Category: Economics, Finance, and Political Economy

  • What Is Capitalism’s Fundamental Flaw?

    CAPITALISM DOESN’T HAVE A FLAW – IT’S INSUFFICIENT

    It’s a necessary tool for cooperating in a vast division of labor. Humans are not all that meritocratic by nature, and don’t like lotteries.  And capitalism is a necessary, meritocratic, lottery.

    It isn’t just. It isn’t fair. It’s just necessary.  So how do you take what’s necessary and then on top of it, make it somewhat just and somewhat fair?   That’s what we’re always trying to do. It’s just that government as we currently know it, isn’t a very good way of doing that.

    There is a very big difference between fair and desirable.

    https://www.quora.com/What-is-capitalisms-fundamental-flaw

  • What Is Capitalism’s Fundamental Flaw?

    CAPITALISM DOESN’T HAVE A FLAW – IT’S INSUFFICIENT

    It’s a necessary tool for cooperating in a vast division of labor. Humans are not all that meritocratic by nature, and don’t like lotteries.  And capitalism is a necessary, meritocratic, lottery.

    It isn’t just. It isn’t fair. It’s just necessary.  So how do you take what’s necessary and then on top of it, make it somewhat just and somewhat fair?   That’s what we’re always trying to do. It’s just that government as we currently know it, isn’t a very good way of doing that.

    There is a very big difference between fair and desirable.

    https://www.quora.com/What-is-capitalisms-fundamental-flaw

  • NPOV: POSITIONING AUSTRIAN ECONOMICS VS MAINSTREAM ECONOMICS For you to consider

    NPOV: POSITIONING AUSTRIAN ECONOMICS VS MAINSTREAM ECONOMICS

    For you to consider yourself an Austrian in ECONOMIC theory, the minimum requirement is to subscribe to 1) the subjective theory of value, 2) the austrian theory of the business cycle and possibly 3) that money is non-neutral. That is all that would differentiate you from a mainstream economist.

    Mainstream economists TEND to argue that macro monetary policy is ‘above’ all of that:

    i) that the business cycle MAY be affected by the government, but that the net result is actually still better than it would be if we constrained the government.

    ii) The idea that we push problems down the road is fine, because in the progressive view, technology will save us in the future. (Really.)

    iii) that individual benefits are distributed by complex means, so that in the end, it all works our if they take your property and give it to someone else, and increase risk and government debt.

    iiii) Austrian economics is logical, but does not place an emphasis on the empirical, or at least, casts doubt on the empirical statements mainstream economists make. And since economics as a discipline is actually econometrics then this means you have no place in economics departments.

    You would CHOOSE to study Austrian economics only if you either have a) a moral objection to Keynesianism, or b) it violates your observation about human nature, or c) the externalities it will produce accumulate into even more serious problems than the business cycle. (That’s what libertarians argue.)

    The reason some of us tend to choose Austrian economics is because we have a political interest in the long term effects of policy on society. And because we think norms and institutions are not arbitrary. This category of questions is in the domain of POLITICAL ECONOMY, not really that of monetary economics. And as such, most of us would recommend that you study Austrian economics in the context of political science, or ethical philosophy, rather than monetary economics, and do so in support of a political science degree where first year macro and micro economics really are sufficient.

    GMU does teach Austrianism and their program is competitive, and their students are sought out precisely for that reason. The developing world, where corruption is a serious problem, also tends to have austrian influence, because it explains at least in part, why these countries remain poor: they don’t have property rights.

    The truth is that in our advanced countries, where we do have at least marginal property rights and limited corruption, Austrian principles are not as important as macro principles. So I think it is more that Austrianism is an early stage way of looking at the world, and once you’ve succeeded with institutions at the austrian level you can more easily make use of macro institutions without such substantially negative externalities. Although most dedicated Austrians (the ideological kind) might disagree with me, I kind of doubt that I’d lose the argument.) 🙂


    Source date (UTC): 2013-07-22 16:13:00 UTC

  • Why Is Communism Considered Evil By Some People?

    GREAT QUESTION. ILL TRY TO DO IT JUSTICE

    Because Karl Marx made a catastrophic error in basing his system of thought on the Labor Theory of Value, and amplified that with a complete failure to understand the necessity of prices and incentives as information systems – a combination that invalidated everything else he concluded from that point onward.

