IMO it’s optimistic. It’s an attrition warfare problem. He gets the east. But can Russia take the hit of the three or more years it will take to suppress enough ukrainian resistance given 200B in reserves at 20B a day? And can putin stay in power doing it? Not clear either way.
Source date (UTC): 2022-02-28 09:57:31 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498235909032005634
Reply addressees: @oswaldspangled
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498189204223717381
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