Theme: Governance

  • The End of Social Democracy In my lifetime I’ve seen the end of communism (USSR,

    The End of Social Democracy
    In my lifetime I’ve seen the end of communism (USSR, China), the end of socialism (South America), and now the end of Social Democracy (Europe).
    What’s aggravating is the knowledge that this process was deterministic – meaning counter to human behavior. But the well meaning fools in their arrogance assumed the impossible.
    I felt hopeful when in the 1970s we recognized that communism and socialism would fail. I felt relieved when the soviet union fell. I felt justified when 2008 ended the Keynesian economic nonsense for the same reasons. I felt terrified in 2016 with the possibility of a Hillary victory would give her ability to enact her leninism. And I was relieved with the Trump victory. The four years of biden were a catastrophe that only confirmed our suspicions. And now trump is using shock and awe to reorganize the world because the american subsidy of world defense and markets is no longer sustainable.
    I have doubts whether he can fix the bureaucracy but I suspect hisi reform of the world order will be successful. The net result however is that social democracy has played out exactly as predicted, just as socialism before, and communism before had done so.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-30 07:26:42 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005903357006000594

  • RK: High trust polities that are geographically and demographically insulated fr

    RK: High trust polities that are geographically and demographically insulated from cross-cultural (norms, traditions, institutions, myths) and cross demographic (ability) populations tend to extrapolate their behavior onto others. It’s the borderland countries that have the realistic understanding of the differences between groups. Add christian universalist virtue signaling, and compound it with wealth advantage virtue signaling and you have a population vulnerable to the falsification of those false premises – at dramatic and often devastating expense.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-30 04:40:00 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005861403635421312

  • EUROPE: IT DOESN’T MATTER HOW YOU FEEL. The USA cannot fund its internal and ext

    EUROPE: IT DOESN’T MATTER HOW YOU FEEL.
    The USA cannot fund its internal and external demands any longer. It hasn’t been able to for over twenty years. So the point is very simple: we have to deal with china. We have lost all interest in the middle east, and parties there appear willing to take up the mantle. Europe has to carry its own water. Period. End of Story. There is nothing else do say.
    We have been trying since Bush1 to get europeans to carry their weight. We warned germany not to bet on russia. We screwed up by not bringing russia into the fold after the collapse. But that was your fault as much as ours.
    You’re dying demographically. And you’ve been dropping back economically for twenty five years. We’re sort of tepidly holding on. But we are going to have to return to. hemispheric defense because we can’t carry your water – especially when you’re the reason our own people want to copy your failed policies.
    Trump is using ‘shock an awe’ to reorganize the world because doing so politically and advisedly for decades has failed.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-27 08:34:32 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2004833261332431308

  • Excellent. Does it matter? It matters. You’re ‘on a list’ of problem people. It

    Excellent. Does it matter? It matters. You’re ‘on a list’ of problem people. It matters most later on, and this rotation of elites continues to accelerate.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-24 01:55:06 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003645579067568537

  • “Runcible is a change in the grammar of power: from “who persuades” to “who pass

    –“Runcible is a change in the grammar of power: from “who persuades” to “who passes a test and bears the cost.””–

    Today was a profound day in AI.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-21 17:25:32 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2002792567013069232

  • Q: “To what degree, and in what manner, should the internet be regulated?” To wh

    Q: “To what degree, and in what manner, should the internet be regulated?”

