Curt Doolittle

Theme: Governance

  • If you mean who would persist? Just the real lefties. I think most would adapt.

    If you mean who would persist? Just the real lefties. I think most would adapt. And that would be a good thing.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-06-26 19:59:50 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1938326356401786973

  • Assuming preservation of a federal govt that covers the continent coast to coast

    Assuming preservation of a federal govt that covers the continent coast to coast (and better, from the isthmus of panama to the arctic), and the devolution of powers to the states resulting in restoration of regional sovereignty in internal affairs, there is no reason we cannot survive almost indefinitely. However, without that centralization the principle value of the territory – a giant island compared to eurasia – then I don’t see survival but balkanization.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-06-26 04:19:07 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1938089618647490988

  • DISCUSSING PENDING DOMESTIC CRISES AND WHY THE FUTURE IS UNPREDICTABLE. Tricia;

    DISCUSSING PENDING DOMESTIC CRISES AND WHY THE FUTURE IS UNPREDICTABLE.
    Tricia;
    I’m kind of … curious (and I probably shouldn’t be) why the same level of economic analysis prior to 2001, and 2008 are not occurring today or not visible today, despite that (a) yes the causes and consequences of this ‘correction (collapse)’ are more diverse and less certain, (b) any means of recovery from it not only uncertain but questionable, (c) the causal density of risk worldwide is as great as before the first world wars and for very similar reasons.

    In other words, the fearful and dramatic noise over the state of the geostrategic and geoeconomic world is drowning out the more abstract discourse of the vast domestic economic correction, and the impact our demography, our factionalization, and our regional diversity of economies will exacerbate everything from political divisiveness, economic restructuring, and worse the pressure for civil war if not solved.

    I’m in the “this is the quiet before the storm” moment because we simply do not see that causal density: all these cycles coming to collapse at the same time.

    I usually tell people that I can predict trends simply by predicting the natural corrections – but I can’t predict trigger events – only time frames.

    But what do we do when all trend lines collapse at the same time, and we can’t predict trigger events, and worse we can’t even imagine, less predict, possible solutions on the other side of the inflection point?

    IMO taking iran off the plate – and failing – was a catastrophic lost opportunity that preserved a set of possible triggers. IMO trump causing the replacement of China’s Xi with his sanctions should have lowered the number of possible triggers. The exhaustion of russian economy, military, and demography should have lowered the same number of possible triggers. The forcing of europe to pay for its own defense should have lowered the number of triggers.

    But in general, just of those three, nothing else considered, I’m not sure we’ve moved the needle on the spectrum of possible trigger events. Perhaps we’ve moved domestic crisis to international crisis? At least that’s what it looks like.

    So you know, despite my history of predictions, my ability to predict the near future, as I’ve stated before, is limited to “something is gonna happen and it’s gonna be bad, and it’ll last from 3 to 30 years depending upon how bad it is.” But I have no idea what the world uses to recover from or what the world might look like afterward. 🙁

    Source date (UTC): 2025-06-26 00:35:11 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1938033263710507316

  • RE “State Collapse” –“”But not Oregon or Washington?”– They aren’t in the top

    RE “State Collapse”
    –“”But not Oregon or Washington?”–

    They aren’t in the top 10.

    But then, it’s is a list of GOVERNMENTS that will be completely insolvent without the capacity to go bankrupt – states have no way of going bankrupt as such they can only default.

    The various other economies might shift for the worse, but they don’t have the debt that these five to.

    I expect my home turf (greater seattle-redmond region) to get a kick in the backside on a scale not quite reaching that of boeing in the 70s. And I suspect a price correction in home values in the 30-40% range.

    The problem with that prediction is the possible rate of adaptation of tech vs capital intensive industries. I’ve lived through the Boston tech correction. I expect this one to be about the same. But with more employee re-assignment at much lower income levels – just like we have seen at Microsoft of late. But on a much larger scale.

    Other States have other problems. For example, Hawaii is screwed if disposable income goes down as expected, since it’s a tourist economy. Same for Nevada. On the other hand, Kentucky and a few others are screwed because they are dependent on federal subsidy that will equally come to an and for the same reason.

    As we say, fiscal conservatism is simply the best choice at all times other than war.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-06-25 23:59:40 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1938024324134539688

  • INESCAPABLE COLLAPSE OF TOP 5 US STATES The States and their Economies that will

    INESCAPABLE COLLAPSE OF TOP 5 US STATES
    The States and their Economies that will collapse during this cycle of ‘correction’:

    – California (LA, SF, SD axis)
    – Illinois (Chicago and Region)
    – New York (NYC)
    – New Jersey (NYC-Philadelphia Extended Region)
    – Connecticut (NYC Region, Hartford-New Haven Region)

    Over-reliance on taxes from a small number of high earners.
    Over Estimation of the flexibility of concentration ( limited diversity) of the economy.
    Over-promising Pensions and government wages.
    Over Estimating Demographic ‘Stickiness’. Spending, Income Tax, and other Contributions leave with the most mobile young people leaving states with the expenditures.

    There is nothing that can be done other than defaulting on Pensions that never were possible and should never have been permitted.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-06-25 23:29:46 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1938016801264439494

  • I don’t know if I’d disagree with ‘meaning’ or ‘knowledge sufficient for individ

    I don’t know if I’d disagree with ‘meaning’ or ‘knowledge sufficient for individual action’ which is I think your intention. My problem is different: judicial and political – when we are in conflict, or perhaps more importantly, when people use non-testimonial methods to achieve personal to political ends while engaging in the spectrum of baiting into hazard that constitutes so much of human discourse.

