Curt Doolittle

Author: Curt Doolittle

  • half of the biggest US metropolitan areas have yet to recoup all the lost jobs f

    http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2015/05/urban-average-is-over.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+marginalrevolution%2Ffeed+%28Marginal+Revolution%29#sthash.SAqbQxyu.dpuf—“Nearly half of the biggest US metropolitan areas have yet to recoup all the lost jobs from the Great Recession and almost a third have failed to return to previous levels of output, according to analysis that underscores the fragmenting urban fortunes beneath the surface of America’s recovery.

    Research on 100 urban areas from the Brookings think-tank, reveals an economic patchwork in which the legacy of boom and bust hangs heavily over cities in Florida and inland California, while at the other end of the spectrum, technology and bioscience-focused cities such as Austin, Texas, San Francisco, and Raleigh, North Carolina have comfortably surpassed their previous peaks.

    “This may be the norm now — extreme variation,” said Mark Muro, policy director for the Metropolitan Policy Program at Washington-based Brookings.”—

    What Florida and California have in common is average: they attract a large number of people with average education and skills, income, etc. What Austin, San Francisco, and Raleigh (and Charlottesville et al.) have in common is above average: they attract a large number of people with above average education and skills, income, etc

    I think the point is that economic returns are being disproportionately returned to the above average categories – whether by people or city.

    – See more at: http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2015/05/urban-average-is-over.html

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-30 15:09:00 UTC

  • Just had an awesome over-the-top interview with the OMG-irreverent-folks at TRS.

    Just had an awesome over-the-top interview with the OMG-irreverent-folks at TRS. I have to wince a lot. I’m dumbstruck a lot. Speechless a lot. Appalled a lot. But after I catch my breath, it was still a lot of fun. 🙂

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-30 14:30:00 UTC

  • told you this would happen. And do you see what it means for Microsoft? I do. It

    http://time.com/3901380/apple-ibm-macbooks/I told you this would happen. And do you see what it means for Microsoft? I do.

    It will happen as soon as we see peak iphone. It’s apple’s only option. It’s just a matter of time. Everything is overpriced right now. And when the correction comes, like always, it will be an over-correction. When that over-correction happens, buy both at the daily bottom on the ride down. Don’t be greedy.

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-30 14:26:00 UTC

  • UKRIANIAN’S DONT NEED AN EXCUSE TO RALLY TOGETHER They don’t need rallying. They

    UKRIANIAN’S DONT NEED AN EXCUSE TO RALLY TOGETHER

    They don’t need rallying. They have an invader causing them to rally, and a genocide in memory to add fervor.

    What they don’t have is managerial, legal and political talent that can’t be bought.

    Outsiders are welcome for this reason.

    Ukrainians are too poor and exasperated with post Soviet corruption and Russian propaganda, and Russian invasion to care about the great game or ideology.

    The just want rule of law, a banking system that works, and price stability.

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-30 03:39:00 UTC

  • The Movement Against Pseudoscience Continues

    [T]heories of perception not fact.

    —“We suggest that most theories about political effects of inequality need to be either abandoned or reframed as theories about the effects of perceived inequality”—

    h/t bryan caplan http://www.nber.org/papers/w21174.pdf Source: (1) Curt Doolittle

  • The Movement Against Pseudoscience Continues

    [T]heories of perception not fact.

    —“We suggest that most theories about political effects of inequality need to be either abandoned or reframed as theories about the effects of perceived inequality”—

    h/t bryan caplan http://www.nber.org/papers/w21174.pdf Source: (1) Curt Doolittle

