Theme: Truth

  • Data is data. The harsh truths of black violence, personality, intelligence dist

    Data is data. The harsh truths of black violence, personality, intelligence distributions mean that the africans did not go through agrarian genetic pacification like peoples in colder climes, so that the vast majority of the african population is underclass and unemployable.


    Source date (UTC): 2020-06-01 20:03:47 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1267547413579010048

    Reply addressees: @JodyHighRollr @RumorDr @essential_1492

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1267546872094306309


    IN REPLY TO:

    Unknown author

    @JodyHighRollr @RumorDr @essential_1492 You see outrage where I see statistics: why are blacks so excessively impulsive, violent, lacking discipline and agency? Well, the answer is (a) tolerance for it (b) not training a demographic that matures faster than all others (c) forcing them to adhere to standards they can’t.

    Original post: https://x.com/i/web/status/1267546872094306309

  • Data is data. The harsh truths of black violence, personality, intelligence dist

    Data is data. The harsh truths of black violence, personality, intelligence distributions mean that the africans did not go through agrarian genetic pacification like peoples in colder climes, so that the vast majority of the african population is underclass and unemployable.

    Reply addressees: @JodyHighRollr @RumorDr @essential_1492

  • You see outrage where I see statistics: why are blacks so excessively impulsive,

    You see outrage where I see statistics: why are blacks so excessively impulsive, violent, lacking discipline and agency? Well, the answer is (a) tolerance for it (b) not training a demographic that matures faster than all others (c) forcing them to adhere to standards they can’t.


    Source date (UTC): 2020-06-01 20:01:38 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1267546872094306309

    Reply addressees: @JodyHighRollr @RumorDr @essential_1492

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1267546498209890304


    IN REPLY TO:

    Unknown author

    @JodyHighRollr @RumorDr @essential_1492 A century ago he’d have been hanged by now and eliminated from the population. But we let women vote. And we let blacks into the franchise without first requiring full integration including into middle class manners ethics and morals. We’re soft. We pay the price. He did too.

    Original post: https://x.com/i/web/status/1267546498209890304

  • You see outrage where I see statistics: why are blacks so excessively impulsive,

    You see outrage where I see statistics: why are blacks so excessively impulsive, violent, lacking discipline and agency? Well, the answer is (a) tolerance for it (b) not training a demographic that matures faster than all others (c) forcing them to adhere to standards they can’t.

    Reply addressees: @JodyHighRollr @RumorDr @essential_1492

  • Comments on Nate Silver’s Book

    Doolittle’s Comments On Silver’s Quotes from his Book:

    1. The story data tells us is often the one we’d like to hear, and we usually make sure it has a happy ending.

    2. There are entire disciplines in which predictions have been failing, often at a great cost to society.

    3. Some stone-age strengths have become information-age weaknesses.

    4. We can never make perfectly objective predictions. They will always be tainted by our subjective point of view.
      (CD: They will always be tainted by our wants for the world rather than untainted by a description of the world. we live in paradigms of utility.)

    5. A belief in the objective truth -and a commitment to pursuing it- is the first prerequisite of making better predictions.
      (CD: very few of us seek truth. We all seek utility not truth. For some of us truth and utility are identical. for others it forces them into competition with darwin – and truth is the enemy of false genes as much as false ideas.)

    6. Prediction is important because it connects subjective and objective reality.
      (CD: prediction is important because it falsifies many subjective realities training us to predict objective realities.)

    7. We are undoubtedly living with many delusions that we do not even realize.
      (CD: psychology must be the study of cognitive error, bias, wishful thinking and deceit – and the sciences efforts at compensating for them.)

    8. We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

    9. We must think more carefully about the assumptions and beliefs that we bring to a problem.
    10. A certain amount of immersion in a topic will provide disproportionally more insight that an executive summary.
    11. The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
    12. Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
    13. If you have reason to think that yesterday’s forecast was wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.
    14. New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.

