Theme: Crisis

  • UKRAINE’S ECONOMY IS A MESS IMHO: Ukrainians have the Highest IQ per dollar and

    http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2014/03/ukraine-and-russiaWHY UKRAINE’S ECONOMY IS A MESS

    IMHO: Ukrainians have the Highest IQ per dollar and best work ethic outside of the USA. An incredible piece of real estate and natural gas reserves. They are just broken from generations of peasantry, generations of communism, and a generation of economic uncertainty. Victims of a predatory post-soviet government. But they still soldier onward. (I love them),

    WHY DO THEY SUFFER?

    –“Dodgy economic policy, distaste for reform and endemic corruption have brought the country to its knees.”–

    –“Corruption and poor governance…”–

    –“The Ukrainian shadow economy is one of the biggest in the world—at around 50% of GDP, according to IMF research. Businesses operating underground tend not to pay taxes, further depriving the government of funds. And last week Ukraine’s new prime minister estimated that $37 billion had gone missing during Viktor Yanukovych’s rule.”–

    –“Protecting the currency drained the central bank’s reserves, which tumbled from a high of $40 billion in 2011 to about $12 billion today. Last month the central bank admitted defeat and let the currency go. Currency depreciation, while necessary, will be an economic headache for Ukraine in the short term. About half of its public debt is in foreign currencies: as the hrvynia loses value, Ukraine’s debt burden rises.”—

    –“The state gas company, Naftogaz, only charges consumers a quarter of the cost of importing the gas. Cheap gas discourages investment: Ukraine is one of the most energy-intensive economies in the world and domestic production has slumped by two-thirds since the 1970s.”–


    Source date (UTC): 2014-03-06 05:06:00 UTC

  • Is Social Security A Ponzi Scheme?

    Contrary to rhetoric it is, indeed, a ponzi scheme, which is defined as early entrants are paid by later entrants under the assumption that there will always be enough new entrants to pay for each person exiting. 

    It’s not insurance because Insurance works by a lot of people giving a little bit of money to an investor who invests the money at a reasonable rate of return, then pays out to some small percent of people in the event that a few of them actually need a lot of money.   That is not the case, since all of us both enter and leave.

    When social security was conceived, people didn’t live very long. It was in fact, at that time, insurance.  But as we have lived much longer, we are confronted with the problem that old people are still not very useful in the work force, and it’s hard for them to work at even small jobs as they age, and we have smaller population growth and a smaller population who must sacrifice more and more of their incomes to pay for aged people who live much longer and have very high health care costs.

    To compensate for this problem, western countries have brought in large numbers of immigrants in order to increase the number of working people, But this has in turn created cultural friction as the only people that can be brought into the country are largely the poor from the third world, who are much less productive per person than the prior generations. 

    The counter argument is that people should be forced to save, even if we redistributed money via taxation to people’s savings accounts. Then this money could be insured by the government, and people could actually plan.

    There are numerous arithmetic arguments to suggest that it is possible to perpetuate this scheme indefinitely, but they are heavily biased with assumptions. The reason is that most of our economic data starts with the postwar era, And economic data before that time, with the colonial period. And it is not certain that our country can remain competitive.

    https://www.quora.com/Is-Social-Security-a-Ponzi-scheme

  • Is Social Security A Ponzi Scheme?

    Contrary to rhetoric it is, indeed, a ponzi scheme, which is defined as early entrants are paid by later entrants under the assumption that there will always be enough new entrants to pay for each person exiting. 

    It’s not insurance because Insurance works by a lot of people giving a little bit of money to an investor who invests the money at a reasonable rate of return, then pays out to some small percent of people in the event that a few of them actually need a lot of money.   That is not the case, since all of us both enter and leave.

    When social security was conceived, people didn’t live very long. It was in fact, at that time, insurance.  But as we have lived much longer, we are confronted with the problem that old people are still not very useful in the work force, and it’s hard for them to work at even small jobs as they age, and we have smaller population growth and a smaller population who must sacrifice more and more of their incomes to pay for aged people who live much longer and have very high health care costs.

