Source: Original Site Post

  • September 19th, 2018 11:30 AM [I]f you are trying to manipulate the market by po

    September 19th, 2018 11:30 AM [I]f you are trying to manipulate the market by policy, or if you are trying to time the market as an investor, that is mostly NOISE that varies unpredictably. The SIGNAL is demographics, rates of reorganization of memories, and patterns of sustainable specialization and trade, and technological opportunities, remaining to exhaust. So when you say ‘economist’ which are you predicting? Verisimilitude in noise? Or the determinism in signals? We all think in time preferences or better said, ‘frequencies’ of time. Some of us immediate, short, medium, long, and very long given our resources, knowledge and abilities. The reason I’m ‘right’ is that I see noise as evidence of state of the signal, and am concerned about long term capital, not short term income.

  • September 19th, 2018 7:55 AM LIKE I SAID: A POINT OF IQ PROVIDES THE HIGHEST RET

    September 19th, 2018 7:55 AM LIKE I SAID: A POINT OF IQ PROVIDES THE HIGHEST RETURN FOR ANY PEOPLE, AND IMMIGRATION CONTROL, MISCEGENATION CONTROL, AND PAYING THE UNDERCLASS NOT TO REPRODUCE ARE THE MEANS OF ACHIEVING IT. —“A 3% population-wide increase in IQ could reduce the poverty rate by 25%.”— https://twitter.com/stevestuwill/status/753430482147082240

  • September 19th, 2018 9:27 AM MY GENES? Family: R1b, M269 (paternal), O-, or U106

    September 19th, 2018 9:27 AM MY GENES? Family: R1b, M269 (paternal), O-, or U106 (maternal). Family record continues to grow and is extraordinarily consistent. My father’s generation was the first to outbreed.

  • September 18th, 2018 2:42 PM GATES ON WHAT KEEPS HIM UP AT NIGHT: 1 – Antibiotic

    September 18th, 2018 2:42 PM GATES ON WHAT KEEPS HIM UP AT NIGHT: 1 – Antibiotic Resistance.
    2 – The next Pandemic: “Disease X”
    3 – The expansion of third world population such that medical resources are overwhelmed.
    4 – The restoration of decline into poverty because of that demographic expansion. Well shared vision bill. ‘Cept that I am absolutely positive nothing can be done about the last two, and absolutely determined to prevent our genocide because of it. There has to remain a reserve of human capital to survive that cataclysm. QUOTES: Joe Shute,The Telegraph•September 18, 2018 —“When I ask which challenges to global health security he fears the most, Gates outlines three: antibiotic resistance, cuts to government funding to improve health in the world’s poorest countries, and the next unknown disease, referred to by the World Health Organisation simply as ‘Disease X’. “We are not fully prepared for the next global pandemic,” he says. “The threat of the unknown pathogen – highly-contagious, lethal, fast-moving – is real. It could be a mutated flu strain or something else entirely. The Swine Flu and 2014 Ebola outbreaks underscored the threat.” There is another threat on his mind, one which has often been treated as the ‘elephant in the room’ in the world of international development. Namely, the population explosion in Africa’s poorest countries and its future impact – either fueling poverty, political instability, conflict and refugees, or sparking a new boom in world growth as happened in India and China. … above all is one simple fact that even the eternally optimistic Gates warns could mean “to put it bluntly decades of progress in the fight against poverty and disease may be on the verge of stalling”. In short, as birth rates falter in the developed world, in the poorest parts of Africa they are booming. By 2050, the ten poorest countries on the continent are projected to more than double in population. “The thing that is mind-blowing is if the demographers who have been very accurate on these things are right about Africa, then you are going from 1bn today to 2bn at middle of century, to 4bn at the end of the century,” he says.”—

  • September 19th, 2018 9:20 AM YEP. LIKE I SAID: Evolution of means of reputation.

    September 19th, 2018 9:20 AM YEP. LIKE I SAID: Evolution of means of reputation.
    Reputation > Religious > Legal > Credit > Information > AI. As tech and population increase, so do the means of policing behavior. The alternative is the city and nation state. China does have a real problem however, since the population is so large and the chinese people are ‘not trustworthy’. So the government’s plan is to automate reputation management, just as they used the red army to impose policy in the past.

