Theme: Crisis

  • DIDN’T WANT TO RAIN ON THE PARADE (UNTIL NOW) #RussiaUkraineWar But RU weaponiza

    DIDN’T WANT TO RAIN ON THE PARADE (UNTIL NOW)
    #RussiaUkraineWar
    But RU weaponization of radiation from the Zaporizhia power plant will irradiate the conquered territories rendering them uninhabitable while the RU tolerate the losses and wait for their (presumed) exhaustion of the west, failure of democratic governments, and the impossibility of recovery of the UA economy and her people. RU can afford to win by affording to lose more longer.

    Some of us think like this. I certainly do. We just don’t do it. As Machiavelli warned, never let your morals influence your prediction of possibilities, because morality is only for you and your own – international warfare is an immoral enterprise….

    I haven’t said anhything because I assumed back-channel threats would be sufficient. But given recent events I think that possibility is exhausted. Exacerbating russia’s position as a pariah will acclerate putin’s attempt to re-militarize the polity and the economy.

    And there is too little opposition (without assasinating him) to produce any alternative outcome.

    Dictators are bad for two reasons: no checks and balances on stupid ideas, and total conversion of all relationships to yes men.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-04 23:19:17 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1676367616510685184

  • Q: WHY IS ISLAM INCOMPATIBLE WITH MODERNITY, EAST ASIAN, AND WESTERN CIVILIZATIO

    Q: WHY IS ISLAM INCOMPATIBLE WITH MODERNITY, EAST ASIAN, AND WESTERN CIVILIZATION?
    (Response to @_faraharif)

    The Cause of Western Decadence – And Just Resistance to it.
    The obscenity in the west is new, and was introduced as part of the jewish marxist project and it’s deliberate ‘march through the institutions of western cultural production’.
    Just as that same program has destroyed our universities and education system – at least in the non-sciences – with a century of pseudoscientists beginning with freud, boaz, marx, more seriously with rez, kelsen, and dwarkin, and continuing today with zinn and harari. And we have multiple jewish institutions that seek to destroy all remnants of western civilization by the same means that islam destroys and shames businesses into respecting the primitivism in islam: The Anti-Defamation Leaque, the Southern Poverty Law Center, and hundreds of others both new and captured.

    I won’t cover the jewish war on the west out of their envy in detail here because others have in volumes, but we believe (hope) we are at the end of tolerance for the neoMarxist-to-Woke project just as we were at the end of the previous Marxist project decades earliers. Our civilization does not ‘hold down change’ as does islam, we tolerate until we can’t then we reform in the opposite direction, as the victorians rebeled against the decadence of the Edwardians, and the protestants against the corruption and decadence of the catholics.

    That jewish-marxist march through our institutions was just as organized and dedicated as the current islamist intention to march through european demographics government, and institutions of cultrual production – detroying one more civilization on top of the seven other great civilizations that have fallen to islamic ignorance and violence, reducing those great lost civilizations to dust.

    Unfortunately, because of our western high trust and high tolerance, we are extremely good at science, commerce, and war – the masculine truths – but we are not prepared for this level of sedition – the feminine lies – just as our ancestors were not prepared for Christian sedition against the Greco-Roman empires.

    Islam’s Difficulty With Moderinity (European Restoration)
    As for Islam’s challenge with post-abrahamism in the west that we call modernity – but it’s just the restoration of Greco-Roman reason, the problem of modernisty is truth, trust, cooperation, complexity, and scale. Islamic civ is low trust, still admires bargaining, cheating, lying, does not hold to promise or contract, is profoundly corrupt, hostile to truth and science, and unable to construct large complex organizations of production or politics – and the religion and the culture promote ignorance and obedience and always have since the switch to fundamentalism in the tenth century, ending the promise the persians had brought to the islamic unificaiton of territories, and the persian search for knowledge.

    This set of events and conditions is partly due to the very low IQ in the south eurasia (84) leaving more than half the population mentally unfit for continous employment in modern civilization, only a fraction 7% (over 105) capable of holding responsibility in modern industrial technological economies, and far too small a fraction, under 2% (over 115), intellectually capable of modern thought.

    Though, despite these small numbers, we have seen the ethnic persians and the egyptians and the european turkic peoples produce an educated legal, commercial, and engineering class if not a scientific and intellectual class.

    And worse, that means means severe authoritarian religions are more useful than any other form of social and political organization, simply because the vast majority of the population is not capable of self regulation by any higher means of organization.

    Islam’s Answer to Intelligence
    Islamic religion does take a different route to producing social order instead of reason and european INNOVATIVE AND ADAPTIVE incentives: that is, that conscientiousness is the alternative to intelligence. And the purpose of islam is to teach people who could not otherwise be conscientious to act conscientiously by extreme indoctrination and continuous reinforcement, producing a promise of equality that sedates the feelling of inferiority of those who are by all measures, less able.

    European civilization is too emotionally, psychologically, and intellectually demanding for people unfit for it. And our own low trust people (the greeks (92IQ) southern italians (90IQ) and sicilians (89IQ) can’t even compete – we just do our best to ‘subsidize’ them.)

