Theme: Crisis

  • Under what conditions do you think the people who are working will continue to p

    Under what conditions do you think the people who are working will continue to pay for the people who are not, whenever there is a contraction in the capacity for consumption?


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-15 00:25:32 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812644631642825074

    Reply addressees: @slenchy @whatifalthist

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812644102825037909

  • He’s right. When he published we all knew he was right. It’s unfortunate that th

    He’s right. When he published we all knew he was right. It’s unfortunate that the incentives were such that they almost guaranteed he would be right. And now reversing that crisis, which devastated the everything from the atlantic to the mississippi and more will take at least a century to reverse, and that will occur in concert with the reproduction, marriage, and population crisis, as well as the coming technological transition that crushes white collar jobs.

    Reply addressees: @RussellJohnston @A1CandyBomber


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-14 23:35:01 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812631919349088257

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812630580510548153

  • I am not sure ‘believe in manufacturing’ is the right framing but yes, you are c

    I am not sure ‘believe in manufacturing’ is the right framing but yes, you are correct. The ‘rot of financialization’ has fully permeated every aspect of society from education to advertising to government to media.


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-14 23:20:54 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812628369109811376

    Reply addressees: @A1CandyBomber

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812628059540869368

  • BISMARCK’S SAMO BURJA CRUSHES OPTIMISM ABOUT APPLE’S FUTURE (“Ouch”) TL/DR; Appl

    BISMARCK’S SAMO BURJA CRUSHES OPTIMISM ABOUT APPLE’S FUTURE
    (“Ouch”)
    TL/DR; Apple cannot end dependency on China, its domestic investments are trivial and posturing, it’s not innovating, only increasing margins, and more, experiments with products have gone nowhere, and partly because Cooke is an insufficient leader for the past, present, of of course, future. All said with Burja’s usual neutrality.
    https://t.co/xoFUXYGdJx

    (Comments:
    – We went through the same issue with the Gates / Ballmer transition.
    – I agree with the vision for apple as a samsung of the continent but I do not see any possibility for that occurring without stressors on the company
    – I use exclusively apple products for the past decade, and I do consider the Apple Silicon (M) chips a dramatic advance it has not resulted in advantages for the company or users.
    – I will stand by my long standing prediction that when iphone sales fall they will have to go after the business user. I still do not understand why they dropped that market.)

    @SamoBurja


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-14 23:11:06 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812625901433294848

  • Correct. My my estimation, which I haven’t recalculated since 2020, is that ther

    Correct. My my estimation, which I haven’t recalculated since 2020, is that there are 100M surplus people in the USA given the present level of technology, and worse, for the coming levels of technology – including consideration for repatriation of all non-polluting and strategic industries. This is not a difficult number to calculate if you are intellectually honest and understand the limit of employability (unemployability) in relation to the minimum skills necessary for the extant technological means of production.

    Reply addressees: @whatifalthist


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-14 22:07:54 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812609995445293057

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812584356579533104

  • It’s the tipping point. the right just got it’s moral license

    It’s the tipping point. the right just got it’s moral license.


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-14 00:17:28 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812280217135714513

    Reply addressees: @PlayerJuan96

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1812270679070527692

  • 1) A not insignificant portion of the decline is due to conversion of use into d

    1) A not insignificant portion of the decline is due to conversion of use into deaths.
    – Heroin/Crack -> Fentanyl migration
    – Fentanyl expansion
    – Overdose Deaths
    2) A not insignificant portion of the decline is due to subsitution:
    – High Fat/Suger Food, Phones, Games, Porn
    3) A not insignificant portion of the decline is due to Social Isolation on top of those subsitutions.
    4) A major factor is the radical increase in mental illness made possible by the end of social suppression due to social isolation.
    5) Lastly the decline in population and the ‘impoverishment’ of population.

    Reply addressees: @ryanburge


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-12 17:28:44 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811814964337786880

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811446674495074644

  • That’s nonsense. What broke the USA was the petro dollar, the resulting debt, co

    That’s nonsense. What broke the USA was the petro dollar, the resulting debt, college tuition, and outsourcing, and the resulting inflation. That’s the truth. And there is no alternative. And I don’t know any leading economist that could survive debate on the subject. Every…


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-12 17:20:21 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811812855198396908

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811791141982830660

  • Will, Moral ambitions in the absence of evidence are often the worst crimes that

    Will,
    Moral ambitions in the absence of evidence are often the worst crimes that mankind commits. It’s certainly true of the 100M dead due to leftism and communism over the past era.

    1) If the poor people who are poor because they lack the neoteny, self regulation, intelligence, resulting in unfavorable family structure, traditions, norms, and values, move into communities with better behaved and more able people, the better people will flee. They always have in every civilization and they always will because it’s rational self interest.

    2) Western civ is the highest investment polity (highest psychological and emotional cost) in prosocial norms the world has ever constructed, and association with those incapable of equal prosocial norms only raises the costs and lowers the outcome of less evolved and less developed peoples, and as such those capable of higher investment parenting in suppression of impulsivity, extension of time preference (delay of gratification), and investment in the capacity for individual responsibility will flee those who raise the cost of that investment.

    2) The history of ‘white flight’ (jewish flight, now asian flight), is well documented. You can’t change it. It’ll never change. It’s rational self interest.