    This catastrophe would not have mattered, and would have made him little more than the subject of economic ridicule that he is today, except that he wrote ideological works including the Communist Manifesto, that were prescriptions for rebellion, and that formed both the basis of a new pseudo-religion masquerading as a political system. Second this pseudo-religion formed the a model with which the east could react to, and compete with, the disruptive social and political effects of anglo consumer Capitalism under Democracy.

    The east needed an ideological alternative to ‘jump ahead’ of the west. In their societies, democracy could not function because it requires that familial trust and freedom from coercion be extended to all members of society, which was impossible due to eastern cultural retention of family and tribal priorities where trust and freedom from coercion is extended only to family and tribe – and coercion and corruption were pervasive elsewhere.

    While Marx is sometimes given a pass, because his ideas were abused by Joseph Stalin, Mao Zedong (毛泽东), and the Khmer Rouge, which resulted in the murder 100M people, the fact remains that Communism isn’t possible because human cooperation is impossible in a division of knowledge and labor without the combination of money, prices, accounting, contracts, and the constant desire of people to identify new opportunities and niches to fill in response to changing demand and shocks.

    The reason that the west demonized Marxism was because it was a threat to consumer capitalist society: it was used to militarize countries, it was used as an ideological tool to foment rebellion around the world, and it resulted in more deaths than anything in Human History other than perhaps even the Black Death. So realistically, it deserves to be demonized.



    WHAT WORKS IF MARX DOESN’T?

    Social democracy, which is ordinary english classical liberalism with the addition of Keynesian Economic policy, does not include the abolishment of private property, prices, and incentives, instead keeps all of those institutions, while ‘siphoning off as much profit from individuals as it can without killing the cow that feeds it.’

    This seems to be working quite well, except that people do not work hard or long enough, and have now spent both the money that they would have saved during their lifetimes, and the money that the future generations would have consumed. This is a problem of building a Ponzi Scheme dependent on the same perpetual Economic Growth that we saw during Industrialization, but it is not one of the impossibility that Marx fantasized about.

    WHY IS CONSUMER CAPITALISM NECESSARY?

    It is very easy to be China or India and import existing western technology. But when easy opportunities (as we see is happening in China) are fully exploited, the country must turn to domestic consumption, and to domestic innovation. So Totalitarianism is effective in China at creating literacy, and effective in ‘investment’ in infrastructure. The question remains how effective or burdensome that bureaucracy will be when the limits of totalitarian direction are reached, and the society must run entirely on domestic consumption.

    THE VALUE OF TOTALITARIANISM AT EARLY STAGES

    Chinese totalitarianism is useful at this stage because the army can be counted on to enforce policy if the people rebel, but India can’t do the same. While both China and India are empires, India has more systematic corruption and insufficient centralization of power to forcibly implement policy as does China.

    It is possible that China can convert to an innovation country at some point. But it remains a desperately poor country. But the entire issue is that innovation and constant adaptation become the source of prosperity once easily obtained opportunities have been fully exploited.

    CHINA IS A CORPORATIST NOT A COMMUNIST STATE

    (Which would be painfully ironic if not for 100M dead people.)

    There is nothing communist about China at all. China is operated by Confucian rules: as a large, extended-family corporation. And the modern communist party is not communist, or a party, it is a corporation and runs china as a corporation. It satisfies consumers, and it must satisfy consumers because internal frictions would disrupt it if it didn’t.

    In this sense, there is nothing communist about china any longer other than the symbolism, and the disproportionate power of the People’s Liberation Army that still lives by doctrine.

    China is an example of Corporatism. Corporatism works. Because it’s meritocratic.

    Russia is trying to move to corporatism, but culturally is too much of a bridge civilization between east and west, and will have to retain some semblance of democratic rule even if the bureaucracy will remain corporatist.

    The west is having problems with its fantasy of universalism, and social democracy which were invented in a period of temporary economic superiority that no longer exists in a globalized labor force. It is not any more sustainable than is the US military control of trade and petrodollars.

    But that’s a different topic for another time.

    https://www.quora.com/Why-is-communism-considered-evil-by-some-people

  • Why Is Communism Considered Evil By Some People?

    GREAT QUESTION. ILL TRY TO DO IT JUSTICE

    Because Karl Marx made a catastrophic error in basing his system of thought on the Labor Theory of Value, and amplified that with a complete failure to understand the necessity of prices and incentives as information systems – a combination that invalidated everything else he concluded from that point onward.

