Theme: AI

  • (repeating) I say this as I use Perpelxity(Search, Research), Elicit (Research J

    (repeating)
    I say this as I use Perpelxity(Search, Research), Elicit (Research Journal comparing papers on a given topic), Chat GPT4+ (Most of all because it knows my work, and can write in my style), and Claude Opus (Some writing advice, some better phrasing and framing).
    So, I use them pretty much all day every day because it simply makes my life so much easier, and because I can test my arguments against the AI before I post or publish them. πŸ˜‰

    I suppose that’s sort of my workflow these days. πŸ˜‰

    -CD


    Source date (UTC): 2024-05-07 00:20:41 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1787638649380646913

  • “Q: Curt: Do you work with people in robotics or self driving cars?”– No but I’

    –“Q: Curt: Do you work with people in robotics or self driving cars?”–
    No but I’ve been working with AI since the 70s, and developed the fist AI/Expert system in law in the 80s, and before I became ill was working on a ‘universal application’ with an AI advisor, and so I have a deep understanding of the problem and solution.

    I just didn’t (and hardly anyone did) expect that brute forcing the structure of existence by massive training on language would produce it.

    I assumed like everyone else (and certainly like Tesla and self-driving-cars) that we would build up like the brain from a world model, movement, and navigation, into embodiment, from which language would emerge as an interface.

    That this whole thing worked backwards (or at least is heading toward meeting in the middle between self driving and self piloting and linguistic brute force) is just an extraordinarily unexpected development.

    But an extraordinary development that is coming much earlier than expected and I’m little concerned, (at least in economics and politics) it’s much earlier than we’re ready for.

    NOTE: I say this as I use Perpelxity(Research), Elicit (Research Journal for a given topic), GPT4+ (Most of all because it knows my work, and can write in my style), and Claude Opus (Some writing advice, some better phrasing and framing) pretty much all day every day because it simply makes my life so much easier, and because I can test my arguments against the AI before I post or publish them. πŸ˜‰

    Reply addressees: @NeoPV_


    Source date (UTC): 2024-05-07 00:18:06 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1787637998814633987

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1787628746108706871

  • THE EVIDENCE OF THE EMERGING SHIFT IN HUMAN METAPHYSICS What we are seeing is en

    THE EVIDENCE OF THE EMERGING SHIFT IN HUMAN METAPHYSICS
    What we are seeing is enough generations of experience with computers modifying the metaphysics of the human mind so that all fields whether computation, ai, genetics, biology, technology, language, and economics are all… https://twitter.com/stephen_wolfram/status/1786472715244785977


    Source date (UTC): 2024-05-04 19:38:29 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1786842855933182165

  • The algorithm creates networks. Networks get insulated from other networks. ‘Pro

    The algorithm creates networks. Networks get insulated from other networks. ‘Problem accounts’ in your network harm your network. In other words bad apples hurt all of us with common interests. And there are a LOT of problem accounts on the dissident right – that can’t maintain…


    Source date (UTC): 2024-05-03 22:17:44 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1786520544696782883

    Reply addressees: @Lauhaz0 @Sagnamadr @_Biggchungus_

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1786519345478217833

  • Blackrock CEO coming out against immigration and in favor of automation. Finally

    Blackrock CEO coming out against immigration and in favor of automation.

    Finally some sense coming out of Larry Fink of all people. https://twitter.com/curtdoolittle/status/1786089535740235958

  • Well claiming so isn’t demonstrating so, and, as far as I know the problem is al

    Well claiming so isn’t demonstrating so, and, as far as I know the problem is already solved, and AI is just confirming it now – with differences in position merely difference in emphasis (bias). So how about a link to demonstrate the claim? πŸ˜‰

    And yes, on and off, unlike most public intellectuals, I’m willing to take a look at outlandish claims, because at the worst I add to my list of pseudoscience and sophistry, and at best, very, very rarely, I encounter something that’s not totally wrong. πŸ˜‰

    And that can be a good thing. πŸ˜‰

    Cheers πŸ˜‰
    CD

    Reply addressees: @EpiGenus


    Source date (UTC): 2024-05-02 17:38:10 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1786087802586730497

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1786086237725503606

  • DAVID SHAPIRO’S 5 YEAR AI PREDICTIONS (CD: Note: I have a clearer picture of the

