Theme: Productivity

  • What Is The Next Great Technological Revolution? Its Not What You Think.

    [I]’m going to posit a very different technological revolution, that is far more important. Lets look at a set of revolutionary inventions:

      What I am working on, and what I hope is the next great revolution, is to provide a reformation to counter the Pseudoscientific Era (Boaz, Marx, Freud, Cantor, Mises) imposed by Academia, the same way that the British (English and Scottish enlightenments) provided a reformation against the era of mysticism (Justinian and Augustinian imposed Christianity). We know now that the Flynn effect is caused largely by the incremental conversion of human thinking from a multitude of case specific rules of utility (think recipes) to a limited number of general rules describing the behavior of similar systems (think theories). Depending upon who you ask, this education in scientific thinking appears to have created a 20 point increase (more than one standard deviation) in demonstrated human intelligence. Likewise, the application of scientific thought to the social sciences in order to overcome the equivalent of the second christianization of European civilization – this time with pseudoscience instead of mysticism – will very likely produce an equal if not greater affect on our economies, our polities, and our demonstrated intelligence. And like the conversion from mysticism to physical sciences, the conversion of pseudoscience to social science, will be just as difficult and costly and require an equally challenging and costly effort. We have only half-escaped our primitive mysticism. The next revolutionary science is not robotics. It’s social science: morality: natural laws of cooperation. With which any advancement in machine intelligence is governable, and without which it is a risk. THE WARRANTIES OF TRUTHFUL TESTIMONY If you cannot warranty that your testimony survives these tests then you cannot claim you speak truthfully.

      • Identity
      • Internal Consistency
      • External Correspondence
      • Existential Possibility
      • Parsimony
      • Full Accounting
      • Demonstrable Morality

      Cheers Curt Doolittle The Propertarian Institute Kiev, Ukraine

    • THREE CULTS The cult of consumption (progressive-feminine)- Gossip – Optimism Th

      THREE CULTS

      The cult of consumption (progressive-feminine)- Gossip – Optimism

      The cult of production (libertarian-masculine) – Exchange – Utility

      The cult of saving (conservative-masculine) – Force – Pessimism

      The intertemporal division of reproductive perception, cognition, labor.and advocacy.


      Source date (UTC): 2015-12-02 05:31:00 UTC

    • But we still don’t know the durability of voluntary organization of production o

      But we still don’t know the durability of voluntary organization of production on non-fixed assets. Less Fixed, Faster Rotation?


      Source date (UTC): 2015-11-29 10:48:44 UTC

      Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/670917303937142792

      Reply addressees: @pmarca

      Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/670915304692711424


      IN REPLY TO:

      Original post on X

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      Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/670915304692711424

    • “A VAT is insidious as it taxes all levels of production and allows the governme

      —“A VAT is insidious as it taxes all levels of production and allows the government to extract many more funds from the public and then it brings about higher prices, lower production, lower incomes, and yet the creators of it totally escape blame.”— Justin Ptak


      Source date (UTC): 2015-11-27 10:29:00 UTC

    • Genders, en large, on avg, are equal in workplace productivity. In every other m

      Genders, en large, on avg, are equal in workplace productivity. In every other measure we diverge rapidly. Especially at extremes.


      Source date (UTC): 2015-11-26 21:42:40 UTC

      Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/669994705741094912

      Reply addressees: @wef

      Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/669982213539291136


      IN REPLY TO:

      @wef

      Male brain v female brain? Same difference, says #data https://t.co/kiSJLNlNoF #gender #science #brain #neuroscience https://t.co/txymopDRhq

      Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/669982213539291136

    • OVERSING UPDATE Oversing v1 combines the features: Slack, Yammer, Trello, Asana,

      OVERSING UPDATE

      Oversing v1 combines the features: Slack, Yammer, Trello, Asana, Wrike, MS Project, Mavenlink, Atlassian Jira, Changepoint, Tenrox, MS Sharepoint.