    This catastrophe would not have mattered, and would have made him little more than the subject of economic ridicule that he is today, except that he wrote ideological works including the Communist Manifesto, that were prescriptions for rebellion, and that formed both the basis of a new pseudo-religion masquerading as a political system. Second this pseudo-religion formed the a model with which the east could react to, and compete with, the disruptive social and political effects of anglo consumer Capitalism under Democracy.

    The east needed an ideological alternative to ‘jump ahead’ of the west. In their societies, democracy could not function because it requires that familial trust and freedom from coercion be extended to all members of society, which was impossible due to eastern cultural retention of family and tribal priorities where trust and freedom from coercion is extended only to family and tribe – and coercion and corruption were pervasive elsewhere.

    While Marx is sometimes given a pass, because his ideas were abused by Joseph Stalin, Mao Zedong (毛泽东), and the Khmer Rouge, which resulted in the murder 100M people, the fact remains that Communism isn’t possible because human cooperation is impossible in a division of knowledge and labor without the combination of money, prices, accounting, contracts, and the constant desire of people to identify new opportunities and niches to fill in response to changing demand and shocks.

    The reason that the west demonized Marxism was because it was a threat to consumer capitalist society: it was used to militarize countries, it was used as an ideological tool to foment rebellion around the world, and it resulted in more deaths than anything in Human History other than perhaps even the Black Death. So realistically, it deserves to be demonized.



    WHAT WORKS IF MARX DOESN’T?

    Social democracy, which is ordinary english classical liberalism with the addition of Keynesian Economic policy, does not include the abolishment of private property, prices, and incentives, instead keeps all of those institutions, while ‘siphoning off as much profit from individuals as it can without killing the cow that feeds it.’

    This seems to be working quite well, except that people do not work hard or long enough, and have now spent both the money that they would have saved during their lifetimes, and the money that the future generations would have consumed. This is a problem of building a Ponzi Scheme dependent on the same perpetual Economic Growth that we saw during Industrialization, but it is not one of the impossibility that Marx fantasized about.

    WHY IS CONSUMER CAPITALISM NECESSARY?

    It is very easy to be China or India and import existing western technology. But when easy opportunities (as we see is happening in China) are fully exploited, the country must turn to domestic consumption, and to domestic innovation. So Totalitarianism is effective in China at creating literacy, and effective in ‘investment’ in infrastructure. The question remains how effective or burdensome that bureaucracy will be when the limits of totalitarian direction are reached, and the society must run entirely on domestic consumption.

    THE VALUE OF TOTALITARIANISM AT EARLY STAGES

    Chinese totalitarianism is useful at this stage because the army can be counted on to enforce policy if the people rebel, but India can’t do the same. While both China and India are empires, India has more systematic corruption and insufficient centralization of power to forcibly implement policy as does China.

    It is possible that China can convert to an innovation country at some point. But it remains a desperately poor country. But the entire issue is that innovation and constant adaptation become the source of prosperity once easily obtained opportunities have been fully exploited.

    CHINA IS A CORPORATIST NOT A COMMUNIST STATE

    (Which would be painfully ironic if not for 100M dead people.)

    There is nothing communist about China at all. China is operated by Confucian rules: as a large, extended-family corporation. And the modern communist party is not communist, or a party, it is a corporation and runs china as a corporation. It satisfies consumers, and it must satisfy consumers because internal frictions would disrupt it if it didn’t.

    In this sense, there is nothing communist about china any longer other than the symbolism, and the disproportionate power of the People’s Liberation Army that still lives by doctrine.

    China is an example of Corporatism. Corporatism works. Because it’s meritocratic.

    Russia is trying to move to corporatism, but culturally is too much of a bridge civilization between east and west, and will have to retain some semblance of democratic rule even if the bureaucracy will remain corporatist.

    The west is having problems with its fantasy of universalism, and social democracy which were invented in a period of temporary economic superiority that no longer exists in a globalized labor force. It is not any more sustainable than is the US military control of trade and petrodollars.

    But that’s a different topic for another time.

    https://www.quora.com/Why-is-communism-considered-evil-by-some-people

  • How Do Keynesians View Austrian Economics?

