Apr 22, 2020, 5:33 PM By James Dmitro Makienko This is exactly how Arab Spring started nearly ten years ago – and Maria’s father predicted it ten years before it happened – looking at the dynamic of unemployment among young men in middle eastern countries. When young men have no opportunities in economic, intellectual or sexual marketplaces they take their talents to the marketplace of violence. It is a high-risk – high reward (or rate of return) enterprise. They form packs to see if they can equalize, distribute and reduce high risk (i.e learn basic squad tactics). Then it scales. Squads -> platoons -> companies -> battalions -> regiments -> brigades(or divisions) – > corps -> armies -> state. They keep using violence to get returns while there is an economic incentive for them to do so, or until they meet far greater violence that they cannot easily overcome. And this is how the new elite eventually emerges. Through their merit of how they balance violence, economics and scalability.
Theme: Governance
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How It Begins
Apr 22, 2020, 5:33 PM By James Dmitro Makienko This is exactly how Arab Spring started nearly ten years ago – and Maria’s father predicted it ten years before it happened – looking at the dynamic of unemployment among young men in middle eastern countries. When young men have no opportunities in economic, intellectual or sexual marketplaces they take their talents to the marketplace of violence. It is a high-risk – high reward (or rate of return) enterprise. They form packs to see if they can equalize, distribute and reduce high risk (i.e learn basic squad tactics). Then it scales. Squads -> platoons -> companies -> battalions -> regiments -> brigades(or divisions) – > corps -> armies -> state. They keep using violence to get returns while there is an economic incentive for them to do so, or until they meet far greater violence that they cannot easily overcome. And this is how the new elite eventually emerges. Through their merit of how they balance violence, economics and scalability.
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The State as A Monopoly on Violence Is Evidently False.
Apr 24, 2020, 2:11 PM The westphalian peace resulted in the demand between states that the state maintain a monopoly on violence. The muslims do the opposite and ended the westphalian peace. The state cannot in fact and never has had, a monopoly on violence. It still doesn’t. It just tries. What defines a state is not it’s monopoly on violence but it’s capacity to produce the incentives that produce order with violence among those incentives.
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The State as A Monopoly on Violence Is Evidently False.
Apr 24, 2020, 2:11 PM The westphalian peace resulted in the demand between states that the state maintain a monopoly on violence. The muslims do the opposite and ended the westphalian peace. The state cannot in fact and never has had, a monopoly on violence. It still doesn’t. It just tries. What defines a state is not it’s monopoly on violence but it’s capacity to produce the incentives that produce order with violence among those incentives.
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Maturity of Your Political Preference
Apr 25, 2020, 8:35 AM MATURITY OF YOUR POLITICAL PREFERENCE “The Limits of Calculability” 1. Communism (Family) > 2. … Socialism (Extended Family) > 3. … … Classical Liberalism (Community – Market) > 4. … … … Rule of Law (Nation(People) – Multiple Markets) > 5. … … … … Military (Territory(International) – Competing Markets).
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Maturity of Your Political Preference
Apr 25, 2020, 8:35 AM MATURITY OF YOUR POLITICAL PREFERENCE “The Limits of Calculability” 1. Communism (Family) > 2. … Socialism (Extended Family) > 3. … … Classical Liberalism (Community – Market) > 4. … … … Rule of Law (Nation(People) – Multiple Markets) > 5. … … … … Military (Territory(International) – Competing Markets).
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Other countries use groups of police at all times but they are smaller countries
Other countries use groups of police at all times but they are smaller countries with more dense population with fewer drivers, because those countries were not organized for cars like the USA. So either triple the cost of officers or submit to investigation to keep costs down.
Source date (UTC): 2020-05-20 12:33:25 UTC
Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1263085417542410240
Reply addressees: @connpost
Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1263085022527045634
IN REPLY TO:
Unknown author
@connpost The Trooper verbally escalated so that he did not have to Physically escalate to violence in order to force the driver into submitting to investigation, or to throw the driver ‘into the system’ for failing to submit to investigation.
Original post: https://x.com/i/web/status/1263085022527045634
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Man – Organization – Influence
Influence
Definition of the spectrum of influence.
|INFLUENCE| Ignorance > Awareness > Influence (Speech) > Incentive (Exchange) > Coercion (Force) > Enserfment (Power)
- One can Influence
Alter the probability of an individual or group’s decisions while preserving choice. - One can Incentivize
Alter the probability of an individual or group’s decisions while preserving some choice - One can Coerce
Alter the probability of an individual or group’s decisions while limiting choice. - One can Exercise Power
Power is defined as possessing any of the various means by which to influence the probability of outcomes in a group or polity while eliminating choice.
Three Weapons of Influence
There are three means of influencing groups of people with institutions. (Johnson) 1) Force, or the threat of force (Masculine Strategy) A person has a VIOLENCE INCENTIVE to behave in a particular way when it has been made known to him that failure to do so will result in some form of physical aggression being directed at him by other members of the collectivity in the form of inflicting pain or physical harm on him or his loved ones, depriving him of his freedom of movement, or perhaps confiscating or destroying his treasured possessions.
