEGY AND THE REASON FOR WITHDRAWAL FROM IT
    #geostrategy #war #crisis #explanations

    … The USA entered the world wars with the understanding that the age of empires was creating monopolies and war, rather than markets and peace between countries.

    The US postwar policy was:
    … 1) to prevent another world war by creating open markets to raise undeveloped countries into prosperity, dependent upon each other for trade, and incentivized to be ‘good world citizens’.
    … 2) to prevent the formation of or expansion of empires that prohibited free trade and led to the world wars.
    … 3) to prevent local wars by limiting governments to economic development, human rights, and respect for borders.
    … 4) to ensure petroleum was available to world markets;
    … 5) to ensure communism did not spread to the middle east or the rest of the world, and threaten all of the above, restoring empires and destroying free trade.
    … 6) And once Islamist theoreticians learned from the communists and imitated the communists then we were stuck in the same position. With Islamic terrorism instead of the communist terrorism of the previous generations.
    … 7) And we sacrificed so much to raise china, and they turned on us.
    … 8) There are only three hostile empires with imperial ambitions, trying to overthrow world free trade and the US attempt to prevent more world wars: Russia, Iran, and China.
    … 8) And we have hurt our economy, hurt our lower and middle class and lost our people in world conflicts trying to do so.

    SO;
    … a) This strategy raised the world out of ignorance poverty starvation and disease.
    … b) Was the USA clear about it instead of wrapping it in ‘democracy’ nonsense? No.
    … c) Was the USA consistent in the application? No.
    … d) Did the USA make mistakes in doing so? Very much so.

    AND;
    … Do we know why the USA made mistakes? In retrospect, yes. The modern state invented by england, consisting of rule of law, constitution, and participatory government, requires the prior formation of:
    … a) nationalism over tribalism or familism.
    … b) a universal military service, and franchise with rigorous training and indoctrination that institutionalized that nationalism.
    … c) a constitution, rule of law, and judiciary from that military that can reliably punish crime, corruption, and sedition. And a police (Sherrif) force that enforces it.
    … d) a majority middle class because of that success fully production of rule of law by that judiciary
    … e) and most difficult of all, a population with an IQ sufficient to create a majority middle-class polity. And that right there … that’s the problem.

    THE RESULT;
    … We tried to spread a high-trust, 100+ IQ political system. While it was possible in India because of the caste system and hindu religion, despite an IQ 85 population. When we tried to spread it to 85(MENA) and 75(AFRICA) with LOW TRUST, familial, tribal, or fundamentalist civilizations it’s impossible.
    … So that is why we gave up on modernizing the world, the same way we gave up on colonizing and governing the world. Because outside of east Asian and Europe, the populations of the world do not have a demographic distribution capable of an economy sufficient to form a majority middle class on world markets, that can succeed by free trade.
    … Instead, those countries fight us at every opportunity.
    … And so the USA is withdrawing from our mission to raise the world into modernity, because the world is unfit for it.
    … And so the world needs multi-polarity, where we have advanced federations of ever-developing countries, less advanced stagnant authoritarian countries, and far less advanced impoverished despotic countries.
    … And when we stop defending world trade at least two billion people that we have raised out of poverty will die of starvation. And another billion of war. And we, on our oceans, and our islands will be just fine.

    I hope this helps.
    Curt Doolittle
    The Natural Law Institute


    Source date (UTC): 2023-03-11 01:13:41 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1634361921292861441