Theme: Education

  • QUESTION: UNIVERSITY RANKINGS We can rank universities by popularity and reputat

    QUESTION: UNIVERSITY RANKINGS

    We can rank universities by popularity and reputation (meaningless), by input criteria (assets, recruiting, and scope), by mission (arbitrary specialization), and by output criteria (career placement and income of graduates).

    We know that universities largely sort, and don’t teach very much outside of each discipline’s basic rules of thumb.

    But, I don’t really understand why, given any ranking, there are almost no universities outside the english speaking world in the top ranks, and those that are, are in the Lotharingian arc from England to Zurich.

    Now, I suspect this is nothing other than the long term effect of anglo ratio-scientific empiricism, anglo imperialism, the resulting value of the english language, and the persistence of anglo wealth that results from all of the above.

    But I would love to know if there is any research on this.

    I’ve started with Sowell’s bibliography and worked out from there, but I can’t find an economic historian’s point of view on the matter.

    Help appreciated.

    Thanks.


    Source date (UTC): 2013-07-19 04:11:00 UTC

  • DOMINANCE IN THE FACE OF IGNORANCE – REASON IS DISCOUNTED BY TIME 1) Dominance i

    DOMINANCE IN THE FACE OF IGNORANCE – REASON IS DISCOUNTED BY TIME

    1) Dominance is both useful and necessary in the face of ignorance. Nurture is extremely slow and expensive. A parent is not sacrificing when nurturing as he or she is perpetuating his or her genes. Everyone else pays a cost. They are sacrificing something else that they could do in order to nurture. So they are selective with their investments. And most of us make small bets on many different options in the hope that we find a few investments worth making.

    2) It is helpful to possess 6 or 7 points of IQ difference in communication (1/2 standard deviation). It is valuable to possess as much as 15 points, in order to translate complex concepts into digestible form (one standard deviation). But at 30 points (two standard deviations) we are effectively different species, and communication begins to be impossible on anything other than sensory grounds. Compassion is possible across the gulf, but argument is not.

    3) Since demonstrated intelligence consists of four basic properties 1) g, (an aggregate), 2) short term memory, 3) general knowledge, and 4) biases and wants, and because general knowledge conveys patterns that IQ alone could not identify on its own, accumulating vast knowledge will compensate considerably for (g) – (the Flynn effect of scientific knowledge for example.) The only way to accumulate this knowledge given our pervasive ignorance is through skeptical empiricism (science), or what this group refers to as critical rationalism (which is a weak term compared to skeptical empiricism, and why Taleb is an improvement on, via expansion, Popper and Kuhn.)

    4) It is a work of ‘fraud’ to claim that it is a moral obligation for anyone to invest time in anyone else without compensation in exchange. It’s just a another form of theft. Only with exchange do we know we have not wasted our time and the world’s resources. And only with voluntary exchange do we know that no one is stealing from another. Only with exchange do we know we are not contributing to ill manners. In debate we exchange our efforts in the hope that we will learn, the same way boxers practice fighting in the ring, fencers on the pisté, or orators on the stage. And that is compensation enough – it is a cheap price of entry for the richest competition man has yet made outside of war.


    Source date (UTC): 2013-07-08 07:24:00 UTC

  • STUDENT LOANS If you want to fix student loans, the incentives in the university

    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324688404578541372861440606.htmlFIXING STUDENT LOANS

    If you want to fix student loans, the incentives in the university system are currently perverse, and you can’t fix student funding without fixing university incentives.

    1) zero interest. Any amount. Six total years of coverage. This process can be repeated every ten years for lifetime performance.

    2) The amount is paid back as a payroll deduction over thirty years at fixed, x% of income . (This effectively reduces the student cost to zero, but doesn’t allow students to abuse it.)

    3) Colleges and Universities must use 100% of the money for undergraduates ONLY for the undergraduate program, only for undergraduate departments, only for undergraduate teachers who teach, and many not use any for research, sports, or for their endowment. Undergraduate departments must perform as teaching departments not reserach departments, and all publication requirements for teaching professors must be removed. No exemptions or devices for circumvention in theory or practice. Limit administrative overhead costs to 20%. And that will take care of the economics of the system, and make sure our students have the best professors in the world.

