Theme: Science

  • ON CLIMATE CHANGE AS JUMPING THE SHARK IN PSEUDOSCIENCE. I was involved with the

    ON CLIMATE CHANGE AS JUMPING THE SHARK IN PSEUDOSCIENCE.

    I was involved with the people behind the greenhouse gas movement very early on, in an intimate capacity, and as an investor, and my assessment was that it was an excuse to expand bureucratic power over the economy by the calibre of people we find in government and volunteerism: not very good. (I can name names so to speak.) It was this arrangement under which the Clinton Foundation managed to misrepresent themselves, and steal from me $2M USD.

    I pulled out of that industry when the data-manipulation went public in November of 2009(?), and that release killed almost all other financial interest in the sector as well. I was not alone.

    Yes, we affect the climate. The question is whether it’s meaningful or not. I think it is very hard to make the case that it is meaningful. It is possibly hard to make the case that it is not beneficial – at least depending upon the solar-climate cycle.

    The policy prescription is obvious: America needs 300 nuclear power plants, we have too many ‘warm’ appliances that do not need to be ‘warm’; Our commercial glass architecture has been a disaster and is the source of most waste heat, and industry is the primary user, yet we tell consumers and housewives and virtue-signaling idiots, that their micro efforts are meaningful when they’re irrelevant. and the developing world needs to stop breeding for two centuries.

    The dishonesty of the academy and the bureaucracy, and the willing compliance of the media, all acting out of self-interest (demonstrating the will to power) created the skepticism, and they are now ‘paying for it’ and they caused the scientific community to ‘pay’ for it, possibly for a generation or two.

    We have had a century of pseudoscience in the social sciences thanks to Boaz and Marx. We had more than a century of Freudian pseudoscience. We have had at least half of the economics profession engage in pseudoscience in the sense that they are defining the limits of deception, not the properties of human cooperation, or the means of institutional improvement of information necessary for trustworthy planning and forecasting – thanks to the keynesian restatement of marx. We have had a century of dietary pseudoscience. We have had more than a century of statistical and probabalistic pseudoscience which is the cause of most public misrepresentation of poliitcal actions. We have had more than a century of cantorian mathematical platonism, which we can include as a pseudoscience – dooming generations to mathematical mysticism, and expanding mathematical illiteracy. We have had at least seventy years of educational pseudoscience at both the primary, secondary, and academy levels. We have had more than a century of logical pseudoscience, and the removal of grammar, logic, and rhetoric, as well as history from the cirriculums – the manufacture of ignorance. We have had almost a century of dietary supplement pseudoscience. I suspect that we will see much of the past sixty years in mathematical physics as pseudoscience as well since any theory so broadly tolerant is effectively meaningless. I mean the list is endless.

    So as good ‘conservatives’ we are ‘punishing’ the industry as we should punish them, for their hubris, vanity, deciet, and fraud. Because that is what conservatives do: punish excesses.

    Follow Judith. She’s the only one who publishes regularly that’s worth reading on this subject.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev Ukraine.

    PS: As ‘austrians’ it should trouble us more than others since it was Mises who stumbled upon operationalism in economics but was too authoritarian and pseudoscientific himself to grasp what he had found. And that is made worse by the fact that it is only in psychology economics and law and not in mathematics and physics where operationalism (intuitionism) provides useful dimensional criticism.


    Source date (UTC): 2016-08-06 05:03:00 UTC

  • Q&A: “CURT, WHAT ARE THE LIMITS OF EMPIRICISM?” —“How far can empiricism go? C

    Q&A: “CURT, WHAT ARE THE LIMITS OF EMPIRICISM?”

    —“How far can empiricism go? Can it only go so far, telling us how we can construct our government so that it will work? Can it only be mostly right at best?”—

    You’re thinking like a justificationist. Empiricism is a method of testing the survival of an idea. Same with identity, logic, and operational description. It’s not that empiricism or logic is superior, its that if anything survives all those tests of identity, logical consistency, empirical consistency, operational possibility, it just has a pretty good chance of being true. Conversely, if it doesn’t survive all those tests, it’s got a good chance of being error or deception.

    We can construct government with the people we have, and eliminate the people that harm our ability form a government that allows us to successfully compete against alternative tribes and governments.