    So Conscientiousness was the solution islam provided to the superiority of the indo european (persian and european) peoples. Conscientiousness is enough, because persistence over time is enough. It is not enough to advance. But it is enough to compete, and ‘keep at bay’. And better: it is the only means of defeating a superior foe: undermining, sedition, and treasing by baiting their inferiors into the promise of no longer being inferiors. That’s islams promise, just like it was christianity’s promise.

    Conclusion
    So with that understanding in hand, Islam is not compatible with modern advanced civilization and as such is not compatible with east asian and european civilization. But that reason is because europeans (100IQ) and east asians (105IQ) are as far advanced above the muslim populations as MENA is versus subsaharan africa (70IQ).

    China understands this. They are not optimistic, not christian, not tolerant. They have fought hordes of inferiors for thousands of years. The west is learning once again that we are incompatible with the orient (MENA) and that while we may cooperate economically, we cannot cohabitate socially and politically. Because Muslims(MENA, south eurasians) like the Africans cannot compete against europeans or east asians, and are forever an underclass – and no group’s self image can tolerate inferiority in proximity to superiority.

    We are currently absorbing the jews at high cost, and they will disappear outside of their fundamentalists by the end of the century. But they are also an intellectual people who can be reformed. We can absorb some number of the south eurasian educated classes. But we cannot absob the vast hordes of the incompetent classes.

    And I expect that the present revolt against muslims in europe will continue util we have another forcible conversion or expulsiion as we did the previous times islam made inroads in our civilization.

    Closing
    I don’t make the laws of the universe (and the universe’s god). I just write them down and communicate them because lying is hostile to man’s transcendency under those laws of the universe (and the universe’s god). I’m profoundly aware of the truth, and the abrahamic method of deceit, undermining, sedition, and treason to overcome their enviy of their betters.

    European tradition is the battle between order and chaos. The Persian-Semitic Monotheistic tradition invented the battle between good and evil instead – missing the whole point: truth and trust are necessary for order and order is necessary for prosperity.

    –“In the battle between good and evil, if there is one, we know the name of the devil. His name was Abraham. He was from Ur. And the Jews and Arabs are his soldiers. And their lies and false promises are their doctrine.”–

    I’m sure this lesson is painful.

    We do not have prophets (liars) – only philosophers and scientists (testifiers). But the wisdom I have written here is in the languge of nature and nature’s god: truth before face.

    Cheers

    Curt Doolittle
    The Natural Law Institute
    The Science of Cooperation


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-04 22:54:12 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1676363810221719555

  • A SUMMARY OF THE PAST CENTURY OF HISTORIANS OF CIVILIZATIONAL RISE AND FALL –“Q

    A SUMMARY OF THE PAST CENTURY OF HISTORIANS OF CIVILIZATIONAL RISE AND FALL
    –“Q: Hey Curt, what are your thoughts about Oswald Spengler?”–

    My thoughts on Spengler differ based upon what question you’re asking.

    In General I think of Spengler compared to Arnold Toynbee and Carroll Quigley. Though I tend to think of all historians of rise-and-fall in relation to all others:

    Spengler (Very German,1880) thought civilizational cycles were deterministic.

    Toynbee(British, 1889) thought that they rise and fall based on their success or failure to handle challenges.

    Quigley(American, 1910 ) thought they had tendencies to go through cycles but good government could change the course.

    Huntington(American, 1927) Thought that civilizational differences were nearly impossible to overcome so the future would be decided by the conflicts that arose between the civilizations.

    Tainter (American, 1949) Tainter thinks (like me) in economic terms, and that all organizations, including states and civilizations, ‘calcify’ by exploiting opportunities, investing in all manner of systems and institutions to do so, and maximize rents and free riding – until a shock can’t be adapted to without collapse and reorganization – learning and developing the appropriate systems. In other words, humans behave at all scales, including the economic and political, as neural economies behave.

    Diamond (American Jewish, 1937) Diamond thinks that geography and geographical resources were more deterministic than demographics, culture, and institutions. This is partly correct and partly wrong, and his later work on fall of civilizations just repeats the same as everyone else. Diamond always has an agenda and I find him as exasperating as he is helpful – just like say, Howard Zinn(Marxist) and NY Harari(Mythicist) who are full of pop culture Jewish nonsense in the jewish pseudoscientific tradition of Freud, Boaz, Marx, and Gould, as well as the ever dominant Frankfurt school.

    Fukuyama (Japanese American, 1952) Fukuyama thinks three things are necessary for a strong and capable MODERN state, the state’s subordination to a rule of law, and the state’s accountability to all its citizens. But while these are difficult to produce, maintaining it is even harder. Because all political systems (as in all human organizations) calcify, exhaust resources and opportunities, maximize internal rent seeking, overproduce rent-seeking elites, and decay. So Fukuyama attributes (correctly) rise and fall to political decay from political overpopulation, self interest, rent seeking, and corruption.