    To compensate for this problem, western countries have brought in large numbers of immigrants in order to increase the number of working people, But this has in turn created cultural friction as the only people that can be brought into the country are largely the poor from the third world, who are much less productive per person than the prior generations. 

    The counter argument is that people should be forced to save, even if we redistributed money via taxation to people’s savings accounts. Then this money could be insured by the government, and people could actually plan.

    There are numerous arithmetic arguments to suggest that it is possible to perpetuate this scheme indefinitely, but they are heavily biased with assumptions. The reason is that most of our economic data starts with the postwar era, And economic data before that time, with the colonial period. And it is not certain that our country can remain competitive.

    https://www.quora.com/Is-Social-Security-a-Ponzi-scheme

  • CHARLES HUGH SMITH ON THE NET EFFECT: RUSSIA’S LOSS OF MARKET (Smith is one of t

    CHARLES HUGH SMITH ON THE NET EFFECT: RUSSIA’S LOSS OF MARKET

    (Smith is one of the few analysts I look up to. He finds the demographic and economic reasons for everything.)

    “The net effect will be the same as that of china’s strategic abuse of rare-earth metals, (and russias 2009 abuse of gas markets): rare earth metals are not rare or from china now, and the rest of the world has developed alternatives to Russian oil and gas.”

    The world does not operate by empires any longer. It operates by economic cooperation and coordination.

    I want a strong Russia. I’d love a new Russian empire. But only if it suppresses corruption as a means of ENTICING membership, rather than using VIOLENCE and DECEPTION as a means of forcing it.

    (I’m telling you. Putin was f_king STUPID as hell. )

    The only reason Russia is not as poor as Ukraine is oil and gas. An the producer just killed it’s market. Set us back 50 freaking years. What a moron. For nothing. FOr nothing at all. All he had to be was HONEST and say “hey, we got a lot here, and we’re not losing it” so please tolerate our strategic interests not being taken by NATO.”

    Apologize profusely. But just say the truth. It would have been FINE. He’d have INCREASED his world political capital rather than ruining all he’s worked for.

    At least he restored 10% of the value of the Ukrainian currency.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-03-04 14:58:00 UTC

  • We’re set back 50 years now. Europeans are cowards. Anglos are stupid. Russians

    We’re set back 50 years now. Europeans are cowards. Anglos are stupid. Russians are evil. And the Chinese are malevolent. Hooray for the Hindus. 😉


    Source date (UTC): 2014-03-03 12:27:00 UTC

  • AMATEUR FIDDLES WHILE ROME BURNS What a clown

    http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/if-he-believes-it-it-must-be-so_783721.htmlTHE AMATEUR FIDDLES WHILE ROME BURNS

    What a clown.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-03-03 12:01:00 UTC

  • SUPPLIES

    https://twitter.com/JustHovensGreve/status/440356828799832064/photo/1GAS SUPPLIES


    Source date (UTC): 2014-03-03 08:16:00 UTC

  • OPINION

    http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/next-putin-will-seize-donetsk-and-kharkiv/495463.htmlEX-STATE OPINION


    Source date (UTC): 2014-03-03 05:53:00 UTC

  • MERKEL: “PUTIN HAS LOST GRASP WITH REALITY” US STATE: “OLIGARCHS ARE FAIR GAME”

    MERKEL: “PUTIN HAS LOST GRASP WITH REALITY”

    US STATE: “OLIGARCHS ARE FAIR GAME”

    Finally getting somewhere.


    Source date (UTC): 2014-03-03 05:00:00 UTC

  • The Hard Right in #Ukraine states that they will work to re-acquire nuclear weap

    The Hard Right in #Ukraine states that they will work to re-acquire nuclear weapons. (Told you so.) http://goo.gl/0YEBEw


    Source date (UTC): 2014-03-02 01:14:56 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/439931829836337152