Form: Mini Essay

  • By @LukeWeinhagen, Sr Fellow, The Natural Law Institute Innovation Signaling is

    By @LukeWeinhagen, Sr Fellow, The Natural Law Institute

    Innovation Signaling is no different from any other form of extractive signaling. It’s an attempt to capture the benefits of inclusion in a category without meeting the burden of meeting the standards for inclusion in the category.

    Signaling vs Demonstrating

    We keep trying to push back against a signal and it doesn’t work to stop the spread of degradation and degeneracy, because the signal is a trick.

    Virtue Signal vs Demonstrated Virtue

    Competence Signal vs Demonstrated Competence

    Investment Signal vs Demonstrated Investment

    Ownership Signaling vs Demonstrated Ownership

    Power Signal vs Demonstrated Power

    All of these tricks depend on, and literally can not exist without, leveraging the demonstrated behavior of the signal’s recipient for the benefit of the signaler. The signal does not produce the effect. Instead, the signal triggers the demonstrator’s compliance to produce the effect.

    Put another way – the signals are only effective to the degree the signaled population complies with the signal.

    We’re conflating compliance with cooperation.

    Because the institutions of the West are institutions of cooperation, our conflation of compliance as cooperation in the West provides all of these signals their strength.

    Not recognizing the distinction between compliance and cooperation makes the choke point strategy effective.

    Because “Plan. Organize. Fight. Win.” are all expressions of cooperation in the conflict of culture, and we believe we are already cooperating (when instead we’re complying), these coordinated actions will suffer until we can clearly recognize compliance and cooperation.

    Category Theft & Linguistic Parasitism via Extractive Signaling
    Detach the label used to identify a category then abuse the common understanding and/or misunderstanding of the label to strip-mine any benefit of inclusion with the category without the burden of meeting the standards or measures that define the category.

    Clarifying cooperation is essential to disrupting signal compliance. We do the science of cooperation at the @NatLawInstitute

    -Luke Weinhagen


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-15 00:44:01 UTC

    Original post: https://x.com/i/articles/1812649283239456768

  • BISMARCK’S SAMO BURJA CRUSHES OPTIMISM ABOUT APPLE’S FUTURE (“Ouch”) TL/DR; Appl

    BISMARCK’S SAMO BURJA CRUSHES OPTIMISM ABOUT APPLE’S FUTURE
    (“Ouch”)
    TL/DR; Apple cannot end dependency on China, its domestic investments are trivial and posturing, it’s not innovating, only increasing margins, and more, experiments with products have gone nowhere, and partly because Cooke is an insufficient leader for the past, present, of of course, future. All said with Burja’s usual neutrality.
    https://t.co/xoFUXYGdJx

    (Comments:
    – We went through the same issue with the Gates / Ballmer transition.
    – I agree with the vision for apple as a samsung of the continent but I do not see any possibility for that occurring without stressors on the company
    – I use exclusively apple products for the past decade, and I do consider the Apple Silicon (M) chips a dramatic advance it has not resulted in advantages for the company or users.
    – I will stand by my long standing prediction that when iphone sales fall they will have to go after the business user. I still do not understand why they dropped that market.)

    @SamoBurja


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-14 23:11:06 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812625901433294848

  • I am looking at the evidence. We know why religion evolved both in natural relig

    I am looking at the evidence. We know why religion evolved both in natural religions (feast, burial, territorial marking, and anthropomorphism) and in formal religions (moral commensurability as trade scaled). And we know why religion has been supplanted by philosophy among the upper classes, then ideology among the working and lower classes. And today we see the spectrum of scientific, philosophical, traditional, faithful, and fundamentalist distributions in the demographic. We know why religion is collapsing in proportion to IQ, Education, and Development. We even know what developmental variation in people generates demand for supernatural systematizing, and we know how much indoctrination is required to achieve it. In other words a certain percentage of people are indoctrinated in youth, and among them a certain percentage are cognitively feminine (empathic) such that they require external reinforcement over internal regulation, and/or they require certainty and a sense of correctness or control that’s necessary to suppress their neuroticism. Or the worst kind, those whose self image and status is dependent upon the confidence in the religion such that they are terrified of their ordinariness or failure in the face of evidence in life without the crutch of their faith to use for dominance expression as defense against that fear.
    I would not deny those who need it the crutch of faith. I would not deny the mind of the majority in the utility of an abstract god as a moral measure of others and the self. But that is different from saying it is necessary when it is only the abrahamic peoples that think so, and the largest and oldest civilization (China) has no equivalent td thinks abrahamics are childish. And the optimu society of Japan still practices nature and ancestor worship and nationalism – which are the only non false religions.

