Theme: Governance

  • We Are Morally Blind, Limited In Our Perceptions And Memory, And Severely In Our Reason. The Last Thing We Should Do Is Construct Large Risk-prone Intentionally Managed States.

    [I] have to accept the evidence, but I do not like it. I would like very much to believe that we grasp the world as it is. And it appears that, at least with the help of instrumentalism (logic and science), we can grasp the physical world with a high degree of accuracy – at least, sufficiently to make use of it for our purposes. The cooperative world of human beings consists of inconstant relations, we desperately try to reduce to an ideal type, a stereotype, a single simple rule, a universal value. But it is more complex than the physical world that consists of constant relations. For that reason we may be limited to a logic of cooperation and every prohibited from a mathematics of cooperation – except at the highest levels. The data is conclusive: we are far more morally blind than I had expected. Our moral and ethical intuitions are genetically weighted but our moral biases evolve and are emergent – still invariant. Our metaphysical assumptions (assumptions about the way the world functions) are far more unconscious and unalterable than I’d expected. And very, very, very few of us are capable of working hard to modify those assumptions. (The process of which I am at this moment writing about.) [L]ibertarians can speak of morality in it’s logical language: economics. But that is partly because libertarians are both severely affected by moral blindness, less dependent upon others for information and decision making, and less vulnerable to deception. Libertarians not only are blind to morality, but discount it because it’s not useful to them. Our language, common protocol that it is, fools us into a sense of similarity. Progressives are interesting in that the world appears simple to them, and is simple to them computationally, because like any form single-variable calculation, it is in fact much simpler to reason with. But they are also the most morally blind demographic: progressives dysgenically and anti-socially apply their moral simplicity to all matters – like the mother of a serial killer who believes her son is merely misunderstood, and incapable of the crime. That analogy is all one needs to understand the moral blindness of progressives. Conservatives have the worst computational problem. They weigh all of the moral instincts about the same. Which means that they must contend with seven or more different weights and values that must be compared at any given time – something that the single-axis human capacity for reason cannot possibly manage, and abandons to the wind. So conservatives speak in moral language. Partly because it is simply too complicated to speak in any other. And largely because we have only recently understood these underlying intuitions. While Machiavelli, Hume, Pareto, Durkheim and others have attempted to derive the answers, only in the past twenty years with the help of science, anthropology and experimental psychology, have we been able to understand them. We humans speak to justify our genes. That is about all. The very last thing that we should try to engage in, is the politics of anything larger than an extended and homogenous family. The market – in this case, a market of communities (states) – is the only possible means of computing and calculating the future by scientific means.

  • We Are Morally Blind, Limited In Our Perceptions And Memory, And Severely In Our Reason. The Last Thing We Should Do Is Construct Large Risk-prone Intentionally Managed States.

    [I] have to accept the evidence, but I do not like it. I would like very much to believe that we grasp the world as it is. And it appears that, at least with the help of instrumentalism (logic and science), we can grasp the physical world with a high degree of accuracy – at least, sufficiently to make use of it for our purposes. The cooperative world of human beings consists of inconstant relations, we desperately try to reduce to an ideal type, a stereotype, a single simple rule, a universal value. But it is more complex than the physical world that consists of constant relations. For that reason we may be limited to a logic of cooperation and every prohibited from a mathematics of cooperation – except at the highest levels. The data is conclusive: we are far more morally blind than I had expected. Our moral and ethical intuitions are genetically weighted but our moral biases evolve and are emergent – still invariant. Our metaphysical assumptions (assumptions about the way the world functions) are far more unconscious and unalterable than I’d expected. And very, very, very few of us are capable of working hard to modify those assumptions. (The process of which I am at this moment writing about.) [L]ibertarians can speak of morality in it’s logical language: economics. But that is partly because libertarians are both severely affected by moral blindness, less dependent upon others for information and decision making, and less vulnerable to deception. Libertarians not only are blind to morality, but discount it because it’s not useful to them. Our language, common protocol that it is, fools us into a sense of similarity. Progressives are interesting in that the world appears simple to them, and is simple to them computationally, because like any form single-variable calculation, it is in fact much simpler to reason with. But they are also the most morally blind demographic: progressives dysgenically and anti-socially apply their moral simplicity to all matters – like the mother of a serial killer who believes her son is merely misunderstood, and incapable of the crime. That analogy is all one needs to understand the moral blindness of progressives. Conservatives have the worst computational problem. They weigh all of the moral instincts about the same. Which means that they must contend with seven or more different weights and values that must be compared at any given time – something that the single-axis human capacity for reason cannot possibly manage, and abandons to the wind. So conservatives speak in moral language. Partly because it is simply too complicated to speak in any other. And largely because we have only recently understood these underlying intuitions. While Machiavelli, Hume, Pareto, Durkheim and others have attempted to derive the answers, only in the past twenty years with the help of science, anthropology and experimental psychology, have we been able to understand them. We humans speak to justify our genes. That is about all. The very last thing that we should try to engage in, is the politics of anything larger than an extended and homogenous family. The market – in this case, a market of communities (states) – is the only possible means of computing and calculating the future by scientific means.

