The USA no longer has the financial means of by which to influence the expansion of human (property) rights. The USA no longer has the means of using economic and trade incentives to advance human (property) rights. The USA no longer has diplomatic means of providing incentives to advance human (property) rights. The USA has demonstrated that they cannot use force to advance human (property) rights.
The Russians broke the postwar peace when they invaded ukraine. The muslims have broken the peace of westphalia by sponsoring and using non-state actors across borders. The world will not tolerate iran as the nuclear core state of islam. Turkey would be tolerated but has been engaged in recidivism. And western hopes that islamic nations would be able to evolve to modern states has been abandoned.
China now leads the world in diplomacy, credit, and trade policy, and both russian and chinese powers favor the preservation of totalitarian governments precisely for this reason: they already must confront demographically problematic underclasses at great scale on a daily basis.
Furthermore, the world has observed that while the market economy is the only possible means of providing prosperity, that the totalitarian state is better suited to do so until well after a middle class has reached majority status. In other words, democracy is seen as a luxury good unique to western civilization.
Reading philosophy is like reading fantasy literature. Adults read military, economic, and demographic data, and seek to understand rational incentives.
So no, the USA will remain an major influence upon world affairs trough at least the first half of this century, provided the USA does not balkanize as I suspect it will. At which point the worldwide attempt to fill the power vacuum will likely lead to the first great wars of the 21st century.
It’s economics and demographics.
Source date (UTC): 2017-03-04 08:06:00 UTC
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