    Reply addressees: @artus9010


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-14 17:43:45 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812543519468531712

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812540221268934845

  • Q: “Please convince Rudyard (@whatifalthist) to do this debate.”– Rudyard is hi

    –Q: “Please convince Rudyard (@whatifalthist) to do this debate.”–

    Rudyard is his own man with his own strategy that is informed by a deep understanding of social media markets and his market within it, and his staff’s leadership is equally so.
    In the case of the feminine-abrahamic method of suggestion, deception, and coercion as a means of warfare we must remember that Rudyard’s empathy and compassion for the mind and spirit of ordinary people in the face of life’s uncertainty and stress is the source of his ability to correctly interpret history through the lens of all populations across the world in all eras of recorded history.
    Additionally Rudyard’s core interest is the middle ages which were not the age of the origin of religions but the age of their greatest impact on newly emergent social, economic, and political scales.
    For this reason his interpretation of religious and philosophical prose, scripture, thought, and ideation favors the minds of the citizenry even if it imposes a long term cost upon them. He favors that trade off. And as such he is forgiving of religious differences and group differences resulting from their religions.
    Also, as an intellectuals, and not populists, his job, my job, and any honest intellectual’s job, must not (as I’m sure most people do) ignore the opposite side of the coin, the ignorance of people of their own strategy and means of persuasion argument competition and warfare, and in our case our failure to defend ourselves agains the feminine, jewish, abrahamic-sequence, and marxist-sequence means of warfare by seduction into false promise by suggestion, deception, and coercion.
    So whereas in my work prohibiting that warfare is a central proposition, directly stated, with legal enforcement, Rudyard less directly educates but with empathy for all parties – which is his trademark skill in historical analysis. He’s not ideological. He’s empirical and empathic. So whereas I explain controversial topics with judicial and scientific neutrality and more abstractly than the ‘outrage class’ can grasp – which is why I can survive on social media, Rudyard explains controversial topics with reciprocal empathy for all parties, and communicates controversial ideas by suggestion – leaving conclusions to the audience. Again, which is why he can survive on social media. With the difference being he can find a large audience and my technical work will generally appeal to a very analytic minority, even if I suspect our organizations constitutional, legal, economic, social, and education reforms will eventually be accessible to more of the population than my technical work.
    One of the reasons I find such close intellectual kinship with Rudyard, is that he functions as an intellectual and positive priesthood covering one point of the political triangle, and I work largely in the negative of law and politics, covering the other two points of the triangle. I can’t do what he does. And if he did what I did we’d lose the insight he brings.
    Which is precious. And it’s why I consider him our most emerging and important synthetic anthropologist, historian and budding philosopher.
    Affections
    Curt Doolittle
    The Natural Law Institute

    Reply addressees: @SankohaProjekt @OGRolandRat @AutistocratMS


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-13 14:59:59 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812139921530093568

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812129910250512714

  • “LESSER ARISTOCRACY” IN THE ANGLO TRADITION In the historical literature, partic

    “LESSER ARISTOCRACY” IN THE ANGLO TRADITION

    In the historical literature, particularly in america, my family is referred to as “lesser aristocracy”. As an american I grew up finding this term pretentious. But that’s a bit of modern misunderstanding. It’d be equivalent to people who performed military service, owned property, were literate, often functioned as a layer between the commoners and the aristocracy, and could be professionals – some were lawyers and preachers and from limited records it looks like lent money now and then, or who performed some minor public political function.

    “The term “lesser aristocracy” refers to a social class that is below the high aristocracy but still holds meaningful social status and influence.

    While the term might sound pretentious today, historically, it simply referred to a specific social class with distinct roles and responsibilities.

    The lesser aristocracy occupied a social stratum below the nobility but above commoners and peasants. They were often landowners but did not hold noble titles.

    They derived their income primarily from rents and agricultural produce from their lands.