    15. Extrapolation is a very basic method of prediction -usually, much too basic.
      (CD: One must never extrapolate a trend – everything in nature equilibrates.)

    16. In many cases involving predictions about human activity, the very act of prediction can alter the way that people behave.

    17. The most effective flu prediction might be the one that fails to come to fruition because it motivates people toward more healthful choices.

    18. While simplicity can be a virtue for a model, a model should at least be sophisticatedly simple.
      (CD: the quality of a prediction is dependent upon the quality and quantity of information, not the complexity of the model.)

    19. We can never achieve perfect objectivity, rationality, or accuracy in our beliefs. Instead, we can strive to be less subjective, less irrational, and less wrong.
      (CD: we have spent, because of theology, far too much of our history in via-positiva justification, and are still escaping it. Instead we must focus on via positiva reduction of ignorance, error, bias, wishful thinking, and deceit.)

    20. Recently, […] some well-respected statisticians have begun to argue that frequentist statistics should no longer be taught to undergraduates. […] In fact, if what you read what’s been written in the past ten years, it’s hard to find anything that doesn’t advocate a Bayesian approach.
      (CD: Bayseian accounting is superior to mathematical averages. when stated in this manner the difference in quality of prediction is rather obvious.)

    21. There is strong empirical evidence that there is a benefit in aggregating different forecasts.
      (CD: competition between theories produces information not only about one theory but about the minds of man making those theories.)

    22. This is another of those Information-age risks: we share so much information that our independence is reduced. (CD: information that is not true (parsimonious)

    23. Perhaps the central finding of behavioral economics is that most of us are overconfident when we make predictions.
      (CD: we evolved overconfidence because action for gain is necessary. We confuse the necessity of action for gain with applying it beyond its evolutionary purpose.)

    24. In science, progress is possible. In fact, if one believes in Bayes’ theorem, scientific progress is inevitable as predictions are made and as beliefs are tested and refined.
      (CD: Whether mathematical Bayes or Philosophical Popper, or Cognitive science’s lesson that our brains operate by massively parallel similarly bayesian means, learning through trial and error no matter how error prone, will produce either progress in knowledge or failure to survive.)

    25. The March toward scientific progress is not always straightforward, and some well-regarded (even “consensus”) theories are later proved wrong- but either way science tends to move toward the truth.
      (CD: The difference between the fundamental sciences and entrepreneurship, and daily action is that fundamental science is a luxury good, the findings of which may propagate through the polity over time – but daily action in life has no such luxury of time and cost – we must produce returns. This conflict illustrates the problem of our evolutionary demand for action influencing our overconfidence in science, and conversely, our science ignoring time and cost. )

    26. Under Bayes’ theorem, no theory is perfect. Rather, it is a work in progress, always subject to further refinement and testing.
      (CD: I knew bayes first, Godel second, hayek third, popper fourt, and kuhn fifth. Bayes provides accounting on one end, then popper, then kuhn, and then hayek on the other end. Only during the past twenty years have we understood the brain’s mixture of elementary composition and spatial attribution. Same process, different scales. It’s not just bayesian – it’s the only possible epistemological method and everything else is a legacy failure we call ‘justificationism’.)

  • Comments on Nate Silver’s Book

    Doolittle’s Comments On Silver’s Quotes from his Book:

    1. The story data tells us is often the one we’d like to hear, and we usually make sure it has a happy ending.

    2. There are entire disciplines in which predictions have been failing, often at a great cost to society.

    3. Some stone-age strengths have become information-age weaknesses.

    4. We can never make perfectly objective predictions. They will always be tainted by our subjective point of view.
      (CD: They will always be tainted by our wants for the world rather than untainted by a description of the world. we live in paradigms of utility.)

    5. A belief in the objective truth -and a commitment to pursuing it- is the first prerequisite of making better predictions.
      (CD: very few of us seek truth. We all seek utility not truth. For some of us truth and utility are identical. for others it forces them into competition with darwin – and truth is the enemy of false genes as much as false ideas.)