    To what degree, and in what manner, should the internet be regulated to regulate anti-social and parasitic behavior, particularly in online dating (if it is to exist at all), social media and online communities? Also, should legal features also exist on these apps, like suing for defamation, and should there be international standards and ways to manage disputes between individuals from different nations? Relevant domains include online dating, online discourse and speech, content moderation, and determining what types of online activity should not be permitted. Jordan Peterson often discusses this, often related to online anonymity (which he says allows this) and the influence of individuals with dark tetrad traits (psychopathy, Machiavellianism, sadism, and narcissism) to use it for their dark objectives and expresses their dark traits. He has stated something approximating that nobody has figured out how to properly regulate the internet.
    Short answer (decidable):
    • treat the internet as an informational commons, not a feelings forum.
    • Permit any speech that is truthful under warranty;
    • throttle or tax anonymous reach;
    • prohibit parasitism (fraud, defamation, brigading) by restoring liability and restitution in proportion to harm.
    Result
    • Platforms become insurers and record-keepers;
    • users choose identity/liability tiers;
    • courts (or bonded arbitration) enforce reciprocity across borders.
    The necessary change is extending the involuntary warranty we already impose on goods and services to amplified speech and transactions.
    Cause → consequence → function
    • Cause: scale converts gossip into industrialized lying. Unwarrantied amplification monetizes falsehood and externalizes costs into the informational commons. Necessary correction: testimonial due diligence and warranty for public (amplified, monetized, or political) speech.
    • Consequence: without liability, predators specialize in deception (what you call dark-tetrad behaviors), and platforms profit from irreciprocity. Western law solved analogous problems by tort, defamation, oath, jury—i.e., truth under liability. Sufficient remedy: make online behavior pass the same reciprocity and warranty gates.
    • Function: operationalize “free warrantied speech” instead of “free speech without costs.” Restore defamation and require restitution for harm to demonstrated interests in the commons.
    A) Identity, reach, and liability tiers (users choose the trade-off)
    • Anonymous: read + low-reach post; no ads; no political amplification; no accusations; no commercial solicitation. Reason: no counterparty for liability → minimize upstream harm. (Visibility preserved, externalities minimized.)
    • Pseudonymous (bonded): higher reach if you post under a platform-held bond or insurance that funds restitution for proven harms (defamation, fraud). (Contingent freedom; insured risk.)
    • Real-name (verified + warrantied): maximum reach/commercial/political privileges conditioned on testimonial due diligence for factual assertions and offers. (Freedom proportional to warranty.)
    B) Platform duties (they’re running a commons)
    • Duty of care as insurer: log evidence, preserve trails, offer bonded arbitration, pay when users default; recover from user bonds. (The platform sells insured reach, not unpriced virality.)
    • Defamation/false-light switch: reinstate defamation for amplified claims; platform provides a fast counter-speech + escrowed-restitution workflow. (Truth under liability instead of censorship.)
    • Algorithmic warranty: if you curate/recommend, you accept proportionate liability for foreseeable harms—same as a publisher of ads or financial products would under tort. (Publishing ≠ common carriage.)
    C) Moderation by law, not priesthood
    • Replace moralizing with justiciable categories: fraud, incitement to actionable harm, defamation, doxxing, brigading, impersonation, commercial misrepresentation. Each maps to restitution schedules under tort. (Decidable, operational, reciprocal.)
    • Evidence standard = testimonial truth: realism, naturalism, operationality, due-diligence warranty—precisely the same tests we use for responsible scientific or commercial claims.
    D) Online dating (if it exists at all)
    • Two-track market: (1) low-liability social browsing (no claims, no promises); (2) bonded courtship with verified age/sex/intent, consent-logging, STI/result attestations, and escrow for costly deceptions. False claims trigger automatic restitution from user bond. (Insurance replaces theater.)
    • Reputation = insured testimony: ratings are statements under warranty, not anonymous gossip; platforms must filter unwarrantied criticism as irreciprocal pollution of the informational commons.
    E) Social media and communities
    • Throttle unbonded virality; privilege insured testimony; demote inflationary grammar and outrage that fails due-diligence tests. (We reward contribution; we tax noise.)
    • Distinguish dissent from sedition: protected dissent = truthful, warrantied, and without external principal; coordinated deceit with external alignment crosses into punishable offense. (Visibility, reciprocity, sovereignty preserved.)
    F) Legal features inside apps
    • Yes: in-app defamation and fraud claims with bonded arbitration and exportable judgments; liability proportional to demonstrated harm; loser-pays to deter nuisance. (Courts for the commons, speed for the parties.)
    • Cross-border disputes: default to domicile law of the alleged victim for harms to person/reputation; require platforms to hold multi-jurisdictional bonding and to honor arbitration awards across signatory standards of natural-law reciprocity. (Sovereignty respected; enforcement tractable.)
    G) International standards (minimum viable nomocracy online)
    • Baseline: reciprocity (no parasitism), testimonial truth (due-diligence warranty), and computable restitution. States opt-in by treaty; platforms that serve opt-in citizens must meet the standard or face blocking + surety forfeiture. (Market of polities forces convergence.)
    Why anonymity “causes” the mess—and what survives
    • Anonymity is compatible with listening and low-reach speaking; it is not compatible with accusation, solicitation, or political persuasion at scale without warranty. Therefore, anonymity remains for consumption and low-risk speech; insured identity is necessary for influence. (Freedom preserved; parasitism priced.)
    1. Mandate identity/liability tiers; require platforms to sell insured reach as a product.
    2. Restore defamation, fraud, and impersonation remedies with fast, bonded arbitration.
    3. Require testimonial due diligence for amplified, monetized, or political content.
    4. Institute evidence logging and exportable judgments; enforce loser-pays.
      For dating: verified intent tracks, consent logs, and deception restitution from bonds.
    5. Cross-border: adopt reciprocity treaty for informational harms and platform surety.(All steps convert undecidable moralizing into decidable, insurable exchanges.)
    You don’t need new censors; you need old law—truth under warranty, reciprocity under tort, and platforms as insurers of the informational commons. That combination is necessary and sufficient to suppress anti-social parasitism while preserving maximal speech and association online.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-19 17:54:26 UTC