    4) Since all financial barriers are removed, then remove all quotas, and require domestic students receive full access prior to foreign students.

    Most of these are Sowell’s ideas.


    Source date (UTC): 2013-07-02 10:55:00 UTC

  • IN EDUCATION The percentage of people smart enough to work in science, technolog

    http://m.nber.org/papers/w19165.pdfFALLACY IN EDUCATION

    The percentage of people smart enough to work in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics is small and a function of genetic distributions.

    The fields can each compete with each other for that pool of students. But the size of that pool cannot be increased without demographic changes.

    Further, many smart people can be attracted by lucrative positions in law, finance, and commerce where individual achievement captures higher rewards, and where the individual has more control over the career cycle needed to capture those rewards.

    You cannot prepare someone for a career in the STEM classes unless he or she has the ability for doing the work.

    Our school systems are far more concerned about instilling undue confidence in children, and setting the stage for future disappointment, civil unrest, and economic uncompetitiveness than they are preparing children to be successful in the work force.

    American children have the highest confidence in the world but that confidence is demonstrably unwarranted.

    That this problem is the result of forced racial integration and the challenge this put in our educational system snd its culture is no so commonly understood.

    But any lie must be compounded with more lies to hide the original, and this is the result.

    The Finnish a german midels must be adopted at some near future point. Otherwise we shoukd just go back to teaching mysticism – which is about as sensible as what we currently do.


    Source date (UTC): 2013-07-02 06:52:00 UTC

  • MAKES ONE A PHILOSOPHER? “Philosophy is a big tent kind of thing. There is a wor

    http://blog.talkingphilosophy.com/?p=6958WHAT MAKES ONE A PHILOSOPHER?

    “Philosophy is a big tent kind of thing. There is a world of difference between being philosophical, being a proper philosopher, and being a professional philosopher.”

    The rest of the post is various contributions on a philosopher, almost none of which are based on output-tests.

    From http://blog.talkingphilosophy.com/?p=6958

    (Long thread)

    I THINK THAT THIS IS THE CORRECT ANSWER:

    An analysis of history would argue that the criteria for membership in the category of philosophers, whether literary, analogical (continental), analytical (anglo), or symbolic (logical) is entirely a factor of whether one produces an idea that originates or contributes to a system of thought, and demonstrates its application through argument, where that argument rearranges or changes, perceptions, associated values, and actions.

    Whether one is a philosopher is determined by whether one produces books, not whether one holds academic positions. One can teach philosophy, but that does not make one a philosopher since the criteria for a philosopher is writing philosophy – not philosophical criticism, not philosophical history, but contributing an innovation to the history of ideas.

    Whether one is a professional philosopher is determined by whether it is one’s primary occupation. Spinoza for example ground lenses. He was not a professional philosopher, but a lens grinder. But he was still an influential philosopher.

    Many philosophers have not had academic positions. Hume, and Machiavelli are possibly two of the most influential men in history. In recent political philosophy, it’s interesting that because the academic discipline of philosophy has been distracted by an attempt to define itself at peerage with science, that, very little has been contributed by philosophy in the past century – and that which has (Postmodernism) turns out to have been almost entirely wrong.

    Rawls and Nozick for example were both philosophers, at odds with one another and both academics. And we live in a political world that has been largely influenced by Rawls – and his one concept; the veil of ignorance.

    But we also live under the ideas of Hume and Smith. It’s arguable that we live more under the philosophical influence of Edwards, Jefferson, Hamilton, Madison and Paine, than anyone other than Calvin, Locke, Hume and Smith.

    Marx was a madman living in the bowels of the british library and he managed to get 100M people killed trying to justify the erroneous labor theory of value, and is somehow loved and admired for it – which is why he’s taught in english and philosophy departments but not economics departments.

    Today, Nassim Taleb is having a profound effect on our political and economic lives, and he was a speculator in the investment community. Mandelbrot’s single idea has helped us not only understand nature’s complexity, but the fact that the stock market is almost entirely made of noise rather than signal.

    The criteria for being a philosopher is generating one or more ideas and writing essays or books on the application of that idea to a variety of examples, illustrating how that idea will change our perception and value about the world – so that we think or act differently than we do.