      For services organizations of any scale the key differences with v1 are

      a) Usability – Facebook with projects and tasks,

      b) As simple as Asana and Trello, and as rich or more so than Atlassian.

      And soon… a better version of document production than Atlassian’s Confluence (almost – no plugin for WordPress yet, and we want to give people the power of WordPress, by embedding Oversing content inside of it.)

      And soon … sort of super-Wunderlist (almost, don’t have the mobile app done yet) But it’s a really interesting UI metaphor like picking up, working with, and placing cards – with smart copy and paste behavior. Took me six weeks to come up with it. Very cool.

      It’s a v1 release. It’s not as much as we wanted in the first version, but its more than anyone else put in their first version. And by v3 it will be all we wish it to be.

      I can make a list of things I don’t like.

      – We have 60 reports left to write, and I can think of dozens more.

      – need to expand the features of the timeline significantly.

      – some of the basic maintenance tables in the admin interface use a switch on/off metaphor and I think it’s confusing.

      – Minor improvements to scheduling individuals on the time(schedule) tab.

      Curt. (Excited)


      Source date (UTC): 2015-11-25 06:49:00 UTC

    • OVERSING’S MISSION (AND AN ESSAY ON THE WORLD OF WORK) The central problem of sc

      OVERSING’S MISSION (AND AN ESSAY ON THE WORLD OF WORK)

      The central problem of science is not one of improving the scientific method or the conduct of scientific investigation, or even the effort of investigation, it is one of eliminating errors in human perception, bias, cognition, and knowledge in the process of applying the scientific method to scientific investigation.

      The central problem of demonstrated intelligence is not one of improving IQ but of eliminating asymmetries of information, costs of information acquisition, and reduction of error in the use of information – science makes us smarter by the identification of, and application of, general principles instead of a multitude of specific rules.

      Likewise, the central problem of workplace excellence is not increasing incentives, but decreasing disincentives and malincentives: frictions, obstacles, and informational asymmetries on one hand, and developing experience at the craft on the other.

      The central cause of frictions, obstacles, and informational asymmetries is the use of human infrastructure to collect and distribute information: middle management, rather than the use of technological infrastructure.

      Just as accounting was a technology necessary to overcome the limits of human perception, bias, cognition, memory as the scale of our production and trade increased, we need a method of overcoming the limits of human perception, cognition, memory and bias in the work place.

      Why? Because technology has no personal ambition, no political alliances, cannot and does not hide information, nor seek discounts and rents. The purpose of middle management is i) mentorship in the craft the group practices, ii) to collect and distribute information – but both at the cost of bias and rent-seeking (a nice word for the soft form of corruption.)

      If we collect and distribute information technologically both upward to executives, and rely upon a using technology to create a commons: a market for knowledge of one another’s ability, we create transparency (truthfulness), and eliminate bias, rents and malincentives.

      For much of the past century, social scientists, particularly in the field of economics, have been attempting to solve the question of the high cost of middle management and the evolution of bureaucratic self interest, inflexibility, and organizational calcification. But we have had no alternative to human infrastructure. And where we do have an alternative, it often is equally biased: Key Performance Indicators (KPI), as well as the most reductio of measurements: profit and loss – and all with no comparable measure of the frictions, obstacles, attempts at discounts by transferring effort between individuals and groups.

      Just as privacy has evolved into an irrelevant issue because once we abandon our concern for it, instead of hiding information, we work to constantly improve our reputations on the one hand and recognize we all go through phases of maturity and make the same errors, and so forgive one another of those errors on the other.

      Those who demand privacy today are generally engaged in preserving some self delusion of greater economic, social or moral status than they in fact possess – and we and they would benefit from truth over fiction.

      Social media has made the church confessional unnecessary. We confess our sins in public as did the first christians and in doing so are forgiven by one another – because we all are human and commit the same foolish errors of each phase of our lives.