    The only problem is the mixed bag of say, religion, or say marxist pseudoscience, which attempts to achieve a good by fictionalist means (deception), that by externality causes harm – and all religions it turns out caused as much harm as they did good.
    But the three philosophical traditions of europeanism, confucianism, and original buddhism, … each was defeated by some other ‘religion’ because the original non false solutions to the expansion of human numbers were inaccessible by too much of the population.
    In other words, the upper intellectual classes can produce non-false non-bad philosophies that fulfill the demands of any religion in producing mindfulness. But they are not available to far too much of the population that is less cognitively evolved (or carrying too much genetic load).
    This is … depressing.
    What we can learn however, is that it just means we must spend more on indoctrination than we have so far. Religions are cheap indoctrination. Education is expensive indoctrination. But it may require expensive indoctrination to leave behind our vulnerability the hazards of easily accessible religions as a means of achieving mindfulness.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-06-24 18:22:39 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1937577123918872730

  • Curt Doolittle’s Natural Law as System Theory: A Meta-Computational Framework fo

    Curt Doolittle’s Natural Law as System Theory: A Meta-Computational Framework for Civilizational Ord

    Title: Curt Doolittle’s Natural Law as System Theory: A Meta-Computational Framework for Civilizational Order
    Abstract: Curt Doolittle’s Natural Law framework presents a meta-theoretical system that renders all domains of human knowledge and cooperation decidable through the lens of evolutionary computation. This paper situates Doolittle’s corpus within the tradition of systems theory, arguing that his work constitutes a formal system of measurement, feedback, constraint, and adaptive control. Through operational definitions, testimonial truth, and institutionalized reciprocity, Doolittle constructs a unified computational grammar that bridges physics, cognition, law, and civilization. The following analysis delineates the foundational principles, systemic architecture, mechanisms of control, and failure dynamics of Doolittle’s Natural Law as a system-theoretic framework.
    1. Introduction: From Crisis to ComputationDoolittle’s work emerges from a civilizational diagnosis: the fragmentation of moral and epistemic norms has resulted in the loss of institutional decidability. His central claim is that human cooperation, like all complex systems, requires constraints that preserve signal integrity under competitive entropy. The failure to maintain these constraints has led to widespread institutional decay. Thus, Natural Law is offered as a restoration: a universal system of measurement and control designed to make all questions decidable.
    2. Foundational Premise: Evolutionary Computation as Universal LawAt the core of the Natural Law system is the assertion that all existence is governed by evolutionary computation—a process of variation, competition, and selection resulting in increasing information coherence. This framework applies from subatomic physics to social institutions, treating all emergent phenomena as outputs of recursive adversarial iteration. Thus, systems are viewed not as static structures but as dynamic feedback processes constantly optimizing for survival under entropy.
    3. Architecture of the System: Operational Measurement and TruthVolume II of Doolittle’s work formalizes a universally commensurable system of measurement. All claims must be rendered operational: they must describe actions and consequences in observable, falsifiable terms. Truth is redefined as testimonial: every assertion is a performative act akin to a legal contract, underwritten by liability for error or deceit. This enforces epistemic discipline and prevents systemic corruption by unaccountable speech acts.
    4. Control Mechanisms: Decidability and ReciprocityVolume III and IV translate this epistemology into institutional form. Decidability—the ability to resolve disputes without discretion—is the central systemic requirement. Law, in Doolittle’s formulation, is the institutionalization of reciprocity: a constraint algorithm that ensures all exchanges are mutually beneficial or non-harmful. Institutions serve as control mechanisms that encode feedback (costs and benefits), adjust incentives, and maintain cooperation by preventing parasitism.
    5. System Failure and Civilizational CollapseVolume I analyzes systemic failure as a result of noise overpowering signal: when narrative, emotion, or ideology replaces measurement, institutions lose their capacity to compute adaptive responses. The consequence is decay of trust, collapse of norms, and institutional entropy. Natural Law identifies these dynamics as failures of feedback integrity and control asymmetry, correctable only through reformation of foundational grammars.
    6. Alignment with Systems TheoryDoolittle’s system maps precisely onto classical systems theory:
    • Input: Demonstrated interests and behaviors
    • Process: Operational measurement and falsification
    • Feedback: Legal and moral reciprocity
    • Control: Institutions encoding adaptive constraints
    • Output: Decidable judgments and equilibrated cooperation
    • Failure Mode: Irreciprocity, parasitism, and narrative entropy
    7. Conclusion: A Meta-System for CivilizationNatural Law, in Doolittle’s hands, is not a philosophy but a meta-system—a computational architecture for human civilization. It unifies causality, measurement, and cooperation into a single logic of decidability. As such, it transcends legal theory, functioning as a systems-theoretic constitution for sustainable social order.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-06-24 16:43:42 UTC

    Original post: https://x.com/i/articles/1937552222226874575

  • no. it is how an individual in authority controls a situation where discipline h

    no. it is how an individual in authority controls a situation where discipline has broken down.

    you are exemplifying why mandatory military service is all but necessary for men.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-06-24 15:59:26 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1937541080867832006

  • Interesting: “The U.S. relies heavily on police for mental health crises (20–25%

    Interesting: “The U.S. relies heavily on police for mental health crises (20–25% of calls vs. 10% in Australia, 5% in Sweden), and women with Serious Mental Illness (SMI) face higher criminalization (11.6x risk of force vs. 2–3x in the UK). Lax gun laws and underfunded mental health systems ($265 billion spent, but only 5% on crisis care) amplify escalations.”

    Source date (UTC): 2025-06-20 03:08:34 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1935897535174131999

  • More that in institutional development – particularly benfits – he produced the

    More that in institutional development – particularly benfits – he produced the optimum order.

    Source date (UTC): 2025-06-19 01:26:43 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1935509515023303133