    6. Prediction is important because it connects subjective and objective reality.
      (CD: prediction is important because it falsifies many subjective realities training us to predict objective realities.)

    7. We are undoubtedly living with many delusions that we do not even realize.
      (CD: psychology must be the study of cognitive error, bias, wishful thinking and deceit – and the sciences efforts at compensating for them.)

    8. We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

    9. We must think more carefully about the assumptions and beliefs that we bring to a problem.
    10. A certain amount of immersion in a topic will provide disproportionally more insight that an executive summary.
    11. The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
    12. Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
    13. If you have reason to think that yesterday’s forecast was wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.
    14. New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.

    15. Extrapolation is a very basic method of prediction -usually, much too basic.
      (CD: One must never extrapolate a trend – everything in nature equilibrates.)

    16. In many cases involving predictions about human activity, the very act of prediction can alter the way that people behave.

    17. The most effective flu prediction might be the one that fails to come to fruition because it motivates people toward more healthful choices.

    18. While simplicity can be a virtue for a model, a model should at least be sophisticatedly simple.
      (CD: the quality of a prediction is dependent upon the quality and quantity of information, not the complexity of the model.)

    19. We can never achieve perfect objectivity, rationality, or accuracy in our beliefs. Instead, we can strive to be less subjective, less irrational, and less wrong.
      (CD: we have spent, because of theology, far too much of our history in via-positiva justification, and are still escaping it. Instead we must focus on via positiva reduction of ignorance, error, bias, wishful thinking, and deceit.)

    20. Recently, […] some well-respected statisticians have begun to argue that frequentist statistics should no longer be taught to undergraduates. […] In fact, if what you read what’s been written in the past ten years, it’s hard to find anything that doesn’t advocate a Bayesian approach.
      (CD: Bayseian accounting is superior to mathematical averages. when stated in this manner the difference in quality of prediction is rather obvious.)

    21. There is strong empirical evidence that there is a benefit in aggregating different forecasts.
      (CD: competition between theories produces information not only about one theory but about the minds of man making those theories.)

    22. This is another of those Information-age risks: we share so much information that our independence is reduced. (CD: information that is not true (parsimonious)

    23. Perhaps the central finding of behavioral economics is that most of us are overconfident when we make predictions.
      (CD: we evolved overconfidence because action for gain is necessary. We confuse the necessity of action for gain with applying it beyond its evolutionary purpose.)

    24. In science, progress is possible. In fact, if one believes in Bayes’ theorem, scientific progress is inevitable as predictions are made and as beliefs are tested and refined.
      (CD: Whether mathematical Bayes or Philosophical Popper, or Cognitive science’s lesson that our brains operate by massively parallel similarly bayesian means, learning through trial and error no matter how error prone, will produce either progress in knowledge or failure to survive.)

    25. The March toward scientific progress is not always straightforward, and some well-regarded (even “consensus”) theories are later proved wrong- but either way science tends to move toward the truth.
      (CD: The difference between the fundamental sciences and entrepreneurship, and daily action is that fundamental science is a luxury good, the findings of which may propagate through the polity over time – but daily action in life has no such luxury of time and cost – we must produce returns. This conflict illustrates the problem of our evolutionary demand for action influencing our overconfidence in science, and conversely, our science ignoring time and cost. )

    26. Under Bayes’ theorem, no theory is perfect. Rather, it is a work in progress, always subject to further refinement and testing.
      (CD: I knew bayes first, Godel second, hayek third, popper fourt, and kuhn fifth. Bayes provides accounting on one end, then popper, then kuhn, and then hayek on the other end. Only during the past twenty years have we understood the brain’s mixture of elementary composition and spatial attribution. Same process, different scales. It’s not just bayesian – it’s the only possible epistemological method and everything else is a legacy failure we call ‘justificationism’.)

  • Christians: What Is the Difference?