    3) Additionally, the history of “Proximity creates hostility” is well documented. It’s one thing if there is no more than 1SD of variation among an ethnic group, but if an ethnic group exceeds 1SD on the average then the lower SD group will always suffer lower status, lower achievement, lower performance, and lower standards of living.

    4) Additionally, destruction of trust and destruction of civil institutions resulting in “bowling alone” is well documented.

    5) When incompatible groups are force into competition resulting in inequality of outcomes the superior group will seek institutional defense against the costs of the inferior group, and the inferior group will seek institutional offense against the inequality caused by their proximity to the superior group.

    6) In case you haven’t been scientifically literate since 1999, the plasticity of humans, meaning the nature nurture debate has been settled, it’s 70-80% nature and 20-30% idiosyncratic experience (randomness). Even if we try, all statistically improvements disappear by adulthood. IQ was settled before 2000. Sex differences were settled by 2012. Race differences were settled by 2018. These are immutable differences in neotenic, sexual, and regional development as mankind spread across the world.

    These differences are not only correlative but causally explained behaviors obvious to every single person who has studied any depth of genetics, cognitive science, behavioral economics, political economy, and those few of us who work in comparative group evolutionary strategies.

    All you are doing will, is confirming wishful cognitive biases that are easily explained, just as pseudoscientists (the marxist sequence) and theologians (the abrahamic sequence) and the many shaman have done for millennia.

    What you don’t understand is that by lying intentionally or by indirectly lying because of a failure of due diligence, and in support of your own cognitive bias combined with false feedback provided by attention seeking, is that you are justifying the end of participatory government, and in particular the participation of women and the underclasses by demonstrating you are willing to profit from the misleading of victims of your deception

    The solution is to admit that copying the Russians during the civil rights era, destroyed the black family, ended the developing black middle and upper middle classes, black institutions, and most importantly the emergent black intellectual class.

    The only solution is self determination, wherein people choose who they want to live with and who they do not. In other words, separation: the federation of many small nation states of europe (at least prior to the french attempt at dominating europe), is the optimum political order.

    Oddly the europeans tried (and are failing) at creating an america of europe at the same time the centralization of america in response to the civil war is being overthrown by trying to conflate continental economic and strategic needs for uniformity, with the regional and local needs for social variation.

    What Im telling you is that you’re just making things worse. You’re not alone. The academy and the bureaucracy who are equally ignorant and inexperience in the organization, management, and governance of people of any scale other than the classroom or department, are doing the same.

    And it’s ending.

    And within a decade it will end tragically.

    And it will be all your (collective) fault.

    “May God save us from well meaning fools.”

    Cheers

    Reply addressees: @whstancil


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-11 20:12:57 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811493904425832448

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811483707233984897

  • Q: “WHAT’S WRONG WITH THE BLUE STATES OF THE NORTHEAST?” Let’s start with Connec

    Q: “WHAT’S WRONG WITH THE BLUE STATES OF THE NORTHEAST?”

    Let’s start with Connecticut:
    The Good: if you live in the non-urban green zones in CT that are still remnants of the pre-war economy, or if you live in Fairfield county, which is a tax haven for NYC, it’s a beautiful countryside in all four seasons.

    The Bad: However, other than that, there is a lot of bad. Connecticut is effectively bankrupt. The state employee pensions are unfunded, unfundable and unpayable. The Government has driven every business out of the state that isn’t military. The tax policy alone, the power of the unions, the decline of the cities made it impossible to recruit talent combined with failure to produce enough housing that drove up the cost of living, combined with exhaustively open immigration that drove down wages, combined with the general failure of post 1970 education drove not only business but people out of the state as well. The most valuable people, those who are able to obtain a STEM education, or employment under a higher quality of life, leave Connecticut at the first opportunity. The people are generally considered nihilistic. Connecticut is the second worst state for Starting businesses, and tech biz is almost impossible. (Otherwise I would have built not one company in CT and eleven in other states). Everyone who CAN leave DOES leave. Every business that can leave does leave.

    Fairfield county is the only reason the state economically survives. Otherwise the state would fiscally collapse. Everything along 91 and 95 for three miles around it is a slum all the way down to Fairfield County. The most dangerous cities in Connecticut are Hartford, New Haven, Waterbury, New Britain, and Plainville. Hartford’s overall crime rate is 81% above the national average, with a violent crime rate 180% over the national average. Other dangerous cities in Connecticut are Bloomfield, Derby, New London, East Windsor, and East Hartford.

    The Connecticut river valley until WW2 was one of the best places to live in human history – comparable only to the Loire Valley in France.

    Why? Because Yale, Trinity, and Wesleyan, combined with New England Women as the origin of Progressivism, were at least positive movements, but combined with the pre and postwar labor movement, and especially the 1960s leftist movements, adopted more soviet policy than any other state in the union.

    But unlike MA, which had to reform because of the shock of losing the technology industry to california, CT did not reform. And the public keeps doubling down. And demographically, and because of demographics, economically, and because of economically, politically, there is no chance it can be corrected.

    So until the Federal Government creates the possibility for States to go Bankrupt and renegotiate their contracts and debts (particularly with state employee unions), CT will follow other dying regions. With the top most indebted states being In order (Mass, CT, RI, NY NJ, NH, VT, Illinois, Maryland, Delaware).
    In other words Blue = Debt.

    So all the northeast’s blue states are dying. If so then why don’t they know it? What’s wrong with the people of the northeast?


    Source date (UTC): 2024-07-10 20:16:04 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1811132299506802688