Form: Mini Essay

  • Why Do Most Americans Assume Arabs Are A Single Racial Group?

    —-”Q: Why do most Americans assume Arabs are a single racial group?”—-

    Because Arabs ARE a single subrace. Arab speakers are not. Muslims are not. Arabs are.

    GENETICS

    Now, genetically it appears that Arabs originated at the Ethiopian-Arabian Peninsula narrows between what is today Djibouti and Yemen, as an admixture between west asians (Anatolia-Levant-Iran today) and Africans.

    During the Arab expansion (wars of conquest) that destroyed the ancient world’s great civilizations (Egyptian, North African, Levantine, Persian, Byzantine, and Roman), and led to the Abrahamic (jewish, christian, islamic) dark age, arabs interbred, particularly with slaves, because interbreeding of slaves was permitted.

    So while Arabs INTERBRED with the civilizations they destroyed, and exploited for slavery, they remain a genetically and morphologically identifiable subrace.

    West Asian Major Race

    ===West Asian (Iranian) Race

    Iranian Race ( Armenian(R1b/J2) – Jewish(E1/J) – Greek(I2) — Southern Italians(I2) — Turk – Kurd – Iranian – Jordanian – Iraqi – Assyrian – Druze – Lebanese – Georgian – Caspian – Palestinian)

    Tajik Race (Tajik – Bukhara Arab – Shugnan – Kallar – Sourashtran – Yadhava)

    === Arab (Semitic / Iranian-African?) Sub Race

    (J) (Kuwait, and southern peninsula)
    Kuwaiti Race* (Kuwaiti)
    Arabian Race (Saudi – Yemeni – Bedouin)*
    Egyptian Race (Egyptian)

    === North African Sub Race

    North African Race (Moroccan – Libyan – Tunisian – Canarian)
    Berber Race*** (Berber)
    Algerian Race (Algerian)

    ============

    CONFLATION
    We westerners ‘conflate’ Islam, Arab, and Arabic out of convenience and frankly inability to tell the difference (and lack of interest) – and rationally, because stereotypes are the most accurate system of measurement in the social sciences. Most of us still can’t tell east asians apart either. Yet we can tell which tribe or clan ethnic europeans come from.

    CAN YOU TELL THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN WHITES?
    I mean, it’s hard for most, but I can tell high, middle, low german, celt, scandinavian, east baltic, polish-ukrainian, russian apart. It’s less easy to tell finno-hungarians, romanians, and southern slavic peoples. and it’s pretty easy to tell northern europeans (germanics) from southern europeans (with black hair), from sardianins, from greeks, from turks. Even if they’ve been intermarried over generations. Can you? Probably not.

    So, you call us white, or western, but we differ substantially.

    And if not, why would we not treat you likewise?

    (I do science.)

    https://www.quora.com/Why-do-most-Americans-assume-Arabs-are-a-single-racial-group

  • Will The Economy Correct Again Like 2008 This Year?

    –“Will the economy bubble burst again in 2018 (like the one that happened in 2008)?”– It is a virtual certainty that we will see some sort of massive correction even greater than the 2008 crisis, sometime between now and 2025. And at that time the states will need to bypass the financial system in order to put liquidity into consumer (citizen’s) hands, so that the economy can adapt to the shock. And governments are not yet ready to do this, although Americans can do it fastest. (And some of us are trying to make sure it happens this time around.) Now, the reason this will be difficult, is that we have spent the entire postwar era financializing the economy, and done more so since the advent of petro-dollars, and more so to defeat world communism, and more so since the 2001 crash, and more so since the 2008 crash. (We could have paid off the vast majority of home mortgages in 2008 with the money we have spent SINCE 2008 trying to correct the economy. (Only Galbraith, me, and one other made this argument. Unfortunately, he was the only person of influence, and he died.) Imagine what that would have done to the economy. Unfortunately, that ‘shock’ of de-financialization (ending rent seeking on consumer), will vastly diminish (a) the size of the financial sector (b) the rents that ‘institutional investors and pension funds’ can extract from consumers. So it will be a vast correction we have not seen in the world before. Just WHY this is so is … well, non trivial. But it’s largely a factor of demographics, abilities of those demographics, and AVAILABLE consumption. And, yes I can explain it in scary detail, but at present, it’s bedtime…..
  • WILL THE ECONOMY CORRECT AGAIN LIKE 2008 THIS YEAR? –“Will the economy bubble b

    WILL THE ECONOMY CORRECT AGAIN LIKE 2008 THIS YEAR?

