3) Putin is acting to insure his legacy given his age rather than the lower cost of waiting out deterministic USA and EU decline. World estimate of chinese and russian self sufficiency vs impatience vs risk was optimistic and conditions accelerated under covid,Biden, Post-Merkel.
Source date (UTC): 2022-01-27 05:55:57 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1486578705099071488
Reply addressees: @Nordacus
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1486577600650747907
IN REPLY TO:
Unknown author
@Nordacus 2) I let my long term bias interfere with my valuation of russian self assessment. While I understand them I didnt appreciate their want of power restoration vs risk tolerance. I should have weighted the taiwan opportunity and multi front problem as more opportunistic for russia.
Original post: https://x.com/i/web/status/1486577600650747907
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