Category: Epistemology and Method

  • Things are complicated when your premises are false. Explanatory power is an awe

    Things are complicated when your premises are false.

    Explanatory power is an awesome test.


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-25 12:00:00 UTC

  • ERROR IN UNDERSTANDING: OPERATIONALISM IS CRITICISM, NOT JUSTIFICATION —“Opera

    http://www.lehigh.edu/~mhb0/Operationalism.pdfTHE ERROR IN UNDERSTANDING: OPERATIONALISM IS CRITICISM, NOT JUSTIFICATION

    —“Operational definitions were a neo-Machean development that connected with the positivism of Logical Positivism. Logical Positivism failed, with the failure of operational definitions being just one of multiple and multifarious failures of Logical Positivism more broadly.”—

    The tragedy is that operationalism failed.

    The depth of this tragedy is one of the great intellectual failures of human History.

    Operational definitions test the existential possibility of our premises.

    All those great minds failed.

    And the twentieth century was an age of pseudoscience because of it.

    What could we have done without a century of marxism, socialism, postmodernism, freudian psychology, Boazian anthropology, Keynesian justification of theft, Rawlsian deception, Cantorian sets, and the pseudoscientific attacks on physics? Would philosophy have been lost had we saved it with operations? I think so.

    ANOTHER EXAMPLE OF FAILURE


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-25 11:50:00 UTC

  • I don’t judge the arational expression of agreement with truths. I judge the ara

    I don’t judge the arational expression of agreement with truths.

    I judge the arational expression of agreement with falsehhids; and the rational justification of falsehoods, and the pseudoscientific justification if falsehoods.

    But increasingly I judge the incomplete use of due diligence in truth claims.

    Which is novel.


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-25 04:19:00 UTC

  • Knowledge equips you with material with which to imagine by free association. Kn

    Knowledge equips you with material with which to imagine by free association.

    Knowledge fills the shelves of your mind with possible permutations you need only labor to imagine.

    The scientific method equips you with means of eliminating from your statements what you imagine, what you err, what you bias, and what you use to deceive, prior entering them into the informational commons – as a means of not causing harm to the commons (pollution).

    The scientific method – the method of removing imaginary content – is both a procedural one (contrary to scientific common knowledge), an empirical one (that removes imaginary content), and a moral one (with which you promise others you have done your due diligence).

    And I would like to hold you accountable for your claims of ‘science’: wherein you state what warranties of due diligence you have performed, and what warranties of due diligence that you have not. Because there is no reason to grant you a partial warranty.

    If you wish to publish your ideas, you can be held accountable for warranty you must provide in order to publish, whether you desire to provide that warranty or not.

    Social scientists would diminish rapidly in number.


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-24 12:15:00 UTC

  • DEFINITION Proof: A test of existential possibility using a sequence of operatio

    DEFINITION

    Proof: A test of existential possibility using a sequence of operations that demonstrate that a statement can be constructed from first principles.


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-24 08:21:00 UTC

  • THE ECONOMIC METHOD IN CRITICAL RATIONALISM (heavy philosophy warning) (profound

    THE ECONOMIC METHOD IN CRITICAL RATIONALISM

    (heavy philosophy warning) (profound) (austrian econ) (scientific method)

    Math can be stated in a language of NAMES existentially possible operations free of errors of interpretation; or stated in a language of ANALOGIES to operations that are subject to errors of interpretation.

    Math can be used to describe a unique instance in an existential context, or to construct general rules of arbitrary precision independent of existential context.

    With arbitrary precision (independent of real world context) we encounter the problem of decidability (insufficient information) and therefore necessity of the grand label ‘axiom of choice’).

    Much of the language of mathematics obscures the underlying operations upon which all such mathematical statements are constructed. So students usually speak in a ‘language’ of analogy, rather than in a language of ‘names of operations’.

    To circumvent this problem, intutionistic proofs have been suggested as a means of insuring that any deduction is open to operational construction. If it is not, then we cannot claim it is fully criticized.

    This is EXACTLY the same problem we face economics: if any statement of economics is not reducible to subjectively testable operations, we cannot claim that it is fully criticized.

    (Note that this is were Mises failed. He stated that economics was deductive and therefore justifcationary rather than critical process, and the praxeology was a science rather than a test of internal consistency – an error I work daily to correct as a means of rescuing Austrian econ from the Heterodox fringe. )

    Now, because we evolved logic from moral discourse, we used justification. Because we evolved mathematics from the justificationary pre-scientific era, and because mathematical deduction is dependent upon the use of operations (discovery and proof are conducted by the same methods in mathematics), we retained justification. But a proof is not a truth – a proof is a form of criticism that a statement must survive in order for one to testify that it is potentially true.

