Thoughts

An Archive of sketches developing ideas.

Efficient vs effective. Do we generate the same or better world model that produ

Efficient vs effective. Do we generate the same or better world model that produces a same or better output, or is the a statistical fallacy? Source date (UTC): 2025-10-21 16:21:50

HOW WE DEFINE “LOGOS” I avoid the term to prevent conflation with the supernatur

HOW WE DEFINE “LOGOS”I avoid the term to prevent conflation with the supernatural, but Brad uses it consistently and correctly to demonstrate the continuity of thought across time. In our

@JasonHartmanROI Feedback: Todays newsletter. Good piece. I think those of us on

@JasonHartmanROI Feedback: Todays newsletter. Good piece. I think those of us on the doom side come from economics and are currently worried about possible crises driving unemployment and capital market

QUERY: re:”Personality measures are generally *not* comparable across population

QUERY: re:”Personality measures are generally *not* comparable across populations.”. I assume this is just a casual error of ambiguity, otherwise I’m not sure thats true, because I’m not sure what

In volume one – the crisis of the age, we survey the cycles and add to them, and

In volume one – the crisis of the age, we survey the cycles and add to them, and unlike others, we explain why they occur and what to do about

@elonmusk QUESTION If we can power the entire country from a single field that t

@elonmusk QUESTIONIf we can power the entire country from a single field that tells us a great deal. The problem of course is strategic vulnerability. As such how can we

This is trump using your leftist strategy of undermining by appeal to the common

This is trump using your leftist strategy of undermining by appeal to the commoners. The right resisted. Social media enabled it. Now it’s being used to bypass the talking classes.

(Welcome to realism and the end of our foolish optimism) 😉

(Welcome to realism and the end of our foolish optimism) 😉 Source date (UTC): 2025-10-21 01:40:12 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1980449004413722651

Sigh. Yes. 😉

Sigh. Yes. 😉 Source date (UTC): 2025-10-21 01:38:23 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1980448547968545026

Brilliant. Insightful. correct!

Brilliant. Insightful. correct! Source date (UTC): 2025-10-18 20:50:42 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1979651373781422480

ie: closure solves the correlation problem. And we have solved closure. It was j

ie: closure solves the correlation problem. And we have solved closure. It was just very very hard. Source date (UTC): 2025-10-18 19:22:53 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1979629275725865432

Hmm… I don’t necessarily agree. If instead we think of LLMs as solving the int

Hmm… I don’t necessarily agree. If instead we think of LLMs as solving the interface and language problem (wayfinding) we can solve the remaining world model, episodic memory, recursion, and

John; Remaining blockers are (a) episodic memory – indexing and compression and

John;Remaining blockers are (a) episodic memory – indexing and compression and (b) closure – or more correctly, truth ethics possibility and decidability. IMO we know how to solve both problems.

I can and will try to answer this because it’s a common perception. (I’m working

I can and will try to answer this because it’s a common perception. (I’m working with Brad on writing code today) If I can make some time later I”ll respond.

Chris. Excellent work. I think you’ve created proper categories and measures. We

Chris. Excellent work. I think you’ve created proper categories and measures. Well done. A thought that might take you further. I think you touch on the fundamental problem but not

Yes!

Yes! Source date (UTC): 2025-10-18 18:01:15 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1979608731441930441

(NLI, Insight) RE: Group Evolutionary Strategy: Path Dependent Institutions. Bra

(NLI, Insight)RE: Group Evolutionary Strategy: Path Dependent Institutions. Brad states:–“The first institution achieves the greatest closure, the second less, and third least – if it exists at all.”– Brad Werrell

Well done

Well done. Source date (UTC): 2025-10-18 15:35:12 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1979571978295194006

Meaning yes. If you mean qualia, no. Though we cannot yet tell if that matters

Meaning yes. If you mean qualia, no. Though we cannot yet tell if that matters. Source date (UTC): 2025-10-18 15:34:05 UTC Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1979571695192342718

A non argument, but a disapproval, with all the depth and insight of an eleven y

A non argument, but a disapproval, with all the depth and insight of an eleven year old schoolgirl. And as such, of no substance or merit. Source date (UTC): 2025-10-18