    GREAT QUESTION. I WILL TRY TO DO IT JUSTICE. BUT I HAVE TO GO BEYOND THE SCOPE OF YOUR QUESTION TO DO THAT.

    For you to consider yourself an Austrian in ECONOMIC theory, the minimum requirement is to subscribe to 1) the subjective theory of value, 2) the austrian theory of the business cycle and possibly 3) that money is non-neutral. That is all that would differentiate you from a mainstream economist.

    Mainstream economists TEND to argue that macro monetary policy is ‘above’ all of that:

    i) that the business cycle MAY be affected by the government, but that the net result is actually still better than it would be if we constrained the government.

    ii) The idea that we push problems down the road is fine, because in the progressive view, technology will save us in the future. (Really.)  

    iii) that individual benefits are distributed by complex means, so that in the end, it all works our if they take your property and give it to someone else, and increase risk and government debt.

    iiii) Austrian economics is logical, but does not place an emphasis on the empirical, or at least, casts doubt on the empirical statements mainstream economists make. And since economics as a discipline is actually econometrics then this means you have no place in economics departments.

    You would CHOOSE to study Austrian economics only if you either have a) a moral objection to Keynesianism, or b) it violates your observation about human nature, or c) the externalities it will produce accumulate into even more serious problems than the business cycle. (That’s what libertarians argue.)

    The reason some of us tend to choose Austrian economics is because we have a political interest in the long term effects of policy on society. And because we think norms and institutions are not arbitrary.  This category of questions is in the domain of POLITICAL ECONOMY, not really that of monetary economics.  And as such, most of us would recommend that you study Austrian economics in the context of political science, or ethical philosophy, rather than monetary economics, and do so in support of a political science degree where first year macro and micro economics really are sufficient.

    GMU does teach Austrianism and their program is competitive, and their students are sought out precisely for that reason. The developing world, where corruption is a serious problem, also tends to have austrian influence, because it explains at least in part, why these countries remain poor: they don’t have property rights.

    The truth is that in our advanced countries, where we do have at least marginal property rights and limited corruption, Austrian principles are not as important as macro principles.  So I think it is more that Austrianism is an early stage way of looking at the world, and once you’ve succeeded with institutions at the austrian level you can more easily make use of macro institutions without such substantially negative externalities. Although most dedicated austrians (the ideological kind) might disagree with me, I kind of doubt that I’d lose the argument.)  🙂 

    Curt Doolittle
    The Propertarian Institute

    https://www.quora.com/How-do-Keynesians-view-Austrian-economics

  • LESSONS ON ANTI-KEYNESIANISM FROM BENOIT MANDELBROT Keynesian noise is not signa

    LESSONS ON ANTI-KEYNESIANISM FROM BENOIT MANDELBROT

    Keynesian noise is not signal. It is just a selection bias that favors Leftist Dunning Kruegerists like Krugman, DeLong, Stiglitz and Thoma.

    LESSON FROM MILITARY HISTORIANS?

    All our economic data is noise representing the spread of anglo-american law by violence – and it’s entirely reversible.


    Source date (UTC): 2013-07-21 08:35:00 UTC

  • FOR ENTREPRENEURSHIP IN UKRAINE Defensive lament on the predatory bureaucracy

    http://romaninukraine.com/a-conversation-with-a-restaurant-manager/STRUGGLE FOR ENTREPRENEURSHIP IN UKRAINE

    Defensive lament on the predatory bureaucracy.


    Source date (UTC): 2013-07-20 12:40:00 UTC

  • FINALLY GETS ON BOARD I guessed china woukd hit the demographic wall in 2010. I

    http://www.nytimes.com/2013/07/19/opinion/krugman-hitting-chinas-wall.html?hp&_r=0KRUGMAN FINALLY GETS ON BOARD

    I guessed china woukd hit the demographic wall in 2010. I was wrong.

    But a three year margin of error is good enough.

    Who called it first?

    Austrians.


    Source date (UTC): 2013-07-19 13:04:00 UTC

  • The Pareto Principle In Everything

    1% of people cause everything, and that 1% own 20% of everything 19% of people control everything and own 60% of everything by taking cues from the 1%. 80% of people are labor or consumers who own 20% and are directed by by the 19%. It’s not just america. It’s everywhere. It has to be that way, Because that is now knowledge is organized. And that’s partly because how IQ is distributed.