    What is the cause of natural law? To the scientist it is the order of the universe. To the faithful it is god’s design. What’s the difference other than whether god created the universe (faith) or we don’t know what created the universe (skepticism), if we all obey the natural law of reciprocity and imitation of jesus and christian charity and exhaustion of forgiveness. That’s what jefferson said, and that’s what I say and we are law givers not priests. It’s not our job to do anything other than the law that prohibits bads. That which creates goods is up to those who do not violate the law. If we obey gods law because someone in the past said we must or if we do so because the scientific evidence in all walks of life says we must, what is the difference?

  • Christians: What Is the Difference?

    What is the cause of natural law? To the scientist it is the order of the universe. To the faithful it is god’s design. What’s the difference other than whether god created the universe (faith) or we don’t know what created the universe (skepticism), if we all obey the natural law of reciprocity and imitation of jesus and christian charity and exhaustion of forgiveness. That’s what jefferson said, and that’s what I say and we are law givers not priests. It’s not our job to do anything other than the law that prohibits bads. That which creates goods is up to those who do not violate the law. If we obey gods law because someone in the past said we must or if we do so because the scientific evidence in all walks of life says we must, what is the difference?

  • More Non-Argument from GA Postmodernists

    I don’t care if your a left wing postmodern liar or a right wing postmodern liar. Lying is lying and the purpose of P is to end the utility of lying forever. TO:​ Imperius

    —“What is meant by the contrast between “description within experience” and “analogy beyond”?— Imperius

    1. Within the limits of sense perception
    2. Within the limits of physical instrumentation.
    3. Within the limits of reason( deduction, induction, abduction, guessing.)
    4. Within the limits of logic (constant relations).
    5. Within the limits of calculation (logical instrumentation).

    Ergo: (a) – within sense, perception, reason, calculation = Experience. (b) – Within instrumental evidence testable by sense, perception, reason, calculation = Analogy to experience.(c) “Reduction of the imperceptible to analogy to experience sufficient for comparison within the limits of sense, perception, reason, experience. Operational means of stating what others have said by previous means — preventing idealism and subsequent conflation and inflation by reduction to operational terms.

