Thoughts

An Archive of sketches developing ideas.

I use both for obvious reasons. I research with regular chatgpt 5 thinking, and

I use both for obvious reasons. I research with regular chatgpt 5 thinking, and I test with Runcible on 4 and 5. Source date (UTC): 2025-10-03 23:02:57 UTC Original post:

Hmm. All true but not much help. Almost always better to manually pull correct i

Hmm. All true but not much help. Almost always better to manually pull correct insights into a new chat, say “given the following: … “ and steer it if needed.My

Crime isn’t opinion. Sedition is a crime. Selling falsehood and ideology as trut

Crime isn’t opinion. Sedition is a crime. Selling falsehood and ideology as truth is fraud. These aren’t matters of opinion. Source date (UTC): 2025-10-03 21:21:10 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1974223222473179280

Nathan’s a twit, enraptured by his projections. But I don’t understand the desir

Nathan’s a twit, enraptured by his projections. But I don’t understand the desire to suppress him. Understanding of falsehood and error bias and deceit requires the presence of falsehood and

Well, the disambiguation is in whether one can control what one is ‘unwanted’ or

Well, the disambiguation is in whether one can control what one is ‘unwanted’ or ‘derided’ for. If it’s individual or group behavior then that’s one thing. If it’s not behavioral,

“Sex differences in temperament/personality replicate globally and survive impro

–“Sex differences in temperament/personality replicate globally and survive improved controls; cross-cultural mean shifts are real but smaller than within-culture dispersion. Selection, assortation, and role incentives then compound small mean/variance differences

Why are you, without demonstrated knowledge, competency, or achievement, confide

Why are you, without demonstrated knowledge, competency, or achievement, confident to deign yourself as prognosticator for those demonstrating the opposite? Source date (UTC): 2025-10-03 18:55:05 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1974186462745931808

I love how chatgpt just inserts text like this into any bit of research I’m doin

I love how chatgpt just inserts text like this into any bit of research I’m doing: –“Operational take: if you require decidability, the effect size, stability over cohorts, and genetic

Wow. True but… wow

Wow. True but… wow. Source date (UTC): 2025-10-03 02:13:02 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1973934285674704969

(Diary) Just got a call from the local investor forum, and the woman was ukraini

(Diary)Just got a call from the local investor forum, and the woman was ukrainian, with that beautiful accent, and it gives me both joy and makes me homesick every time

Saw that coming

Saw that coming … Source date (UTC): 2025-10-02 22:38:27 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1973880285159903728

EXPLAINING HEGSETH’S “LAYING DOWN THE LAW” Strategy Hegseth’s approach was delib

EXPLAINING HEGSETH’S “LAYING DOWN THE LAW” StrategyHegseth’s approach was deliberately confrontational and theatrical, leveraging the rare, logistically massive convocation of global military brass—despite the security and travel burdens—to assert raw

Smart. True. Always a pleasure to see your ideas MW

Smart. True. Always a pleasure to see your ideas MW. Source date (UTC): 2025-10-02 21:12:09 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1973858564868616261

(Diary) “Women are expensive” If I go back through my relationships whether girl

(Diary) “Women are expensive”If I go back through my relationships whether girlfriends (LTRs), or wives, despite that each separation has been painful, and some almost intolerably so, I have been

(Diary) My wife ruined me. I am forever vulnerable to redheads. It’s like 80% of

(Diary)My wife ruined me. I am forever vulnerable to redheads. It’s like 80% of your neurons become either numb or directed to pursuit. It’s terrible. It’s like a disease that

(Told You So) As the wyrm turns, we can see I was right in 2022 on Russia, Ukrai

(Told You So)As the wyrm turns, we can see I was right in 2022 on Russia, Ukraine, and Poland, and was right on Trump’s strategy with Europe. Prediction isn’t hard

“Nations do what they absolutely have to do.”— George Friedman @georgefriedman

–“Nations do what they absolutely have to do.”— George Friedman @georgefriedman I might argue for a touch more clarity; that they only do what costs them, what they absolutely have

I hope so. But be prepared for being randomly hugged, high-fived, and treated as

I hope so. But be prepared for being randomly hugged, high-fived, and treated as heroes for it. 😉 lol Source date (UTC): 2025-10-02 18:34:04 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1973818785456144849

I’m from the opposition. And it’s because you’re wrong. We have ‘scienced’ why y

I’m from the opposition. And it’s because you’re wrong. We have ‘scienced’ why you and those like you are wrong. It’s just so offensive we’re too well mannered to so

Fixing What’s Wrong in Thinking About LLMs More on my criticism of llms as predi

Fixing What’s Wrong in Thinking About LLMs More on my criticism of llms as predicting the next word rather than navigating a world model. Just as I mapped grammars: Embodiment