Theme: Incentives

  • Problem is that only a moron that is entirely ignorant of both probability (“lud

    Problem is that only a moron that is entirely ignorant of both probability (“ludic fallacy”) and economics (“risk measurement”) would be ignorant and stupid enough to conflate closed (ludic) and unclosed (risk) measures. Odds can be calculated, but risk only PRICED. Left=Idiot


    Source date (UTC): 2018-11-18 16:40:24 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1064196635411054593

    Reply addressees: @maggieNYT

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1064167375346573314


    IN REPLY TO:

    @maggieNYT

    Chris Wallace, winning:
    WALLACE: What are the odds? One in a hundred? What–What?
    TRUMP: I don’t do odds, I gave very detailed–
    WALLACE: You ran a casino sir.

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1064167375346573314

  • (all advertising is good advertising) 😉

    (all advertising is good advertising) 😉


    Source date (UTC): 2018-11-18 15:33:22 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1064179766029357056

  • “The left tests the limits capital accumulation. The right tests the limits of c

    —“The left tests the limits capital accumulation. The right tests the limits of capital outlay (consumption).”— Skye Stewart


    Source date (UTC): 2018-11-18 12:29:00 UTC

  • NEAR ZERO CONSUMER INTEREST 1) let’s assume there is only one consumer lender: t

    NEAR ZERO CONSUMER INTEREST

    1) let’s assume there is only one consumer lender: the treasury. what happens to default rates?

    And 2) under single (consumer) lender, with limits by rolling income, why are defaults a problem?

    And 3) now let’s distribute liquidity via those same accounts, and what happens?

    And (4) if those ‘rents’ on state-secured interest aren’t available where does investment capital seek longer term returns instead?

    With the exception that;

    (5) black market ‘loan’ might increase (not for sizable), because there is always an unpredictable ‘lottery payment’ coming from insertion of liquidity to maintain the money supply, with zero delay.


    Source date (UTC): 2018-11-17 12:04:00 UTC

  • I’m sure there is a solution that can “protect the commons” and provide an effic

    —I’m sure there is a solution that can “protect the commons” and provide an efficient and cost-effective solution. My understanding is that passenger flights are required to carry USPS, where the private companies must own their own planes. Curt Doolittle maybe you can chime in a propertarian solution to this problem?”—@[572309326:2048:Bryan Nova Brey]

    The problem is the cost of government employees. The service is also supported by spam mail none of us want (or need, in the age of the internet). All political services can be provided by libraries (forms etc). All shipping better provided by private agencies. Selling it whole yet requiring all domestic postcards, and ‘letters’ at a subsidized price would solve the problem.

    Insuring the private postal service and ups and anyone else for that matter, the way we insure banks (insurer of last resort) in the case of national emergency is adequate.


    Source date (UTC): 2018-11-16 14:33:00 UTC

  • They Talk About Ideals, and We Talk About Reals – The Difference Is Costs – We A

    They Talk About Ideals, and We Talk About Reals – The Difference Is Costs – We Account for Costs.


    Source date (UTC): 2018-11-14 18:08:07 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1062769159669465090

  • DRAGGING THROUGH THE SALES FUNNEL by Luke Weinhagen Our current parasite support

    DRAGGING THROUGH THE SALES FUNNEL

    by Luke Weinhagen

    Our current parasite supporting system turns this agency sales funnel into a tractor pull. Every step of the way you have to carry more a burden. You have to recognize the costs being imposed upon you by the parasites are there because you are allowing them to be. Right now the funnel is not for weak engines not the faint of heart. “Fuck it, let’s just impose it” becomes a relief.

    If we can get to where we can start to suppress the parasites, this funnel opens up to more and more people. We get to that wider audience.


    Source date (UTC): 2018-11-14 12:06:00 UTC

  • ECONOMIC APPROACH TO HUMAN BEHAVIOR You know, it’s so much a part of my cognitio

    https://www.amazon.com/Economic-Approach-Human-Behavior/dp/0226041123THE ECONOMIC APPROACH TO HUMAN BEHAVIOR

    You know, it’s so much a part of my cognition that I forget to mention it. But this book framed my thinking about social science more so than any other. I think in the Becker model. Ostrom just helps with extending the Becker model into commons.

    The “minds” that I imitate (make use of constantly) are Becker, Hayek, Hoppe, Popper, Turing-Chomsky, (the outlier is Hoppe (property) which is what the rest are missing), with Jeff Hawkins’s work on intelligence ( already having come true), and Baron Cohen’s so obvious, it’s coming true daily in the research. The Nietzsche I rely on is Birth of Tragedy. Someone will skewer me for this but his fundamental insight was produce there, and all else is application of it. Step back to the beginning again, and grasp that I studied history, art history, and military history first before any of this, and the sequence of aggregate behavior down to neurological processing is a completely coherent and consistent series of ideas.

    https://www.amazon.com/Economic-Approach-Human-Behavior/dp/0226041123


    Source date (UTC): 2018-11-14 11:56:00 UTC

  • THE ARISTOCRATIC (RESPONSIBILITY) SALES FUNNEL All of the people who start out e

    THE ARISTOCRATIC (RESPONSIBILITY) SALES FUNNEL

    All of the people who start out edgy, tend to move back up the sales funnel (wider audience) because they perceive they are doing more good with wider reach, by driving more people into the sales funnel.

    Everyone has to move thu the ‘sales funnel’ from well meaning fool to man of agency.

    I did it and it sure seems like most other men do.

    “Nice Person” > Social Democracy > Classical Liberalism > Libertarianism > anarcho capitalism > Neo Reaction > Propertarianism > (some version of , fuck it, let’s just impose it.)


