Theme: Causality

  • Not tracking. No. Evolution favors complexity(evolutionary computation). Complex

    Not tracking. No. Evolution favors complexity(evolutionary computation). Complexity seeks greater siezure of energy transformation (evolution). Evolution proceeds by adversarial competition (evolutionary computation). It has no ‘mind’. It has no plan. It simply seeks to acquire.…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-04-03 21:53:45 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1643008915783704576

    Reply addressees: @JarradDMartinez @MartinC86461960 @DanAnde23836316 @nntaleb

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1643007959562174464

  • Tip: limits. Limit based reasoning. Opportunity- Supply – Demand- Exhaustion Cur

    Tip: limits. Limit based reasoning. Opportunity- Supply – Demand- Exhaustion Curve.
    Behavior is regulated by limits.
    Behaviors rely on prediction and selection of opportunities (time)
    In physics, limits are narrow in time.
    Physics relies only on opportunity (now in time).
    Behavior, limits are less narrow over time.
    But the limits exist.
    Evidence of cycles of opportunity-to-exhaustion in everything, and the universalism of reciprocity within whatever portfolio of norms is possible for each group.

    Meaning: people can predict and choose. But over time they must predict within limits of failure. Hydrogen and oxygen can’t choose to make water. Humans can choose this opportunity or that. But they still have to produce sufficient energy, sufficient cooperation to obtain it, to survive.
    The only difference then is TIME.

    Reply addressees: @JarradDMartinez @MartinC86461960 @DanAnde23836316 @nntaleb


    Source date (UTC): 2023-04-03 20:48:55 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642992599555354636

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642987124831195137

  • Tip: limits. Limit based reasoning. Opportunity- Supply – Demand- Exhaustion Cur

    Tip: limits. Limit based reasoning. Opportunity- Supply – Demand- Exhaustion Curve.
    Behavior is regulated by limits.
    Behaviors rely on prediction and selection of opportunities (time)
    In physics, limits are narrow in time.
    Physics relies only on opportunity (now in time).
    Behavior, limits are less narrow over time.
    But the limits exist.
    Evidence of cycles of opportunity-to-exhaustion in everything, and the universalism of reciprocity within whatever portfolio of norms is possible for each group.

    Meaning: people can predict and choose. But over time they must predict within limits of failure. Hydrogen and oxygen can’t choose to make water. Humans can choose this opportunity or that. But they still have to produce sufficient energy, sufficient cooperation to obtain it, to survive.
    The only difference then is TIME.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-04-03 20:48:55 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642992599672692738

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642987124831195137

  • You wouldn’t think so, but it is. The difference is that behavior provides for o

    You wouldn’t think so, but it is. The difference is that behavior provides for opportunities in time. But the physical laws remain the same. Entropy and dissipation into disorder vs Energy Acquisition into order.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-04-03 19:19:02 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642969978038272000

    Reply addressees: @MartinC86461960 @DanAnde23836316 @nntaleb

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642969421055442947

  • No. Natural Law(behavioral) is the equivalent of saying Laws of Nature (physical

    No. Natural Law(behavioral) is the equivalent of saying Laws of Nature (physical). As with physics, if we begin with the greeks (Aristotle, Epicurus, Democritus) it took a long time to develop the physical sciences. And likewise, it took a long time to develop the behavioral sciences. However, it’s just as possible to reduce them to first principles (irreducible laws) as it has been physics. It took us longer frankly (a) because it’s more complicated and (b) we don’t want to believe it, even more than we don’t want to believe evolutionary laws (darwin).
    But, here we are. Physical Law, Behavioral Law, Evolutionary Law.

    Reply addressees: @MartinC86461960 @DanAnde23836316 @nntaleb


    Source date (UTC): 2023-04-03 18:04:10 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642951136792420362

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642949279659569152

  • No. Natural Law(behavioral) is the equivalent of saying Laws of Nature (physical

    No. Natural Law(behavioral) is the equivalent of saying Laws of Nature (physical). As with physics, if we begin with the greeks (Aristotle, Epicurus, Democritus) it took a long time to develop the physical sciences. And likewise, it took a long time to develop the behavioral sciences. However, it’s just as possible to reduce them to first principles (irreducible laws) as it has been physics. It took us longer frankly (a) because it’s more complicated and (b) we don’t want to believe it, even more than we don’t want to believe evolutionary laws (darwin).
    But, here we are. Physical Law, Behavioral Law, Evolutionary Law.


    Source date (UTC): 2023-04-03 18:04:10 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642951136876417026

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642949279659569152

  • I’ll add the question then: whether your (one’s) epistemology relies on testifia

    I’ll add the question then: whether your (one’s) epistemology relies on testifiability, where testifiability requires: realism (existence), naturalism (causality, determism), identity (disambiguation), internal consistency (logic), existential possiblity (operations), external correspondence (observable evidence), bounded rational choice (rationality), bounded rational reciprocity (morality), and satisfies full accounting (limits, completeness), and is within the limits of restitutability, and whether you are willing to state testifiable truth regardless of cost.

