um…. lets be clear. the Dunning Kruger effect occurs when one perceives that a little general knowledge of a subject allows one to made deductions in that subject matter. This turns out to be false. Meanwhile people who excel in a subject matter tend to be overly pessimistic about their knowledge because they understand the broad opportunity for error.
Smart people (actually, just educated people) tend to make these errors more often then ordinary (uneducated ) people. For the simple reason that uneducated people give themselves the excuse of saying “well I don’t know enough about that”.
Smart people simply say “I’m not sure I know very much about that”. or they say ‘I can hazard a guess but that’s the best I can do.” Thats how you tell someone is smart. lol
What we see in specialists (economics in particular), is that expertise in one domain is not transferrable to another domain.
What we see in ethics, morals, politics, economics, and group evolutionary strategy, is that EVERYONE over-estimates his opinion pretty much except the synthetic historians, since they are the only people who specialize in what man has done, rather than what they think he ought to, or what he wants to.
The reason being that we have greater investment in ethics, morals politics etc, and greater investment in our specializations, that we do in other subject matter.
Propertarianism and testimonialism make it much harder to be the victim of DK cognitive bias, becuase we have too many hurdles to overcome before we can say “yeah, this is a truth candidate”. It’s not that we are less biased, it is that it is just really hard to ‘do the operational math’ so to speak. Because if you cna’t do it you can’t claim you know it.
Source date (UTC): 2017-02-08 19:51:00 UTC