Theme: Crisis

  • It’s not possible. Israel will eventually colonize both the strip and the entire

    It’s not possible. Israel will eventually colonize both the strip and the entirety of the west bank – and must, in order to survive as a state given the demographic problem of jewish reproduction. The future is less dependent upon israel than it is on Iran. My understanding is that the USA has faith the regime will eventually weaken so that we can avoid another war. Otherwise, the USA will back israel and both will wipe out Iran’s leadership and military, and let it fall into chaos like Iraq until a more responsible and less aggresive and less ‘caliphate’ driven instead of nation-state driven government comes into being.
    We don’t think of the world wars as the end of empires, and that iran, russia and china are the laggarts, but that’s what happend during the world wars. The replacement of victims of empire with federations of benefitting nation states.

    Reply addressees: @FuriousStrength @AmiDar @adventuregirl


    Source date (UTC): 2023-10-11 16:43:20 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1712146877343260672

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1712141073219539131

  • The science is settled. The pseudoscience clings on. This is just the origin of

    The science is settled. The pseudoscience clings on.
    This is just the origin of the present crisis. And its what people pay attention to. when I publish other topics such as cog sci or logic then … crickets.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-10-11 12:17:26 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1712079963543814189

    Reply addressees: @Adc_Van_Dimsal @_amitbehere

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1711953690469314597

  • I am correct. Russia is dying. China will collapse. The outlier is Iran. Though,

    I am correct. Russia is dying. China will collapse. The outlier is Iran. Though, as I suggest you anticipate, it is also possible that the coming reorganization (collapse) will produce a random outcome that tells us nothing. The world cannot survive in it’s current prosperity without USA governance of finance, transport and trade. And, we will learn, yet again, that only westerners and perhaps the koreans and Japanese are capable of continuing advanced civilization.

    Reply addressees: @trispora


    Source date (UTC): 2023-10-11 03:17:01 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1711943960866758656

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1711942592760279447

  • Bret For you this may be a surprise. But for those of us who work on predicting

    Bret
    For you this may be a surprise. But for those of us who work on predicting the outcomes of long cycles, it’s deterministic. I’ve been writing about it since 2004. Look at Turchin alone and that’s enough.

    There is no way that without having finished the job of ending the age of empires but defeating both the soviets (Patton) and the Chinese (MacArthur), that we would be able to bring about the age of federations and nation states that was the post war ambition.

    European war culture is great for european people because it minimizes long term harms. But when applied to non-europeans it’s foolish. Especially when both RU and CN practice “delay and decieve” strategy and then aggress when youi’re in a period of weakness.

    I haven’t been able to determine why it’s taking so long for RU, CN, IR to simply overload western military capacity – especially wen we only have something on the order of 60 days of ammunition for all the wonderfully expensive hardware we have floating, flying, and sitting around the world.

    It’s pretty obvious. China will act last.

    Reply addressees: @BretWeinstein


    Source date (UTC): 2023-10-08 21:48:31 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1711136514736881664

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1711123535031333221

  • And no I don’t want to hear your anti-jewish nonsense. I’m working toward a posi

    And no I don’t want to hear your anti-jewish nonsense. I’m working toward a positive solution for our people. I had to ‘science’ the problem of the present age and it was decades of hard work at great personal cost. Some of that cost was psychological and some of it ended up being physical. Becuause ‘slumming’ with malcontents at every corner of the political spectrum was painful. And I’m done with that research and development. And I just don’t want to go ‘slumming’ any longer.

    The result is updating our law, prohibiting all uses of the female strategy of undermining, critique, conflict generation, sedition, baiting into hazard, victim positioning, hiding behind plausible deniability, by everyone and anyone. With our modifications, the courts will once again allow us to prosecute those who are seditionists – ending the state’s ability to disintermediate the people from political actors. We will end ‘cancel culture’ which is another female expression that is a violation of the common law.

    Yes the abrahamic religions use this strategy, as do the marxist pseudoscientific religions. But it’s the female strategy applied as an institutional means of civilizational warfare. Mean girls and those who proxy them are just following their instincts – rebelling because they are undesirable.

    We are just as responsible for tolerating it as they are for using it. But we’re all bots. We are until we ‘science’ the subject. Now that we’ve scienced it we know it’s genetic, instinctual, a cognitive differencde and wrapped in cultural dogman and justification – and it’s ancient.

    But your whining is pathetic, tiresome, annoying and I’ll just block you. So don’t bother to respond.

    Thanks.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-10-08 21:24:50 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1711130557122265088

  • The crusades were successful, and we had ample military economic and technologic

    The crusades were successful, and we had ample military economic and technological advantage sufficient to end the expansion, reverse it, and restore the eastern empire.