    Original post: https://x.com/i/articles/2002075063311556647

  • Trump might be whatever unpleasant term you label him with – the fact is that he

    Trump might be whatever unpleasant term you label him with – the fact is that he’s correct in just about every policy he implements.
    FWIW: You are simply demonstrating the female cognitive bias by concerning yourself with his likability instead of his policies. And if you disagree with his policies you’re either wrong or immoral or both. Mommy-instincts exist for the survival of fragile children and do not scale to social, economic, political, or geostrategic ends.
    The fact that you don’t know this and/or can’t internalize it is a failure of either your upbringing or education or both.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-18 21:22:58 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2001765154103660880

  • They have nothing in common except skill at posturing as negotiation. Putin uses

    They have nothing in common except skill at posturing as negotiation. Putin uses double down, delay and deceive – the eastern strategy combined with semitic propagandizing (‘mythicism’). Trump uses Bait and Wait – the western european strategy that’s been practiced for our entire existence. Both strategies try to outlast the opposition. Economic capacity determines that duration.
    Trump is playing a very simple game: preserving the opportunity to integrate russia with the west rather than have her subservient to china because russia is demographically and economically declining faster than china is demographically declining.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-18 20:55:17 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2001758186416767106

  • (RUNCIBLE) Had a wonderful conversation with a DC insider this morning about Run

    (RUNCIBLE)
    Had a wonderful conversation with a DC insider this morning about Runcible, thanks to our own Josh Reider.

    I used a different story to explain why our Runcible governance layer works so absurdly well. I didn’t think the story would work, but apparently it’s intuitive enough for those at least vaguely familiar with the industry to understand.

    |Reducibility|: Mathematical < Programmatic < Verbal < Neural(bayesian).

    This framework allows me to explain why neural reducibility is so much larger than verbal, programmatic, and mathematical, without information loss. It also allows me to explain why neural reducibility is so much more powerful than what is accessible to humans. We humans simply can’t do it.

    If only humans were taught category theory in high school … (sarcasm). 😉


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-15 20:53:32 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2000670583110164532

  • SASHANK; Everything the administration says, is to force europe to carry the con

    SASHANK;
    Everything the administration says, is to force europe to carry the continental weight (they can) so that the USA can carry the pacific weight. There is nothing else going on. This is forcing europe to redirect their narrative and their strategy back to it’s traditional purpose of keeping the east at bay. The entrenched bureaucracies that have malinvested in the post soviet fantasy are resisting as careerists all resist.


    Source date (UTC): 2025-12-15 03:28:18 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2000407541399031860