  • September 19th, 2018 7:55 AM LIKE I SAID: A POINT OF IQ PROVIDES THE HIGHEST RET

    September 19th, 2018 7:55 AM LIKE I SAID: A POINT OF IQ PROVIDES THE HIGHEST RETURN FOR ANY PEOPLE, AND IMMIGRATION CONTROL, MISCEGENATION CONTROL, AND PAYING THE UNDERCLASS NOT TO REPRODUCE ARE THE MEANS OF ACHIEVING IT. —“A 3% population-wide increase in IQ could reduce the poverty rate by 25%.”— https://twitter.com/stevestuwill/status/753430482147082240

  • September 18th, 2018 2:42 PM GATES ON WHAT KEEPS HIM UP AT NIGHT: 1 – Antibiotic

    September 18th, 2018 2:42 PM GATES ON WHAT KEEPS HIM UP AT NIGHT: 1 – Antibiotic Resistance.
    2 – The next Pandemic: “Disease X”
    3 – The expansion of third world population such that medical resources are overwhelmed.
    4 – The restoration of decline into poverty because of that demographic expansion. Well shared vision bill. ‘Cept that I am absolutely positive nothing can be done about the last two, and absolutely determined to prevent our genocide because of it. There has to remain a reserve of human capital to survive that cataclysm. QUOTES: Joe Shute,The Telegraph•September 18, 2018 —“When I ask which challenges to global health security he fears the most, Gates outlines three: antibiotic resistance, cuts to government funding to improve health in the world’s poorest countries, and the next unknown disease, referred to by the World Health Organisation simply as ‘Disease X’. “We are not fully prepared for the next global pandemic,” he says. “The threat of the unknown pathogen – highly-contagious, lethal, fast-moving – is real. It could be a mutated flu strain or something else entirely. The Swine Flu and 2014 Ebola outbreaks underscored the threat.” There is another threat on his mind, one which has often been treated as the ‘elephant in the room’ in the world of international development. Namely, the population explosion in Africa’s poorest countries and its future impact – either fueling poverty, political instability, conflict and refugees, or sparking a new boom in world growth as happened in India and China. … above all is one simple fact that even the eternally optimistic Gates warns could mean “to put it bluntly decades of progress in the fight against poverty and disease may be on the verge of stalling”. In short, as birth rates falter in the developed world, in the poorest parts of Africa they are booming. By 2050, the ten poorest countries on the continent are projected to more than double in population. “The thing that is mind-blowing is if the demographers who have been very accurate on these things are right about Africa, then you are going from 1bn today to 2bn at middle of century, to 4bn at the end of the century,” he says.”—

  • A Point of IQ Provides the Highest Return

    Like i said: a point of iq provides the highest return for any people, and immigration control, miscegenation control, and paying the underclass not to reproduce are the means of achieving it. —“A 3% population-wide increase in IQ could reduce the poverty rate by 25%.”— https://twitter.com/stevestuwill/status/753430482147082240

  • A Point of IQ Provides the Highest Return

    Like i said: a point of iq provides the highest return for any people, and immigration control, miscegenation control, and paying the underclass not to reproduce are the means of achieving it. —“A 3% population-wide increase in IQ could reduce the poverty rate by 25%.”— https://twitter.com/stevestuwill/status/753430482147082240

  • Clusters of Similar Personality Traits Produce Four Obvious Types

    ASCENDENT FEMALE BIAS Average: These people score high in neuroticism and extraversion, but score low in openness. It is the most typical category, with women being more likely than men to fit into it. ASCENDENT MALE BIAS Self-Centered: These people score very high in extraversion, but score low in openness, agreeableness, and conscientiousness. Most teenage boys would fall into this category, according to Revelle, before (hopefully) maturing out of it. The number of people who fall into this category decreases dramatically with age. ESTABLISHED FEMALE BIAS Role Models: These people score high in every trait except neuroticism, and the likelihood that someone fits into this category increases dramatically as they age. “These are people who are dependable and open to new ideas,” says Amaral. “These are good people to be in charge of things.” Women are more likely than men to be role models. ESTABLISHED MALE BIAS Reserved: This type of person is stable emotionally without being especially open or neurotic. They tend to score lower on extraversion but tend to be somewhat agreeable and conscientious. ABSTRACT —“Understanding human personality has been a focus for philosophers and scientists for millennia1. It is now widely accepted that there are about five major personality domains that describe the personality profile of an individual2,3. In contrast to personality traits, the existence of personality types remains extremely controversial4. Despite the various purported personality types described in the literature, small sample sizes and the lack of reproducibility across data sets and methods have led to inconclusive results about personality types5,6. Here we develop an alternative approach to the identification of personality types, which we apply to four large data sets comprising more than 1.5 million participants. We find robust evidence for at least four distinct personality types, extending and refining previously suggested typologies. We show that these types appear as a small subset of a much more numerous set of spurious solutions in typical clustering approaches, highlighting principal limitations in the blind application of unsupervised machine learning methods to the analysis of big data.”— https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-018-0419-z

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