    But we cannot construct a government that consists of (a) people we do not have, and (b) assumptions of what men can know that they demonstrably cant, and (c) assumptions of shared interest, and (b) assumptions of beliefs counter to the evidence produced by our investigations.

    In this sense TRUTH can take us a very great distance. If we understand science is merely the craft of discovering truthfulness, by the process of eliminating falseness, then science can take us a very great distance. As for empiricism, it has been more successful than reason and rationalism in assisting us in practicing the craft of science in the pursuit of truth.

    Why? Because the universe does not err or lie. We are part of it and must act within it. We can change it by bending it to our will. But to do so we must understand it. And to eliminate error and deceit, we must understand man. For error and deceit are properties of man not the universe.

    And it is these properties of man we must eradicate if we wish to transform into the gods we seek.


    Source date (UTC): 2016-08-06 04:20:00 UTC

  • We are skilled in the deceits of the devil. The devil’s books are full of them.

    We are skilled in the deceits of the devil. The devil’s books are full of them. We serve none. We seek dominion over nature.


    Source date (UTC): 2016-08-04 11:46:59 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/761166539219402752

    Reply addressees: @SydneyTrads

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/761165915467546624


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    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/761165915467546624

  • Evidence is what it is. When we follow Dayus Pitar (nature) we rise, and when we

    Evidence is what it is. When we follow Dayus Pitar (nature) we rise, and when we follow Jehova/Allah we fall. Evidence speaks.


    Source date (UTC): 2016-08-04 11:43:31 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/761165666934136832

    Reply addressees: @SydneyTrads

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/761165064787210240


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    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/761165064787210240

  • THERE IS A SCIENTIFIC METHOD. ITS JUST NOT PECULIAR TO SCIENCE. ITS THE UNIVERSA

    http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/04/opinion/there-is-no-scientific-method.html?rref=collection%2Fcolumn%2Fthe-stone&_r=0ACTUALLY, THERE IS A SCIENTIFIC METHOD. ITS JUST NOT PECULIAR TO SCIENCE. ITS THE UNIVERSAL EPISTEMIC METHOD, BUT ONLY SCIENTISTS PRACTICE IT WITH ANY DILIGENCE.

    Just as we can test axiomatic(declarative) systems for consistency dimension-by-dimension;

    Say, like:

    -> identity(pairing off) -> arithmetic(number), -> geometry(space), -> calculus (motion) -> equlibria (stocastics) ->

    And like:

    -> length,-> width,-> area,-> volume,-> change,-> motion ->

    We can also test theoretic (descriptive) systems, like:

    -> Reason, -> Rationalism, -> Logic, -> Empiricism

    We can test also each dimension of the entirety of reality:

    1 – categorical consistency (identity)

    2 – internal consistency (logic)

    3 – external consistency (empiricism)

    4 – existential possibility (operationalism)

    5 – rational possibility (morality)

    6 – scope accountability (full accounting, limits, and parsimony)

    So there is a scientific method, because scientists are the only ones who use it with any degree of discipline:

    “My warranty that I have done due diligence in testing categorical internal and external consistency, existential and rational possibility, and scope accountability.”

    If an individual has done due diligence against each dimension it is almost impossible for him to engage in:

    1 – error

    2 – bias

    3 – wishful thinking

    4 – suggestion

    5 – overloading

    6 – obscurantism

    7 – pseudoscience

    8 – deceit

    Given that our information is never complete, and if it is complete we speak in tautology not truth, then we can never know we speak the truth even if we do so. What we can know is that we have done due diligence against speaking falsehood.

    That is the best that we can do.

    And this is what it means to “Testify”.

    And that is what it means to be a member of western civilization: to learn to do such due diligence that whenever you speak, you give testimony. It may not be true but you warranty that you have done your duty not to state a falsehood.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev Ukraine


    Source date (UTC): 2016-08-03 09:46:00 UTC

  • WHAT BAD ACADEMIC PHILOSOPHERS DO…. Listened to a roundtable of Philosophers f

    WHAT BAD ACADEMIC PHILOSOPHERS DO….