FORCE: Tool: Physical Coercion Benefit: Avoidance Benefit Strategic use: Rapid but expensive. “Seize opportunities quickly with a concentrated effort.”
POWER Procedural Power: Political, Judicial, and Military Power (Soldiers, Judges and Politicians)
OPTIMUM FUNCTION Limits: Via-Negativa: Procedural Power: Political, Judicial, and Military Power (Soldiers, Judges, and Politicians)2) Remuneration or payment (Neutral or Market Strategy) A person has a REMUNERATIVE INCENTIVE to behave in a particular way if it has been made known to him that doing so will result in some form of material reward he will not otherwise receive. If he behaves as desired, he will receive some specified amount of a valuable good or service (or money with which he can purchase whatever he wishes) in exchange.
PAYMENT, EXCHANGE: Tool: Remunerative Coercion Benefit: Material Strategic use: efficient in cost and time, only if you have the resources.
POWER Economic Power (people with wealth either earned or gained through tax appropriation).
OPTIMUM FUNCTION Possibilities: Via-Practica: Economic Power (people with wealth either earned or gained through tax appropriation)3) Moral claims (collective goods) – (Feminine Strategy) A person has a MORAL INCENTIVE to behave in a particular way when he has been taught to believe that it is the “right” or “proper” or “admirable” thing to do. If he behaves as others expect him to, he may expect the approval or even the admiration of the other members of the collectivity and enjoy an enhanced sense of acceptance or self-esteem. If he behaves improperly, he may expect verbal expressions of condemnation, scorn, ridicule or even ostracism from the collectivity, and he may experience unpleasant feelings of guilt, shame or self-condemnation.
WORDS: Tool: Verbal, Moral Coercion Benefit: Ostracization/Inclusion, and Insurance benefit Strategic Use: slow, but inexpensive. “Wait for opportunity by accumulating consensus.”
POWER Populist Power (Religion, Entertainment, Public Intellectuals)
OPTIMUM FUNCTION Wants: Via-Positiva: Populist Power (Religion, Entertainment, Public Intellectuals)
Evolution of Institutions of Coercion
So given that there are only three methods of coercion available to us:
- UNDERMINING: feminine gossip, rallying, and shaming(exclusion from opportunity).
- REMUNERATION: libertarian trade, and
- FORCE: Masculine force
There are only six interpersonal actions available to us:
- Predation(Force, Theft, Fraud) >
- Force (Coercion) >
- Remuneration (Trade) >
- Boycotting (Boycott/Ignore) >
- Undermining: Inclusion in opportunity (Ostracization) >
- Flight(Separation)
Evolution of Social Orders
There are three existing and one emerging method of institutional coercion:
Religion (Inclusion / Exclusion) > Law (Protection / Punishment) > Credit (Consumption / Deprivation) > Surveillance – DigitalReputation (inclusion / exclusion from opportunity)
- RELIGION
Religion evolved to provide understanding of the word, virtues to imitate, and general prohibitions, across clans, tribes, and conquered nations, so that people could cooperate more easily and retaliate (feud) less frequently.
Weapon: Ostracization (death sentence)
Records: memory of locals.
Institutions: Church, Academy, School, Family, Individual - LAW
Law evolved to standardize punishments across clans, tribes, and conquered nations, to keep the peace, preserve productivity, preserve taxation, and legitimize (provide value by) rule.
Weapon: violence, deprivation
Records: written ledgers of crimes and punishments.
Institutions: Military, Judiciary, Sheriff/Esquires, Militia, Men - CREDIT
Credit rule evolved to increase productivity by the promise of consumption in the present, such that the primary form of social punishment was loss of consumption, status, and signaling.
Weapon: deprivation of consumption, status, and signaling.
Records: written and electronic records of creditworthiness.
Institutions: Government, Treasury, Banking, Business, Technology, Labor - SURVEILLANCE (Inclusion / Exclusion)
(emergent)
Weapon: deprivation of opportunities for cooperation.
Records: digital record and scores of your ‘desirability’ for cooperation.
Institutions: Combining all of the above plus surveillance.
- One can Influence
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Man – Organization – Influence
Influence
Definition of the spectrum of influence.
|INFLUENCE| Ignorance > Awareness > Influence (Speech) > Incentive (Exchange) > Coercion (Force) > Enserfment (Power)
- One can Influence
Alter the probability of an individual or group’s decisions while preserving choice. - One can Incentivize
Alter the probability of an individual or group’s decisions while preserving some choice - One can Coerce
Alter the probability of an individual or group’s decisions while limiting choice. - One can Exercise Power
Power is defined as possessing any of the various means by which to influence the probability of outcomes in a group or polity while eliminating choice.