    In contemporary philosophy, the criteria, I think, is “produce a system of thought”. Which is, easy to misinterpret, as something very grand in scope. It doesn’t have to be grand in scope. It just has to be articulated and then the applications of it demonstrated and argued.

    You can be professional philosopher, which means, a good craftsman, in that you’re work is not flawed according to its own criteria (whether you’re a literary Nietzxche, or a questionably literary Heidegger.)

    You can be a good philosopher (Newton, David Hume, or Thomas Kuhn ) or a bad philosopher (Zoroaster, Johann Joachim Becher, Karl Marx or Noam Chomsky) in that you’re wrong (which is OK) or both wrong and produce negative consequences (which is a really bad thing.) But whether you’re a right philosopher or a wrong philosopher doesn’t change your status as a philosopher.

    Philosophers produce ideas that change the way in which we perceive and value the world around us, and therefore change our actions. To do this they write works that articulate and then apply that idea. The form of argument can vary from the novel, to the poetic, to the analogical, to the analytical to, arguably the symbolic, but the criteria is idea and application for the purpose of changing our perceptions, values and actions.

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    RESPONSE

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    Hi Curt,

    I am amenable to the remarks that you have made about the aims of philosophizing, the dominant mood of professional philosophy (what I called “programmistic” here), and the kinds of ways in which philosophy can be productive (mentioned above).

    FWIW, I don’t agree at all with your choice of examples. e.g., I do not endorse any picture of the political universe where Chomsky and Marx wear philosophical black hats while Thomas Kuhn wears the white hat. sp.: Chomsky has been an effective steward of the intellectual ideal, and someone I find personally inspiring. Marx philosophized badly, but he managed to do it productively. Many believe that Kuhn’s doctrine of ‘incommensurability’ was both quixotic and not very well defended; e.g., Davidson’s “On the Very Idea of a Conceptual Scheme” succeeded as an effective enough take-down of the doctrine, and nothing else.

    I also don’t agree with the parenthetical caricatures in the first paragraph. “Analytical” is not “Anglo”, because of Frege. Nor is “continental” the same as the merely “analogical” — frankly, there is only marginal difference between the amount of rigor in WVO Quine’s “Two Dogmas of Empiricism” when compared with the essays that J.F. Lyotard wrote for children. (In this, I do not mean to offer any compliments to Lyotard.)

    I sympathize a bit with your claim that philosophers primarily write books, but I won’t bank on it. Socrates wrote nothing. And there are many have a credible claim to being philosophers (e.g., Donald Davidson) even though they wrote articles over books.

    In recent political philosophy, it’s interesting that because the academic discipline of philosophy has been distracted by an attempt to define itself at peerage with science, that, very little has been contributed by philosophy in the past century – and that which has (Postmodernism) turns out to have been almost entirely wrong.

    But that’s entirely wrong! In the very next paragraph you mention two massively influential voices, John Rawls and Robert Nozick. You might have also mentioned Jurgen Habermas, a major intellectual backer of the EU. Bertrand Russell was an influential figure who did his part in defining the post-war liberal internationalism. etc.

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    FOLLOWUP

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    Excellent response. Thank you. Rare. 🙂 More than you probably want to bother with below but since you put out a pretty good response it’s worth replying.

    RE: “I am amenable to the remarks that you have made about the aims of philosophizing, the dominant mood of professional philosophy (what I called “programmistic” here), and the kinds of ways in which philosophy can be productive (mentioned above).”

    OK. Although, I”m not sure I understand yet what you mean by productive. 🙂 One can be highly productive. The discipline is productive in the sense that it produces outputs. But, as we say in economic philosophy, you con’t know if you were productive, or whether you wasted the world’s resources until someone buys what you made. Otherwise you’re just having fun watching some resource transform – and that’s personal entertainment, not production 🙂

    RE:”FWIW, I don’t agree at all with your choice of examples. e.g., I do not endorse any picture of the political universe where Chomsky and Marx wear philosophical black hats while Thomas Kuhn wears the white hat. sp.: Chomsky has been an effective steward of the intellectual ideal, and someone I find personally inspiring. Marx philosophized badly, but he managed to do it productively.” Many believe that Kuhn’s doctrine of ‘incommensurability’ was both quixotic and not very well defended; e.g.,

    As I said in my followup post, I failed to finish the paragraph that distinguished from good/bad, right/wrong, and to incorporate craftsmanly or not (which you call ‘proper’ or not). 🙂 It was too late at night here in Kiev. 🙂

    1) Good/Bad: the consequences of the ideas, including externalities.