    –“Will the economy bubble burst again in 2018 (like the one that happened in 2008)?”–

    It is a virtual certainty that we will see some sort of massive correction even greater than the 2008 crisis, sometime between now and 2025. And at that time the states will need to bypass the financial system in order to put liquidity into consumer (citizen’s) hands, so that the economy can adapt to the shock. And governments are not yet ready to do this, although Americans can do it fastest. (And some of us are trying to make sure it happens this time around.)

    Now, the reason this will be difficult, is that we have spent the entire postwar era financializing the economy, and done more so since the advent of petro-dollars, and more so to defeat world communism, and more so since the 2001 crash, and more so since the 2008 crash. (We could have paid off the vast majority of home mortgages in 2008 with the money we have spent SINCE 2008 trying to correct the economy. (Only Galbraith, me, and one other made this argument. Unfortunately, he was the only person of influence, and he died.) Imagine what that would have done to the economy.

    Unfortunately, that ‘shock’ of de-financialization (ending rent seeking on consumer), will vastly diminish (a) the size of the financial sector (b) the rents that ‘institutional investors and pension funds’ can extract from consumers. So it will be a vast correction we have not seen in the world before.

    Just WHY this is so is … well, non trivial. But it’s largely a factor of demographics, abilities of those demographics, and AVAILABLE consumption.

    And, yes I can explain it in scary detail, but at present, it’s bedtime…..


    Source date (UTC): 2018-01-01 22:03:00 UTC

  • Will The Economy Bubble Burst Again In 2018 (like The One That Happened In 2008)?

    It is a virtual certainty that we will see some sort of massive correction even greater than the 2008 crisis, sometime between now and 2025. And at that time the states will need to bypass the financial system in order to put liquidity into consumer (citizen’s) hands, so that the economy can adapt to the shock. And governments are not yet ready to do this, although Americans can do it fastest. (And some of us are trying to make sure it happens this time around.)

    Now, the reason this will be difficult, is that we have spent the entire postwar era financializing the economy, and done more so since the advent of petro-dollars, and more so to defeat world communism, and more so since the 2001 crash, and more so since the 2008 crash. (We could have paid off the vast majority of home mortgages in 2008 with the money we have spent SINCE 2008 trying to correct the economy. (Only Galbraith, me, and one other made this argument. Unfortunately, he was the only person of influence, and he died.) Imagine what that would have done to the economy.

    Unfortunately, that ‘shock’ of de-financialization (ending rent seeking on consumer), will vastly diminish (a) the size of the financial sector (b) the rents that ‘institutional investors and pension funds’ can extract from consumers. So it will be a vast correction we have not seen in the world before.

    Just WHY this is so is … well, non trivial. But it’s largely a factor of demographics, abilities of those demographics, and AVAILABLE consumption.

    And, yes I can explain it in scary detail, but at present, it’s bedtime…..

    https://www.quora.com/Will-the-economy-bubble-burst-again-in-2018-like-the-one-that-happened-in-2008

  • Will The Economy Bubble Burst Again In 2018 (like The One That Happened In 2008)?

    It is a virtual certainty that we will see some sort of massive correction even greater than the 2008 crisis, sometime between now and 2025. And at that time the states will need to bypass the financial system in order to put liquidity into consumer (citizen’s) hands, so that the economy can adapt to the shock. And governments are not yet ready to do this, although Americans can do it fastest. (And some of us are trying to make sure it happens this time around.)

