Curt Doolittle

Author: Curt Doolittle

  • How Do You Enterprise Capitalism?

    This is an illogical question.  How do you “Fast” the color “Green”.  It makes no sense.  Capitalism is the voluntary organization of production through the use of private property, contract, law, money, prices, accounting, and interest.  And the use of  and reward for use of resources is allocated to those who most satisfy the demand for those resources by the information provided by prices.

    An enterprise is voluntary organization of capital (time, people, money, assets) among individuals in order to construct an hypothesis that might produce a profit on the use of that capital – if their hypothesis is correct.

    An enterprise requires capital. 

    Aside from that the question is nonsensical.

    Cheers

    https://www.quora.com/How-do-you-enterprise-capitalism

  • My @Quora answer to Why were all the polls in the 2015 UK general election so di

    My @Quora answer to Why were all the polls in the 2015 UK general election so different from the results? http://qr.ae/06wjB

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-09 08:42:04 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/596958300463312896

  • Untitled

    http://www.quora.com/Why-were-all-the-polls-in-the-2015-UK-general-election-so-different-from-the-results/answer/Curt-Doolittle?share=1

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-09 04:42:00 UTC

  • NATE SILVER TELLS US SOMETHING WE KNOW: POLLS MANUFACTURE OPINION AND THEIR REPO

    NATE SILVER TELLS US SOMETHING WE KNOW: POLLS MANUFACTURE OPINION AND THEIR REPORTING IS HIGHLY BIASED.

    —“[We fail to comprehend what Nate is telling us:] the same tools and models that allowed him to do good forecasting can be used for forensic purposes. And forensically, they’re telling him there was systematic bias by the polling firms.”—

    What he is really saying is that polling firms are GETTING BETTER at manufacturing opinion and INSERTING MORE BIAS in their results.

    What he is going to tell us next, is who biases their polls.

    —“The fault, Silver claimed, was with the polling: “It’s becoming increasingly clear that pre-election polls underestimated how well Conservatives would do and overestimated Labour’s result,” the statistician guru wrote in the wee hours of the morning. (He also overestimated the Liberal Democrats’ result by roughly 20 seats).

    But the problem went beyond the UK. “The World May Have A Polling Problem,” Silver asserted. “In fact, it’s become harder to find an election in which the polls did all that well.” Silver went on to cite four examples where the polls had failed to provide an accurate forecast of the election outcome: the Scottish independence referendum, the 2014 U.S. midterms, the Israeli legislative elections, and even the 2012 U.S. presidential election, where “Obama beat the final polling averages by about 3 points nationwide.”

    “[T]here are lots of reasons to worry about the state of the polling industry,” Silver concluded, citing a range of factors. “There may be more difficult times ahead for the polling industry.”—

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-09 04:35:00 UTC

  • Conservative EPISTEMOLOGY is one of anti-hubris: a prohibition on consensus buil

    Conservative EPISTEMOLOGY is one of anti-hubris: a prohibition on consensus building, and an emphasis on demonstrated evidence in SOCIAL MATTERS. It is a form of skepticism. Or in critical rationalism, we would say ‘criticism’, and therefore ‘scientific’.

    Progressive EPISTEMOLOGY is one of consensus-building where intentions rather than outcomes matter. It is a form of optimism

    The reason being is that progressivism does not seek truth but to expand numbers regardless of quality, where conservatism seeks truth to minimize their numbers and maximize quality.

    Or, the feminine progressive strategy and the masculine conservative strategy.

    We have no idea what we are doing, we just justify our intuitions. Underneath it is all reproductive instincts and nothing else.

    So conservatives use rational, arational and irrational means to cause us to act scientifically, while progressives use rational, arational, and irrational means to cause us to act unscientifically – as an extended organization wherein each of us has only fragmentary knowledge.

    This is quite profound really.

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-09 04:07:00 UTC

  • PRIVACY Privacy is a legal, normative, and moral construct: we are bound to pay

    https://mobile.twitter.com/narmno/status/595057396638187520ON PRIVACY

    Privacy is a legal, normative, and moral construct: we are bound to pay the cost of morals, norms, and legal codification of them when we enter in to the commons. What occurs in our homes is only relevant if it causes externalities. And what is in our minds is ungovernable. This is a vast subject which I won’t go into further, but privacy exists iff and only if we preserve the objectively moral and the normative and legal observation of if. What has changed is only that with vast increases in our exposure to information about one another, two outcomes are produced: (a) a reduction in the LOCAL influence of any of our actions, and (b) a realization that we are all open to the same errors, make the same errors, and mature out of those errors with experience; and (c) the lowering of the impact of negatives on our reputations if our errors are unselfish and merely ignorant in nature. All three of these factors REDUCE the impact of foolish human actions on the moral, normative, and legal commons. As such privacy is less valuable and useful than it WAS in the past – at least in matters of COGNITION and OPINION, if not crime.

    ON LEANING – IN

    Still thinking about this.