    2) Right/Wrong: whether the reasoning used has survived scrutiny for the period of the utility of the idea in enacting change. (It is also true that a good idea can exist despite the author’s really bad reasoning. Searle’s Chinese characters and all…)

    3) Craftsmanly: the logical discipline used, the coverage of applications, the refutation of counter arguments, and the ability to communicate the ideas without imposing significant deductive burden on the reader.

    Kuhn can be wrong without terrible consequence. The paradigmatic nature of disciplines and methods was a valuable insight. Marx was so wrong with such a magnitude that he caused 100M people to die horrible deaths and left more than a billion others suffering in horrid poverty. All based on the error of the labor theory of value. I’m not sure how deeply to criticize Zoroaster or Postmodernists who use the same strategy of contradictory statements. I mean, I don’t really understand why we should desire any philosophical framework that’s made of false statements. Or one that’s made of highly contrived and loaded statements (the Germans et al.) I that’s the case we can just go back to mythology and mysticism for our guidance – at least that has stood the test of time, and it’s easily recognizable as mythology for use in general applications.

    Or perhaps your view of philosophy is that philosophers have no responsibility for their public statements – that shouting fire in the theater is not creating a hazard. 🙂 There is some tendency to adopt this rather questionable ethic in academia under the rubric of the competition of ideas, but that ethic is logically limited to physical sciences not to political or even personal philosophy. WE don’t let physical scientists publish everything either and we hold them accountable for doing so. And history does hold philosophers accountable for their ideas. We phlogiston theory (which is analogous to the labor theory of value) is the whipping boy of philosophical discourse in the physical sciences.

    It is certainly possible to construct a series of arguments that are contradictory to direct observation and indirect evidence, but which deliver such psychic rewards that the audience desires to treat them as truths. In fact, ideology and mysticism pretty much require that technique. And, as most ideological historians will confirm, the bigger the lie the better.

    RE: :Davidson’s “On the Very Idea of a Conceptual Scheme” succeeded as an effective enough take-down of the doctrine, and nothing else.”

    Davidson’s attack on Kuhn is a straw man. Kuhn comes first and tries to describe a problem, and communicate it effectively, and Davidson takes the argument to the extreme as only a disciple of the metaphysical problem could. The error here is the difference between the metaphysical skepticism of the philosophy of science and the desire for the majority of the discipline of philosophy to remain lost in the absurdity of the metaphysical problem – the entire program of which has been a total failure as far as we can tell. Thus leaving the solution to be provided by neuro science at the organic scale, behavioral and experimental psychology and the personal and interpersonal scale, and behavioral economics at the grand scale. (Albeit most of this progress has occurred after 1980 when the cost of computing began to make such research more affordable.)

    RE: “I also don’t agree with the parenthetical caricatures in the first paragraph. “Analytical” is not “Anglo”, because of Frege. Nor is “continental” the same as the merely “analogical” — frankly, there is only marginal difference between the amount of rigor in WVO Quine’s “Two Dogmas of Empiricism” when compared with the essays that J.F. Lyotard wrote for children. (In this, I do not mean to offer any compliments to Lyotard.)”

    Well the terminology isn’t my invention. That’s just common usage when loosely describing the analytical and continental movements. (I”m pretty sure… yes, that it’s even on wikipedia as stated.) It isn’t a question of rigor it’s a question of a) clarity b) testability c) loading, d) objectives. Continental language is loaded from Kant onward in an attempt to find an alternative to prior moral sentiments in the absence of church and aristocracy, just as the Postmodernist movement is an attempt to load current language in an attempt to find an alternative to the failure of socialism in theory and practice. Any act of philosophizing has a network of goals, even if it’s not stated. And, just as you cite in Davidson, just because we can’t articulate them or we ignore them doesn’t mean they aren’t the causal properties of the relations that we identify and work with. They are. That’s what continental philosophy is for: a reformation in an attempt at restoration by other arguments – a new religion of europe. It’s just another of the same objection to the anglo model that europeans have been objecting to since the French took the English empirical innovation, and restated it in moral terms (thereby creating potential for teh bloody revolution, napoleon’s conquest, and marx’s devastation of life) in order to preserve their more Roman and hierarchical preferences.