    Source date (UTC): 2018-11-14 10:35:00 UTC

  • photos_and_videos/TimelinePhotos_SxeO6JU-xg/46308130_10156777432192264_364957252

    photos_and_videos/TimelinePhotos_SxeO6JU-xg/46308130_10156777432192264_3649572524754206720_o_10156777432187264.jpg Hopper is still increasing in value/Morgan James MorrisonWhy?Nov 14, 2018, 10:58 AMJohn EdwardOne of my favorite painters.Nov 14, 2018, 11:04 AMJohn EdwardThe high end art market typically tracks the net worth of the 0.001%. So anytime there’s a stock market bubble, art auctions for every artist goes up by an even greater percentage (due to leverage).Nov 14, 2018, 11:06 AMJohn EdwardAlso rich people use art as a way to “park” their money in a tax sheltered asset.Nov 14, 2018, 11:07 AMCurt Doolittle^Yep.Nov 14, 2018, 11:07 AMCurt Doolittlethe optimum economic indexNov 14, 2018, 11:07 AMMorgan James MorrisonAh ok, so its a “market” reason. i thought maybe there was some sort of psychological reason like people are enjoying art that makes them feel isolated because people are more isolated.Nov 14, 2018, 11:15 AMMorgan James MorrisonWhy Hopper’s art specifically is still enjoyed and valued so highNov 14, 2018, 11:15 AMMatt EvansThere are at least three categories of art purchasing

    1) speculation – purely economic

    2) for who else will notice that you have the piece – virtue signaling to others

    3) for the personal enjoyment of the piece itself – taste, which is objective [see: roger Scruton on beauty]

    Which do you think this hopper painting represents? For me, it’s not #3.Nov 14, 2018, 11:18 AMCurt DoolittleMatt Evans Well, hopper is … I mean, artists are artifacts of time and place and hopper is probably the best artifact of that time and place. The collector (collection owner) died last spring, and he was an entrepreneur that collected what he loved. there is a difference between what I would hang in my home and what I would state “yes, this is great art”. But that is the difference between taste and truth. Hopper is a great artist of his era, if not the greatest, one of them. He captured that moment in time for eternity.Nov 14, 2018, 11:21 AMMatt EvansCurt Doolittle But, for the sake of argument, let us say you provide me with a piece that is undeniably the greatest piece of modern day performance art. Or any modernist or post-modernist art, really.

    Not only will I not place it in my home, but I will also tell you it is not truth, or, more generously, that the maximum amount of truth it has to say is that the “artist” is a sick creature that comes from a sick and dying society.

    But there are many ways to say that, and reasonable people don’t think they are “art”.

    being a product of a time and place does not absolve “artists” who create degenerate garbage; who demonstrate no particular talent at any particular craft

    I don’t assert that Hopper is degenerate garbage, or is a talentless monster. I don’t even suggest it. The painting looks fine.

    It doesn’t, however, strike me as the finest oil painting in American history. Or rather, if it truly is, that’s disappointing for America.Nov 14, 2018, 11:42 AMConnor WhittlawDo you come up with these ideas/metrics/etc by yourself or is there s lot of external collation going on?

    For myself, I have few novel ideas, but am a great metric finder and collator for others.Nov 14, 2018, 11:43 AMCurt DoolittleBelieve it or not …. this is a subject economists studied in depth, and Gary Stanley Becker (where I get my use of supply and demand language in social science from ) wrote about it specifically.

    https://www.amazon.com/Economic-Approach-Human-Behavior/dp/0226041123Nov 14, 2018, 11:47 AMEric BumpusThe first type of cryptocurrency.Nov 14, 2018, 11:54 AMArno KælandMorgan James Morrison Status signalling also plays a part in these art markets and the more super-wealthy there are, the more desirable the status symbols become. Cars and houses no longer really do the trick because even a mere ‘deca-millioaire’ can afford the most expensive new cars available.Nov 14, 2018, 1:08 PMAndy Ujku-DardaniaOne of my favorite paintersNov 14, 2018, 3:02 PMConnor WhittlawCheersNov 14, 2018, 3:15 PMEdward John WyattYeeee boiNov 14, 2018, 4:06 PMZachary BertCurt Doolittle yeah and it was supposed to be left to the Seattle Art Museum and we got fucked somehowNov 14, 2018, 8:41 PMKari Anne DorstadWow ill see if my accountant will write me a check !! Lol 😂Nov 14, 2018, 9:34 PMNoel FritschI.e., rich people are often stupid.

    As an indicator, valuable. As an actual investment? Not so much.

    Can chop suey or nighthawks dispatch with zombies?

    Or be traded for the dispatchment of zombies in a post Petro dollar world?

    Methinks not…Nov 14, 2018, 10:06 PMJohn EdwardNoel Fritsch what you’re describing are lower order goods and commodities. Those are bets on social breakdown, while art is a bet on continuing growth of economic efficiency and complexity.Nov 14, 2018, 10:08 PMMurphy CellCurt you should check out Odd Nerdrums new short film about Kant ruining art.

    https://youtu.be/EcjVXBXn7b4Nov 16, 2018, 10:33 AMCurt Doolittlethank you for thisNov 16, 2018, 10:47 AMMurphy CellCurt Doolittle it’s good. You’ll dig it. I don’t agree with some of it. But he names the art police! And laments at seeing brilliant artists and former students dumbing their work down so that they can make a living. The documentary “the Mona Lisa Curse” by Salt old bastard Robert Hughes is amazing too. I loved that guy.Nov 16, 2018, 10:50 AMHopper is still increasing in value/


    Source date (UTC): 2018-11-14 10:07:00 UTC