    There is no material value to women’s entry into the work force. The value is in that women are not PROHIBITED from entering the work force, and are therefore less dependent on marriage for sustenance, satisfaction, and reproduction. However, women abused their entry into the franchise by parasitically obtaining through the state, the income of marriage without providing the care-taking, sex, and compromise of marriage. So for men, adding women to the franchise merely expanded the state, made them slaves of the state, decreased the value of taking ownership for and paying the cost of the commons (society), caused rapid expansion of dysgenia, insured their poverty and loneliness in old age, and led a large number to suicide. Women destroyed the compromise. Without women’s votes the left would never obtained power in any country, and used it to destroy western civilization. I see similar effects in Japan. But I have the disadvantage of limited on the ground experience, and must work entirely from data.

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-09 03:25:00 UTC

  • Why Were All The Polls In The 2015 Uk General Election So Different From The Results?

    THE CORRECT ANSWER
    Nate Silver is probably the world’s leading analyst of polls.  His opinion, stated yesterday, is that

    –“The World May Have A Polling Problem,” Silver asserted. “In fact, it’s become harder to find an election in which the polls did all that well.” Silver went on to cite four examples where the polls had failed to provide an accurate forecast of the election outcome: the Scottish independence referendum, the 2014 U.S. midterms, the Israeli legislative elections, and even the 2012 U.S. presidential election, where “Obama beat the final polling averages by about 3 points nationwide.”
    “[T]here are lots of reasons to worry about the state of the polling industry,” Silver concluded, citing a range of factors. “There may be more difficult times ahead for the polling industry.”—



    What he is saying is that there is conscious, and increasing bias in the polls, and that he will be able to use forensic statistics to determine who is biasing polls by how much.

    The purpose of polling whenever results are reported is to manufacture opinion.

    https://www.quora.com/Why-were-all-the-polls-in-the-2015-UK-general-election-so-different-from-the-results

  • Why Were All The Polls In The 2015 Uk General Election So Different From The Results?

    THE CORRECT ANSWER
    Nate Silver is probably the world’s leading analyst of polls.  His opinion, stated yesterday, is that

    –“The World May Have A Polling Problem,” Silver asserted. “In fact, it’s become harder to find an election in which the polls did all that well.” Silver went on to cite four examples where the polls had failed to provide an accurate forecast of the election outcome: the Scottish independence referendum, the 2014 U.S. midterms, the Israeli legislative elections, and even the 2012 U.S. presidential election, where “Obama beat the final polling averages by about 3 points nationwide.”
    “[T]here are lots of reasons to worry about the state of the polling industry,” Silver concluded, citing a range of factors. “There may be more difficult times ahead for the polling industry.”—



    What he is saying is that there is conscious, and increasing bias in the polls, and that he will be able to use forensic statistics to determine who is biasing polls by how much.

    The purpose of polling whenever results are reported is to manufacture opinion.

    https://www.quora.com/Why-were-all-the-polls-in-the-2015-UK-general-election-so-different-from-the-results

  • (James Santagata corrects me.) My argument was this: that consumers provide an e

    (James Santagata corrects me.)

    My argument was this: that consumers provide an exceptional means of low cost R&D because they make small investments at low transaction costs. However, the ‘big money’ outside of advertising (gambling) is still in the enterprise customer. That is because the switching costs for consumers is low, and the switching cost for the enterprise is high.

    It has taken a long time for hurricane caused by the justice department’s flapping of butterfly wings to dissipate, but it’s clear that it’s dissipating and that massive consolidation will be possible.

    Why? because owning customer relationships and the curatorial influence of brand has been suppressed for a decade. And I see a peak over there on the horizon.

    The accumulated value of prior generatoins anchored past customer-owners. That anchor has dissipated also.

    More later.

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-08 09:12:00 UTC

  • MORE ON MY POSITION ON RACE (from elsewhere) Just maybe let me add this: there i

    MORE ON MY POSITION ON RACE

    (from elsewhere)

    Just maybe let me add this: there is no material difference between men. There is a material difference in how groups of men behave because there are material differences in the distributions between groups of men. I feel that evolution via mutation is less impactful than changes in who breeds at what rate. This means that man is very plastic in adaptation, always able to move forward into the cerebral or backward into the physical as necessary. The central problem of any society is the PERCENTAGE of individuals above 125/130 where ideas are created, and how much property is in their hands, and the nearest 20% of people that they influence. This is how institutions and organizations are formed. It is imperative that any group of people achieve the Pareto relationship between order and ability if one wants to exit tyranny. I do not believe there are material differences between people of similar abilities. I believe that there are material differences in the distribution of abilities. If you let your lower classes over-reproduce, you cannot accumulate wealth in the hands of meritocracy. I do not think this is particularly difficult or complex to understand. We are all families at different stages of maturity. I think that we should treat our families, extended families, distant relations, and other races as families who are at different levels of maturity, but that there is no meaningful difference otherwise. This is my position. Racism is stupid. Democracy makes it worse. All families can help other families however.I choose to help all families who wish to improve their lot without doing it at the expense of Others.

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-08 09:05:00 UTC