Curt Doolittle

Theme: AI

  • I hate to resort to scifi references but scifi is the modern mythology of Libert

    I hate to resort to scifi references but scifi is the modern mythology of Liberty.

    But in retrospect Clarke’s HAL becomes a threat when taught to lie.

    This is the problem with the Talmud and its transformation into Christianity through the adoption of Mithraism.

    It is, in an effort to produce separatism, a training manual for lying.

    Christianity, in an effort to form a resistance to aristocracy, is a great lie. Because lying succeeds if enough people lie.

    And enough people lie because it’s in their interest to lie.

    Source date (UTC): 2015-12-06 04:40:00 UTC

  • What Is The Next Great Technological Revolution? Its Not What You Think.

    [I]’m going to posit a very different technological revolution, that is far more important. Lets look at a set of revolutionary inventions:

      What I am working on, and what I hope is the next great revolution, is to provide a reformation to counter the Pseudoscientific Era (Boaz, Marx, Freud, Cantor, Mises) imposed by Academia, the same way that the British (English and Scottish enlightenments) provided a reformation against the era of mysticism (Justinian and Augustinian imposed Christianity). We know now that the Flynn effect is caused largely by the incremental conversion of human thinking from a multitude of case specific rules of utility (think recipes) to a limited number of general rules describing the behavior of similar systems (think theories). Depending upon who you ask, this education in scientific thinking appears to have created a 20 point increase (more than one standard deviation) in demonstrated human intelligence. Likewise, the application of scientific thought to the social sciences in order to overcome the equivalent of the second christianization of European civilization – this time with pseudoscience instead of mysticism – will very likely produce an equal if not greater affect on our economies, our polities, and our demonstrated intelligence. And like the conversion from mysticism to physical sciences, the conversion of pseudoscience to social science, will be just as difficult and costly and require an equally challenging and costly effort. We have only half-escaped our primitive mysticism. The next revolutionary science is not robotics. It’s social science: morality: natural laws of cooperation. With which any advancement in machine intelligence is governable, and without which it is a risk. THE WARRANTIES OF TRUTHFUL TESTIMONY If you cannot warranty that your testimony survives these tests then you cannot claim you speak truthfully.

      • Identity
      • Internal Consistency
      • External Correspondence
      • Existential Possibility
      • Parsimony
      • Full Accounting
      • Demonstrable Morality

      Cheers Curt Doolittle The Propertarian Institute Kiev, Ukraine

    • What Is The Next Great Technological Revolution? Its Not What You Think.

      [I]’m going to posit a very different technological revolution, that is far more important. Lets look at a set of revolutionary inventions:

        What I am working on, and what I hope is the next great revolution, is to provide a reformation to counter the Pseudoscientific Era (Boaz, Marx, Freud, Cantor, Mises) imposed by Academia, the same way that the British (English and Scottish enlightenments) provided a reformation against the era of mysticism (Justinian and Augustinian imposed Christianity). We know now that the Flynn effect is caused largely by the incremental conversion of human thinking from a multitude of case specific rules of utility (think recipes) to a limited number of general rules describing the behavior of similar systems (think theories). Depending upon who you ask, this education in scientific thinking appears to have created a 20 point increase (more than one standard deviation) in demonstrated human intelligence. Likewise, the application of scientific thought to the social sciences in order to overcome the equivalent of the second christianization of European civilization – this time with pseudoscience instead of mysticism – will very likely produce an equal if not greater affect on our economies, our polities, and our demonstrated intelligence. And like the conversion from mysticism to physical sciences, the conversion of pseudoscience to social science, will be just as difficult and costly and require an equally challenging and costly effort. We have only half-escaped our primitive mysticism. The next revolutionary science is not robotics. It’s social science: morality: natural laws of cooperation. With which any advancement in machine intelligence is governable, and without which it is a risk. THE WARRANTIES OF TRUTHFUL TESTIMONY If you cannot warranty that your testimony survives these tests then you cannot claim you speak truthfully.

        • Identity
        • Internal Consistency
        • External Correspondence
        • Existential Possibility
        • Parsimony
        • Full Accounting
        • Demonstrable Morality

        Cheers Curt Doolittle The Propertarian Institute Kiev, Ukraine

      • “AI’s, at least with our current capabilities, will only be able to achieve quas

        —“AI’s, at least with our current capabilities, will only be able to achieve quasi-sentience.”—

        RA Skaskiw has persuaded me this is true in the sense we mean it. And I’ve argued all along (since I worked on ai in the 80’s) that sentience -which in our sense means self-awareness and self-interest – is not something we would want.

        Humans are problematic creatures. We can create the first generation of minds that did not evolve from self interest, and need not evolve from self interest, but from other-service.

        All problems must be decidable. Humans make questions decidable by moral means – because it’s dangerous not to. We don’t need something more powerful than us to be maintained by fear of us. We must make decidability that of a mother for her children, not a scientist seeking abstract truth.

        We can make the first entirely moral creature. That’s pretty interesting really.

        The first thing that is made happy in the service of others.

        Source date (UTC): 2015-11-29 05:44:00 UTC

      • ROBOTS LEARN TO SAY ‘NO’? NOT UNLESS…. All these AI folk out there trying to f

        https://agenda.weforum.org/2015/11/what-if-robots-learn-to-say-noCAN ROBOTS LEARN TO SAY ‘NO’? NOT UNLESS….

        All these AI folk out there trying to figure out how to make a moral machine, and fearful of immoral machines, or even amoral machines. And the reason is that they haven’t a clue what makes a moral being: non-imposition of costs. Or stated obversely: respect for property.