    We had ample opportunity at the end of ww1 to do a better job of organizing the regions in to ethnostates with rule of law and education in literacy.



    The question of why Europeans did not reverse Islamic expansion during the Crusades, and why they allowed the Byzantine Empire to fall to the Ottomans, is a complex one that involves a multitude of factors. Here’s a detailed breakdown:

    The Crusades
    Lack of Unity: The Crusaders were not a monolithic group but a collection of different European states with varying interests and objectives. This lack of unity often led to infighting and weakened their overall effectiveness.

    Logistical Challenges: The distance between Europe and the Holy Land presented significant logistical challenges, including the need to maintain long supply lines and navigate unfamiliar terrain.

    Local Resistance: Muslim states in the region were often more unified and better prepared to resist Crusader invasions, particularly under strong leaders like Saladin.

    Limited Goals: The primary aim of the Crusades was not to reverse Islamic expansion but to secure Christian access to holy sites in Jerusalem. Once this was achieved, at least temporarily, the impetus for further action was reduced.

    Economic Factors: The Crusades were expensive, and the economic toll could be burdensome for European states, limiting their ability to sustain long-term military campaigns.

    Fall of Byzantium
    Internal Decay: By the time of its fall, the Byzantine Empire had been weakened by internal strife, economic decline, and military defeats.

    Western Indifference: Despite calls for aid, Western European powers were often indifferent to the plight of the Byzantines, partly due to religious schisms and also because they were preoccupied with their own concerns.

    Rise of the Ottomans: The Ottoman Turks were a formidable military power with effective leadership, making them a challenging opponent for the Byzantines and any potential European allies.

    Failed Crusades: Attempts were made to halt Ottoman expansion, such as the Crusade of Varna in 1444, but these were largely unsuccessful and further weakened the resolve of European powers to intervene.

    Geopolitical Calculations: Some European states, like Venice, had complex relationships with the Ottomans that included both conflict and trade. The economic benefits of maintaining these relationships sometimes outweighed the ideological desire to defend Christendom.

    Reply addressees: @cavaller_humil


    Source date (UTC): 2023-10-08 19:40:13 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1711104226393260032

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1711102101701406992

  • The militias are proxies for Iranian(IR) ambitions. IR is smart in that US is oc

    The militias are proxies for Iranian(IR) ambitions.
    IR is smart in that US is occupied with RU in UA, and has near term risk with China(CN), and US has NOT ramped up production for those wars, that the US cannot supply extensive arms to Israel. So while the US is trying to exhaust RU, knowing that RU cannot scale production, RU, IR, and CN can easily exhaust the stores of US weapons, particularly missiles, which teh US depends upon, and which don’t store well.

    I have no idea why IL has not bombed IR into glass, though it would require four to six nukes to fully incapacitate just Teheran. But maybe we are getting closer to that eventuality.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-10-07 20:03:42 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1710747750206156800

  • IT’S WORSE THAN YOU THINK 52% of Americans are on some sort of govt subsidy. 25%

    IT’S WORSE THAN YOU THINK
    52% of Americans are on some sort of govt subsidy.
    25% of Americans rely on social security:
    …. 18% are retirees,
    …. 3% are disabled, and;
    …. 2.3% are survivors.
    18% of Americans rely on Medicare (age)
    18% of Americans are on Medicaid (poverty)
    19% of Americans are on Welfare

    Top 1% of taxpayers: paid 42.3% of all federal income taxes. They accounted for more income taxes paid than the bottom 90% combined.
    Top 10% of taxpayers: Paid 74% of all income taxes.
    Top 25% of taxpayers: Paid 89% of all income taxes.
    Top 50% of taxpayers: Paid 97.1% of all individual income taxes.
    Bottom 50% of taxpayers: Paid the remaining 2.9% of all individual income taxes.
    So… why are we even taxing the bottom 50% of taxpayers?

    Does the population understand that having exported our industrial capacity and financialized our economy, all of this redistribution is dependent upon the dollar as the reserve currency and the USA’s role in policing world law, finance, and trade?

    No.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-10-06 17:00:18 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1710339207887990784

  • RT @ThruTheHayes: A FAMILIES CRISIS, NOT A HOUSING CRISIS A family, not an indiv

    RT @ThruTheHayes: A FAMILIES CRISIS, NOT A HOUSING CRISIS

    A family, not an individual, is the smallest political unit.

    Support family ini…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-10-06 02:36:11 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1710121744738996644

  • AS DIVISION CONTINUES

    AS DIVISION CONTINUES…..
    https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxlrE-ldc4jLFabU2iLLfR1Yc2dbsGSmp4?si=D6AngJu3NkhlHE8s


    Source date (UTC): 2023-10-06 02:16:39 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1710116829790863581