    Now, the reason this will be difficult, is that we have spent the entire postwar era financializing the economy, and done more so since the advent of petro-dollars, and more so to defeat world communism, and more so since the 2001 crash, and more so since the 2008 crash. (We could have paid off the vast majority of home mortgages in 2008 with the money we have spent SINCE 2008 trying to correct the economy. (Only Galbraith, me, and one other made this argument. Unfortunately, he was the only person of influence, and he died.) Imagine what that would have done to the economy.

    Unfortunately, that ‘shock’ of de-financialization (ending rent seeking on consumer), will vastly diminish (a) the size of the financial sector (b) the rents that ‘institutional investors and pension funds’ can extract from consumers. So it will be a vast correction we have not seen in the world before.

    Just WHY this is so is … well, non trivial. But it’s largely a factor of demographics, abilities of those demographics, and AVAILABLE consumption.

    And, yes I can explain it in scary detail, but at present, it’s bedtime…..

    https://www.quora.com/Will-the-economy-bubble-burst-again-in-2018-like-the-one-that-happened-in-2008

  • Why Does Russia Seem So Apathetic Towards Economic Progress

    —“Why does Russia seem so apathetic towards economic progress despite having so much potential and resource?”— THIS IS A GOOD BUT MISLEADING QUESTION. LETS PUT A PERSPECTIVE TOGETHER: Why are the chinese so obsessed with preserving their empire rather than dividing into many competing states like europe? I mean, that was the reason for the communist revolution…. to stop it. It was their ‘reformation’ and they failed. Why are middle eastern muslims so obsessed with blaming others for their condition rather than organizing secular, economic, governments and dividing the government by tribe the way the west divides them by house? Why is iran so concerned with evolving into an empire from the mediterranean to the indian border? Why is Pakistan so intent on seizing indian territory when it cannot govern it’s own? Why do north koreans seek to preserve their despotism when their relatives across the border live in one of the best societies on earth, second only to the Japanese? Why are french and germans so intent on creating a ‘united states’ of europe, while man of us in america understand that just results in cultural oppression, and bureaucratic oppression, and we want to break into different states like europe? Why do south americans blame everyone else for their condition when the fact is, that they were catholics and like most catholic countries made a malinvestmnet in socialism which has destroyed the window of opportunity that they had to transform into high trust societies? The Reason russia (a) centralized industrial income, and (b) focused on improving rule of law, and improving infrastructure, and restoring defense, is because they need a great deal of money to compete with local corruption, and slowly build a diverse economy. (Read Fukuyama Trust, Political Order 1 and 2.) The russian mythos is a disaster becasue (a) the Tsars were good and nearly made russia a western country. (b) the communists destroyed that opportunity. (c) the communists destroyed millions of lives, and eventually failed. (c) the only good myth russia has to unify is ‘the great war’ against germany. And even then, it is probably hard to argue that germany was not both in the right, and ‘good’ for russians. So, just as the chinese have ‘a chip on their shoulder’ for being humiliated for their long history of bad decisions, the russians have ‘a chip on their shoulder’ for their long history of bad decisions. Lastly, we overstate the russian military interest – the military is the best jobs program a country can enter into becuase just as the USA did, you build a big military infrastructure which builds a large manufacturing and organiational base, and skilled population, and then you incrementally turn it over to the private sector. There is very little the russians do that doesn’t make sense if youi’re trying to govern russia. It’s 11 time zonse of very paranoid people who in their minds are surrounded by enemeis. The greatest mistake in the past thirty years was not bringing russia into nato. Russians are very easy to understand. And very easy to love. You just have to understand how they think about the world. “Poor little Russia”. And they only feel safe when so strong there is no chance of vulnerability.
  • Why Does Russia Seem So Apathetic Towards Economic Progress

