Theme: Sovereignty

  • GREENLAND IS A NORTH AMERICAN STRATEGIC ISSUE Greenland isn’t under NATO protect

    GREENLAND IS A NORTH AMERICAN STRATEGIC ISSUE
    Greenland isn’t under NATO protection in practice though. NATO is meaningless without the USA. The whole of europe can’t field anything substantial in war. It’s totally hollowed out to pay for their social programs. Even worse, france is approaching an unrecoverable debt crisis because of it. Germany italy and poland are running out of people.
    Canada is absolutely useless with only 52k total ready forces only a tiny fraction of which about 1000-2000 are immediately deployable. And if we look at naval passages, the north pole and greenland are a russian and chinese naval lake. The UK is down to 75k regulars. Tehy can only deploy 3000-5000 immediately with France equal in that number. Current German capacity is only 1000-5000 and then only if they have US, UK, of french transport and supply. The USA can field 200K anywhere in the world in ten days, and frequentl deploys 90k in exercises. And this is before we talk about air, sea, land, space, and missile power. The USA’s problem is simply that it doesn’t stock enough ammunition and depends upon ramping up production unrealistically. So the net is that NATO is roughly symbolic other than the USA, which is what Trump is trying to change – and what the europeans are resisting. Surveys show that the people won’t even fight for their countries.
    Ask a search engine for a polar map of the world. It’s the shortest distance between chinese, russian, north american and european geographies in the northern hemisphere. Its also the single optimum location for planetary surveillance and monitoring of satellites.
    So greenland is profoundly strategic. And there are only 50k residents there and denmark’s population is only 6M and it’s GDP under $500B. It’s barely equivalent to a large american city. They can’t police it and even less defend it. It would take all of Europe to even try. But Europe has an eastern front with russia, and a southeastern from with islam. And Turkey is a questionable ally. So in the current era, the north polar region is as important as the atlantic was in the past and the pacific has become of late.


    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-15 23:11:25 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011939306978623553

  • If trump wants greenland patrolled, but doesn’t want to pay for it if he doesn’t

    If trump wants greenland patrolled, but doesn’t want to pay for it if he doesn’t have to, or at least, wants to preserve his resources, and provide time to build up defenses, and what if nato really is a dead weight, then what strategy would he use to provoke others into achieving his goals for him both at present and over time.

    This is how thinks.


    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-15 21:10:36 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011908903739802018

  • (Yes. Though, despite renaming, everyone seems to still call it THULE base, and

    (Yes. Though, despite renaming, everyone seems to still call it THULE base, and I suspect that will continue… 😉 )

    But yes, it’s important because that base is optimum for policing from space.


    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-15 17:32:16 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011853957921210836

  • We have a base in greenland, and we’ve abandoned the rest of them. So either tru

    We have a base in greenland, and we’ve abandoned the rest of them. So either trump will continue to force europe to militarily defend the region so we don’t have to, or we will have to reoccupy the bases. Trump’s strategy is working. Denmark and the UK at least are committing to patrol it. However, we know they won’t sustain it. So it’s just buying time to restore our bases.


    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-15 16:56:45 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011845019905544600

  • International law — what it is, where it fails, what to do about it (Natural Law

    International law — what it is, where it fails, what to do about it (Natural Law Institute)

