ROUGH PERCENTAGE OF CASES OVERTURNED? For example. With Courts of Appeals, it’s

ROUGH PERCENTAGE OF CASES OVERTURNED?

For example.

With Courts of Appeals, it’s not so important that judges be approved so much as that judges are prohibited from judging after some (small) number of losses of appeal. I don’t like entry requirements, but exit prohibitions are epistemologically sound. You don’t want to be a judge on a matter that will be overturned.

If I remember correctly, about 10% of cases are not settled and must be adjudicated. In very round numbers something like 40% of trial cases go to appeal, and something like 15% of them are overturned. So of 1000 cases, 100 cases that reach judgement, 40 go to appeal, and 6 are overturned. There are a lot of variables in there and this overstates it a bit, but for the purposes of a broad overview of the american legal process thats good enough. So if you choose to go to court, at the other end of 1000 cases, 6 get overturned. that’s half a percent.

I would guess that if we made the law much clearer, that the number would drop to the statistically insignificant.