(FB 1543605282 Timestamp) Your choice of grammar (paradigm) tells us how you understand yourself in relation to others.
Category: Epistemology and Method
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1543603044 Timestamp) ARE HISTORIANS OR ECONOMISTS MORE RIGHT? Um…. Let me help you: OUTLIERS. Economists are better at explanation post hoc, and historians are better at prediction, for the simple reason that history consists of the analysis of outliers (opportunities in signal), and economics the analysis of regularities (opportunities in noise). At present it is painfully clear to me that we are both at the most fragile condition any empire has been in history, and we have a surplus of agitated external competitors, and a surplus of agitated internal males ready to seize the opportunity. If the economics profession measured ALL capital changes and incentives those changes cause, and demand for it’s reallocation, as well as rates of consumption and production, then the profession MIGHT come close to the predictive ability of historians. But as we have consistently seen, (which I have been measuring since 2002), the opinions of economists (confidence) vary inversely to the predictability of the conditions. So, it’s not an either or proposition. Bias Confirmation in History, Projection in Psychology and Sociology, and; Cherry Picking in Economics. Next time you hear an economist say ‘but we don’t try to measure that’, inform him that his position is no different from theologians saying ‘we don’t account for that’.
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1543600878 Timestamp) —“Personally I think a semantically commensurable language creates a problem of cost, but alas we must bear costs.”—Micah Pezdirtz
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1543591794 Timestamp) by Luan Raphael Via Positiva: Provide us with a precise description so that we can construct the experience you seek to communicate. Via Negativa: Provide us with a description so that we can constrain our imagination to that which you seek to communicate. Identity allows us to constrain our imagination so that we can construct the experience.
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1543605282 Timestamp) Your choice of grammar (paradigm) tells us how you understand yourself in relation to others.
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1543588907 Timestamp) —“If your speech does not satisfy the categories necessary to demonstrate due diligence or establish warrantee against fraud, bias, or error, why on earth would I take you seriously?”—Micah Pezdirtz
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1543603044 Timestamp) ARE HISTORIANS OR ECONOMISTS MORE RIGHT? Um…. Let me help you: OUTLIERS. Economists are better at explanation post hoc, and historians are better at prediction, for the simple reason that history consists of the analysis of outliers (opportunities in signal), and economics the analysis of regularities (opportunities in noise). At present it is painfully clear to me that we are both at the most fragile condition any empire has been in history, and we have a surplus of agitated external competitors, and a surplus of agitated internal males ready to seize the opportunity. If the economics profession measured ALL capital changes and incentives those changes cause, and demand for it’s reallocation, as well as rates of consumption and production, then the profession MIGHT come close to the predictive ability of historians. But as we have consistently seen, (which I have been measuring since 2002), the opinions of economists (confidence) vary inversely to the predictability of the conditions. So, it’s not an either or proposition. Bias Confirmation in History, Projection in Psychology and Sociology, and; Cherry Picking in Economics. Next time you hear an economist say ‘but we don’t try to measure that’, inform him that his position is no different from theologians saying ‘we don’t account for that’.
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1543588356 Timestamp) —“Metaphor: low resolution vs. E-prime: high resolution”—Micah Pezdirtz
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1543600878 Timestamp) —“Personally I think a semantically commensurable language creates a problem of cost, but alas we must bear costs.”—Micah Pezdirtz
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Curt Doolittle updated his status.
(FB 1543586504 Timestamp) —âOne of my philosophy professors said, itâs not that you canât use analogy and metaphor to express some difficult ideas, but eventually you have to actually tell us what you MEAN. We will insist on that point.â—Daniel Roland Anderson