    —“Why does Russia seem so apathetic towards economic progress despite having so much potential and resource?”— THIS IS A GOOD BUT MISLEADING QUESTION. LETS PUT A PERSPECTIVE TOGETHER: Why are the chinese so obsessed with preserving their empire rather than dividing into many competing states like europe? I mean, that was the reason for the communist revolution…. to stop it. It was their ‘reformation’ and they failed. Why are middle eastern muslims so obsessed with blaming others for their condition rather than organizing secular, economic, governments and dividing the government by tribe the way the west divides them by house? Why is iran so concerned with evolving into an empire from the mediterranean to the indian border? Why is Pakistan so intent on seizing indian territory when it cannot govern it’s own? Why do north koreans seek to preserve their despotism when their relatives across the border live in one of the best societies on earth, second only to the Japanese? Why are french and germans so intent on creating a ‘united states’ of europe, while man of us in america understand that just results in cultural oppression, and bureaucratic oppression, and we want to break into different states like europe? Why do south americans blame everyone else for their condition when the fact is, that they were catholics and like most catholic countries made a malinvestmnet in socialism which has destroyed the window of opportunity that they had to transform into high trust societies? The Reason russia (a) centralized industrial income, and (b) focused on improving rule of law, and improving infrastructure, and restoring defense, is because they need a great deal of money to compete with local corruption, and slowly build a diverse economy. (Read Fukuyama Trust, Political Order 1 and 2.) The russian mythos is a disaster becasue (a) the Tsars were good and nearly made russia a western country. (b) the communists destroyed that opportunity. (c) the communists destroyed millions of lives, and eventually failed. (c) the only good myth russia has to unify is ‘the great war’ against germany. And even then, it is probably hard to argue that germany was not both in the right, and ‘good’ for russians. So, just as the chinese have ‘a chip on their shoulder’ for being humiliated for their long history of bad decisions, the russians have ‘a chip on their shoulder’ for their long history of bad decisions. Lastly, we overstate the russian military interest – the military is the best jobs program a country can enter into becuase just as the USA did, you build a big military infrastructure which builds a large manufacturing and organiational base, and skilled population, and then you incrementally turn it over to the private sector. There is very little the russians do that doesn’t make sense if youi’re trying to govern russia. It’s 11 time zonse of very paranoid people who in their minds are surrounded by enemeis. The greatest mistake in the past thirty years was not bringing russia into nato. Russians are very easy to understand. And very easy to love. You just have to understand how they think about the world. “Poor little Russia”. And they only feel safe when so strong there is no chance of vulnerability.
  • Great Question. Here Is An Uncomfortable Answer

    —-”Q: Do you think we live in a post-truth world?”—- 1 – Yes. 2 – It’s by design (intent). 3. It’s a reformation of the first organized means of creating post truth. The purpose of the *Marxist, Freudian, Boazia, Cantorian, Misesian, Frankfurt, Rothbardian, Straussian* **counter-enlightenment** was to create a **pseudoscientific** alternative to the German’s second **scientific** revolution provided by* Maxwell, Darwin, Durkheim/Pareto/Weber, Spencer, Nietzsche, and Romantic school*, which along with the German second technical revolution, and the Germanic rediscovery of pre-christian aesthetics, ethics and mythos – would restore **meritocracy** to its pre-christian origins, and pre christian **empirical truth**. With the combination of the industrial revolution freeing the underclasses from subsistence living and the Darwin’s ending of mysticism, and the opportunity for a new religion emerged, and the academy stepped in seize the opportunity with the Marxist pseudosciences – and took over the role of the church. When by the 1960’s no intellectually honest person could any longer support Marxism, the French invented ‘**Postmodernism**’ , which is not just pseudoscientific, but pseudo-rational, and constitutes **a complete denial of the existence of decidable truth** – only power to bring about one’s will mattered. Political Correctness roughly translates to ‘**lying**’ outright the same way that abrahamic religion translates roughly to lying by parable. Yet, especially beginning in about 2000 with The Blank Slate, largely due to the self interest of psychologist having been falsified by cognitive science, and therefore trying to save their careers and their profession psychology, cognitive science, genetic science, and economists, have falsified the remainder of the Marxist (economic and historical), Boazian (Anthropology and sociology), Freudian(psychology), pseudosciences. I work on reforming political speech, sociology, law and government, to prevent lying in the market for information the same way we have struggled to eliminate lying in the market for goods, and the market for services. So at the present we are in a narrow window and determining whether the truth prevails (a minority of us) or ‘lies of convenience’ prevail ( the majority) and whether we will enter another abrahamic dark age, of outright lying like we almost entered one from abrahamic pseudoscientific lying in the 1900’s, and did enter into the first abrahamic dark ages, with the sequential development of systemic lying in judaism > christianity > islam > and the rational justifications of them we call most ‘philosophy’. The universe is not kind. We are not the center of it. We are a glorious accident in an old and peaceful suburb of a minor galaxy. And we do not yet know if we are alone completely or alone by distance, or not alone at all. There is only one problem: excessive reproduction below the threshold of reason (about 106 iq) and below the threshold of neoteny (aggression) and below the threshold of agency (impulsivity). Why? Because the inferior need lies to compete. And those of us fully human are bounded by those that are not yet so. And that is an uncomfortable truth.
  • Great Question. Here Is An Uncomfortable Answer