    —” morality is processed in the declarative, “— Imperius

    DEFINITIONS: RECIPROCITY: productive, fully informed, warrantied voluntary transfer of demonstrated interests free of imposition upon the demonstrated interests of other group members, sufficient to cause retaliation (demand for restitution). MORALITY Good <- Moral <- Ethical <- amoral -> unethical -> immoral -> Evil. (I’ve defined this in detail elsewhere, search the site rather than repeat here.) 1) Objectively Moral: Reciprocal (mutually beneficial) within the limits of proportionality (defection). No cooperative species can survive otherwise. 2) Personal Moral Intuition: Minimum Reciprocity within the Limits of proportionality that I prefer given my gender and sexual, social, economic, and political market value. 3) Interpersonal Personal Moral Intuition: Minimum Reciprocity within the limits of proportionality I can get away with given my sexual social economic and political market value. 4) Normative Morality: standards of reciprocity given the group evolutionary strategy, and the portfolio of conditions necessary to preserve sufficient reciprocity that sufficient proportionality is maintained that the polity survives. DECLARATIVE, OSTENSIVE, IMPERATIVE 1) STATEMENT Declarative (Subjective): of the nature of or making a declaration; a statement; (irresponsibility) ie: Objective: Promissory. (responsibility) 2) DESCRIPTION Ostensive: (Subjective) directly or clearly demonstrative. (irresponsibility) ie: Objective: Operational. (Responsibility) CLAIM(PROMISE), VALUE Imperative: (Subjective) an essential or urgent thing; (irresponsibility) ie: Objective Necessary: (responsibility) Grammatical difference between: a) Command free of responsibility (ir-reciprocity: immorality) And; b) Argument inclusive of responsibility. (reciprocity: morality) So while you claim I don’t understand language as far as I know I understand all grammars known to man, the common (geometric) constitution of those grammars; the point of view each of them is uttered from; and the incentive to use each one of them for the purpose of NOT speaking truthfully. And as usual you’re claiming that I don’t understand when no, I understand, I don’t value, because I am seeking a means of deciding conflict, and suppressing lying of all kinds, thus prohibiting the abrahamic means of deceit (which is the only one we westerners are vulnerable to given our high trust), and this is counter to your interests because of reasons I’ve explained before. I don’t really disambiguate your claims often, and I emphasize the only known incentives to avoid reciprocal (testimonial) speech, and all are either to justify authoritarianism or justify deceit. But if I can ‘correct’ Kantian sophism I’m equally comfortable disambiguating postmodern (social construction) sophism whether left appeal to authority to avoid darwin, or right appeal to authority to advance darwin. Fact remains is that if you can’t state it truthfully the question is why? I mean, authoritarianism especially martial and political does nto require obscuring the demand for authority. The reason being that one already has the power to exercise. Supernatural authority or sophomoric authority or pseudoscientific authority are simply means by which those lacking the power to exercise try to construct it by inspirational means. There is no other reason to use it. But the total failure of continental civilization to produce anything without trying to rescue a country under external pressure and conquest (interwar germany), when people have an incentive to follow a message of rallying for material reasons. If you can on the other hand construct some promise whether true (economic, political) or false ( supernatural salvation, economic power, political power), and a pseudoscientific, sophomoric, or occult means of advancing it (an ideology) then you at least have an excuse. TO OBSCURE a strategy for the obtaining of power. And then a strategy for preserving power, and operation that polity or faithful. Now if you had that to offer then I could come back with ‘this will work, that won’t work’ or something or other. BUt if you’re just talking the theory of lying that in that context I don’t see any value in promoting various new means of lying among our people when it is precisely this kind of lying that has made them vulnerable to marxism, socialism, libertarianism, feminism, and postmodernism. I mean, is start with ‘here is a constitution that will solve the problem of current modernity; here is a recipe for restoring our historically successful group strategy; here is a recipe for creating a new mythology but not what it is; here is a recipe for creating a new religion, but not what it is. so others please have at it. So we have had this same conversation for something between four and five years now: I analyze, architect, engineer, and render into law. (Science) the means of operating a polity that cannot be defeated by abrahamic means (or military, or economic, or immigration). The rest is up to “storytellers”. If you want to write a story do so. As long as it doesn’t try to undermine our strategy, which is our group’s competitive advantage, then I don’t care what it is. But if it does try to perpetuate abrahamic deciets then I’m going to do my duty and falsify, undermine, and eradicate it.

  • More Non-Argument from GA Postmodernists

    I don’t care if your a left wing postmodern liar or a right wing postmodern liar. Lying is lying and the purpose of P is to end the utility of lying forever. TO:​ Imperius

    —“What is meant by the contrast between “description within experience” and “analogy beyond”?— Imperius

    1. Within the limits of sense perception
    2. Within the limits of physical instrumentation.
    3. Within the limits of reason( deduction, induction, abduction, guessing.)
    4. Within the limits of logic (constant relations).
    5. Within the limits of calculation (logical instrumentation).

    Ergo: (a) – within sense, perception, reason, calculation = Experience. (b) – Within instrumental evidence testable by sense, perception, reason, calculation = Analogy to experience.(c) “Reduction of the imperceptible to analogy to experience sufficient for comparison within the limits of sense, perception, reason, experience. Operational means of stating what others have said by previous means — preventing idealism and subsequent conflation and inflation by reduction to operational terms.