      We can use the same techniques inside the workplace to create transparency, understanding, and trust – assuming the work performed is in fact objectively ethical and moral – and we can provide mentorship in the craft, self-regulation of the community, and information distribution from executives to staff, as well as bubbling up problems and opportunities from staff to executives. This transparency and trust creates a flatter organization with more engagement, fewer rents, and greater interpersonal commitment and loyalty to one another, to the group and to the organization.

      The counter argument is that there are only so many good people in the world. The answer to that argument is that people follow incentives. And immoral and unethical people are the exception when they are subject to ethical and moral incentives.

      Another is that people will only work so hard. And the answer to that argument is i) why is it that you wish to extract work from people that they do not wish to provide at the compensation that you provide them with, and ii) the externalities produced by doing so are always worse than the benefits gained from trying. (american workplaces still contain vast buckets of unethical and immoral behavior – particularly in government, insurance, investment, cell phone and cable television industries. And vast buckets of rent-seeking and free-riding in government, finance and big businesses.)

      I want to create a world of workplaces that I would want to work in on one hand and want to be serviced by on the other. Where I had support from peers, and honesty from executives and management. And where I receive support and service from companies I purchase from. Where no one profits from deceit or involuntary transfer.

      Oversing will take three to five years of additional development to have enough features and statistical information to fulfill the role of human infrastructure, and ten perhaps to begin to alter the world of work. But that’s our heroic ambition: to change the world of work forever – to eliminate what we call ‘alienation’ in the workplace. To build an ethical, moral, and enjoyable place to work, that thrills customers consistently.

      To build a better world for humans to live in.

      Curt Doolittle

      Founder and CEO,

      Reality By Chanting

      Creators of Oversing.


      Source date (UTC): 2015-11-25 03:33:00 UTC

    • You can make a little on a lot of things, or a lot on a few things, and everythi

      You can make a little on a lot of things, or a lot on a few things, and everything in between. But mostly, you will do neither because you will fail to make anything on any number of things. But it’s a lottery effect, which is why capitalism works: you can’t win if you don’t play.


      Source date (UTC): 2015-11-24 07:55:00 UTC

    • Employees vastly overestimate the profitability of any business. They have no id

      Employees vastly overestimate the profitability of any business. They have no idea how hard it is to defeat the rate of inflation. Its very hard to create an organization that produces sustainable profitability across cyclical booms and busts, as well as ordinary competition. They are intentionally made ignorant by the socialist ambitions of the members of the educational system and academy.

      In some businesses, like professional services, it is relatively easy to attribute both revenue and expenses to the individuals in the organization. But what about the overhead staff who generate no revenue?

      Just as in economics, the only measure of anything is the number of hours of effort individuals must work (in each economic class) to pay for the cost of a good. (Any statement of price differences is not only nonsense, but very likely misleading, unless expressed in this metric: hours of work needed to purchase the good or service.) Time is the human currency. By using the division of knowledge and labor, money and prices, credit and interest, we are able to concentrate our efforts and produce far more per moment than we could on our own. In this sense we are not wealthier than cave men. we have merely used the division of labor to make everything almost infinitely cheaper.

      The way to do that is to distribute all costs and expenses to all employees by one algorithm or another – showing them their total loaded cost (at least EBITDA). The way to determine how much an employee contributes or costs, is to determine the amount of time it takes the people who produce revenue to pay for the salaries of those who perform indirect functions.

      Most people who are raised in our left-wing education system simply have no idea how little money is actually present at any given time: our “cash flow”.

      Or that when a company says it does X million dollars in revenue, that it’s lucky to hit triple the rate of inflation in profits.

      My experience is that trust increases rapidly with education in the work place. For years I have given ‘the money talk’ that is the only material exposure to the operation of business in the world that most students have ever had.


      Source date (UTC): 2015-11-24 06:59:00 UTC

    • CORE: The Commons: constructing discounts.