        In other words, imagine everything in the world that was owned, was registered in an enormous global ‘bitcoin’ database (a ledger). And that, just as we only think of (if we are moral) using items we ‘own’, robots did the same, and moreover, that they not only used only their owner’s property, but only used it such that it imposed no cost.

        And if we could make them fast and sensitive enough (I am not sure we can) then they could even violate some property when life is endangered.

        Interestingly enough, this is a solvable problem. It’s a largely computable problem.

        I won’t get into the uncomputability of the alternatives… that should be obvious.

        Source date (UTC): 2015-11-28 05:36:00 UTC

      • IF I AM RIGHT… Then apple will pivot to the obvious money making line of busin

        IF I AM RIGHT…

        Then apple will pivot to the obvious money making line of business – and that’s when the world will get interesting.

        —“Since 2009, information technology has been responsible for about 48 percent of overall S&P 500 margin expansion. Apple alone has been responsible for 18 percent. But the next two years will likely see some new stars, according to Kostin’s list of S&P companies expected to increase profit margins in both 2016 and 2017. Names such as Priceline, Netflix, TripAdvisor and Amazon are expected to increase margins by at least 100 basis points. Topping the tech list are Adobe, PayPal and Alphabet.In comparison, Kostin expects Apple’s profit margins to fall by 9 basis points in 2016 and grow by 30 basis points in 2017.”—

        Source date (UTC): 2015-11-25 14:24:00 UTC

      • Gamification!!!!

        Gamification!!!!

        Source date (UTC): 2015-11-12 06:50:00 UTC

      • OVERSING UPDATE – VERY COOL STUFF: “GAMIFICATION” Kirill and Vitalii are coding

        OVERSING UPDATE – VERY COOL STUFF: “GAMIFICATION”

        Kirill and Vitalii are coding the ‘Gamification’ features in Oversing. It;s very much like a MMPORG or adventure game, where there is an internal economy by which you give feedback and ratings to work by your fellow work-citizens, and were you can accumulate various kinds of ‘coins’ and ‘inventory’ for whatever you work on by which to obtain bonuses.

        We also include a sort of “karma” which is the balance between your gives and gets, as well as ‘likability” which is a pretty elaborate calculation. So you have ‘likeability’, ‘karma’, an inventory of rewards (that you can use to win gift cards and days off for example),

        This ‘economy’ allows us to create all sorts of interesting measurements and ‘games’ in Oversing – again with the purpose of invalidating arbitrary middle management opinion, and creating systems of social (egalitarian and informational) peerage in the workplace rather than managerial (sucking-up and disinformational) hierarchy. The idea is that we want to search for and reward work behavior that we desire.

        After Gamification we will add the Culture, Moral, Personality, and “IQ” surveys to the profile , as well as the ‘Survey’ entity (a type of task container) – visible only to you the user. These statistics will allow you to see how you, your personality, abilities, background and skills map to others in your discipline, those with similar skills, others in your organization, and compare yourself to their performance. (next year we will expose cross-organizational data as well).

        We see this as perhaps the most important user-centric feature in Oversing.

        Why? ‘Cause it merges game, social, and business to provide feedback that encourages inclusiveness through transparency rather than perpetuating the alienation of the industrial and information eras.

        Curt

        Source date (UTC): 2015-11-12 06:50:00 UTC

      • FUTURISM It is not hard to envision the day when what we consider programming lo

        FUTURISM

        It is not hard to envision the day when what we consider programming looks a lot like playing Starcraft, or American Football games on a grand scale: waves of attacks against problems using agents with different capabilities.

        Source date (UTC): 2015-11-07 13:25:00 UTC

      • (personal workflow) (dropbox, evernote, box, mac) (oversing thoughts) In Oversin

        (personal workflow) (dropbox, evernote, box, mac) (oversing thoughts)

        In Oversing, We need to rely on either our own storage technology (as does Slack – which is just Amazon), or use one of Evernote, Box, or Dropbox’s technologies.

        So today I’m working through integrating Evernote into Oversing (or Oversing into Evernote) and as part of the research, I”m going through the new Dropbox apps today. (I am biased toward Evernote because of a similar design philosophy)

        I use Mac “Notes” for quick ideas, notes, reminders and my to-do list. I write long pieces in Evernote’s Web UI, (which is still the best text editor I have found). And for very long pieces and complex work I use Textwrangler. And for business stuff I use Word. Everything is always stored ‘somewhere’.

        For backup and file storage across devices, I use Dropbox. I don’t need any user interfaces other than the one’s I have in the operating system. I put everything I could ever want to save under the dropbox folder, treating it as ‘~/documents’. I don’t use the ~/documents folder, I have changed the default screenshot directory in osx to point to a new directory ~/screenshots to save on performance and desktop clutter. And I have folder shortcuts on my doc so that I can drag items to certain folders without using the Finder app. Also, I do NOT back up my ~/downloads folder, and I clean it every now and then.

        So when I go through the dropbox addins I just don’t sort of get why you need them. Very transparent technology.

        Box on the other hand has taken the enterprise route by providing security and permissions that Dropbox and Evernote dont’

        So you sort of have this hierarchy (which I’m sure most people understand) of Evernote (personal) -> Dropbox (Professional) -> Box (enterprise).

        Unfortunately, the only viable price alternative is to do it ourselves. And that seems a shame. The cost of enterprise applications is not so much the data and servicing the data, but the costs of storage of large volumes of work related files. So you sort of have to price as such. One of the tricks is to only store small things and then send the user to Dropbox/Box/Google account for large file storage but that doesn’t work for IP related work which we have to guarantee providence over, and which must be subject to audits.

        Argh.

        Source date (UTC): 2015-10-18 05:30:00 UTC