  • Definitions: Truth, Truthfulness, and Honesty

    [D]EFINITIONS OF TRUTH.TAUTOLOGICAL TRUTH: That testimony you give when you promising the equality of two statements using different terms: A circular definition, a statement of equality or a statement of identity. ANALYTIC TRUTH: The testimony you give promising the internal consistency of one or more statements used in the construction of a proof in an axiomatic(declarative) system. (a Logical Truth). IDEAL TRUTH: That testimony (description) you would give, if your knowledge (information) was complete, your language was sufficient, stated without error, cleansed of bias, and absent deceit, within the scope of precision limited to the context of the question you wish to answer; and the promise that another possessed of the same knowledge (information), performing the same due diligence, having the same experiences, would provide the same testimony. (Ideal Truth = Perfect Parsimony.) TRUTHFULNESS: that testimony (description) you give if your knowledge (information) is incomplete, your language is insufficient, you have performed due diligence in the elimination of error, imaginary content, wishful thinking, bias, and deceit; within the scope of precision limited to the question you wish to answer; and which you warranty to be so; and the promise that another possessed of the knowledge, performing the same due diligence, having the same experiences, would provide the same testimony. HONESTY: that testimony (description) you give with full knowledge that knowledge is incomplete, your language is insufficient, but you have not performed due diligence in the elimination of error and bias, but which you warranty is free of deceit; within the scope of precision limited to the question you wish to answer; and the promise that another possess of the same knowledge (information), performing the same due diligence, having the same experiences, would provide the same testimony.Intuition: (sentimental expression) – an uncritical, uncriticized, response to information that expresses a measure of existing biases (priors).Preference (rational expression) : a justification of one’s biases (wants). Opinion: (justificationism) – a justified uncritical statement given the limits of one’s knowledge about external questions.Position: (criticism) – a theoretical statement that survives one’s available criticisms about external questions.Demonstrated Preference: – Evidence of intuition, preference, opinion, and position as demonstrated by your actions, independent of your statements.A Hierarchy of Truths:

    1. True enough to imagine a conceptual relationship
    2. True enough for me to feel good about myself.
    3. True enough for me to take actions that produce positive results.
    4. True enough for me to not cause others to react negatively to me.
    5. True enough to resolve a conflict without subjective opinion among my fellow people with similar values.
    6. True enough to resolve a conflict without subjective opinion across different peoples with different values.
    7. True regardless of all opinions or perspectives.
    8. Tautologically true: in that the two things are equal.

    TRUTH IS A WARRANTY OF DIFFERENT DEGREES.Source: (1) Curt Doolittle

  • Definitions: Truth, Truthfulness, and Honesty

    [D]EFINITIONS OF TRUTH.TAUTOLOGICAL TRUTH: That testimony you give when you promising the equality of two statements using different terms: A circular definition, a statement of equality or a statement of identity. ANALYTIC TRUTH: The testimony you give promising the internal consistency of one or more statements used in the construction of a proof in an axiomatic(declarative) system. (a Logical Truth). IDEAL TRUTH: That testimony (description) you would give, if your knowledge (information) was complete, your language was sufficient, stated without error, cleansed of bias, and absent deceit, within the scope of precision limited to the context of the question you wish to answer; and the promise that another possessed of the same knowledge (information), performing the same due diligence, having the same experiences, would provide the same testimony. (Ideal Truth = Perfect Parsimony.) TRUTHFULNESS: that testimony (description) you give if your knowledge (information) is incomplete, your language is insufficient, you have performed due diligence in the elimination of error, imaginary content, wishful thinking, bias, and deceit; within the scope of precision limited to the question you wish to answer; and which you warranty to be so; and the promise that another possessed of the knowledge, performing the same due diligence, having the same experiences, would provide the same testimony. HONESTY: that testimony (description) you give with full knowledge that knowledge is incomplete, your language is insufficient, but you have not performed due diligence in the elimination of error and bias, but which you warranty is free of deceit; within the scope of precision limited to the question you wish to answer; and the promise that another possess of the same knowledge (information), performing the same due diligence, having the same experiences, would provide the same testimony.Intuition: (sentimental expression) – an uncritical, uncriticized, response to information that expresses a measure of existing biases (priors).Preference (rational expression) : a justification of one’s biases (wants). Opinion: (justificationism) – a justified uncritical statement given the limits of one’s knowledge about external questions.Position: (criticism) – a theoretical statement that survives one’s available criticisms about external questions.Demonstrated Preference: – Evidence of intuition, preference, opinion, and position as demonstrated by your actions, independent of your statements.A Hierarchy of Truths:

    1. True enough to imagine a conceptual relationship
    2. True enough for me to feel good about myself.
    3. True enough for me to take actions that produce positive results.
    4. True enough for me to not cause others to react negatively to me.
    5. True enough to resolve a conflict without subjective opinion among my fellow people with similar values.
    6. True enough to resolve a conflict without subjective opinion across different peoples with different values.
    7. True regardless of all opinions or perspectives.
    8. Tautologically true: in that the two things are equal.

    TRUTH IS A WARRANTY OF DIFFERENT DEGREES.Source: (1) Curt Doolittle

  • WITH CHECK YOUR PRIVILEGE MEME”

    http://www.businessinsider.com/beautiful-people-get-more-job-interviews-2013-9″CONTRAST WITH CHECK YOUR PRIVILEGE MEME”

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-29 05:32:00 UTC

  • Curt Doolittle shared a post

    Curt Doolittle shared a post.

    Source date (UTC): 2015-05-29 04:40:00 UTC