    I mean, words have consequences. We aren’t cutting paper doilies here. Or maybe were’ just really entertaining ourselves? And not productive at all? 🙂

    RE: “I sympathize a bit with your claim that philosophers primarily write books, but I won’t bank on it. Socrates wrote nothing. And there are many have a credible claim to being philosophers (e.g., Donald Davidson) even though they wrote articles over books.”

    That’s a degree of precision that doesn’t alter the argument that history tells us that you must produce outputs, even if the constituent form of those outputs change over time. (Even though, it looks like, from the data, that we should question the article and journal process. Particularly in philosophy. If no one had written Socrates down (Plato or his students) there wouldn’t be any more of an Aristotle than there is a Zoroaster. It’s hard to argue that Kripke isn’t a philosopher. It’s genius, but I’m not sure it’s important. And most of what we have is lecture notes to work with. 🙂 (For some reason I think that’s really neat. it just feels… honest somehow. like we ought to write our work on metal sheets and leave it under trees and shrubs for people to find. 🙂 But categorically speaking, it’s hard to argue that you’re a philosopher if you dont produce works. Especially when the cannon requires that you read the author’s original works. (albiet, no one ever seems to read papers.) 🙂

    “CURT: In recent political philosophy, it’s interesting that because the academic discipline of philosophy has been distracted by an attempt to define itself at peerage with science, that, very little has been contributed by philosophy in the past century – and that which has (Postmodernism) turns out to have been almost entirely wrong. ——NELSON: But that’s entirely wrong! In the very next paragraph you mention two massively influential voices, John Rawls and Robert Nozick. You might have also mentioned Jurgen Habermas, a major intellectual backer of the EU. Bertrand Russell was an influential figure who did his part in defining the post-war liberal internationalism. etc.

    Well, I don’t know how I”m wrong. I said it was distracted and that philosophy had not produced much worth in the past century, and that’s not an uncommon evaluation. Compared to the physical, biological, anthropological, technical, and economic disciplines, most of the profession as in fact either remained distracted by the metaphysical program (a chimera) or distracted by the problem of consensus under heterogeneity in an effort to justify central controls. I mean, I”m not just pulling this out of thin air, Im simply looking at hw many people work in which disciplines, and what their relative impact has been. There are anthologies on this topic. It’s not my thimble-full-observation. 🙂

    As for Habermas, the EU is operating contrary to economic evidence, and contrary to the reason for the rist of western economic advantage. WHile open markets are a good thing, and free movement of people is a good thing, fundamentally societies can not function any longer without fiat money and credit, and different normative and moral codes are vastly different in their productive capacity. The germanic and scandinavian countries are not wealthy because of their location or resources, they’re wealthy because they’re high trust societies that over generations outbred, and because the church forbid cousin marriage, and because under manorialism it was hard to get land without demonstrating you were worthing of investment (credit risk) they became high trust societies. The inability to coalesce central power increased competition and innovation. As soon as the Italians imported accounting so that complex investments could be made, the fact that Europe was poorer and less populous didn’t hold it back from 500 years of rapid expansion. The south is still familial, corrupt, and by comparison, less hard working. Fundamentally, you cannot mix these cultures without conflict any more than we seem to be able to mix cultures without conflict in our country. Europe wants to create an america, and half of america wants to break into european states. (The europeans are always a generation behind us at everything.)

    I’d argue that Rawls was wrong and exacerbated the problem. Nozick wasn’t right – even if I wish he was. The reason is that both persons assume ether an optimum or compromise of interests on ends is possible under heterogeneity of norms. The data from voting patterns tells us that this isn’t true – particularly that trust declines and economics and redistribution suffer. The more individual we become as economic and family units the more diverse our moral perceptions become. It’s all well and good to write in the 70’s when the change is underway, but we have data today that they didn’t. The veil of ignorance, like all moral dilemmas is a nice parlor trick which attempts to identify an abstract morality as if we were still appealing to heaven. But moral foundations are biological and reproductive, and that is how people act, vote, and moralize.