    They frequently held local authority and were involved in regional governance, often serving as justices of the peace, sheriffs, or other local officials, and in america served as early politicians.

    They had a significant influence on local politics and society, often acting as intermediaries between the peasantry and the nobility.

    Literacy and education enabled them to take on roles such as officers in the military, legal professionals, and administrators.

    It was common for members of the lesser aristocracy to serve as officers in the military, given their education and social standing.

    Military service was seen as both a duty and a means of maintaining or enhancing their social status.

    In early New England, families referred to as the lesser aristocracy often played pivotal roles in the establishment and governance of colonies.

    They were among the more affluent and influential settlers, contributing to legal, military, and political structures.

    They often had the potential for social mobility, either rising to higher aristocratic status through marriage, wealth accumulation, or royal favor, or, conversely, losing status through economic decline.”


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-12 23:29:42 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811905806943608832

  • Will, Moral ambitions in the absence of evidence are often the worst crimes that

    Will,
    Moral ambitions in the absence of evidence are often the worst crimes that mankind commits. It’s certainly true of the 100M dead due to leftism and communism over the past era.

    1) If the poor people who are poor because they lack the neoteny, self regulation, intelligence, resulting in unfavorable family structure, traditions, norms, and values, move into communities with better behaved and more able people, the better people will flee. They always have in every civilization and they always will because it’s rational self interest.

    2) Western civ is the highest investment polity (highest psychological and emotional cost) in prosocial norms the world has ever constructed, and association with those incapable of equal prosocial norms only raises the costs and lowers the outcome of less evolved and less developed peoples, and as such those capable of higher investment parenting in suppression of impulsivity, extension of time preference (delay of gratification), and investment in the capacity for individual responsibility will flee those who raise the cost of that investment.

    2) The history of ‘white flight’ (jewish flight, now asian flight), is well documented. You can’t change it. It’ll never change. It’s rational self interest.

    3) Additionally, the history of “Proximity creates hostility” is well documented. It’s one thing if there is no more than 1SD of variation among an ethnic group, but if an ethnic group exceeds 1SD on the average then the lower SD group will always suffer lower status, lower achievement, lower performance, and lower standards of living.

    4) Additionally, destruction of trust and destruction of civil institutions resulting in “bowling alone” is well documented.

    5) When incompatible groups are force into competition resulting in inequality of outcomes the superior group will seek institutional defense against the costs of the inferior group, and the inferior group will seek institutional offense against the inequality caused by their proximity to the superior group.

    6) In case you haven’t been scientifically literate since 1999, the plasticity of humans, meaning the nature nurture debate has been settled, it’s 70-80% nature and 20-30% idiosyncratic experience (randomness). Even if we try, all statistically improvements disappear by adulthood. IQ was settled before 2000. Sex differences were settled by 2012. Race differences were settled by 2018. These are immutable differences in neotenic, sexual, and regional development as mankind spread across the world.

    These differences are not only correlative but causally explained behaviors obvious to every single person who has studied any depth of genetics, cognitive science, behavioral economics, political economy, and those few of us who work in comparative group evolutionary strategies.

    All you are doing will, is confirming wishful cognitive biases that are easily explained, just as pseudoscientists (the marxist sequence) and theologians (the abrahamic sequence) and the many shaman have done for millennia.

    What you don’t understand is that by lying intentionally or by indirectly lying because of a failure of due diligence, and in support of your own cognitive bias combined with false feedback provided by attention seeking, is that you are justifying the end of participatory government, and in particular the participation of women and the underclasses by demonstrating you are willing to profit from the misleading of victims of your deception

    The solution is to admit that copying the Russians during the civil rights era, destroyed the black family, ended the developing black middle and upper middle classes, black institutions, and most importantly the emergent black intellectual class.

    The only solution is self determination, wherein people choose who they want to live with and who they do not. In other words, separation: the federation of many small nation states of europe (at least prior to the french attempt at dominating europe), is the optimum political order.

    Oddly the europeans tried (and are failing) at creating an america of europe at the same time the centralization of america in response to the civil war is being overthrown by trying to conflate continental economic and strategic needs for uniformity, with the regional and local needs for social variation.