  • Transnational Insurgencies Have Something In Common : They Win

    Pocket Advice —“Although transnational insurgencies comprise highly diverse groups across different conflicts and eras, they still have much in common. For one, such forces are winning: transnational insurgencies have won nearly half of the civil wars in which they have fought, almost twice the success rate of insurgencies overall. Several Israeli prime ministers have acknowledged that Israel’s victory in 1948 relied on the World War II veterans who aided the fledgling state against Arab armies. In other conflicts throughout history, prominent foreign fighters were either instrumental in extending insurgencies or making them costlier to suppress: the Marquis de Lafayette, the French general who fought for the American rebels during the Revolutionary War; the Italian general Giuseppe Garibaldi, who supported the Republican uprising in Brazil in the 1830s; and Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, who formed al Qaeda in Iraq under the U.S. occupation. “— –“The patterns of recruitment for such disparate fighters are broadly similar and, because of that, they all have the same Achilles’ heel…. Insurgent groups … use despair rather than optimism to recruit members. Generally, they tell recruits that they are losing a war of survival and that they face an existential threat.”– –“It might not seem like the most persuasive pitch, particularly for fighters who, if they join, must violate a number of laws and take up arms in an unfamiliar territory. But it works. …. The strategy works best with foreign recruits who share the movement’s ideology, ethnicity, or religion but who, unlike local fighters, do not have immediate communities and families in the line of fire.”– –“Such fighters are often persuadable because of their weak affiliations with their own country and national identity,”– –” In these conflicts, the foreign fighters, driven by the belief that they are fighting a desperate battle to the end, act more aggressively than local insurgents — even when their side is actually winning. It’s no accident that most suicide missions in Afghanistan and Iraq were carried out by foreign fighters rather than local militants. “– –“Some insurgent groups, such as the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) and Jabhat al-Nusra in Syria, have taken advantage of this dynamic by using foreigners to target civilians when the local combatants will not. “–

  • Transnational Insurgencies Have Something In Common : They Win

    Pocket Advice —“Although transnational insurgencies comprise highly diverse groups across different conflicts and eras, they still have much in common. For one, such forces are winning: transnational insurgencies have won nearly half of the civil wars in which they have fought, almost twice the success rate of insurgencies overall. Several Israeli prime ministers have acknowledged that Israel’s victory in 1948 relied on the World War II veterans who aided the fledgling state against Arab armies. In other conflicts throughout history, prominent foreign fighters were either instrumental in extending insurgencies or making them costlier to suppress: the Marquis de Lafayette, the French general who fought for the American rebels during the Revolutionary War; the Italian general Giuseppe Garibaldi, who supported the Republican uprising in Brazil in the 1830s; and Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, who formed al Qaeda in Iraq under the U.S. occupation. “— –“The patterns of recruitment for such disparate fighters are broadly similar and, because of that, they all have the same Achilles’ heel…. Insurgent groups … use despair rather than optimism to recruit members. Generally, they tell recruits that they are losing a war of survival and that they face an existential threat.”– –“It might not seem like the most persuasive pitch, particularly for fighters who, if they join, must violate a number of laws and take up arms in an unfamiliar territory. But it works. …. The strategy works best with foreign recruits who share the movement’s ideology, ethnicity, or religion but who, unlike local fighters, do not have immediate communities and families in the line of fire.”– –“Such fighters are often persuadable because of their weak affiliations with their own country and national identity,”– –” In these conflicts, the foreign fighters, driven by the belief that they are fighting a desperate battle to the end, act more aggressively than local insurgents — even when their side is actually winning. It’s no accident that most suicide missions in Afghanistan and Iraq were carried out by foreign fighters rather than local militants. “– –“Some insurgent groups, such as the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) and Jabhat al-Nusra in Syria, have taken advantage of this dynamic by using foreigners to target civilians when the local combatants will not. “–

  • “Doolittle is the Moldbug of Facebook”

    [W]ell, I have no idea if that’s meant as a compliment or an insult. Of course, I consider myself part of the Dark Enlightenment (NeoReactionary movement). Mencius uses continental arguments which frustrate the hell out of me, since I’m trying to reform libertarian reasoning and formal institutions by basing it instead on unloaded, objective language of the ratio-scientific method. But that said, it’s a fair association to make, whether compliment or criticism. Just surprised me and made me laugh. Photo: “Doolittle is the Moldbug of Facebook”