    DAVID SHAPIRO’S 5 YEAR AI PREDICTIONS
    (CD: Note: I have a clearer picture of the predictable economic and political consequences, with the political being the most risky, but I can’t really comment on the viability of these predictions. That said, even if they’re a bit early they don’t seem far off to me.)
    David’s Predictions:
    1. 2024 AGI THIS YEAR? Given the size and rumors about GPT5 Expect AGI This Year. Nvidia’s foundation agent models – every modality including embodiment, spatial, math. Robots that are already in the uncanny valley.
    The next Gartner hype cycle will be profound and then it will wear off… until the job losses start.
    2. 2025 will see the limited commercial takeoff of AGI.
    3. 2026 Kurzweil thinks ASI … Then we see unemployment creep up. Everyone across the economic and financial spectrum is saying the same thing: these things are going to fundamentally reshape our economic landscape and our relations to job and work.
    4. 2027 About when project Stargate will take off ($100B data centers in the desert), we’ll see the scale effects. We’ll need energy capacity (solar, nuclear). Constraints are (a) data and (b) chips. A lot of data is not useful (good) so we’re going to need new theories of categorizing the quality of data and information.
    5. 2028 All competitors will be online by this time. SO it’s impossible to forecast that future given the rate of evolution of the tech, and the number …
    We are going to see another confluence of multiple techs producing another ‘iphone moment’ so to speak.
    Top contenders: boston dynamics(Robots), openai(Software), nvidia(Hardware/Chips). (CD: IMO tesla)
    https://t.co/150GSV2Y8H


    Source date (UTC): 2024-04-29 21:49:17 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1785063834211762176

  • DAVID SHAPIRO’S 5 YEAR AI PREDICTIONS (CD: Note: I have a clearer picture of the

    DAVID SHAPIRO’S 5 YEAR AI PREDICTIONS
    (CD: Note: I have a clearer picture of the predictable economic and political consequences, with the political being the most risky, but I can’t really comment on the viability of these predictions but even if they’re a bit early they don’t seem far off to me.)
    David’s Predictions:
    1. 2024 AGI THIS YEAR? Given the size and rumors about GPT5 Expect AGI This Year. Nvidia’s foundation agent models – every modality including embodiment, spatial, math. Robots that are already in the uncanny valley.
    The next Gartner hype cycle will be profound and then it will wear off… until the job losses start.
    2. 2025 will see the limited commercial takeoff of AGI.
    3. 2026 Kurzweil thinks ASI … Then we see unemployment creep up. Everyone across the economic and financial spectrum is saying the same thing: these things are going to fundamentally reshape our economic landscape and our relations to job and work.
    4. 2027 About when project Stargate will take off ($100B data centers in the desert), we’ll see the scale effects. We’ll need energy capacity (solar, nuclear). Constraints are (a) data and (b) chips. A lot of data is not useful (good) so we’re going to need new theories of categorizing the quality of data and information.
    5. 2028 All competitors will be online by this time. SO it’s impossible to forecast that future given the rate of evolution of the tech, and the number …
    We are going to see another confluence of multiple techs producing another ‘iphone moment’ so to speak.
    Top contenders: boston dynamics(Robots), openai(Software), nvidia(Hardware/Chips). (CD: IMO tesla)
    https://t.co/150GSV2Y8H


    Source date (UTC): 2024-04-29 21:49:17 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1785062959724552193

  • I’m not sure that most intersexual issues wouldn’t evaporate with the successful

    I’m not sure that most intersexual issues wouldn’t evaporate with the successful development of artificial wombs and eggless-embryogenesis (both of which are in early stages of success). Especially because most birth defects occur in the womb. I can see men building tribes and doing it without having to compromise with women on every little nit. And it turns out that while single mothers are a catastrophe, single dads are exceptional. If I knew what I knew now instead of having three kids I’d have had a dozen. ;).

    Reply addressees: @Womenrising2023 @NoahRevoy


    Source date (UTC): 2024-04-29 16:43:48 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1784986957191249920

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1784983649412067443

  • No joke. I’ve tried a few napkin sketches on the cost of javascript worldwide an

    No joke. I’ve tried a few napkin sketches on the cost of javascript worldwide and I can’t come close to a believable number because it so vast. It’s insane. I mean, interpreted languages are fine with current hardware but without the equivalent of data types, a compiler, syntax and logic errors are vast.
    Secondly, add that while the chrome architecture appears to tolerate it, we’re still using virtual doms and the sh—t code required to counter-intuitively manipulate them. That should all be built into the browser, and the syntax nightmare should be over with.
    Third, because of all this we have to write ungodly amounts of test scripts, and maintaining them is a nightmare given the ease and frequency of JS changes.
    I’m all for the browser as a pseudo-operating system. It’s more complex than the OS’s today anyway. I do NOT want to go back to having to ship code on disks or force downloads and reinstalls every time we want to ship a tweak. That’s crazy. But this nonsense has got to stop. And unfortunately we’ve now trained two generations of devs to do sh—t work with sh—-t tools.

    Reply addressees: @DwightExMachina


    Source date (UTC): 2024-04-28 21:08:50 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1784691265277202433

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1784688243868356950