    Date: Friday January 2, 2026
    Organization: The Natural Law Institute
    Location: Seattle, WA
    Author: Curt Doolittle
    Cause. Absent a world sovereign, states must cooperate under scarcity while minimizing retaliation cycles. Consequence. Cooperation survives only if exchanges between states are reciprocal, truthful, warrantied, and decidable without discretion. Function. “Law” therefore exists to institutionalize reciprocity so disputes convert into exchanges instead of wars.
    • Provide decidable rules of interaction among sovereigns so claims can be judged without importing political discretion. (Decidability = judgeable true/false/adjudicable by rule rather than authority.)
    • Institutionalize reciprocity: only productive, fully-informed, voluntary, warrantied transfers that don’t impose externalized costs on others (directly or by externality). That is what makes cooperation self-enforcing.
    • Constrain discretion so “rule of law = non-discretion” applies even across borders.
    Our stack puts Truth (testifiability), Reciprocity (no asymmetric cost-shifting), and Decidability (no discretion) as universal preconditions for legal claims. These are explicit definitions in the protocol layer we publish and use.
    We apply that stack to
    conflict resolution and diplomacy specifically to reduce ideological posturing and increase settlement.
    Historically, the “law of nations” grew from custom and treaty; after 1945 it expanded via charters, conventions, and tribunals. That growth increased coverage but not always decidability or reciprocity. Where texts became aspirational or moralizing, discretion re-entered and enforcement became selective rather than algorithmic. (Under our method, anything that cannot be computed as a contract, policy, or rule is only adjudicable—venue-dependent—not fully decidable.)
    Decidability → Truth → Judgment
    1. Undecidability (necessary failure). Vague obligations, undefined metrics, and reliance on interpretive bodies import discretion and politics; by definition that’s not rule of law.
    2. Irreciprocity (cost-shifting). Many instruments allow externalization of costs (sanctions, environmental spillovers, financial externalities) without warrant or restitution. Our irreciprocity protocol classifies these as fraud/free-riding/rent-seeking/externalization/predation/institutional capture.
    3. No warranty/liability layer. States can assert rights without posting bond/insurance or accepting restitutional liability ex-ante. (Our output/ledger specs tie demonstrated-interests to remedies and instruments.)
    4. Weak full-accounting. Instruments rarely require a demonstrated-interests ledger and externalities transfer matrix across temporal, spatial, and institutional scopes before verdict—so parties argue narratives instead of balances.
    A. Pre-conditions (non-negotiable).
    Adopt the universal standard in every instrument and forum:
    • Truth = testifiable claims; Reciprocity = no asymmetric costs; Decidability = no discretion needed. Make these jurisdictional gates for standing.
    B. Turn treaties into contracts.
    • Enumerate obligations in operational terms with measurable indicators and time bounds.
    • Require full accounting (DI-ledger + transfer matrix) filed with any claim.
    • Classify alleged harms using the externalities/irreciprocity taxonomy so prohibitions/remedies are computable.
    C. Replace punishment with restitution under warranty.
    • Every signatory posts instruments (bond/insurance/escrow) sized to their demonstrated interests and risk. Remedies trigger automatically upon metric breach.
    • Remedies must pass: reciprocity, warrantability, restitutability, insurability—and disclose the cost/benefit/risk trade-offs.
    D. Venue as a market (non-discretionary adjudication).
    • Competing International Reciprocity Courts/Arbitral providers run the same computable protocol; parties choose provider but not the rule-set. (Rule of law = non-discretion.)
    • Outputs classify claims as Decidable / Adjudicable / Undecidable with machine-readable verdicts so finance and trade systems can enforce automatically.
    E. Enforcement via existing channels.
    • Make consequences algorithmic: automatic tariff/bond forfeiture/market access throttling keyed to the verdict—not discretionary sanction politics. (Institutionalizability + liability criteria.)
    • Definitions & gates: Truth/Reciprocity/Decidability.
    • Scoring & tests: machine-readable reciprocity tests (productivity, full information, voluntariness, externality internalization, warranty, restitutability).
    • Irreciprocity taxonomy & protocol for detecting and prohibiting cost-shifting behaviors.
    • DI-ledger + instruments for remedies (bonds/insurance/escrow).
    • Application to diplomacy: use operational definitions and reciprocity to resolve disputes with fewer ideological excuses.
    International law should convert inter-state conflicts into reciprocal, truthful, warrantied, decidable exchanges so we can resolve disputes without importing politics or generating conflicts.
    Where current regimes rely on discretion and moral rhetoric, they fail Natural Law tests: obligations become undecidable, costs are externalized, and there is no warranty or restitution.
    Our reform program replaces discretion with computation:
    (i) gate all claims by
    Truth–Reciprocity–Decidability;
    (ii) rewrite treaties as
    computable contracts with full-accounting ledgers;
    (iii) require
    instruments (bond/insurance) so remedies trigger automatically;
    (iv) run cases through a
    market of non-discretionary venues whose outputs are executable by trade/finance systems.
    That’s how you get law between sovereigns rather than politics between factions.


    Source date (UTC): 2026-01-09 17:16:47 UTC

    Original post: https://x.com/i/articles/2009675733959094745

  • SASHANK; Everything the administration says, is to force europe to carry the con

    SASHANK;
    Everything the administration says, is to force europe to carry the continental weight (they can) so that the USA can carry the pacific weight. There is nothing else going on. This is forcing europe to redirect their narrative and their strategy back to it’s traditional purpose of keeping the east at bay. The entrenched bureaucracies that have malinvested in the post soviet fantasy are resisting as careerists all resist.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-15 03:28:18 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2000407541399031860

  • They don’t need anything other than uncertainty and the elimination of boundarie

    They don’t need anything other than uncertainty and the elimination of boundaries.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-11-18 19:37:48 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1990867050936611040

  • That’s simply not true. There are whole provinces that would much rather join th

    That’s simply not true. There are whole provinces that would much rather join the USA if it gets them away from Ontario, and a bit less so Quebec. And I suspect it will eventually happen simply because Ontario policies have essentially doomed the rest of the provinces.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-11-11 00:41:31 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1988044380914282809

  • We need to stage a pro-monarchy demonstration – as a celebration 😉

    We need to stage a pro-monarchy demonstration – as a celebration 😉


    Source date (UTC): 2025-10-23 21:30:55 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1981473435407847820

  • @AutistocratMS Thinking. Is the difference between safe naval states and unsafe

    @AutistocratMS

    Thinking.
    Is the difference between safe naval states and unsafe continental states reducible to the power distribution between the population, small groups, economic alliances, and the state – in other words what lever of ‘power’ can be exercised? At one end you have defense of the commons at the other the seizure of internal but especially external opportunity.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-10-18 03:36:37 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1979391139720708559