      THE COMMONS: USE OF THE ORGANIZATION TO CONSTRUCT DISCOUNTS ON TIME, MATERIAL, TRANSACTION AND OPPORTUNITY COSTS. AND… MORE.
      BASELINE: Laws Of Organization

      1) Man acquires because he must. He organizes to acquire because the returns on cooperation disproportionately outweigh those of individual productivity. The utility of an organization (a business, a market, a society, a polity) is in the construction of commons from which we construct the abstract categories of knowledge, division of labor, market, norm, infrastructure, institutions, and territory – which in turn drastically reduce material, transaction and opportunity costs.

      This voluntary organization of production assists in the voluntary organization of reproduction – which is the purpose of our existence(or we would not be here, and will not be here). ie: the intergenerational production of reproduction is competitively improved by the production of goods and services via the division of labor, which in turn is improved by the production of commons.

      THE PURPOSE OF HUMAN ORGANIZATION: OPPORTUNITIES

      2) We all benefit from seizing OPPORTUNITIES created by the production of commons, since that is the purpose of producing commons: reducing material, transaction, and opportunity costs.

      We tolerate competition because it consists of seizing opportunities produced by the construction of the commons – in other words, commons create incentives to produce in the form of discounted opportunities that can be seized. We do not tolerate violence, theft, fraud, fraud by omission, theft by externality, free riding, and conspiracy, because rather than seizing opportunity produced by the commons, one imposes costs upon that which others have acted to construct: property. That is what separates property from opportunity. It may be true that opportunities belong to the shareholders that have constructed the commons through their efforts and sacrifices, but property belongs to those who seize opportunity and thereby *compress time*.

      This concept of compressing time is fundamental. The division of labor which reduces time, interest that allows us to shift production times, increases in opportunities and decreases in transaction costs that reduce time costs, are the source of our ‘wealth’. It is this compression of time with which man outwits the pace of the universe and allows him to capture energy for his own use. We are not necessarily wealthier than cave men, we have just made everything in the universe infinitely cheaper through cooperation.

      One of the inventions that Rothbard (immorally) inserted into western thought was the substitution of property for productivity. In western thought,
      property is the result of productivity, and we prohibit one another from imposing costs upon the results of our production. (He did this because of his background in jewish law and culture – hence his positions on usury, blackmail, lifeboats, etc. ) But western man in a high trust society with all members in the militia, led by a chosen chieftain, prohibits imposition of costs on one’s production, and uses property as evidence of production in dispute resolution. Hence the western ethic vs the ethic of the bazaar and ghetto: western man does nothing to cause retaliation. Ghetto, Bazaar, Steppe, and Desert man happily causes retaliation because he needs not other men to defend fixed assets necessary for production, and can run to his tribe’s quarter or pastoralist tent.

      Most of convoluted rothbardian logic is an attempt to justify ghetto/bazaar/steppe/desert ethics of diasporic jews, rather than seek to understand the success of western aristocratic/martial/agrarian/landed/market ethics. This is normal. All enlightenment ‘tribes’ (nations) attempted to generalize their specific group evolutionary strategy as a universal good – but none of them succeeded (other than partly smith, hume, and hayek) in discovering the general rules of human cooperation (ethics, morality, law, politics, economics), and then identifying the variations that each group had implemented as an evolutionary strategy.

      3) EXTERNALITIES: Costs or Opportunities

      —“Externalities are the norm in society rather than the exception.”—

      Positive externalities contribute to individuals and the commons, negative imposed costs upon individuals and commons.

      3) THE QUESTION OF ASYMMETRY

      —“In the presence of positive externalities, goods get underproduced from s social perspective.”—

      Most people do not recognize that this is deceptive language. Stated scientifically it is: “Despite the voluntary organization of production constructed by communal construction of lower costs of production (distribution and trade), transaction costs, and opportunity costs, some goods and services cannot be produced by the voluntary organization of production since the incentives to organize to produce them cannot be constructed. In other words, individuals have no reason to act to produce a good or service that others WANT.
      However we are stuck with two issues.

      First: WANTING and DEMONSTRATING are very different things. Stated wants are irrelevant. For example, we know that people prefer to spend money on entertainment over health care. So do they in fact ‘want’ health care? They will not exchange other things for it, so apparently they want it less than what they currently spend it on.