    Listened to a roundtable of Philosophers from The New School discuss the questions “what is philosophy” and “is it relevant”, and was … exasperated.

    There were four basic themes to their (Marxist) discourse:

    1) the did not seem to grasp the spectrum of ‘comparative’ or perhaps ‘calculative’ methods, and simply referred to different disciplines instead of the properties that these methods include and test, and exclude and do not test.

    2) They do not understand that most of what they are saying are mere word games: they start with a term and try to define it’s meaning, rather than start with a problem and solve it, or start with a term and see what it CAN ONLY mean.

    3) As Marxists they are desperately trying to create a verbal religion wich will provide either the skepticism or authority of religion in order to avoid the obvious evidence of Darwinian necessity.

    4) They were trapped into the fallacy of seeking the ‘truth’ while at the same time seeking to construct a lie, and of course this is the reason for their intellectual struggle.

    There was only one philosopher (Cornell West) who I would find interesting to debate, because he seeks to avoid the truth in order to find peace in inferiority. I have compassion for this problem. But I solve it through trade which costs, but does not create conflict, not through denial and deceit which costs because it creates conflict. The Buddhists and Stoics’s solved this underclass problem of acceptance through behavioral modification. The stoics truthfully and the Buddhists … I guess pseudoscientifically or pre-scientifically if that’s possible. The Hindus created a history-mythology which is impenetrable to the rest of us. Everyone in the three ‘books’ religions just lied about it, so that they could pretend to solve it.

    (Wrote something wonderful … and fb ate it. I swear I’m going to intentionally install my own keylogger so that there is always some record of my scribblings.)

    PHILOSOPHY: (quick sketch) Transcendence.

    PERSONAL(epistemology). Avoid false knowledge. Discover useful (~true) knowledge. By the use of reason. Using Methods of Reason: narrative(communication), rational(comparison), rationalism(non-contradiction), logic(internal consistency), cooperation(ethical consistency), physics (empirical and operational consistency), testimonialism (truth). This provides us with Personal Transcendence: The Hero’s Journey. Philosophy can be performed in fantasy narrative, in historical narrative, in rational and logical (set) argument, in empirical, and in testimonial terms. But throughout we are Loading, Unloading, Imagining, Comparing, Valuing, and Deciding. All that differs is our skill in each method, and whether we wish to influence (loading-empath), deceive (obscurantism, suggestion), or persuade (truth-objectivity).

    POLITICAL (cooperation)

    Avoid error and deception, discover utility and truth. Using the methods of reason, and the methods of argument:

    Group Transcendence via persuasion.

    PHYSICAL (physics)

    Transformation via action:

    AESTHETIC (biological)

    The Goal of Transformation.

    The Useful(actionable), True(Ethical), The Moral(Good), The Beautiful(Bounty/Fertility/Content/Perfection)


    Source date (UTC): 2016-08-02 05:50:00 UTC

  • THEORY

    https://whyevolutionistrue.wordpress.com/2016/07/27/has-the-evolution-of-consciousness-been-explained/CONSCIOUSNESS THEORY


    Source date (UTC): 2016-08-01 14:01:00 UTC

  • THEY HIERARCHY OF TRUTH PROPOSITIONS —Observations vs Operations vs Explanatio

    THEY HIERARCHY OF TRUTH PROPOSITIONS

    —Observations vs Operations vs Explanations—

    1) OBSERVATION, hypothesis, tested, theory, tested exhaustively, “Fact.”

    2) OPERATIONS, hypothesis, tested, theory, tested exhaustively”, “Recipe”

    3) EXPLANATION, hypothesis, tested, theory, tested exhaustively, “Law”

    (an apriori statement is a special case of explanation whereby the statement of hypothesis can be true and cannot be false.)

    Observation: reporting of facts

    Operations: production of processes.

    Explanations: describing causal relations

    That’s probably the epistemological state of the art in a nutshell.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev, Ukraine


    Source date (UTC): 2016-08-01 01:28:00 UTC

  • CURRENT TOPIC I”M WORKING: CLARITY ON METAPHYCIS OF TIME, RATHER THAN JUST ACTIO

    CURRENT TOPIC I”M WORKING: CLARITY ON METAPHYCIS OF TIME, RATHER THAN JUST ACTION

    Metaphysics: Time

    The most effective conservation of energy is to save time.