    Anyway, at this moment philosophy requires multidisciplinary knowledge in order to make any judgment whatsoever. And that knowledge is sorely lacking from the discipline. We have had to work very hard at philosophy since the start of the industrial revolution started changing the world around us so quickly. The job of Hume and Smith after the 3o years war and increased trade made a new way of looking at the world necessary.

    I don’t like the distinction between the analytical, continental and post-analytical movements, because the analytical program incorporated the physical sciences, while retaining it’s attempt to solve the metaphysical problem. The continental program is an attempt to restore the past with a new form of narrative framing. The post-analytic program is an attempt to justify the failure of socialism in theory and in practice.

    Experimental Philosophy and Naturalism at least imply that we have dropped the metaphysical program as a failure, and instead concentrate on the interpretation of and judgement of, the knowledge provided us by the disparate physical sciences.

    Political Economy and Economics, at least in some parts, rely upon philosophical techniques. And that’s the dominant system of thought that affects policy.

    Thanks for playing with me. It’s fun. Nice Blog.

    Cheers

    Curt Doolittle

    The Propertarian Institute

    Kiev, Ukraine


    Source date (UTC): 2013-06-29 09:18:00 UTC

  • LEPER COLONIES Too many university departments are like leper colonies full of g

    LEPER COLONIES

    Too many university departments are like leper colonies full of groupies looking for conversation as sexual validation – all of which is administrated by zombies. (The slow kind in older movies.) It’s too high a price to pay for working on theory.

    I just don’t know how these guys do it. Really. I can’t figure out whether I should be awed by their fortitude or ashamed of them. 🙂


    Source date (UTC): 2013-06-24 10:48:00 UTC

  • How Uneducated Are Americans? How Many People Skipped “intellectual Refinement” (no High School, No College And Beyond)?

    A MORE INTERESTING QUESTION THAN IT FIRST APPEARS. I”LL TRY TO DO IT JUSITC.

    1) Americans have the highest confidence despite middling education by comparison to other countries. (Google it.)

    2) Americans are disproportionately wealthy so our lower classes can express their ideas, and are more confident expressing those ideas.

    3) Our education system promotes common falsehoods in support of postmodern ideology, and our religious and traditional systems promote common falsehoods in support of aristocratic ideology (traditional american values).

    4) The Pareto principle applies to all human activity: about 1% of people think of everything, about 19% understand and distribute that knowledge, and the remaining 80% form a long chain of imitation of that 20%. The distribution of IQ over 105 largely reflects the Pareto Principle.  105 is the boundary for articulated reason and repair of machines.

    5) The evidence is that people reason much better over the past century.  Its just that more people, in a wider distribution, with a lower average, participate in public discourse — and our academics have adopted a new but equally fallacious, albeit secular, religion and are propagating that religion, which both encourages confidence and spreads falsehoods.  In response, the traditionalists retrench into their ideologies and so the din of irrationality continues to increase.

    6) Despite the increase in population and the dramatic increase in education, hard degrees have remained relatively constant since 1963 – (we have not increased the number of ‘smart’ people getting degrees that require ‘smarts’ since that time. See Louis Menand and his bibliography on this topic.)  Despite he dramatic change in our economy since the introduction of information technology and the decline of labor as an economic value, our education system still teaches using the model of the 1940’s and 1950’s – due largely to the competition over ideological control of education content combined with the resistance of teacher’s unions, and the transfer of spending on budgets from teachers salaries to administrative bureaucracy.

    Advice: Until you understand the failings of science, the limits of mathematics under complexity, the lack of maturity in our understanding of the calculus of measurement, the immaturity of our understanding of economics and statistics, and the extraordinary influence of our cognitive biases – particularly false consensus bias, and the patently false content of most political philosophy, especially Postmodern political philosophy (“liberalism”), you might want to consider that allegorical, moral, and historical arguments have survived evolutionary processes and have produce positive outcomes even if articulated in arational terms. The profundity of this problem is  what those of us who occupy ourselves with the solution to political problems struggle with.  And this is Hayek’s lesson in The Road to Serfdom as well as the warning given us by Popper, Kuhn and Taleb, and historians like Mokyr. Reason is a limited tool, because of the variation in human ability.

    The west is only beginning to understand what made it unique in world history, and it turns out that it’s not what we thought – and it might not even be very comforting – it’s just true anyway.