      Second: while a person who commits no crime and imposes no costs upon others is not harming the construction of the voluntary organization of production’s discount on production, transaction cost, and opportunity cost, that individual is not PRODUCING sufficiently to fulfill his wants by voluntary exchange. In other words, he is unable to satisfy others, and desires satisfaction despite this. Now, the balance of society (commons producers) is better off if this person is outcast like a bum from a shopping mall, as a parasite. But we insure others in case we are reduced by accident tot he same circumstance – hence why those men nearer the bottom are more concerned about insurance, and women are almost always so given their genetic necessity of sensitivity and nurture. So the question is, at what point are we insuring, and at what point are we subsidizing parasitism and dysgenia, parasitism and eventual erosion of the commons we work together to construct?

      This is the central question that separates progressive r-selection from conservative k-selection: we are in competition and we cooperate, but we are in competition for the future of mankind: between r-selected consumption and dysgenia of quantity, and k-selected saving and eugenia of quality. As libertarians we are statistical outliers – mere riders on the r/k selection journey. Intellectual hermaphrodites, negotiating transactions between the two reproductive strategies.

      But assuming that we want to produce goods and services for those unable produce for others sufficiently to earn them, we can ask them to trade. My suggestion has been that we trade (a) one-child limit, (b) maintenance of the commons (c) a stipend based upon % of revenues independent of whether they work or not, (d) elimination of minimum wage so that they can collect both stipend (e) elimination of immigration by other than highly skilled labor for permanent citizenship. In other words, we can conduct an exchange with them: do no harm to us through crime and reproduction and you will be insured against the vicissitudes of life. Break this deal and you will lose all and if necessary be sterilized and put in a labor prison in the desert for the rest of your life.

      4) TAXES
      Assuming taxes are limited to commissions on the increased productivity of the commons (sales tax), and dispensations of taxes are not put to destructive ends (violations of property), it is in no way immoral for the shareholders of the organization (citizens) to both pay commissions (taxes) for their exchanges, and to receive dividends (commons). If we possess a court of universal standing there is no reason that you could not take the gov’t to court over an unjust fee.

      (I tend to feel that in general, most taxes in america are not irrational, it is that they are put to uses we disagree with for the benefit of the advancement of the state, bureaucracy, deep state, and special interests. We also encounter the problem that the more disenfranchised individuals feel from the community the less willing to pay taxes they are. and libertarians are all too often demonstrating this behavior rather than any terribly thoughtful reason.)

      5) SUMMARY
      I think I’ve tried to answer the bulk of your questions. The net is that we compromise in a market. No one gets his ideal, not conservative, libertarian or progressive. We are, at each point in the spectrum, specialists in the intertemporal division of reproductive labor, and each biased by the necessity of our function to perceive and judge the world according to our evolutionary strategy. It is somewhat comforting to me to know that Conservatives have broader senses and so they are more accurate, and that females and progressives the least, and libertarians a bridge. This hleps understand individual intransigence. But it tells us that epistemologically, the only way to ‘know’ anything is indeed ‘good’ for man is when all through groups are conducting voluntary exchanges without the imposition of costs upon one another. If this is true, then man works as a vast successful machine computing a future out of existential reality by millions of different interactions and every moment, and it’s a beautiful and magical thing.

      6) COMMONS: DEMOCRATIC ASSENT VS LEGAL DISSENT
      I tend to deal with all of these subjects as simple legal problems.

      Curt Doolittle
      The Philosophy of Aristocracy
      The Propertarian Institute
      Kiev, Ukraine
      POST-NOTES:
      (The reason is that we must balance stresses with rewards, and entertainment and food balance those, while boredom and delayed satisfaction increase them. Hence humans spend on current satisfaction at the expense of future risk.)
      (I tend to say that the past century, has consisted of a war by shitty families against good families – individualism eliminates the empirical evidence that some families are better than others and should reproduce more than others, and their opposite, less.)