    We expend energy to alter events in new state we would not have in current state.

    In this sense we’d not produce but we save. And inventory what we save.

    We can understand that as farmers we would adapt our thinking to production an d inventory rather than as hunters to capture and save.

    But it is the mental concept of hunters that is correct.

    We act to reorganize and save.

    We capture this difference between expenditure of energy and capture of energy

    We expend some of that energy as heat and the rest as action, and attempt against nature to inventory the rest, and invest it in more of the same actions as possible.

    And the reason we have been so insanely good at everything we do is that cooperation (Organizing) is so disproportionately rewarding because the concentration of energy is so rewarding. And because the use of information via cooperation, trade, and money and now post-money substitutes has assisted us in ever larger concentrations of energy/effort.

    Man transcends to god hood by outwitting the universe’s course of events

    Our ultimate expression of this strategy is to effectively stop time for all but the energy we consume.

    ***So just as truth exists in the greatest informational parsimony short of tautology, perfect transcendence exists in perfect energy parsimony short of the stopping of time***.

    We are no longer farmers and no longer need be subject to the metaphysics of farmers.

    Savers of time. And as such the savers of energy.

    For humans, time and energy and mass are synonyms.


    Source date (UTC): 2016-07-30 10:42:00 UTC

  • Q&A: CURT: WHAT DO YOU THINK OF ‘AUSTRIAN’ ARGUMENTS REGARDING APRIORISM VS EMPI

    Q&A: CURT: WHAT DO YOU THINK OF ‘AUSTRIAN’ ARGUMENTS REGARDING APRIORISM VS EMPIRICISM?

    (very very very important post)

    Well we can clarify what these terms CAN mean, by stating them analytically and operationally:

    Apriorism: Given parsimonious enough premises (assertions), one can form hypotheses via free association, abduction, induction, or loose deduction, and some of these hypotheses will be either impossible or extremely difficult to imagine can be false.

    Argument-to-apriorism relies upon cognitive testing alone – and primarily non-contradiction. And we call this form of argument ‘justification’, meaning ‘here is why I think this’, and if we are lucky, ‘here is why this can’t be false’.

    Empiricism: Given any hypothesis we construct by free association, by whatever means, and given the human tendency for error, bias, wishful thinking, suggestion, pseudoscience, and deceit, we must record our observations as some form of constant measurement (correspondence) such that we can use them to attempt to eliminate the human tendency for error, bias, wishful thinking, suggestion, pseudoscience and deceit.

    How we use apriorism: for creating rules of thumb inexpensively and thereby eliminating the cost of expensive testing.

    How we use empiricism: to collect information that exceeds our ability to perceive, and reduce it to constant measures (correspondence) so that we can both test our sense perception, and expand our sense perception, and thereby invent new hypothesis, theories, and law. So empiricism extends the perception of our imaginings, and can be used to determine if they survive negative testing (criticism).

    How we use praxeology: In matters of the social sciences, if we cannot explain empirically observed phenomenon as the consequence of a sequence of rational actions given the knowledge at the actors’ disposal, then we know it cannot be true. Whereas if we can construct a sequence of rational actions that explain the incentives we know it may be possible. True (perfectly parsimonious causality) and possible (what we call ‘proofs’) differ in that true statements provide us with causal identity, and proof provide us with possibility if not identity.

    Unlike human actions, we cannot yet test the first principles of the physical universe other than by what we call determinism or the laws of thermodynamics in their various forms. This is why mathematics helps us. Because the universe is perfectly parsimonious and so is mathematics so while we may now know how to construct the universe from first principles like we do social phenomenon, we can still eliminate candidates that do not ‘balance’ (deterministically.)

    So there is one possible epistemelogical method available to man: free association, hypothesis, theory, and law. But it is not the justification of (means of arriving at) our assertions that provides the truth content – it is the ability of these assertions to survive attempts at falsification. It is not aprioriism that provides truth content, but the fact that however we arrive at such an hypothesis, that we cannot refute it. It is not the empirical measurement of events and the hypotheses we draw from these measurements of events, but the fact that the hypothesis that we draw from these measurements of events survives attempts to falsify it. And this is in fact how the human mind(brain) works: search for a pattern, then see if it survives search for anti-patterns.