    —-”Q: Do you think we live in a post-truth world?”—- 1 – Yes. 2 – It’s by design (intent). 3. It’s a reformation of the first organized means of creating post truth. The purpose of the *Marxist, Freudian, Boazia, Cantorian, Misesian, Frankfurt, Rothbardian, Straussian* **counter-enlightenment** was to create a **pseudoscientific** alternative to the German’s second **scientific** revolution provided by* Maxwell, Darwin, Durkheim/Pareto/Weber, Spencer, Nietzsche, and Romantic school*, which along with the German second technical revolution, and the Germanic rediscovery of pre-christian aesthetics, ethics and mythos – would restore **meritocracy** to its pre-christian origins, and pre christian **empirical truth**. With the combination of the industrial revolution freeing the underclasses from subsistence living and the Darwin’s ending of mysticism, and the opportunity for a new religion emerged, and the academy stepped in seize the opportunity with the Marxist pseudosciences – and took over the role of the church. When by the 1960’s no intellectually honest person could any longer support Marxism, the French invented ‘**Postmodernism**’ , which is not just pseudoscientific, but pseudo-rational, and constitutes **a complete denial of the existence of decidable truth** – only power to bring about one’s will mattered. Political Correctness roughly translates to ‘**lying**’ outright the same way that abrahamic religion translates roughly to lying by parable. Yet, especially beginning in about 2000 with The Blank Slate, largely due to the self interest of psychologist having been falsified by cognitive science, and therefore trying to save their careers and their profession psychology, cognitive science, genetic science, and economists, have falsified the remainder of the Marxist (economic and historical), Boazian (Anthropology and sociology), Freudian(psychology), pseudosciences. I work on reforming political speech, sociology, law and government, to prevent lying in the market for information the same way we have struggled to eliminate lying in the market for goods, and the market for services. So at the present we are in a narrow window and determining whether the truth prevails (a minority of us) or ‘lies of convenience’ prevail ( the majority) and whether we will enter another abrahamic dark age, of outright lying like we almost entered one from abrahamic pseudoscientific lying in the 1900’s, and did enter into the first abrahamic dark ages, with the sequential development of systemic lying in judaism > christianity > islam > and the rational justifications of them we call most ‘philosophy’. The universe is not kind. We are not the center of it. We are a glorious accident in an old and peaceful suburb of a minor galaxy. And we do not yet know if we are alone completely or alone by distance, or not alone at all. There is only one problem: excessive reproduction below the threshold of reason (about 106 iq) and below the threshold of neoteny (aggression) and below the threshold of agency (impulsivity). Why? Because the inferior need lies to compete. And those of us fully human are bounded by those that are not yet so. And that is an uncomfortable truth.
  • It’s Not Just Intelligence That Drives Demand For Religion And Myth…