    What Im telling you is that you’re just making things worse. You’re not alone. The academy and the bureaucracy who are equally ignorant and inexperience in the organization, management, and governance of people of any scale other than the classroom or department, are doing the same.

    And it’s ending.

    And within a decade it will end tragically.

    And it will be all your (collective) fault.

    “May God save us from well meaning fools.”

    Cheers

    Reply addressees: @whstancil


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-11 20:12:57 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811493904425832448

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811483707233984897

  • I don’t think most of you understand our mission. It’s not popularity. I can’t e

    I don’t think most of you understand our mission. It’s not popularity. I can’t even understand why anyone would think so. It doesn’t matter how many people watch joe rogan, or the evening news, compared to how many people read the wall street journal, compared to how many people read “the economist” compared to how many people read the journals such as “Foreign Policy”.

    Y’all live in the world created by and as the victims of what are called ‘scribblers’ … people who create niche ideas that propagate over time. You aren’t even conscious of all the scribblers who have affected every thought in your head.

    It’s not how many – it’s what kind of people capable of doing what, to influence who, to enact policy.

    Reply addressees: @ShortConsensus


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-11 19:08:18 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811477633466564608

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811455403601051731

  • Q: “WHAT’S WRONG WITH THE BLUE STATES OF THE NORTHEAST?” Let’s start with Connec

    Q: “WHAT’S WRONG WITH THE BLUE STATES OF THE NORTHEAST?”

    Let’s start with Connecticut:
    The Good: if you live in the non-urban green zones in CT that are still remnants of the pre-war economy, or if you live in Fairfield county, which is a tax haven for NYC, it’s a beautiful countryside in all four seasons.

    The Bad: However, other than that, there is a lot of bad. Connecticut is effectively bankrupt. The state employee pensions are unfunded, unfundable and unpayable. The Government has driven every business out of the state that isn’t military. The tax policy alone, the power of the unions, the decline of the cities made it impossible to recruit talent combined with failure to produce enough housing that drove up the cost of living, combined with exhaustively open immigration that drove down wages, combined with the general failure of post 1970 education drove not only business but people out of the state as well. The most valuable people, those who are able to obtain a STEM education, or employment under a higher quality of life, leave Connecticut at the first opportunity. The people are generally considered nihilistic. Connecticut is the second worst state for Starting businesses, and tech biz is almost impossible. (Otherwise I would have built not one company in CT and eleven in other states). Everyone who CAN leave DOES leave. Every business that can leave does leave.

    Fairfield county is the only reason the state economically survives. Otherwise the state would fiscally collapse. Everything along 91 and 95 for three miles around it is a slum all the way down to Fairfield County. The most dangerous cities in Connecticut are Hartford, New Haven, Waterbury, New Britain, and Plainville. Hartford’s overall crime rate is 81% above the national average, with a violent crime rate 180% over the national average. Other dangerous cities in Connecticut are Bloomfield, Derby, New London, East Windsor, and East Hartford.

    The Connecticut river valley until WW2 was one of the best places to live in human history – comparable only to the Loire Valley in France.

    Why? Because Yale, Trinity, and Wesleyan, combined with New England Women as the origin of Progressivism, were at least positive movements, but combined with the pre and postwar labor movement, and especially the 1960s leftist movements, adopted more soviet policy than any other state in the union.

    But unlike MA, which had to reform because of the shock of losing the technology industry to california, CT did not reform. And the public keeps doubling down. And demographically, and because of demographics, economically, and because of economically, politically, there is no chance it can be corrected.

    So until the Federal Government creates the possibility for States to go Bankrupt and renegotiate their contracts and debts (particularly with state employee unions), CT will follow other dying regions. With the top most indebted states being In order (Mass, CT, RI, NY NJ, NH, VT, Illinois, Maryland, Delaware).
    In other words Blue = Debt.

    So all the northeast’s blue states are dying. If so then why don’t they know it? What’s wrong with the people of the northeast?


