http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2013/11/the_decline_of_4.htmlTHE DECLINE OF CREATIVE DESTRUCTION
Cause?
1) The loss of relative technical advantage due to world adoption of consumer capitalism, and abandonment of marxism, socialism, and communism.
2) Export of production and jobs due to high domestic taxes and cheap foreign labor.
3) The distortionary effects of credit on innovation – favoring short term speculation rather than long term innovation: a general shortening of time horizons
4) The misallocation of capital to reinforcing short run sectors including housing.
5) The misallocation of human capital to finance, government, and housing.
6) The failure to reform the education system out of its labor origins.
7) The dilution of the work force by third world immigration
8) The policy emphasis on consumption growth rather than innovation growth.
9) …..
I’ll just stop there…
HOW MUCH ARE ECONOMISTS RESPONSIBLE?
A lot actually. Because economics, as it is practiced, is a positivist enterprise incapable of measuring ‘what matters’: informal institutional capital.
Civilizations fail, for very simple reasons: the instruments of production, calculation, coordination, and cooperation, cannot adapt to changes in circumstances, nor can they resist regressive results under the auspices of ‘innovation’. The reason we get wealthier is in fact ‘science’ or rather ‘extension of empirical tools of calculation’ that allow us to create increasingly complex divisions of knowledge and labor. Accounting is a far better weapon than cannon because one cannot produce a lot of cannon without accounting, nor an army and supply chain to support it. Laws are important but common laws are more important than other forms of law. Geometry is important but calculus is more important than geometry for many categories of problems. Perhaps most importantly, OPERATIONAL LANGUAGE is more important than mystical or allegorical, or moral language, and operation language requires the presence of scientific, operational, evidence. And further, operational language requires quite a few more IQ points than allegorical language.
WILL TECHNOLOGY SAVE US FROM PROGRESSIVE DESTRUCTION OF THE WEST?
It is an act of faith. You cannot extrapolate a trend. Most of our gains have been largely the product of harnessing fossil fuels so that we could teach people to read.
Source date (UTC): 2013-11-11 01:55:00 UTC