    7) Most political differences consist of differences in time preference and mating strategy.  As we evolve into individual economic units and the nuclear family becomes a minority, our different reproductive strategies – which determine our moral preferences and biases – are increasingly expressed in our political preferences, and social rhetoric.  We have lost the common interest that multi house republican democracy under majority rule assumes we possess.   Majority rule can solve the problem of selecting priorities for people with similar interests. Multi house majority rule can solve the problem of selecting priorities and negotiating compromises and trades between the social and economic classes.  But majority rule cannot solve the problem of selecting from competing interests, or even negotiating resolutions between competing interests.

    Our political system was designed to prevent legislation without wide support.  But it has devolved for the reasons I mention above. and there is no solution to it in our current political system. We have an agrarian system of government designed in the age of sail, using accounting methods with agrarian (monthly) periodicity, that requires nuclear families with common interests, and a people with homogenous cultural values.  

    But we no longer have homogenous values, we no longer have common interests, we no longer have nuclear families, we no longer have agrarian economies, we operate in an age of instant transfer of information, and our businesses are organized, conducted, and then decline, not over generations but over less than a decades.

    in context – people appear ‘dumber’ for these reasons. 🙂

    https://www.quora.com/How-uneducated-are-Americans-How-many-people-skipped-intellectual-refinement-no-high-school-no-college-and-beyond

  • DO 90% OF AMERICANS AGREE ON? God and Country. Hard work and success. Eduction a

    http://news.yahoo.com/americans-agree-god-country-sex-ed-125513919.htmlWHAT DO 90% OF AMERICANS AGREE ON?

    God and Country. Hard work and success. Eduction and voting.


    Source date (UTC): 2013-05-14 00:11:00 UTC

  • CHINA You know, I tend to look at really boring things like demographics, educat

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/10044456/China-may-not-overtake-America-this-century-after-all.htmlON CHINA

    You know, I tend to look at really boring things like demographics, education, cultural values (Trust, Truth, Corruption), and the complexity of the products produced rather than the high variability of financial activity. Most of this stuff falls into the long wave hypothesis, which in my opinion is a variation on the Generations hypothesis.

    That’s why I was right about china’s growth path even though I was wrong about how long that they could hold it together. I said 2010, but clearly I didn’t understand their ability to keep pumping money into the economy well enough. Or maybe I misunderstood the value of china as a safer-haven during the crisis. I don’t know. The medium term isn’t my specialty – the long term is.

    That said, there is no way china gets out of the middle income trap. Velocity is impressive, and I certainly understand what they’re trying to do. But no way. Too many other problems.

    But maybe I should hedge that a bit. Sure, there is no way that they avoid having the middle income problem. That isn’t to say that unlike other smaller countries with less control, that they can’t work out of it with levers that most other countries couldn’t use.

    Authoritarian governments can (a) force literacy (b) force spending into the economy and even (c) control birth rates. They can also (d) brutally crack down on corruption, (e) totally destroy the oligarchs without also tearing the country apart. What I don’t want to see them to is what most countries with less control might do (f) externalize the internal conflict through aggressive military expansion. Russia for example, cannot fix its military culture, or its alcohol culture, despite the fact that they’re closely related.

    India can’t do it because india lacks the central power structure to overcome corruption – the red army is always there and happy to use its power. In india they dont’ have that power, and have to achieve it organically – and slowly, if at all. (I wish our army was as dedicated to the constitution as it is to the idea of civilian leadership. The army is more reliable than the courts.)

    I’m just as impressed with recent data as everyone else is. But I don’t have a handle on the state of affairs well enough to look for contrarian positions. And I’m pretty skeptical that we have enough momentum to insulate ourselves from other possible shocks. (Although, those of us who have been studying international politics long enough probably realize that the speed of communication and information


    Source date (UTC): 2013-05-09 09:22:00 UTC

  • Señor Doolittle: I recommend the following book as it deals (on a rather basic l

    Señor Doolittle: I recommend the following book as it deals (on a rather basic level) with social psychology, yet it contains lots of links to more literature concerning cultural differences in attitudes and prejudices or ingroup/outgroup behaviour.


    Source date (UTC): 2013-05-05 06:04:00 UTC