    The reasons ‘Austrians’ (that are not Austrians in the slightest – they’re Poles and Ukrainians and Jews from regions under Austro-Hungarian Rule, polish rule, Lithuanian rule, and russian rule at some different points in history) are able to make their nonsense arguments is by creating straw men out of empiricism and positivism, by casting the ‘negative criticism’ of empiricism as a competitor to the ‘positive construction’ of justificationism. Yet justificationism does not provide us with truth propositions, only hypotheses, and it is our rational testing of these hypotheses that tells us they are truth candidates. And in some reductio cases, that they cannot be otherwise.

    And the reason that even non-stupid people are fooled by this “bullshit” ‘polish-ukrainian-jewish’ pseudoscience, is because while they know how moral and legal actions are justified – they do it every day and instinctually, they do not know how science is actually practiced: as warranty of due diligence. Or how math is actually practiced: as a warranty of possibility. Neither science or mathematics makes truth claims. Science makes claims of falsification (we cannot figure out how to make this false), and Mathematics makes claims of proof: (we can prove that this statement is possible to construct by this sequence of mathematical operations.)

    Now we easily see where this pseudoscience came from: a long history of scriptural law that had to be taken as ‘right’ in order to preserve group cohesion (or more accurately, suppressing defections). Scripture, Law and Morality are constructed on justificationary operations because scriptural, legal, and moral contracts are constructed on justificationary operations: “I can do this because it these rules say I can do this for these reasons”. Or the more primitive way-finding that humans use ” you make this occur by following this recipe”, “you arrive at this destination by following these directions”, or even more primitively “this sequence of actions got me fed last time, and so I will repeat it as a conservation of energy”. But truth is an expensive search process while justification is a cheap one. It is natural that we would do what we were familiar with, and what was cheap, and what preserved in-group loyalty (suppression of defection),

    We can say the difference between justifictaionism/construction and criticism/survival simply as ‘justificationism (or apriorism) is an excuse for why I say something, and survival from criticism is evidence that I cannot find anything better to say’.

    Mises (and his far less intellectually sophisticated yet far more prolific follower Rothbard) construct an elaborate straw man arguing against a framework that does not exist and is not practiced. They do not come from a scientific tradition but from a religio-legal tradition. Not from an empirical tradition but from a scriptural contractual tradition. not from a martial tradition where error is unforgiving and results in death but from a religio-contractual tradition where error presents opportunity for exploitation.

    Apriorism provides a means of generalizing and hypothesizing. Praxeology and empiricism provide means of criticizing – and through that criticism generating new hypotheses from the new knowledge gained. The fact that we may discover useful theories by common sense does not differ whether we use measurements or not.

    Science consists of a series of operations under which we guaranty that we have eliminated error, bias, wishful thinking, suggestion, pseudoscience, and deceit from our assertions. It provides us with a warranty of due diligence. And why is that so important? Because the only existentially possible ‘truth proposition’ is your promise that you have performed due diligence before making your testimony. All other ‘truth’ propositions are not in fact true, but only true by loose analogy for the purpose of attempting to attribute equal status to imaginings that have not been subject to the same due diligence as those that have been subject to due diligence.

    So just as we call regulation and legislation ‘law’, to grant them the status of natural law (judge discovered law, that prohibits imposition of costs upon the property-in-toto of others), we call many things ‘true’ that are only loosely categorically usable for similar purposes.

    Whenever you make an assertion you are implicitly prefixing it with: ‘I promise that I have done due diligence against error, bias, wishful thinking, suggestion, pseudoscience, and deceit, and that my testimony will as perfectly correspond to your perceptions, if you make the same observations’ (where observations is meant in the widest possible sense: experiences. The we only make the explicit declaration of a premise or conclusion because the implicit is a normative habit and unstated. Why? Because this normative habit is the only possible condition under which I can make a truth claim without engaging in falsehood.

    Truth consists in survival. Truthfulness consists in the warranty of due diligence. Honesty in a promise only of non-deception via any possible means – from under-reporting, to suggestion, to obscurantism, to pseudoscientific dependence, to constructive deceptions (alternative narratives).