    —” morality is processed in the declarative, “— Imperius

    DEFINITIONS: RECIPROCITY: productive, fully informed, warrantied voluntary transfer of demonstrated interests free of imposition upon the demonstrated interests of other group members, sufficient to cause retaliation (demand for restitution). MORALITY Good <- Moral <- Ethical <- amoral -> unethical -> immoral -> Evil. (I’ve defined this in detail elsewhere, search the site rather than repeat here.) 1) Objectively Moral: Reciprocal (mutually beneficial) within the limits of proportionality (defection). No cooperative species can survive otherwise. 2) Personal Moral Intuition: Minimum Reciprocity within the Limits of proportionality that I prefer given my gender and sexual, social, economic, and political market value. 3) Interpersonal Personal Moral Intuition: Minimum Reciprocity within the limits of proportionality I can get away with given my sexual social economic and political market value. 4) Normative Morality: standards of reciprocity given the group evolutionary strategy, and the portfolio of conditions necessary to preserve sufficient reciprocity that sufficient proportionality is maintained that the polity survives. DECLARATIVE, OSTENSIVE, IMPERATIVE 1) STATEMENT Declarative (Subjective): of the nature of or making a declaration; a statement; (irresponsibility) ie: Objective: Promissory. (responsibility) 2) DESCRIPTION Ostensive: (Subjective) directly or clearly demonstrative. (irresponsibility) ie: Objective: Operational. (Responsibility) CLAIM(PROMISE), VALUE Imperative: (Subjective) an essential or urgent thing; (irresponsibility) ie: Objective Necessary: (responsibility) Grammatical difference between: a) Command free of responsibility (ir-reciprocity: immorality) And; b) Argument inclusive of responsibility. (reciprocity: morality) So while you claim I don’t understand language as far as I know I understand all grammars known to man, the common (geometric) constitution of those grammars; the point of view each of them is uttered from; and the incentive to use each one of them for the purpose of NOT speaking truthfully. And as usual you’re claiming that I don’t understand when no, I understand, I don’t value, because I am seeking a means of deciding conflict, and suppressing lying of all kinds, thus prohibiting the abrahamic means of deceit (which is the only one we westerners are vulnerable to given our high trust), and this is counter to your interests because of reasons I’ve explained before. I don’t really disambiguate your claims often, and I emphasize the only known incentives to avoid reciprocal (testimonial) speech, and all are either to justify authoritarianism or justify deceit. But if I can ‘correct’ Kantian sophism I’m equally comfortable disambiguating postmodern (social construction) sophism whether left appeal to authority to avoid darwin, or right appeal to authority to advance darwin. Fact remains is that if you can’t state it truthfully the question is why? I mean, authoritarianism especially martial and political does nto require obscuring the demand for authority. The reason being that one already has the power to exercise. Supernatural authority or sophomoric authority or pseudoscientific authority are simply means by which those lacking the power to exercise try to construct it by inspirational means. There is no other reason to use it. But the total failure of continental civilization to produce anything without trying to rescue a country under external pressure and conquest (interwar germany), when people have an incentive to follow a message of rallying for material reasons. If you can on the other hand construct some promise whether true (economic, political) or false ( supernatural salvation, economic power, political power), and a pseudoscientific, sophomoric, or occult means of advancing it (an ideology) then you at least have an excuse. TO OBSCURE a strategy for the obtaining of power. And then a strategy for preserving power, and operation that polity or faithful. Now if you had that to offer then I could come back with ‘this will work, that won’t work’ or something or other. BUt if you’re just talking the theory of lying that in that context I don’t see any value in promoting various new means of lying among our people when it is precisely this kind of lying that has made them vulnerable to marxism, socialism, libertarianism, feminism, and postmodernism. I mean, is start with ‘here is a constitution that will solve the problem of current modernity; here is a recipe for restoring our historically successful group strategy; here is a recipe for creating a new mythology but not what it is; here is a recipe for creating a new religion, but not what it is. so others please have at it. So we have had this same conversation for something between four and five years now: I analyze, architect, engineer, and render into law. (Science) the means of operating a polity that cannot be defeated by abrahamic means (or military, or economic, or immigration). The rest is up to “storytellers”. If you want to write a story do so. As long as it doesn’t try to undermine our strategy, which is our group’s competitive advantage, then I don’t care what it is. But if it does try to perpetuate abrahamic deciets then I’m going to do my duty and falsify, undermine, and eradicate it.