    The same criterion applies in economics: if we cannot demonstrate that an economic statement can be constructed by subjectively testing a sequence of rational choices, then we cannot warranty that such a statement is existentially possible – and then we cannot say that it has been fully criticized. And as such we cannot warranty that the statement can survive criticism, and we cannot then testify that it is potentially true.

    As such, the means by which we hypothesize is irrelevant – we can construct theories through free association, or by random sentence construction for that matter. What matters is the criticism: due diligence that we have performed.

    The discipline of science is reducible to a series of tests of due diligence, the purpose of which is to eliminate imaginary content, leaving only existential content. If this due diligence is performed, then the author can testify that he speaks as truthfully as possible. Otherwise he cannot testify that he has spoken as truthfully as is possible. (Albeit he can speak truthfully only to those due diligences that he has performed, and those he has not performed.)

    But the reason to practice mainstream macro without subjectively testable micro-foundations, is so that we can justify misinforming individuals (committing fraud) in order to cause them to increase their consumption. As such, mainstream macro is in no small part, the art of deceit: how much can we use the information system provided by prices to deceive people into increasing consumption.

    Whereas the Misesian proposition in economics (and the Hayekian in law) is that we should seek to identify how to inform people truthfully so that we assist them in making mutually beneficial decisions. The jury is still out on whether the accumulated effect of deceit is preferable to the accumulated effect of truth.

    But if the Austrian cycle theory is correct (and I have no reason to believe otherwise), and if the conservative criticisms against denegration of norms, traditions, law, and family structure by this deceit are correct (and I have no reason to believe otherwise) then the Austrian argument will have demonstrated itself to falsify the mainstream argument.

    So, methodologically, we can use the monopoly process we call majority rule; for the construction of monopolistic commons, and we can perform immoral (fraudulent) economics to measure the effects of that monopoly, and we can justify our immoral (fraudulent) monopoly, and immoral (fraudulent) economics and immoral (fraudulent) morality, using fallacious (fraudulent) philosophy that attempts to justify monopoly and takings by aggregate (fragility-producing, equalitarian and dysgenic) measures rather than meritocratic and eugenic) subjective measures.

    OR;

    We can construct economics as a means of conducting research into how to facilitate institutions for the provision of moral actions consisting of truthful statements; and we can use government as a means of providing a market for the construction of contracts for the production of commons; and we can justify (morality is justified, science is criticized) these markets by the uncontestable law of cooperation: the prohibition on free riding – fully articulated as the requirement for productive, fully informed, warrantied, voluntary transfer, free of negative externality of the same.

    And to assuage the unproductive classes, there is no need for monopoly production of commons only monopoly prohibition on parasitism (free riding), and conversely, the requirement for production – even if one’s production is limited to the defense of the most important commons: property in all its forms, whereby the voluntary organization of production is possible, and without friction.

    Science is, as I have tried to show here, the pursuit of the means of speaking truthfully: warranties that we have eliminated all imaginary content, error, bias, and deception.

    Because the only existentially possible truth is the testimony of an individual that he has performed due diligence to eliminate imaginary content, error, bias, and deception tot he best of his knowledge and ability.

    That is the only existentially possible meaning of truth.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev, Ukraine.

    ( Michael Philip Ayelam Valentine Agaliba Frank Lovell #criticalrationalism #libertarian )


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-24 03:13:00 UTC

  • Yes on Samuelson and Marshall. Reason? JUSTIFICATION IS NOT SCIENTIFIC If one su

    Yes on Samuelson and Marshall. Reason?

    JUSTIFICATION IS NOT SCIENTIFIC

    If one subscribes to the error of justificationism, the method legitimizes the theory. If one subscribes to critical rationalism, the method of theorizing is irrelevant, and the ability of the theory to withstand criticism is its only meaningful test of truth content.

    The problem of ‘mathiness’ is that without reduction to subjectively testable sequence of operational statements, we cannot state that our statements are existentially possible.

    I usually recommend people who understand economics and want to learn to discuss it, read and follow Karl Smith’s writing, because he writes in operational and therefore scientific terms. And that style is the reason he has provided insights that others have previously missed. (He writes less now unfortunately. I would love to see him on a talking head show.)

    And why does Karl write in Operational terms? Because he has non-trivial knowledge of technology. And that’s what software teaches you to do. To avoid the problem of mathiness.