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-10 20:16:04 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811132299506802688

  • Putin miscalculated because he is so afraid of technology that he only accepts p

    Putin miscalculated because he is so afraid of technology that he only accepts paper and verbal reports. He foolishily believed what he was being told byhis people – which is evidence of the failure of despotism. Are his actions otherwise rational? Of course. Given he believed the nonsense from his generals, his intelligence service, and his miltary suppliers. Given our previous reactions to his expansionary militarism in the caucuses. Given our reaction to his taking of donbas and crimea. Given the election of Biden not trump. He made a calculation based on bad information. And now he’s stuck. Because he’s going to be murdered if he loses power. The US strategy has been consistent, which is to wear down russia’s military, economy, and political legitimacy – which is taking far longer than we’d hoped or expected, but it’s working. So as long as the Ukrainian’s are willing to fight, russia will continue to bleed out until they must come to the table. And hopefully, if russia falls far enough we can integrate them rather than have them fall to china and minorities in the east, and islam from the center and south.
    I’m not ‘special’. I’m just someone sympathetic to the extreme right wing, and in return some of them tend to listen to. As far as I know all geostrategic thinkers (most of whom I know) understand this.
    The variable isn’t russia. The variable isn’t europe. Europe is doing what trump wanted them to. The variable is the potential evolution int he USA which could turn the whole world into chaos. Or the triggering of war with china which would mean we might not pay enough attention to russia over ukraine and the baltics.

    Reply addressees: @hbd_orbiter


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-10 17:47:53 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811095009875099649

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811092685907808636

  • MEN’S FASHION: “THE FORMULA” Trimmed facial hair, trimmed hair, a light cologne

    MEN’S FASHION: “THE FORMULA”
    Trimmed facial hair, trimmed hair, a light cologne (I use Obsession), brown Italian loafers, khaki slacks even if jean cut, matching leather belt, white button down shirt with high thread count (weight). Socks in cool weather, without socks in warm weather. Throw on a blue, black, or brown sports jacket to improve. Add a pocket square to take it further. Keep a tie with some red rolled in your pocket, backpack, messenger bag, or glove compartment. Add a watch if you want the decoration. I prefer an odd American brand (Hamilton), but I really have given up on watches as gilding a lily so to speak (trying too hard). Phones are enough. Tech watches are omg lame.

    For myself, toggle between black and white button down shirts (Nordstrom Smartcare Button Down or LL Bean Pinpoint or Regular Oxford) but I have a handful of blue and yellow, as well as a handful of black jeans. On top of that I have an ungodly number of shoes I rarely wear, and find Vans are the best all around casual shoe that can handle a sport jacket. But if you need a tie stick with the loafers.

    You can wear this basically every day like a uniform and you will always look good. I have a selection of about a dozen expensive >100$ silk handkerchiefs for pocket squares.

    If you are lucky or smart enough to have laundry at home, then keep two baskets for lights and darks, and to laundry no less than every two or three days, by turning the clothes inside out, and then letting them air dry by hanging them in a doorway on the trim.

    Put on pair of running shorts and sit in the sun facing the sun for fifteen to twenty minutes once every two weeks to build color but not a tan. Otherwise stay out of the sun. Drink lots of water. You really only need to lift a few weights a few days a week, and eat clean.

    As long as you keep your weight down you can’t look other than ‘great’.

    READ:
    1) How to be a gentleman: https://t.co/61i2ZxQhbi
    There are many books on the topic but this one I can recommend because most are just copies of it.

    2) Esquire’s Handbook of Style
    https://t.co/Fvj1kaUO13
    Many books but this one is correct and always will be.

    3) You can also read George Washington’s “Rules of Civility” (that he wrote at 14).
    https://t.co/qXI9zGINuH

    Aristocratic virtues require continuous policing of your display word and deed. This, combined with the daily pursuit of virtues, produces stoicism. You cannot ‘go wrong’ but simply reading any number of books of etiquette. You’d be surprised how militaristically ritualistic western high culture had become.

    WHY DOES THIS MATTER?
    We are going through the collapse of the hedonistic cycle after which usually emerges a return to formalism. I would suggest that yes there are a class of men who favor ‘getting pumped’ but in general, that will not mean attracting opportunities for responsibility that produce wealth. Instead, men who cycle or run, and dress well attract opportunity. Success at opportunity attracts women.

    CLOSING
    You cannot go wrong with ‘the formula’. It is still the high point of western men’s fashion, and it is unlikely to be surpassed as long as our civilization endures.

    Reply addressees: @whatifalthist @Dylboz


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-10 17:03:23 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811083809611190272

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1810908031737094157