    (important post) —“Q: Why are low IQs and low education so strongly correlated with being religious?”— (Decidability> MIndfulness > Social Confirmation > Emotional Feedback > Precision) Um… The reasons are 1) that the spectrum of means of ‘measurement’ available to the human mind, and 2) the spectrum available means of mindfulness available to the human mind, and 3) the spectrum of need for emotional feedback, from much to none, and 4) the spectrum of social confirmation, from much to none, are all satisfied by very broad, very imprecise, but entirely actionable formulae provided by narrative analogy. Yet as Agency (ability, knowledge, resources, opportunity) increase, we need increasingly precise methods of measurement and increasingly sophisticated means of mindfulness. So as our abilities increase we ‘leave behind’ analogy, then leave behind rule, and then arrive at calculation, just as we leave behind virtue ethics, leave behind rule ethics, and arrive at outcome ethics. But the spectrum of religious parable, normative and rule, rational estimation, and scientific calculation, all gracefully fail, back upon the broader method of choice, allowing us to make decisions with the the maximum and minimum of knowledge we have on any given topic. So some of us gain our mindfulness from very great precision because of our agency, and others of us gain our mindfulness from very low precision because of our lack of agency. Some of us seek narratives because we want independence of emotion and social confirmation. some of us seek narratives because we need emotional reward, and social confirmation. That’s actually the answer. Because people need to act, and to act they need to decide, and they can only decide with the information available to them, and the information available to them is only possible, given the information processing they have available to them. The lower one’s ability the more one needs very simple, very fixed, rules, so that one is not in a constant state of indecision, and because of it, a constant state of failure, and because of it, a constant state of anger and frustration. The greater one’s ability the more one needs very precise and dynamic means of calculation, so that one can identify and seize increasingly valuable opportunities. But interestingly, regardless of ability, we need either social confirmation or don’t, or we need emotional returns or don’t. And so we have a much more complex set of related needs than is obvious by just a test of intelligence. Because some very bight people need both emotional feedback and social confirmation, and some very bright people need no emotional feedback and no social confirmation. and some of us need only either emotional feedback or social confirmation, but not the other. BUT TRUE OR FALSE MYTHS? So Mythologies, Parables, Stories, and the lessons of history, are not so much a bad thing, as are FALSE MYTHOLOGIES, parables, stories, and lessons of history. Selecting virtuous characters from history. Adapting them into archetypal characters, adapting their stories to archetypal narrative structures, so that they answer archetypal problems, by means that are pre-cognitive to us, is not difficult. The principle problem is getting enough people to use the same narratives so that people with low ability make decisions by the same criteria, so that they can cooperate successfully, so that in turn they obtain decidability and mindfulness. That is the answer. THE FIRST ABRAHAMIC DARK AGE The problem is that we have been taught three false (abrahamic) narratives in place of our ancient narratives (the seasons, the family, and the trials of Achilles), with hideous narratives (we are born evil, we must atone to an evil god, we can seek false immortality by obedience, the classes are at war rather than cooperating, the races, tribes, and clans are at war rather than cooperating through competition, and the trials of the underclass Moses, Jesus and Mohammed. So judaism, christianity, and islam in the ancient world as a revolt against aristocracy, meritocracy, productivity, and technology. And Roussuea-Kant, Marx-Boaz-Freud-Cantor-Mises, and the Frankfurt and Postmodern schools in the modern world. THE SECOND ABRAHAMIC DARK AGE There is no difference between the frankfurt school and the council of nicea. There is no difference between academic postmodernism, and the forcible closure of the stoic schools. THere is no difference between the systematic islamic and christian destruction of greek and roman thought, and the active suppression of western history, conservative thought, and scientific research into genetic and cultural differences. ORGANIZED RELIGION TO DEFEAT ARISTOCRACY (MERIT) The purpose of christianity was the destruction of western scientific aristocracy, and the purpose of rousseuian-kantian philosophy, marxim-socialism, frankfurt-postmodernism, and jewish and islamic fundamentalism, is the destruction of western scientific aristocracy in the modern world. TRIPARTISM Classes can cooperate in the natural hierarchy of western Tripartism -as we have for millennia. Or we can conflict in the unnatural pursuit of false equality that the underclasses will wishfully promote and destroy the world, and bring about another dark age, if we let them. Curt Doolittle, The Propertarian Institute Kiev, Ukraine