Three Weapons of Influence
There are three means of influencing groups of people with institutions. (Johnson) 1) Force, or the threat of force (Masculine Strategy) A person has a VIOLENCE INCENTIVE to behave in a particular way when it has been made known to him that failure to do so will result in some form of physical aggression being directed at him by other members of the collectivity in the form of inflicting pain or physical harm on him or his loved ones, depriving him of his freedom of movement, or perhaps confiscating or destroying his treasured possessions.
FORCE: Tool: Physical Coercion Benefit: Avoidance Benefit Strategic use: Rapid but expensive. “Seize opportunities quickly with a concentrated effort.”
POWER Procedural Power: Political, Judicial, and Military Power (Soldiers, Judges and Politicians)
OPTIMUM FUNCTION Limits: Via-Negativa: Procedural Power: Political, Judicial, and Military Power (Soldiers, Judges, and Politicians)2) Remuneration or payment (Neutral or Market Strategy) A person has a REMUNERATIVE INCENTIVE to behave in a particular way if it has been made known to him that doing so will result in some form of material reward he will not otherwise receive. If he behaves as desired, he will receive some specified amount of a valuable good or service (or money with which he can purchase whatever he wishes) in exchange.
PAYMENT, EXCHANGE: Tool: Remunerative Coercion Benefit: Material Strategic use: efficient in cost and time, only if you have the resources.
POWER Economic Power (people with wealth either earned or gained through tax appropriation).
OPTIMUM FUNCTION Possibilities: Via-Practica: Economic Power (people with wealth either earned or gained through tax appropriation)3) Moral claims (collective goods) – (Feminine Strategy) A person has a MORAL INCENTIVE to behave in a particular way when he has been taught to believe that it is the “right” or “proper” or “admirable” thing to do. If he behaves as others expect him to, he may expect the approval or even the admiration of the other members of the collectivity and enjoy an enhanced sense of acceptance or self-esteem. If he behaves improperly, he may expect verbal expressions of condemnation, scorn, ridicule or even ostracism from the collectivity, and he may experience unpleasant feelings of guilt, shame or self-condemnation.
WORDS: Tool: Verbal, Moral Coercion Benefit: Ostracization/Inclusion, and Insurance benefit Strategic Use: slow, but inexpensive. “Wait for opportunity by accumulating consensus.”
POWER Populist Power (Religion, Entertainment, Public Intellectuals)
OPTIMUM FUNCTION Wants: Via-Positiva: Populist Power (Religion, Entertainment, Public Intellectuals)
Evolution of Institutions of Coercion
So given that there are only three methods of coercion available to us:
- UNDERMINING: feminine gossip, rallying, and shaming(exclusion from opportunity).
- REMUNERATION: libertarian trade, and
- FORCE: Masculine force
There are only six interpersonal actions available to us:
- Predation(Force, Theft, Fraud) >
- Force (Coercion) >
- Remuneration (Trade) >
- Boycotting (Boycott/Ignore) >
- Undermining: Inclusion in opportunity (Ostracization) >
- Flight(Separation)
Evolution of Social Orders
There are three existing and one emerging method of institutional coercion:
Religion (Inclusion / Exclusion) > Law (Protection / Punishment) > Credit (Consumption / Deprivation) > Surveillance – DigitalReputation (inclusion / exclusion from opportunity)
- RELIGION
Religion evolved to provide understanding of the word, virtues to imitate, and general prohibitions, across clans, tribes, and conquered nations, so that people could cooperate more easily and retaliate (feud) less frequently.
Weapon: Ostracization (death sentence)
Records: memory of locals.
Institutions: Church, Academy, School, Family, Individual - LAW
Law evolved to standardize punishments across clans, tribes, and conquered nations, to keep the peace, preserve productivity, preserve taxation, and legitimize (provide value by) rule.
Weapon: violence, deprivation
Records: written ledgers of crimes and punishments.
Institutions: Military, Judiciary, Sheriff/Esquires, Militia, Men - CREDIT
Credit rule evolved to increase productivity by the promise of consumption in the present, such that the primary form of social punishment was loss of consumption, status, and signaling.
Weapon: deprivation of consumption, status, and signaling.
Records: written and electronic records of creditworthiness.
Institutions: Government, Treasury, Banking, Business, Technology, Labor - SURVEILLANCE (Inclusion / Exclusion)
(emergent)
Weapon: deprivation of opportunities for cooperation.
Records: digital record and scores of your ‘desirability’ for cooperation.
Institutions: Combining all of the above plus surveillance.
- One can Influence
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Man – Organization – Power
Power
Numbers – breeding migrating immigrating – Invasion power
( … )
Theologies – Undermining – Power to Oppose and Destroy Empires
( … )
Philosophies – Power and Influence Under Monarchies
( … )
Ideologies – Power and Influence under Democracy
( … )
Wealth, Science and Technology – Military and Economic Power
( … )
Command, Legislation, and Regulation Law – Existential Power
( … )
Violence –
( … )