    Turchin (Russian American, 1957) Turchin believes, even more analytically, than Fukuyama, and mathematically that the overproduction of elites produce political decay. But he also holds to the cyclical view of history the way that previous russian thinkers (and I include myself in this group) recognize the patterns of economic cycles and the reasons for them in the cycles of history.

    My perception is that these men are increasingly refining the theory of history at civilizational scales in parallel with the increasing refining of the theory of economic history at national and global scales.

    I think the best thing we can learn from all of them is the need for small government, with the maximum use of financial investment by the state and the maximum use of the private sector, combined with the minimum public sector employment. Because it’s our governments and the people who seek rents and privileges and distributions from them that cause us to fail.

    One thing I can’t stress enough is that people like Turchin and myself are not ‘literary essayists’ reading texts, but using economic and legal data, by effectively trying to discover the algorithms for human behavior at scale. Whereas there is a great deal of theology, philosophy, and idealism in earlier generations of thinkers – particularly those pre-war.

    I hope this short set of paragraphs helps.

    Cheers

    Curt Doolittle
    The Natural Law Institute
    The Science of Cooperation

    Reply addressees: @OtonielFilho5


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-03 17:52:21 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1675925458926313485

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1675901776195727361

  • RT @Hail__To_You: @curtdoolittle CD says: The USA has been running on ‘fumes,’ t

    RT @Hail__To_You: @curtdoolittle CD says: The USA has been running on ‘fumes,’ to a great extent, for nearly sixty years; running on the in…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-03 03:35:53 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1675709922359615494

  • RT @MattGrossmann: Are we overproducing elites and instability? New @NiskanenCen

    RT @MattGrossmann: Are we overproducing elites and instability?

    New @NiskanenCenter #ScienceOfPolitics podcast/transcript with @Peter_Turc…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-02 20:50:59 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1675608026932281348

  • Today’s Discussion: The State of the World. πŸ˜‰ Quite a few arcs that connect the

    Today’s Discussion: The State of the World. πŸ˜‰
    https://youtu.be/IL3uJXO8QBs

    Quite a few arcs that connect the dots.
    Starting with how institutions develop decidability.
    Ending with the current conflict of the world island vs the islands of the world. πŸ˜‰
    (AND some extra…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-01 18:07:44 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1675204557008191489

  • Today’s Discussion: The State of the World. πŸ˜‰ Quite a few arcs that connect the

    Today’s Discussion: The State of the World. πŸ˜‰
    https://t.co/bm9yFKzNDT

    Quite a few arcs that connect the dots.
    Starting with how institutions develop decidability.
    Ending with the current conflict of the world island vs the islands of the world. πŸ˜‰
    (AND some extra France-trashing for fun. πŸ˜‰ )


    Source date (UTC): 2023-07-01 18:07:44 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1675204556932669442

  • Nato would wipe out the entirety of the russian military in under five days (tah

    Nato would wipe out the entirety of the russian military in under five days (taht’s their estimate). But that’s the problem. We don’t want russia to collapse. We want her to grow the heck up. πŸ˜‰


    Source date (UTC): 2023-06-30 21:56:19 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1674899692700725248

    Reply addressees: @SicilianoSum @djuric_zlatko

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1672144720154304512

  • It’s sedation (therapy) given that the marxist-to-woke sequence has reached anot

    It’s sedation (therapy) given that the marxist-to-woke sequence has reached another failure point, at the same time we’re undergoing the end of the postwar strategy (failure to end empires, by creating cheap world trade), and producing the resulting decline in the distribution of wealth in the economy, and experiencing demographic collapse and immigration overloading, while we have done waht all wealthy civs do, is overpopulate an ‘elite’ that aren’t elite and in fact are purely extractive.
    So people can’t undrestand all that, and so they signal disapproval or alliance as the coherencde of the population collapses.
    And given the rapid decline in education since 1965, it’s undersetandable. The milennials were in pretty rough shape intellectually, and genZ is horrifying.

    Reply addressees: @MarkBTweets2011 @JessicaInsanity @RyanShead


    Source date (UTC): 2023-06-30 21:51:12 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1674898403480748032

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1674896501154390017

  • I’m not optimistic just empirical. I expect the pseudointellectual marxist-seque

    I’m not optimistic just empirical. I expect the pseudointellectual marxist-sequence cult to continue to seek to destroy the institutions of cultural production of responsibility that have made the west possible, and I expect that the anti-intellectual right will continue their moralizing and opposition by whatever nonsense means possible.
    And I suspect the ‘great sort’ will continue.
    And I suspect devolution of increasing powers back to the states.
    And I suspect national divorce will be a necessity if that doesn’t happen.
    Because we have a small number of absurdly dense, immigration-heavy, irresponsible cities acting like city-states, and a large territory of less densely populated folks who want nothing to do with them, and visa versa.

    If Twitter profiles included location, occupation or income, sex, and age, the pattern would be rather obvious.

    Reply addressees: @JerbalKeb @JessicaInsanity @RyanShead


    Source date (UTC): 2023-06-30 18:59:45 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1674855259150114845

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1674853890972606465