    COMMENTS Andriy Drozda, Eric Blankenburg, Eric Field and 5 others like this. Michael Pattinson Ha ha ha James Santagata lol Jason Conway My immediate association between Doolittle and Moldbug was the word ‘prolific’. Curt Doolittle Jason… Yeah, I thought the same thing. lol

  • “Doolittle is the Moldbug of Facebook”

    [W]ell, I have no idea if that’s meant as a compliment or an insult. Of course, I consider myself part of the Dark Enlightenment (NeoReactionary movement). Mencius uses continental arguments which frustrate the hell out of me, since I’m trying to reform libertarian reasoning and formal institutions by basing it instead on unloaded, objective language of the ratio-scientific method. But that said, it’s a fair association to make, whether compliment or criticism. Just surprised me and made me laugh. Photo: “Doolittle is the Moldbug of Facebook”

    COMMENTS Andriy Drozda, Eric Blankenburg, Eric Field and 5 others like this. Michael Pattinson Ha ha ha James Santagata lol Jason Conway My immediate association between Doolittle and Moldbug was the word ‘prolific’. Curt Doolittle Jason… Yeah, I thought the same thing. lol

  • From Free-Riding To Rent Seeking To Anarchy

    FROM FREE RIDING TO RENT SEEKING TO ANARCHY People form governments to suppress the high transaction costs of criminal, unethical, and immoral behavior. The consequence is that all that suppressed free riding is simply converted into rent seeking by the bureaucracy. By forming governments, we trade high transaction costs that are pervasive (rampant criminal, unethical and immoral behavior) for low transaction costs that are increasingly expensive (conspiratorial, corrupt and exploitative behavior). The question we face in advancing political theory, is how to prevent rent seeking as well as free riding. The answer is to allow insurance companies, the common law, the courts, and a fully articulated set of property rights to do their jobs for us. Yes, there are certain luxuries we may wish to produce as a commons. There is no reason that we cannot produce luxuries as a commons. But we cannot produce laws. We can only allow the courts to discover them.

  • From Free-Riding To Rent Seeking To Anarchy

    FROM FREE RIDING TO RENT SEEKING TO ANARCHY People form governments to suppress the high transaction costs of criminal, unethical, and immoral behavior. The consequence is that all that suppressed free riding is simply converted into rent seeking by the bureaucracy. By forming governments, we trade high transaction costs that are pervasive (rampant criminal, unethical and immoral behavior) for low transaction costs that are increasingly expensive (conspiratorial, corrupt and exploitative behavior). The question we face in advancing political theory, is how to prevent rent seeking as well as free riding. The answer is to allow insurance companies, the common law, the courts, and a fully articulated set of property rights to do their jobs for us. Yes, there are certain luxuries we may wish to produce as a commons. There is no reason that we cannot produce luxuries as a commons. But we cannot produce laws. We can only allow the courts to discover them.

  • “We’re the most powerful nation in the world and Russia is a gas station masquer

    —“We’re the most powerful nation in the world and Russia is a gas station masquerading as a country.”—

    Go John. lol


    Source date (UTC): 2014-04-24 16:56:00 UTC

  • GERMANY BLOCKED UKRAINIAN MEMBERSHIP. NOW THEY BLOCK ITS DEFENSE. Like I’ve been

    GERMANY BLOCKED UKRAINIAN MEMBERSHIP. NOW THEY BLOCK ITS DEFENSE.

    Like I’ve been saying for over a decade now: pull the USA out of europe and force Germany to return to its natural position, and pay its natural costs, of defending itself and europe.

    –“”The Russian economy is a very weak economy. It’s based almost entirely on oil exports. The financial sanctions that are feasible would have an immediate and serious impact on a feeble Russian economy, and that’s what we ought to do.”

    Unfortunately, not all of the allies of the United States are prepared to do that, Perle says.

    “In particular, the Germans are reluctant to take any significant action,” he said.

    “Ironically, the Germans helped land us in this situation when they refused to consider inviting Ukraine into NATO. If Ukraine were a NATO member, we wouldn’t be in this situation we are in today.”

    Perle said the U.S. must be prepared to work with sanctions that do not involve military intervention, which “one always worries can spin out of control.”

    “Financial sanctions on Russia are the obvious thing to do,” he said.

    “So, I would hope that our less reluctant allies would put some pressure on our more reluctant allies and persuade the Germans in particular that it’s time for them to play a role, commence with their power and authority.””–


    Source date (UTC): 2014-04-24 09:38:00 UTC