    The tests of due diligence are:

    – Categorical Consistency (Identity)

    – Internal Consistency (logical)

    – External Consistency (correspondence)

    – Existential Consistency (existentially possible)

    – Moral Consistency (accordance with Natural Law of non-imposition)

    – Scope Consistency: (limits, parsimony, and full accounting)

    It is hard for humans today to understand that mises was very close when he stated that operational construction of economic phenomenon was possible, just operational construction was in mathematics. But he did not understand Popper and Hayek’s insights that the information content of axiomatic (mathematic) systems is always finite, deterministic, and closed, and the information content of correspondent (theoretical) systems is always infinite. Meaning that while we can claim mathematical deductions are true because we are always dealing with tautologies, we cannot claim deductions in reality (theoretical systems) are more than hypothesis.

    Mises was close but he was wrong. Rothbard made it worse. Hoppe tried to correct it, and got us most of the way there. I’ve completed the research program by converting the insights of Jewish Pseudoscience, German Rationalism, Anglo Empiricism, into a fully scientific unified social science. In this sense I consider the anarchic program complete and that we have collectively *through our errors and corrections of each other* finally produced the social science that the thinkers of the 19th and 20th centuries failed to do.

    Science, philosophy, morality, economics, politics and law all can be stated using the same language of Propertarianism and tested for survival against Testimonialism (warranties of due diligence). And that we have constructed social science despite Mises, Rothbard’s, Hoppe’s errors – errors that every culture brings to the table and cannot escape bringing to the table. Finally. Even if we did it 100 years too late to save us from the Keynesian conversion of Marxism into anglo empirical pseudoscience.

    That said, you basically have to throw all justificationism of mises, Rothbard and Hoppe out the window, and merely thank Mises for discovery of economic operationalism, Rothbard for expanding locke’s property into a nearly complete system of objective ethics, and Hoppe for ending our dependence upon – or faith in- the possibility of the non-parasitic monopoly construction of commons.

    I am merely lucky enough to be born in the next generation and raised both in the absence of rationalism, with full dependence upon science, and where computer science and the concept of ‘computability’ or what in human action would refer to existential possibility.

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev, Ukraine

    NOTES:

    1) The term pseudoscience requires only that one claim something either scientific or true without applying the scientific method or demonstrating warranty of due diligence against error, bias, wishful thinking, suggestion, and deceit.

    2) The Jewish enlightenment arrived last after the anglo, french, german, German, and they are just the most recent we are dealing with, and while we are in the process of defeating them, we are overlapping with the Muslim counter-enlightenment that uses the same strategies as the Jewish counter-enlightenment: authoritarianism in an effort to universalize their group strategy rather than be positioned as low status group meritocratically against more developed (correspondent) civilizations.

    3) the anglo revolution ended with the Glorious Revolution. The american with the American Revolution. The French with the French Revolution and Napoleon’s defeat. The german with the unification and eventual world wars. The Jewish with the Bolshevik and then their transplantation to America. And is ending with the defeat of the jewish pseudosciences (boaz, freud, marx, keynes) by anglo empiricism (cognitive science).

    3) the Jewish enlightenment may have peaked with Bolshevism, but the consequential adaptive progression from marxism-bolshevism-scientific socialism, trotskyism-conservatism-neoconservatism, critical theory – postmodernism – political correctness, and objectivism-libertinism-ancapism, is far more diverse an attack on western civilization than anglo egalitarian empiricism, American egalitarian legalism, french equalitarian moralism, and german rationalist duty.

    The diversity and fervency of Jewish attacks on western civilization were made possible in most part by the coincidence between the Jewish enlightenment and the industrial revolution that provided the incentive, and the development of mass media and increase in wealth that made the underclasses desirous of taking advantage of the opportunity for genetic expression. So many things assisted the jewish enlightenmnet that were not available to the anglo, french, and especially german, to anywhere near the same degree.

    WHile we are in the process of defeating jewish pseudoscience, Once we defeat the Muslims and their militant mysticism, only then will the enlightenment be complete.


    Source date (UTC): 2016-07-27 04:09:00 UTC