    Cheers


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-22 15:14:00 UTC

  • Operation (action): Recipe for existential action (name) Empirical (observable)

    Operation (action): Recipe for existential action (name)

    Empirical (observable) : one’s perception of change in state (description)

    Theoretical (deductive, hypothetical, and unobservable) : allegory (general rule) independent of context


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-20 05:33:00 UTC

  • WE HAVE A NEW MEMBER : PAUL ROMER (important) Paul hasn’t grasped **IT** quite y

    WE HAVE A NEW MEMBER : PAUL ROMER

    (important)

    Paul hasn’t grasped **IT** quite yet, but he’s on the right track. He calls it “mathiness” but he doesn’t get the Operational Revolution yet.

    I’m going to try to help him make the leap, but I suspect that he’ll not get it either. Time is a painful thing. I soldier onward.

    Fortunately, I’m outside of the academy and the academy’s perverse incentives don’t affect me.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Romer

    MATHINESS PAPER

    http://paulromer.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Mathiness.pdf

    CURRENT LIST OF THE PEOPLE REFORMING THE CENTURY OF PSEUDOSCIENCE:

    The Emerging Consensus :

    – Paul Romer (mathematics or ‘Mathiness’ )

    – Nassim Taleb (anti-fragility) or, information requirements.

    – Ricardo Duchesne (uniqueness of western man)

    – Kevin Macdonald (group evolutionary strategies)

    – Curt Doolittle (Truth, Trust, Law, and Institutions)

    — Jonathan Haidt’s (morality)

    — Pinker (who started it all – psychology)

    — Daniel Kahneman (mind)

    – Stephen Hicks (Postmodernism) (Reluctantly Associated I’m sure)

    – Nial Ferguson (Economics) (Possibly Reluctantly Associated)

    – Martin van Creveld (The Culture of Warfare)

    – Emmanuel Todd (The Evolution of Western Morality and Identity)

    — Meng Hu (statistics ‘anecdote is not data’)

    – Steven Hsu (statistics, intelligence and genetics)

    – Jayman (genetics and history)

    – HBD Chick (the institutions of marriage and family)


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-20 05:21:00 UTC

  • Nassim Nicholas Taleb (re: violence) I’d like to add an economist’s point of vie

    Nassim Nicholas Taleb

    (re: violence)

    I’d like to add an economist’s point of view: that the use of the term ‘violence’ is obscurant. (In my lexicon that is equivalent to pseudoscientific).

    Humans engage in a vast spectrum of parasitism whenever possible, and in production only when easy or necessary. Parasitism can be performed by violence, theft, fraud, fraud by omission, fraud by obscurantism, imposed cost by indirection, free riding, privatization of commons, socialization of losses, conspiracy to extort, by normative conversion, by immigration, asymmetric reproduction, conquest, and genocide.

    Conversely, mutually beneficial, productive, warrantied, fully informed, cooperation by voluntary exchange is, by contrast, a very narrow field of human activity in a vast spectrum of parasitism.

    Over the centuries we have increasingly abstracted assets (that which we seek to consume by parasitism), from the physical to, fragments of a value chain, to mere numerical promises (accounts), so that violence is almost useless as a means of obtaining wealth. However, the volume of predation and parasitism performed by violence, is currently performed by various forms of pseudo-scientific and pseudo-moral fraud instead of violence.

    But the parasitism remains.

    Humans are open to coercion by only three technologies: Gossip(religion and morality), remuneration(trade, credit, tax and redistribution), or threat of violence(law,military). Although at any times some people specialize in some axis of coercion (public intellectuals:gossip, government:violence, corporations:purchasing influence.)

    So if we have exchanged parasitism via violence, for parasitism via pseudoscientific fraud (which is one aspect of what I believe you are investigating), then the form of parasitism has changed, but not the parasitism itself.

    We might argue that some form of parasitic equilibrium is actually some sort of Pareto optimum. But that is very different from saying that parasitism no longer exists, or has decreased.

    So as far as I am able to tell, net change in parasitism is zero, or perhaps as some people argue, we have seen a dramatic increase. It is just that we have created sufficient technology that our parasitism by pseudoscience does not injure production as much as parasitism by violence does.

    Furthermore, all the great syntopical historians have, as far as I know, come to the same conclusion: that since 1945, the Pax Americana is only paralleled by the Pax Romana.

    I argue rather frequently (as do many historians) that all economic measures since 1600 are little more than the reflection of the distribution of consumer capitalism, accounting, and rule of law around the world at the point of British gunships.

    So to address violence instead of parasitism, is to blind one’s self to the rest of the spectrum of human criminality in order to congratulate one’s self on having invented a more effective form of crime.

    Affections.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev, Ukraine.


    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-18 11:23:00 UTC