every substantive model that I have seen shows him taking 55% of the vote or more with virtual certainty.
Source date (UTC): 2016-02-25 18:00:26 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/702916073247645696
Reply addressees: @mattyglesias
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/702881228324794370
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Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/702881228324794370
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