    That’s the complete, exhaustive criterial for testifiable truth claims, with every dimension of falsification available to man.

    Under that criteria very few people speak any truth whatsoever. Instead, they speak a negotiating position or a suggestion, or a deception, or a fraud.

    I’ve done exhaustive work on testimonhy and deceit, and the most interesting science of all it turns out, is the rich study of human lying.

    We didn’t evolve for truth.
    We evolved for negotiationg cooperation
    We didn’t evolve for morality.
    We evolved for acting within the limits of immorality.

    We just try to teach each other beneficial positivas (the right way to do things). Which has the side benefit of not teaching now NOT to do things. WHich would only make matters worse.

    Economic cooperation, the commons, political systems, rates of evolution all depend on the truthfulness of the population, and it’s correspondence with the laws of the universe (which are unmerciful, really).

    Truth is a human advantage in all things.
    It’s also the most expensive and costly – especially psychologically and emotionally – commons that humans can develop. And thats why almost no one has. Except for europeans, which is rather interesting in and of itself.

    Confession, Oath, Contract, Testimony, Military Reporting.
    “truth before face regardless of cost”.

    Cheers

    Reply addressees: @SRCHicks


    Source date (UTC): 2023-04-03 15:40:02 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642914863683981312

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642523147923517440

  • I’ll add the question then: whether your (one’s) epistemology relies on testifia

    I’ll add the question then: whether your (one’s) epistemology relies on testifiability, where testifiability requires: realism (existence), naturalism (causality, determism), identity (disambiguation), internal consistency (logic), existential possiblity (operations), external correspondence (observable evidence), bounded rational choice (rationality), bounded rational reciprocity (morality), and satisfies full accounting (limits, completeness), and is within the limits of restitutability, and whether you are willing to state testifiable truth regardless of cost.

    That’s the complete, exhaustive criterial for testifiable truth claims, with every dimension of falsification available to man.

    Under that criteria very few people speak any truth whatsoever. Instead, they speak a negotiating position or a suggestion, or a deception, or a fraud.

    I’ve done exhaustive work on testimonhy and deceit, and the most interesting science of all it turns out, is the rich study of human lying.

    We didn’t evolve for truth.
    We evolved for negotiationg cooperation
    We didn’t evolve for morality.
    We evolved for acting within the limits of immorality.

    We just try to teach each other beneficial positivas (the right way to do things). Which has the side benefit of not teaching now NOT to do things. WHich would only make matters worse.

    Economic cooperation, the commons, political systems, rates of evolution all depend on the truthfulness of the population, and it’s correspondence with the laws of the universe (which are unmerciful, really).

    Truth is a human advantage in all things.
    It’s also the most expensive and costly – especially psychologically and emotionally – commons that humans can develop. And thats why almost no one has. Except for europeans, which is rather interesting in and of itself.

    Confession, Oath, Contract, Testimony, Military Reporting.
    “truth before face regardless of cost”.

    Cheers


    Source date (UTC): 2023-04-03 15:40:02 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642914863897882627

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642523147923517440

  • MORE DETAILED EXPLANATION Neoteny > Delayed/Shallower Maturity > Intelligence >

    MORE DETAILED EXPLANATION
    Neoteny > Delayed/Shallower Maturity > Intelligence > Self Reglulation > Less Accumulated Cellular Damage <- Longer telomeres (no idea of origin)

    Sequence of Neotenic Speciation Events:
    Africa >
    . . . East Africa (Africans) >
    . . . . . . Dry Perisan…


    Source date (UTC): 2023-04-03 13:17:26 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642878977051176962

    Reply addressees: @TabbyTeamster @Steve_Sailer @nsjersey

    Replying to: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642849525986459650

  • MORE DETAILED EXPLANATION Neoteny > Delayed/Shallower Maturity > Intelligence >

    MORE DETAILED EXPLANATION
    Neoteny > Delayed/Shallower Maturity > Intelligence > Self Reglulation > Less Accumulated Cellular Damage <- Longer telomeres (no idea of origin)

    Sequence of Neotenic Speciation Events:
    Africa >
    . . . East Africa (Africans) >
    . . . . . . Dry Perisan Gulf (South Eurasians) >
    . . . . . . . . . Tibetan Plateu (East Asians) >
    . . . . . . . . . Europe (Europeans) >
    . . . . . . . . . . . . Ob River Region (North Eurasians)


    Source date (UTC): 2023-04-03 13:17:25 UTC

    Original post: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1642878976962985984